1. Introduction and Background
The Haug and Tatum cosmology model is rooted in a series of discoveries that fit together nicely in a consistent theory. Tatum et al. [1] suggested in 2015 the following formula for the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) temperature:
(1)
where
is the reduced Planck constant,
is the Boltzmann constant,
is the Hubble radius, and
is the Planck length. Furthermore, one assumes an
cosmology. Haug and Wojnow [2] [3] subsequently proved that this formula could be derived from the Stefan-Boltzmann law. It is important to note here that observations have already confirmed that the CMB spectrum is that of a nearly perfect black body; see, for example, Muller et al. [4], who, based on COBE satellite observations, stated:
“Observations with the COBE satellite have demonstrated that the CMB corresponds to a nearly perfect black body characterized by a temperature
at
, which is measured with very high accuracy,
.”
Haug and Tatum [5] [6] have discussed and mathematically demonstrated how the CMB temperature can be derived by simply assuming that it is the geometric mean temperature of the maximum and minimum possible temperatures inthe Hubble sphere. Specifically,
where
is the minimum possible Hawking temperature anywhere in the Hubble sphere, and
is the maximum possible Hawking
temperature anywhere in the Hubble sphere. It is unlikely to be a coincidence that both the geometric mean temperature calculated in this way and the Stefan-Boltzmann law lead to exactly the same CMB temperature prediction. The Stefan-Boltzmann law is rooted in fundamental thermodynamics, and the geometric mean temperature is linked to Carnot theory. The CMB temperature Equation (1) can also be solved for
. Since the CMB temperature is the most precisely measured cosmic parameter, this leads to a much more precise prediction of
than any other known method; see, for example, Tatum et al. [7] for further details. In addition, Haug and Tatum [8] demonstrated that a thermodynamic Friedmann equation, which links the CMB temperature with the density of the universe, can also be derived from Equation (1). They have shown how this leads to a much more precise estimate of the density of the universe than other competing theories can provide. Again, the reason for this is the direct link Equation (1) allows for between the CMB temperature and other cosmic parameters.
Furthermore, Haug and Tatum [9]-[11] have also derived their cosmological redshift formula as:
(2)
if one wants to be consistent with the observation-based [12]-[14]
relation. The Haug-Tatum model is also, to our knowledge, the only model wherein the
relation is derived directly from model assumptions. Key model assumptions and derivations with respect to Equation (2) are clearly given in [9]. In the standard Λ-CDM model,
comes only from observations. In the Haug-Tatum model, by contrast, it comes from derivations that have subsequently been supported by observations. Equation (2), therefore, also means:
(3)
Most current researchers in cosmology work on the Λ-CDM model. Our model is within the class of
cosmologies. One of the best-known models in this class is the Melia et al. [15]-[18]
model. Melia [19] [20] has compared his model to the Λ-CDM model and demonstrated that it outperforms Λ-CDM when compared across many types of observational studies. However, the Melia model is likely not compatible with Equation (1) and is also not compatible with the Haug-Tatum redshift. The Haug-Tatum model gives far more precise estimates of cosmological parameters, such as
and
, than both the Λ-CDM model and the Melia model. We have compared our model to the Λ-CDM model and demonstrated that it performs better in a long series of observational studies. Naturally, extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, so another recent direct comparison of the Haug-Tatum model and the Λ-CDM model can also be found here [21]. That said, there are naturally outstanding research questions concerning all of these models. For example, one of the multiple outstanding questions is whether Lambda should be a constant over time or evolve over time. This paper clearly demonstrates that, within the Haug-Tatum model, Lambda must evolve over time. Furthermore, this appears to be consistent with the recent DESI observations.
2. Time-Dependent Lambda
While deriving their new thermodynamic type Friedmann equation mentioned above, Haug and Tatum pointed out that the Lambda term in their
cosmology must be a time-dependent parameter according to:
(4)
Interestingly, Einstein [22], in 1917, suggested a “cosmological constant”
. However, without a time-varying
, he actually introduced his Lambda in order to preserve a steady state universe. This was in keeping with his simplifying assumption, at the time, of a universe which neither contracted nor expanded. Lambda in the standard Λ-CDM model is still assumed to be a constant of the form
, thus constant throughout the lifetime of the universe. Unfortunately, the recent DESI observations appear to contradict this assumption.
Furthermore, based on the time-dependent Lambda in the Haug-Tatum cosmology model (HTC), we must naturally also have:
(5)
where
is the Hubble time of
cosmology.
Substituting the
expression from Equation (3) gives:1
(6)
and also:
(7)
which means we must have:
(8)
Haug and Tatum [8] have additionally linked their time-dependent Lambda to the current CMB temperature by:
(9)
where our composite constant
. Since the current CMB temperature has been measured much more precisely than the Hubble parameter (see [24]-[27]), this also means that they have constrained the current value of Lambda much more narrowly than the Λ-CDM model, as also shown in [8]. The entire purpose of our paper is to provide our Figure 1 and Table 1 so that the derivations made from our model