1. Introduction
Over the past 150 years, there has been a significant increase in human activities, including construction, agriculture, mining, and the consumption of fossil fuels. As awareness of the impact of these activities on human and environmental systems grows, establishing accurate timelines of ecological change has become increasingly important. Chronologies derived from sediment core profiles typically utilize the activities of radionuclides deposited and stratified within the physical environment. One of the most widely used radionuclides for establishing chronologies over approximately the past 150 years is 210Pb.The 210Pb radiometric dating technique is among the most widely employed methods for dating sediments deposited within the last 100 to 150 years across lacustrine, estuarine, marsh, and marine environments. The technique was first applied to lake sediments by Krishnaswamy et al. (1971), following its initial development for dating ice cores by Goldberg (1963). Since then, 210Pb dating has become an essential tool for determining sediment chronologies, bottom core ages, and sedimentation rates.
In addition to establishing sediment accumulation histories, 210Pb dating has played a crucial role in studies of erosion rates, accelerated eutrophication, atmospheric circulation patterns, the residence time of tropospheric aerosols, and air-sea exchange processes (Goldberg, 1963; Krishnaswamy et al., 1971; Nozaki et al., 1978; Sanak et al., 1981; Appleby, 2004; Turner & Delorme, 1996; Erten, 1997).
210Pb is a naturally occurring radionuclide from the 238U decay series, commonly found in the Earth’s crust. It decays through various intermediates to reach stable 206Pb. One significant intermediate is 226Ra (t1/2 = 1600 years), which transforms into noble gas 222Rn (half-life = 3.825 days). Because 222Rn is gaseous, it can escape from the soil into the atmosphere, disturbing the initial secular equilibrium with 238U. Once in the air, 222Rn decays and eventually forms 210Pb through short-lived progeny. Atmospheric 210Pb has a half-life of 22.26 years and quickly adheres to aerosol particles. These 210Pb bearing aerosols typically reside in the troposphere for less than a week (Goldberg, 1963; Benninger et al., 1975; Nozaki et al., 1978; Lewis, 1977). Through dry and, especially, wet deposition, which accounts for approximately 90% of atmospheric input (Binford et al., 1993), 210Pb is deposited onto the Earth’s surface. In aquatic systems like lakes, 210Pb becomes part of the bottom sediments (Benninger et al., 1975). Research indicates that dissolved 210Pb in river water is efficiently removed by adsorption onto suspended particles (Benninger et al., 1975; Benninger, 1978; Krishnaswami et al., 1978; Durham & Joshi, 1980). The 210Pb originating from atmospheric 222Rn decay is known as unsupported 210Pb (210Pbunsup), because its activity is not sustained by in-situ 238U decay. Conversely, 210Pb produced within sediment from the decay of sediment-bound 226Ra is called supported 210Pb (210Pbsup). 210Pbunsup reaches lake sediments mainly through direct atmospheric deposition and, to a lesser extent, via particle transport from inflowing rivers and catchment runoff. However, studies consistently show that catchment contributions are minor compared to direct atmospheric input, with most of the 210Pbunsup retained in soils and not reaching lake sediments (Krishnaswamy et al., 1971; Benninger et al., 1975; Benninger, 1978; Lewis, 1977).
The total 210Pb activity (210Pbtot) measured in sediment samples includes both supported and unsupported fractions. The 210Pbsup activity, typically expressed in disintegrations per minute per gram (DPM g–1) of dry sediment, is assumed to stay relatively constant over time due to secular equilibrium with its parent 226Ra. The 210Pbunsup activity is determined by subtracting the supported component from the total activity. If 210Pbunsup does not significantly migrate after deposition, its activity decreases with depth in sediment cores due to radioactive decay. This decay profile serves as the foundation of 210Pb-based dating methods. Determining the age of sediment layers is crucial for understanding the timescales of geochemical processes and the impacts of human activities. Moreover, sedimentation rates derived from 210Pb dating are essential for environmental remediation efforts, land-use planning, and comprehending the physical and chemical dynamics within aquatic systems. Lakes, serving as repositories for eroded particles from their catchments, preserve sediment records that enable the reconstruction of historical erosion and deposition events. The Adirondack region, marked by cold, snowy winters and cool, wet summers, offers a unique environment for studying such processes. Precipitation is distributed evenly throughout the year, while temperature, frost-free season length, and other meteorological variables like wind speed and cloud deposition fluctuate with elevation. These climatic factors affect the deposition of 210Pb into lake systems.
Climate change has significantly impacted the Adirondack region. A study on lake ice in the area reported rapid changes between 1975 and 2007, with ice cover durations decreasing by up to 21 days, primarily due to delayed freeze-up and, to a lesser extent, earlier breakup (Beier et al., 2012). The Adirondack Mountains have been extensively affected by acidic atmospheric deposition and associated watershed biogeochemical changes over the past century. Previous regional investigations have documented long-term declines in sulfate and nitrate deposition, changes in surface-water chemistry, and evidence of partial ecological recovery in Adirondack lakes following reductions in atmospheric emissions (NYSERDA, 2015; Driscoll et al., 2007). Because sediment records preserve signals of these environmental changes, the development of accurate sediment chronologies using radionuclides such as 210Pb and 137Cs is essential for reconstructing temporal variations in sediment accumulation and environmental processes within Adirondack Lake ecosystems. These changes are expected to alter growing seasons, vegetation patterns, and runoff dynamics, which can affect 210Pb deposition and cycling. Furthermore, the region’s watersheds are biogeochemically sensitive, particularly to atmospheric inputs of sulfate, nitrate, and radionuclides like 210Pb. Acid deposition from sulfur and nitrogen oxides has historically impacted the region, although emissions have declined significantly since the passage of the U.S. Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. However, the behavior and fate of 210Pb under these evolving conditions remain poorly studied. This investigation is part of a broader research initiative aimed at monitoring historical atmospheric deposition of elemental carbon and trace elements across lake sediments from the Midwest to the Adirondack Park region (Husain et al., 2008; Sarkar et al., 2015). As part of this study, four sediment cores from West Pine Pond (WP), a high-altitude, remote lake in the Adirondack Park, were dated, and sedimentation rates were calculated. The sediment chronologies were constructed using three commonly applied 210Pb dating models: the Constant Initial Concentration (CIC), Constant Flux-Constant Sedimentation (CF-CS), and Constant Rate of Supply (CRS) models (Abril-Hernández, 2023; Ruiz-Fernández et al., 2020; Hunter et al., 2023). To validate the 210Pb derived age models, profiles of 137Cs, an independent tracer of atmospheric fallout, were also analyzed (Heldal et al., 2021).
Recent advances in 210Pb sediment dating have emphasized the importance of selecting appropriate models to account for non-ideal depositional conditions and spatial heterogeneity. A comprehensive review by Abril-Hernández (2025) highlights the development of numerous models and the growing recognition of model-dependent uncertainties in sediment chronologies. Furthermore, recent studies have demonstrated that traditional models such as CIC and CRS may not adequately capture sediment dynamics in systems with variable porosity or episodic deposition, prompting the development of alternative approaches and model validation strategies (Anderson et al., 2024). These developments underscore the need for multi-model comparison and independent validation using tracers such as 137Cs, as applied in the present study.
While 210Pb dating has been widely applied to lake sediments, relatively few studies have combined multi-core analysis, multi-model comparison, and independent validation using 137Cs within a single lacustrine system to evaluate both chronological accuracy and spatial variability in sedimentation processes. This study addresses this gap by integrating multi-model comparison with independent chronological validation and environmental interpretation, providing a more comprehensive framework for assessing sediment chronologies in complex depositional environments.
2. Experimental
Sediment cores were collected from West Pine Pond (WP), a remote lake in the Adirondack Park region of upstate New York. The Adirondack Park covers approximately 6 million hectares and is predominantly forested, with mountainous terrain and more than 3,000 lakes and ponds. It encompasses the largest wilderness area east of the Mississippi River (Lorey & Driscoll, 1999; Adirondack Lakes Survey Corporation). Many lakes in this region are located at relatively high elevations and are remote from major roads and highways. West Pine Pond (approximately 44˚20' N, 74˚25' W) has a surface area of 25.5 ha and a catchment area of 235 ha, with a mean water depth of approximately 5.5 m.
Four sediment cores (WP-1, WP-2, WP-3, and WP-5) were collected in September 2005 from the deep depositional region of the lake at a water depth of approximately 13 m. The geographic coordinates of the individual coring stations, recorded using a Global Positioning System (GPS), were 44˚20.2830' N, 74˚25.5830' W (WP-1); 44˚20.2730' N, 74˚25.5830' W (WP-2); 44˚20.2790' N, 74˚25.5790' W (WP-3); and 44˚20.2810' N, 74˚25.5790' W (WP-5). The four stations were closely spaced within the deep depositional basin, with approximate inter-core distances ranging from 3.7 to 18.5 m.
Coring was conducted from a rowboat using a gravity-driven coring device fitted with removable plastic tubes having an internal diameter of 5.12 cm. The recovered sediment cores were approximately 55 cm long, and the sediment-water interface was retained intact during core recovery, preserving the uppermost sediment layer. Immediately after recovery, the cores were sectioned in the field to minimize physical disturbance and post-collection redistribution of sediment. The cores were sliced horizontally into sections with thicknesses that were multiples of 0.125 inch (3.18 mm). Each sediment section was transferred to a clean, pre-weighed plastic cup (5 cm internal diameter) with a lid and maintained at 4˚C during transport to the laboratory. Upon arrival at the laboratory, the samples were refrigerated at 4˚C and subsequently freeze-dried using a LABCONCO freeze dryer (Model 7753020) prior to radionuclide analysis.
3. Measurement of 210Pb and 137Cs Activities
Freeze-dried sediment samples were homogenized to create a fine powder. Approximately 0.4 - 3 g of sediment from each slice was accurately weighed, and the activity of 46.5 keV γ-ray from 210Pb was measured using a non-destructive well-type high-purity germanium detector (HPGe) manufactured by Canberra Inc. (Meriden, CT). The well dimensions were 20 mm in diameter and 40 mm in length. The detector provided high efficiency and low background for low-energy γ radiation (20 - 400 keV). It has a resolution of 1.21 keV and 2.18 keV (FWHM) at γ-ray energies of 59.5 keV and 1332.5 keV from 241Am and 60Co, respectively. The detector is shielded from background radiation by a 6-inch (15.24 cm) thick Pb container and is positioned inside a room constructed of 6-inch-thick steel plates from pre-World War II iron. Teflon tubes (outer diameter: 19 mm; length: 110 mm) with screw caps were employed to count the γ-rays of 210Pb, filled with sediments up to the 5 ml marking. A latex protective cover was wrapped around the tubes to shield the detector from contamination. Details of this detector have been provided elsewhere (Parekh et al., 2003, 2004).
An independent verification of the ages derived from 210Pb was provided by measurements of 137Cs radioisotope (t1/2 = 30.17 yr) activity (Appleby, 2000, 2004; Turner & Delorme, 1996). Unlike naturally occurring 210Pb, 137Cs is an artificial radioisotope that was introduced into the atmosphere from nuclear weapons testing and, in some regions such as Russia, Norway, Sweden, and parts of Central Europe, from the 1986 Chernobyl reactor accident (Taylor et al., 1988; Erten, 1997). Because the source of 137Cs differs from that of 210Pb, 137Cs can serve as an independent chronological marker for verifying dates obtained from 210Pb dating. Global fallout of 137Cs increased after 1954, reaching a maximum in the Northern Hemisphere in 1963 (Figure 1), and subsequently declined following the 1963 Partial Test Ban Treaty (Appleby, 2000; Carroll et al., 1999). However, studies have shown that due to the post-depositional mobility of 137Cs, the record of this radionuclide in the sediment column can become degraded (Appleby et al., 1991). The activity of 661.7 keV γ-rays of 137Cs was measured using a high-efficiency, p-type, closed-end HPGe detector in a 2-inch plastic jar. The spectrometers were calibrated with NIST-traceable 210Pb and 137Cs standards in the same matrix as the analyzed sample. The counting time varied from 1000 to 4000 minutes.
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Figure 1. 137Cs deposition in lake sediments due to global nuclear testing.
4. 210Pb Activity Processing and Quality Control
Total 210Pb activity was determined from the 46.5-keV gamma-ray photopeak and expressed on a dry-sediment mass basis (dpm g–1). Supported 210Pb (210Pbsup) was determined separately for each core from the deepest sediment intervals in which the measured total 210Pb activity approached a relatively constant asymptotic value, indicating that the unsupported component had become negligible. The activities of these deep intervals were averaged to obtain a core-specific supported 210Pb activity, and the associated uncertainty was determined from the uncertainties and variability of the measurements included in the average. The resulting 210Pbsup activities were 0.90, 1.36, 0.93, and 1.11 dpm g−1 for WP-1, WP-2, WP-3, and WP-5, respectively.
Unsupported 210Pb activity (210Pbunsup) for each sediment interval was calculated by subtracting the corresponding core-specific supported activity from the measured total 210Pb activity:
Sediment intervals were included in the 210Pb chronology while measurable 210Pbunsup remained distinguishable from the supported component within the measurement uncertainty. At greater depths, where total 210Pb activity approached the supported value, the sediment was below the practical 210Pb dating horizon.
For gamma-spectrometric quality control, freeze-dried and homogenized sediment samples were measured in Teflon tubes using the well-type HPGe detector described above. Sample geometry was maintained consistently with the calibration geometry, and detector efficiency calibration was performed using NIST-traceable standards (Semkow et al., 2015). Because attenuation of the low-energy 46.5-keV gamma ray is sensitive to sample composition, density, and counting geometry, density-dependent attenuation/self-absorption corrections were determined using the GESPECOR Monte Carlo software (Sima et al., 2001). The sample-specific density and measurement geometry were incorporated into the GESPECOR calculations to correct the 46.5-keV counting efficiency for differences between calibration standards and sediment samples.
Detector background was characterized using a 4000 min background measurement under the same counting configuration. Background counts in the 46.5-keV region were incorporated into the net-peak activity and detection-limit calculations. Minimum detectable activities (MDA) were determined using the detection-limit procedure described elsewhere (Currie, 1968), incorporating the measured background, counting time, detector efficiency, 210Pb gamma-ray emission probability, and dry sample mass. Samples were counted for 1000 - 4000 min, with longer counting times used where necessary to improve counting statistics for low-activity sediment intervals. The combined use of controlled counting geometry, NIST-traceable efficiency calibration, GESPECOR density/self-absorption correction, long-duration background measurements, and MDA evaluation provided quality control for the low-energy 210Pb measurements.
The 210Pbunsup profile was evaluated only over sediment intervals for which the activity was above the minimum detectable activity (MDA). The practical dating horizon was defined as the depth at which 210Pbunsup activity decreased below the MDA. Sediment intervals below this horizon were not used for age determination, and no extrapolation of 210Pbunsup activity or additional residual unsupported 210Pb inventory was assigned below the measured horizon.
5. Age Determination Using 210Pb Dating
Three commonly used 210Pb dating models for sediment cores are the Constant Initial Concentration (CIC), Constant Flux-Constant Sedimentation (CF-CS), and Constant Rate of Supply (CRS) models. In this paper, we provide a summary of each. The details of these models can be found in Appleby (2001). Although all three models are based on key assumptions, the optimal model will differ depending on the environment and the expected constancy of 210Pb influx to sediments, as well as the mass accumulation rate:
1) 210Pb is removed from the atmosphere and the water column and is quickly sequestered into sediments.
2) Once deposited, the 210Pb in the sediment is immobile.
3) The sedimentation process will be uninterrupted.
5.1. Constant Initial Concentration (CIC) Model
The CIC model assumes a constant initial 210Pbunsup activity of sediments at the time of deposition, so each layer of sediments in a core will have the same initial 210Pbunsup activity, C(0), at the sediment-water interface, regardless of the variability in the sedimentation rate (Robbins, 1978; Appleby & Oldfield 1983; Binford, 1990; Binford et al., 1993). The age (t) of sediment at any depth x (cm) is then given by (Appleby & Oldfield 1983).
(1)
where C(x) = activity of 210Pbunsup per gram of dried sediment at any depth x (cm) below the sediment-water interface (DPM g−1), C(0) = activity of the 210Pbunsup per gram of dried sediment at the sediment/water interface (DPM g−1), and λ = 210Pb decay constant (0.03114 yr−1). Equation (1) can also be written as
(2)
where ω = mean linear sedimentation rate (cm yr−1). The log-linear plot’s least-squares regression slope, −λ/ω, in Equation (2) will give the mean sedimentation rate ω for the core. The age
of any sediment slice in a column can be found using the relation.
(3)
where
is the thickness of a particular slice in cm.
The sedimentation rate (ω), obtained from Equation (2) represents a core-averaged linear sedimentation rate and is not an inherent assumption of the general CIC model. The CIC ages reported at successive depths were calculated using this mean-rate approximation. Consequently, sediment intervals of equal thickness have equal age increments. The resulting CIC chronology therefore represents a smoothed, long-term age-depth relationship for comparison among the individual cores and with the independent 137Cs fallout record. Depth-dependent variations in sediment accumulation are evaluated separately using the CRS model.
5.2. Constant Flux—Constant Sedimentation (CF-CS) Model
The CF-CS model assumes that both the flux of 210Pbunsup into the sediments and the sediment accumulation rate remain constant over time (Appleby & Oldfield, 1983; Appleby, 1993). In the CF-CS model, the 210Pbunsup activity is plotted against the cumulative dry mass of the sediment, or mass depth, rather than against depth, as in the CIC model, to account for the sediments’ post-depositional compaction. As expressed by Appleby (2001),
(4)
where C(m) is the 210Pbunsup activity of dry sediment at cumulative mass depth m (dpm g−1), C(0) is the initial 210Pbunsup activity at the sediment-water interface (dpm g−1), λ is the 210Pb decay constant (0.03114 yr–1), r is the dry-mass sediment accumulation rate (g cm–2 yr–1), and m is cumulative dry mass depth (g cm–2). For each sediment slice, dry bulk density,
(g cm−3), was calculated from the freeze-dried sediment mass and the original volume of the sediment slice before freeze-drying:
(5)
where
is the freeze-dried sediment mass (g) of slice i and Vᵢ is the original volume (cm3) of that sediment slice. The original slice volume was calculated from the internal cross-sectional area of the 5.12 cm diameter coring tube and the original thickness of the sediment interval:
(6)
where D is the internal diameter of the coring tube (5.12 cm) and
is the thickness (cm) of sediment slice i.
The dry sediment mass per unit area represented by an individual slice (Δmi) is given by.
(7)
where
= thickness of any slice i (cm), and
= dry bulk density of any slice i (g cm−3). When 210Pbunsup activity, C(m), in Equation (4) is plotted on a logarithmic-linear scale against the cumulative dry mass depth, the resulting profile will be a linear plot. The plot’s least-squares regression slope, −λ/r, will give the mean mass accumulation rate r (g cm−2 yr−1) for the core. The age
of any sediment slice is calculated using the relationship.
(8)
Accordingly, the CF-CS-derived mass accumulation rates reported in this study are based entirely on dry sediment mass and are expressed in g cm–2 yr–1.
5.3. Constant Rate of Supply (CRS) Model
The CRS model assumes constant fallout of 210Pbunsup from the atmosphere into the lake (or water body), resulting in the constant rate of supply of 210Pbunsup to the sediments per unit time, irrespective of any changes in the sedimentation rate (Goldberg, 1963; Appleby & Oldfield, 1978; Robbins, 1978; Appleby & Oldfield, 1983). By accounting for dilution of 210Pb activity associated with variations in sediment accumulation rate, the CRS model accommodates changes in sediment accumulation through time (Appleby & Oldfield, 1978; Binford, 1990), this model considers the variability in the 210Pb depth profiles, whereby changes in the sediment accumulation rate (predominantly due to the changes in the surface runoff) have altered 210Pb from its initial concentration. Age (t) of sediment at any depth x (cm), is given by (Appleby, 2001)
(9)
where A(x) = cumulative 210Pbunsup inventory beneath sediment of depth x (DPM cm−2), A(0) = total inventory of the 210Pbunsup in the sediment column (DPM cm−2). A(x) and A(0) can be found through numerical integration using equations from Appleby (2001) and Miguel et al. (2003):
, and (10)
(11)
The varying sediment accumulation rate r (g cm−2 yr−1) at each stage of sediment accumulation (or sediment slice) is given by
(12)
The net 210Pbunsup flux (P) in DPM cm−2 yr−1 of 210Pbunsup to the sediments is given by (Binford et al., 1993)
(13)
Appleby & Oldfield (1983) pointed out that the CIC and CRS models are mathematically practicable for calculating 210Pb dates under varying sediment accumulation rates.
The uncertainties associated with the parameters and derived ages in these models arise from both analytical measurements and model assumptions. A detailed mathematical treatment of uncertainty propagation for each model is presented in Appendix A.
6. Analytical Precision and Uncertainty Treatment
Measurement uncertainties in 210Pb and 137Cs activities were derived primarily from counting statistics, with additional contributions associated with background subtraction, detector-efficiency calibration, sample geometry, and density-dependent corrections. These measurement uncertainties provide the analytical basis for assessing the precision of the radionuclide activity profiles used in the sediment chronology calculations.
Uncertainty in model-derived ages and sediment accumulation rates depends not only on the analytical uncertainty of the measured 210Pb activities but also on the assumptions and mathematical formulation of the individual dating models. In the CIC and CF-CS approaches, uncertainty is associated with the regression parameters used to determine the mean sedimentation or mass accumulation rate. CRS-derived quantities are additionally sensitive to uncertainties in the cumulative unsupported 210Pb inventory because the chronology is calculated from the fraction of total inventory remaining beneath a given sediment horizon.
A mathematical framework for propagation of measurement uncertainties through the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS calculations is provided in Appendix A. The framework identifies the principal sources of uncertainty and their propagation into model-derived quantities.
7. Results and Discussion
7.1. 210Pb Activity Profiles and Supported Activity
The core-specific supported 210Pb (210Pbsup) activities and other summary parameters for sediment cores WP-1, WP-2, WP-3, and WP-5 are summarized in Table 1, while the sediment chronologies derived using the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS models are presented in Tables 2-5. The model-derived ages and accumulation rates are not reported with individual confidence intervals. Therefore, comparisons among the three dating models are based primarily on their age-depth relationships, underlying model assumptions, and independent validation using the 137Cs fallout record, rather than on formal statistical comparisons of overlapping confidence intervals.
Table 1. Summary of 210Pb parameters and sediment accumulation characteristics for the four West Pine Pond sediment cores.
Core |
210Pbsup (dpm g–1) |
Surface activity C (0) (dpm g–1) |
210Pbunsup Inventory* (dpm cm–2) |
Focusing factor |
210Pbunsup Flux (dpm cm–2 yr–1) |
Sedimentation rate (cm yr–1) |
Mass accumulation rate (g cm–2 yr–1) |
WP-1 |
0.9 |
157.74 |
28.56 |
0.84 |
0.89 |
0.19 |
0.0108 |
WP-2 |
1.36 |
189.97 |
36.82 |
1.08 |
1.15 |
0.18 |
0.0138 |
WP-3 |
0.93 |
237.74 |
44.16 |
1.29 |
1.38 |
0.20 |
0.0177 |
WP-5 |
1.11 |
149.19 |
36.25 |
1.06 |
1.13 |
0.18 |
0.0106 |
— |
1.08 ± 0.21 |
183 ± 40.10 |
36.45 ± 6.37 |
— |
1.13 ± 0.20 |
0.19 ± 0.01 |
0.0132 ± 0.0033 |
*Expected atmospheric 210Pbunsup inventory value = 34.14 dpm cm−2 (Kada & Heit, 1992).
Table 2. Sediment chronologies for core WP-1 calculated using the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS models.
Sample |
Depth (cm) |
Section (g cm–2) |
CIC Interval (yr) |
CIC Date |
CIC Mid-point Calendar Year |
CF-CS Interval (yr) |
CF-CS Date |
CF-CS Mid-point Calendar Year |
CRS Interval (yr) |
CRS Date |
CRS Mid-point Calendar Year |
WP-1-1 |
1.27 |
0.03 |
6.6 |
1999-2005 |
2002 |
3.2 |
2002-2005 |
2003 |
6.7 |
1999-2005 |
2002 |
WP-1-2 |
2.54 |
0.08 |
6.6 |
1992-1998 |
1995 |
4.5 |
1998-2001 |
2000 |
8.1 |
1991-1998 |
1994 |
WP-1-3 |
3.81 |
0.14 |
6.6 |
1986-1991 |
1988 |
5.4 |
1992-1997 |
1995 |
4.8 |
1986-1990 |
1988 |
WP-1-4 |
5.08 |
0.20 |
6.6 |
1979-1985 |
1982 |
5.4 |
1987-1991 |
1989 |
4.5 |
1981-1985 |
1983 |
WP-1-5 |
6.35 |
0.26 |
6.6 |
1972-1978 |
1975 |
6.0 |
1981-1986 |
1983 |
4.5 |
1977-1980 |
1979 |
WP-1-6 |
8.89 |
0.38 |
13.2 |
1959-1971 |
1965 |
10.7 |
1970-1980 |
1975 |
8.8 |
1968-1976 |
1972 |
WP-1-7 |
11.43 |
0.51 |
13.2 |
1946-1958 |
1952 |
11.8 |
1958-1969 |
1964 |
10.6 |
1957-1967 |
1962 |
WP-1-8 |
13.97 |
0.65 |
13.2 |
1933-1945 |
1939 |
13.2 |
1945-1957 |
1951 |
18.3 |
1939-1956 |
1948 |
WP-1-9 |
16.51 |
0.79 |
13.2 |
1919-1932 |
1925 |
13.2 |
1932-1944 |
1938 |
24.1 |
1915-1938 |
1927 |
WP-1-10 |
19.05 |
0.93 |
13.2 |
1906-1918 |
1912 |
14.5 |
1918-1931 |
1924 |
17.7 |
1897-1914 |
1906 |
WP-1-11 |
21.59 |
1.12 |
13.2 |
1893-1905 |
1899 |
15.5 |
1902-1917 |
1909 |
22.7 |
1875-1896 |
1885 |
WP-1-12* |
24.13 |
1.29 |
13.2 |
1880-1892 |
1886 |
15.7 |
1886-1901 |
1894 |
18.8 |
1856-1874 |
1865 |
*Below this depth, total 210Pb activity approaches the supported 210Pb level, defining the practical 210Pb dating horizon.
Table 3. Sediment chronologies for core WP-2 calculated using the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS models.
Sample |
Depth (cm) |
Section (g cm–2) |
CIC Interval (yr) |
CIC Date |
CIC Mid-point Calendar Year |
CF-CS Interval (yr) |
CF-CS Date |
CF-CS Mid-point Calendar Year |
CRS Interval (yr) |
CRS Date |
CRS Mid-point Calendar Year |
WP-2-1 |
1.27 |
0.04 |
7.0 |
1998-2005 |
2001 |
2.7 |
2003-2005 |
2004 |
6.8 |
1999-2005 |
2002 |
WP-2-2 |
2.54 |
0.09 |
7.0 |
1991-1997 |
1994 |
3.5 |
1999-2002 |
2001 |
7.7 |
1991-1998 |
1994 |
WP-2-3 |
3.81 |
0.15 |
7.0 |
1984-1990 |
1987 |
4.2 |
1995-1998 |
1997 |
3.9 |
1987-1990 |
1989 |
WP-2-4 |
5.08 |
0.21 |
7.0 |
1977-1983 |
1980 |
4.4 |
1991-1994 |
1992 |
2.9 |
1984-1986 |
1985 |
WP-2-5 |
6.35 |
0.27 |
7.0 |
1970-1976 |
1973 |
4.7 |
1986-1990 |
1988 |
3.9 |
1980-1983 |
1982 |
WP-2-6 |
8.89 |
0.41 |
14.0 |
1956-1969 |
1963 |
9.5 |
1976-1985 |
1981 |
7.6 |
1973-1979 |
1976 |
WP-2-7 |
11.43 |
0.54 |
14.0 |
1942-1955 |
1949 |
9.5 |
1967-1975 |
1971 |
8.8 |
1964-1972 |
1968 |
WP-2-8 |
13.97 |
0.68 |
14.0 |
1928-1941 |
1935 |
10.4 |
1957-1966 |
1961 |
10.4 |
1953-1963 |
1958 |
WP-2-9 |
16.51 |
0.84 |
14.0 |
1914-1927 |
1921 |
11.3 |
1945-1956 |
1950 |
15.2 |
1938-1952 |
1945 |
WP-2-10 |
19.05 |
1.00 |
14.0 |
1900-1913 |
1907 |
11.3 |
1934-1944 |
1939 |
16.6 |
1922-1937 |
1929 |
WP-2-11 |
21.59 |
1.17 |
14.0 |
1886-1899 |
1893 |
11.8 |
1922-1933 |
1928 |
14.4 |
1907-1921 |
1914 |
WP-2-12* |
24.13 |
1.33 |
14.0 |
1872-1885 |
1879 |
11.7 |
1910-1921 |
1916 |
16.0 |
1891-1906 |
1899 |
*Below this depth, total 210Pb activity approaches the supported 210Pb level, defining the practical 210Pb dating horizon.
Table 4. Sediment chronologies for core WP-3 calculated using the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS models.
Sample |
Depth (cm) |
Section (g cm–2) |
CIC Interval (yr) |
CIC Date |
CIC Mid-point Calendar Year |
CF-CS Interval (yr) |
CF-CS Date |
CF-CS Mid-point Calendar Year |
CRS Interval (yr) |
CRS Date |
CRS Mid-point Calendar Year |
WP-3-1 |
1.27 |
0.02 |
6.4 |
1999-2005 |
2002 |
1.6 |
2004-2005 |
2004 |
3.5 |
2002-2005 |
2003 |
WP-3-2 |
2.54 |
0.05 |
6.4 |
1993-1998 |
1995 |
2.8 |
2001-2003 |
2002 |
7.3 |
1995-2001 |
1998 |
WP-3-3 |
3.81 |
0.10 |
6.4 |
1986-1992 |
1989 |
3.8 |
1997-2000 |
1999 |
9.9 |
1985-1994 |
1989 |
WP-3-4 |
5.08 |
0.15 |
6.4 |
1980-1985 |
1983 |
4.8 |
1992-1996 |
1994 |
3.3 |
1982-1984 |
1983 |
WP-3-5 |
6.35 |
0.22 |
6.4 |
1974-1979 |
1976 |
5.4 |
1987-1991 |
1989 |
3.7 |
1978-1981 |
1979 |
WP-3-6 |
8.89 |
0.34 |
12.8 |
1961-1973 |
1967 |
10.4 |
1977-1986 |
1981 |
7.7 |
1970-1977 |
1974 |
WP-3-7 |
11.43 |
0.47 |
12.8 |
1948-1960 |
1954 |
11.0 |
1966-1976 |
1971 |
9.6 |
1961-1969 |
1965 |
WP-3-8 |
13.97 |
0.61 |
12.8 |
1935-1947 |
1941 |
12.3 |
1953-1965 |
1959 |
9.9 |
1951-1960 |
1955 |
WP-3-9 |
16.51 |
0.76 |
12.8 |
1923-1934 |
1928 |
12.8 |
1940-1952 |
1946 |
15.0 |
1936-1950 |
1943 |
WP-3-10 |
19.05 |
0.92 |
12.8 |
1910-1922 |
1916 |
13.8 |
1927-1939 |
1933 |
17.9 |
1918-1935 |
1926 |
WP-3-11 |
21.59 |
1.10 |
12.8 |
1897-1909 |
1903 |
14.9 |
1912-1926 |
1919 |
24.5 |
1893-1917 |
1905 |
WP-3-12 |
24.13 |
1.26 |
12.8 |
1884-1896 |
1890 |
14.2 |
1898-1911 |
1904 |
29.0 |
1864-1892 |
1878 |
WP-3-13* |
26.67 |
1.43 |
12.8 |
1871-1883 |
1877 |
14.1 |
1883-1897 |
1890 |
20.6 |
1844-1863 |
1853 |
* Below this depth, total 210Pb activity approaches the supported 210Pb level, defining the practical 210Pb dating horizon.
Table 5. Sediment chronologies for core WP-5 calculated using the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS models.
Sample |
Depth (cm) |
Section (g cm–2) |
CIC
Interval (yr) |
CIC Date |
CIC Mid-point Calendar Year |
CF-CS Interval (yr) |
CF-CS Date |
CF-CS Mid-point Calendar Year |
CRS Interval (yr) |
CRS Date |
CRS Mid-point Calendar Year |
WP-5-1 |
1.27 |
0.03 |
7.1 |
1998-2005 |
2001 |
2.4 |
2003-2005 |
2004 |
3.6 |
2002-2005 |
2003 |
WP-5-2 |
2.54 |
0.06 |
7.1 |
1991-1997 |
1994 |
3.2 |
2000-2002 |
2001 |
8.0 |
1994-2001 |
1997 |
WP-5-3 |
3.81 |
0.10 |
7.1 |
1984-1990 |
1987 |
3.4 |
1997-1999 |
1998 |
7.5 |
1986-1993 |
1990 |
WP-5-4 |
5.08 |
0.15 |
7.1 |
1977-1983 |
1980 |
4.8 |
1992-1996 |
1994 |
4.6 |
1982-1985 |
1984 |
WP-5-5 |
6.35 |
0.21 |
7.1 |
1970-1976 |
1973 |
5.4 |
1986-1991 |
1989 |
3.7 |
1978-1981 |
1979 |
WP-5-6 |
8.89 |
0.33 |
14.2 |
1956-1969 |
1962 |
10.9 |
1975-1985 |
1980 |
9.4 |
1969-1977 |
1973 |
WP-5-7 |
11.43 |
0.46 |
14.2 |
1942-1955 |
1948 |
11.8 |
1964-1974 |
1969 |
11.4 |
1957-1968 |
1963 |
WP-5-8 |
13.97 |
0.60 |
14.2 |
1927-1941 |
1934 |
12.4 |
1951-1963 |
1957 |
16.9 |
1940-1956 |
1948 |
WP-5-9 |
16.51 |
0.74 |
14.2 |
1913-1926 |
1920 |
13.3 |
1938-1950 |
1944 |
24.3 |
1916-1939 |
1928 |
WP-5-10 |
19.05 |
0.91 |
14.2 |
1899-1912 |
1906 |
14.8 |
1923-1937 |
1930 |
6.0 |
1910-1915 |
1913 |
WP-5-11 |
21.59 |
1.08 |
14.2 |
1885-1898 |
1891 |
15.4 |
1908-1922 |
1915 |
12.2 |
1898-1909 |
1904 |
WP-5-12* |
24.13 |
1.25 |
14.2 |
1871-1884 |
1877 |
15.5 |
1892-1907 |
1899 |
15.7 |
1882-1897 |
1890 |
* Below this depth, total 210Pb activity approaches the supported 210Pb level, defining the practical 210Pb dating horizon.
Supported 210Pb, estimated from the asymptotic behavior of the deep sediment layers, ranges from 0.90 to 1.36 dpm g−1, showing relatively limited variation among the four cores.
The vertical distributions of total 210Pb (210Pbtot) and unsupported 210Pb (210Pbunsup) activities are shown in Figure 2. Total 210Pb activity decreases systematically with depth in all four cores, reflecting the progressive decline of 210Pbunsup. The 210Pbunsup activity profiles exhibit well-defined declines with depth, consistent with conditions appropriate for 210Pb geochronology. Minor deviations from ideal exponential behavior are observed in some sediment intervals, particularly in WP-3, and may reflect localized sediment focusing or short-term variability in sediment deposition.
7.2. 210Pb Inventories, Fluxes, and Sediment Focusing
The measured 210Pbunsup inventories ranged from 28.56 to 44.16 dpm cm−2. For comparison, Kada & Heit (1992) reported an expected atmospheric 210Pbunsup inventory of 34.14 dpm cm−2 for the Adirondack region. Relative to this reference inventory, the calculated focusing factors range from 0.84 for WP-1 to 1.29 for WP-3. Values greater than unity indicate enrichment relative to the reference atmospheric inventory and are consistent with sediment focusing, whereas values below unity indicate a lower inventory relative to the regional reference. The highest inventory and focusing factor occur in WP-3, consistent with enhanced sediment focusing at this core location.
Figure 2. 210Pbtot, 210Pbunsup, and 137Cs activities vs. depth (cm) profiles in four sediment cores from West Pine Pond in the Adirondack region of NY. The activity measured for each sediment interval is plotted at the midpoint depth of that interval. The fitted relationship in each panel represents the CIC model.
The corresponding 210Pbunsup fluxes range from 0.89 to 1.38 dpm cm−2 yr−1. Differences in focusing factors among the four cores indicate spatial variation in sediment deposition within the sampled portion of West Pine Pond, consistent with the established influence of lake morphology on sediment focusing (Blais & Kalff, 1995). Comparison of these fluxes and inventories with previously reported regional values is discussed further in Section 7.6.
7.3. Sediment Chronologies and Model-Derived Rates
The CIC model yields core-averaged linear sedimentation rates ranging from approximately 0.18 to 0.20 cm yr−1, with high coefficients of determination (R2 = 0.90 - 0.93). These results indicate relatively similar long-term sedimentation rates among the four sampled core locations.
The CF-CS model produces core-averaged mass accumulation rates ranging from 0.0106 to 0.0177 g cm−2 yr−1, indicating moderate variation among the four sampled core locations. Among the four cores, WP-3 has the highest core-average mass accumulation rate (0.0177 g cm−2 yr−1), whereas WP-5 has the lowest (0.0106 g cm−2 yr−1).
In contrast to the long-term core-averaged rates, the CRS-derived sediment accumulation profiles shown in Figure 3 exhibit greater depth-dependent variability, with accumulation rates ranging from approximately 0.006 to 0.030 g cm−2 yr−1. The CRS profiles show substantial variability among individual sediment intervals, with WP-5 exhibiting the highest localized accumulation rate at approximately 20 cm depth. This variability may reflect short-term variations in sediment deposition as well as the greater sensitivity of the CRS model to changes in unsupported 210Pb inventory.
Figure 3. CRS-derived sediment accumulation rates (g cm−2 yr−1) for the four West Pine Pond sediment cores.
The difference between the highest core-averaged accumulation rate in WP-3 and the highest localized CRS-derived accumulation rate in WP-5 illustrates the distinction between long-term average accumulation and depth-dependent variations in sediment deposition. The observed patterns indicate spatial and temporal variability in sediment accumulation among the four sampled core locations and may reflect localized sediment focusing or variations in sediment delivery.
The CF-CS mass-depth profiles shown in Figure 4 exhibit well-defined linear relationships between the logarithm of 210Pbunsup activity and cumulative dry mass depth, consistent with the assumptions of constant 210Pb flux and constant mass accumulation rate. Minor deviations from linearity in selected intervals suggest localized variations in sediment input or depositional conditions. Thus, the CF-CS model provides a useful representation of long-term, core-averaged mass accumulation, whereas the CRS model provides additional information on depth-dependent variability in sediment accumulation.
Figure 4. 210Pbtot, 210Pbunsup and 137Cs activities vs Cumulative mass depth (g cm−2) profiles in four sediment cores. The least-squares linear regression line in each panel is derived from CF-CS model.
7.4. Validation Using 137Cs
The age-depth relationships derived from the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS models, together with the 137Cs activity profiles, are shown in Figure 5. The 137Cs record provides an independent basis for evaluating the 210Pb-derived chronologies. A distinct 137Cs peak corresponding to the 1963 atmospheric nuclear-testing
Figure 5. Ages derived from the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS models, for four cores from West Pine Pond in the Adirondack region of New York State.
maximum is observed in cores WP-1, WP-2, and WP-3 at depths of approximately 6.35 - 8.89 cm. These depths align most closely with ages predicted by the CIC model, supporting the reliability of the derived chronologies.
In contrast to WP-1, WP-2, and WP-3, the 137Cs profile in WP-5 does not exhibit a distinct subsurface maximum that can be confidently assigned to the 1963 atmospheric-fallout maximum. Instead, the activity distribution is comparatively irregular, suggesting that the 137Cs fallout record may not have been preserved at this location in the same manner as in the other three cores. Localized sediment redistribution, mixing, sediment focusing, or post-depositional mobility of 137Cs may have contributed to this behavior; however, the available data do not permit a specific mechanism to be identified. Consequently, WP-5 was not used as an independent 137Cs chronological marker for evaluating the 210Pb dating models, and its chronology is interpreted with appropriate caution.
Overall, comparison of the three 210Pb dating models with the independent 137Cs fallout record indicates that the CIC model shows the closest correspondence with the identifiable 1963 137Cs fallout maximum in WP-1, WP-2, and WP-3.
7.5. Uncertainty and Model Sensitivity
The three 210Pb dating models differ in their sensitivity to measurement uncertainty and to variations in sediment accumulation. The CIC and CF-CS approaches provide mean sedimentation or mass accumulation rates based on the overall decline of 210Pbunsup activity with depth or cumulative mass depth, respectively. In contrast, the CRS model depends on cumulative 210Pbunsup inventory and is therefore more sensitive to variations in activity and inventory among successive sediment intervals.
The greater depth-dependent variability observed in the CRS-derived accumulation rates (Figure 3) should therefore not be interpreted solely as analytical uncertainty. It may reflect a combination of measurement uncertainty, cumulative inventory uncertainty, and actual temporal variability in sediment deposition. Consequently, differences among the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS results are interpreted in the context of their respective model assumptions and the independent 137Cs chronological information shown in Figure 5.
The mathematical framework used to describe propagation of measurement uncertainty through the three 210Pb dating models is provided in Appendix A. Independent chronological markers and careful evaluation of radionuclide profiles are important for assessing confidence in sediment chronologies (Crusius & Kenna, 2007). Because individual confidence intervals were not determined for each model-derived age reported in Tables 2-5, the present study does not use formal confidence-interval comparisons to distinguish among the model chronologies.
7.6. Regional Context and Environmental Implications
The 210Pbsup activities, 210Pbunsup inventories, and 210Pbunsup fluxes obtained for West Pine Pond are compared with previously published values for lakes in the Adirondack region and northeastern United States in Table 6. The 210Pbunsup fluxes measured in this study, ranging from 0.89 to 1.38 dpm cm−2 yr−1, fall within the ranges reported for comparable regional lakes. Similarly, the measured 210Pbunsup inventories of 28.56 - 44.16 dpm cm−2 and supported 210Pb activities of 0.90 - 1.36 dpm g−1 are within the ranges reported in these regional studies.
Table 6. Comparison of calculated 210Pbsup activities, 210Pbunsup inventories, and 210Pbunsup fluxes from our cores with values previously published for comparable lakes in the northeastern U.S.
Lake |
210Pbsup (dpm g–1) |
210Pbunsup
Inventory (dpm cm–2) |
210Pbunsup Flux (dpm cm–2 yr–1) |
Reference |
West Pine Pond,
Adirondack, NY |
0.90 - 1.36 |
28.56 - 44.16 |
0.89 - 1.38 |
This Study |
13 Lakes,
Adirondack, NY |
0.26 - 1.54 |
5.54 - 48.88 |
0.18 - 1.52 |
Binford et al. (1993) |
8 Lakes, Adirondack, NY |
— |
7.8 - 45.54 |
— |
Kada & Heit (1992) |
10 Lakes in Vermont and New Hampshire |
0.62 - 5.5 |
14.89 - 48.44 |
0.48 - 1.56 |
Kamman & Engstrom (2002) |
This agreement indicates that the 210Pb activities, inventories, and fluxes measured in West Pine Pond are consistent with those observed in comparable lakes in the Adirondack region and northeastern United States. At the same time, the variability among the individual West Pine Pond cores indicates differences in sediment accumulation within the sampled portion of the lake. The higher core-averaged mass accumulation rate and focusing factor at WP-3, together with the depth-dependent variability observed in the CRS profiles, indicate spatial and temporal differences in sediment accumulation among the sampled locations. These patterns are consistent with basin-scale processes such as sediment focusing, watershed inputs, and hydrodynamic transport.
7.7. Statistical Interpretation and Synthesis of Sedimentation Processes
The combined results from Tables 1-5 and Figures 2-5 demonstrate both similarities and differences in sediment accumulation among the four sampled core locations. Because successive depth intervals within an individual core represent measurements from the same sediment sequence and are therefore not independent replicates, formal inferential comparisons among cores were not performed. Instead, differences among the four cores are interpreted descriptively based on their radionuclide profiles, model-derived chronologies, depth-dependent accumulation patterns, and core-specific sedimentation characteristics.
The long-term CIC sedimentation rates are relatively uniform among the four cores, ranging from 0.18 to 0.20 cm yr−1, whereas CF-CS core-averaged mass accumulation rates range from 0.0106 to 0.0177 g cm−2 yr−1. WP-3 has the highest core-averaged mass accumulation rate and the highest 210Pbunsup inventory and focusing factor. In contrast, the CRS-derived profiles show substantially greater depth-dependent variability, ranging from approximately 0.006 to 0.030 g cm−2 yr−1, with WP-5 exhibiting the highest localized accumulation rate at approximately 20 cm depth. WP-1 shows comparatively lower and more uniform CRS-derived accumulation rates, while WP-2, WP-3, and WP-5 exhibit varying degrees of depth-dependent behavior.
These differences demonstrate spatial and temporal variability among the individual sediment records; however, because only one core was analyzed at each coring location, they are interpreted as descriptive differences among the sampled cores rather than statistically significant differences representative of the broader lake basin.
Comparison of the CIC, CF-CS, and CRS age-depth models with the independent 137Cs fallout record provides an additional basis for evaluating the reconstructed chronologies. The CIC model shows the closest overall correspondence with the identifiable 137Cs fallout maximum in WP-1, WP-2, and WP-3, whereas WP-5 does not contain a sufficiently distinct 137Cs maximum for independent chronological validation. Differences among the three 210Pb models reflect their different assumptions regarding sediment accumulation and unsupported 210Pb supply and are therefore interpreted in conjunction with the radionuclide profiles and associated analytical uncertainties.
8. Environmental Implications
The sediment chronologies developed for West Pine Pond preserve a valuable historical record of environmental change within the Adirondack region over approximately the past century. The deeper sediment intervals coincide with periods of intensive logging, watershed disturbance, and enhanced erosion that characterized portions of the Adirondacks during the late 19th and early 20th centuries, whereas the more recent sediments indicate comparatively stable depositional conditions. Elevated near-surface unsupported 210Pb activities and relatively consistent modern sedimentation rates suggest reduced sediment delivery in recent decades, likely associated with forest regrowth, watershed stabilization, and improved land-use management throughout the region.
The reconstructed sediment records also coincide with major changes in atmospheric deposition across the northeastern United States. Previous studies have documented substantial declines in sulfate and nitrate deposition in the Adirondacks since the implementation of air-quality regulations, particularly following the Clean Air Act and subsequent emission-control programs. These reductions have been linked to improvements in lake-water chemistry and partial ecological recovery in Adirondack aquatic systems. The preservation of a distinct 137Cs fallout horizon corresponding to the 1963 atmospheric nuclear testing maximum further confirms the integrity of the sediment record and indicates limited post-depositional mixing or disturbance within most cores.
Although long-term sedimentation patterns in West Pine Pond appear relatively stable, CRS-derived depth profiles revealed localized and depth-dependent variations in sediment accumulation among the four cores, consistent with sediment focusing, hydrological variability, episodic sediment inputs, or changes in watershed conditions.
Overall, the combined application of CIC, CF-CS, and CRS 210Pb dating models together with independent 137Cs validation provides a robust framework for reconstructing sedimentation dynamics and environmental change in lacustrine systems. The results provide a chronological framework for interpreting documented environmental recovery and landscape changes in the Adirondack region, while also highlighting the continuing influence of climatic and watershed-scale processes on sediment transport and deposition.
9. Conclusions
This study provides a comprehensive 210Pb and 137Cs based chronostratigraphic reconstruction of four sediment cores from West Pine Pond, offering one of the most detailed assessments of recent sedimentation processes in a remote Adirondack Lake. All three 21⁰Pb dating models CIC, CF-CS, and CRS were evaluated, but the CIC model consistently yielded chronologies most consistent with the independently observed 137Cs fallout peak from 1963 in three of the four cores. Long-term sedimentation rates were remarkably uniform across the lake, ranging from 0.18 to 0.20 cm yr–1, while mass accumulation rates (0.0106 - 0.0177 g cm–2 yr–1) demonstrated only moderate spatial variability. CRS-derived depth profiles revealed localized and depth-dependent variations in sediment accumulation among the four cores, consistent with sediment focusing, hydrological variability, episodic sediment inputs, or changes in watershed conditions. The agreement between measured 210Pb inventories and derived 210Pbunsup fluxes and values previously reported for regional lakes supports the reliability of the radiometric measurements and the reconstructed chronologies.
The clarity of the 137Cs peak in most cores and the absence of major sediment mixing further strengthen confidence in the depositional integrity of the cores and the preservation of environmental signals. Together, these chronologies capture approximately 150 years of environmental history, providing essential insights into sediment accumulation, atmospheric deposition, and watershed processes in the Adirondack Park.
Beyond methodological validation, the sediment records reflect broader environmental trends, including reductions in erosion and pollutant deposition associated with forest recovery, improved land-use practices, and national air-quality regulations. As such, this study not only contributes to regional geochronology but also establishes a valuable baseline for tracking future environmental change, climate-driven hydrological responses, and ecosystem recovery in sensitive high-elevation lake systems. Continued monitoring and application of multi-model radiometric dating will remain critical for understanding the long-term dynamics of Adirondack lakes and other comparable environments worldwide. This study demonstrates that multi-model 210Pb analysis, when combined with independent 137Cs validation, provides a robust and transferable framework for reconstructing sediment chronologies in heterogeneous lacustrine environments.
Acknowledgements
The authors are grateful to Karen Roy, Jed Dukett, Susan Capone, Paul Casson and James S. Webber for advice on lake selection and sediment coring. This work was partly funded by an NSF grant ATM 0503850.
Author Contributions
AK: Writing—review & editing, Writing—original draft, Visualization, Validation, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Data curation, Conceptualization, Project design, measurements. TA: Writing—review & editing, Data curation, Visualization, Validation, Methodology.
Appendix A
(Uncertainty Propagation Framework)
A.1 General propagation equation
Uncertainty propagation for 21⁰Pb-based chronologies follows standard error propagation principles, where the combined variance of a derived quantity is expressed as a function of the variances of the contributing variables.
For a function:
(A1)
the combined variance is:
(A2)
where
is the variance of variable
, and
represents the sensitivity coefficient. Correlations between variables are assumed negligible.
A.2 Unsupported 210Pb
Unsupported activity is defined as:
(A3)
with propagated uncertainty:
(A4)
(A5)
A.3 CIC Model
The CIC model is given by:
(A6)
Taking natural logarithms:
(A7)
The regression slope:
(A8)
(A9)
(A10)
CIC age:
(A11)
With uncertainty:
(A12)
A.4 CF-CS Model:
(A13)
where m is cumulative mass depth.
(A14)
regression slope be:
(A15)
The accumulation rate is:
(A16)
(A17)
(A18)
Mass depth:
(A19)
The variance of cumulative mass depth is:
(A20)
A.5 CRS Model uncertainty
(A21)
where,
(A22)
(A23)
Inventory uncertainty:
(A24)
(A25)
The uncertainty in age is:
(A26)
A.6 CRS Mass accumulation rate
The CRS mass accumulation rate is:
(A27)
With uncertainty:
(A28)
A.7 210Pb Flux:
(A29)
(A30)
A.8 Sediment focusing factor
The sediment focusing factor (FF) is:
(A31)
(A32)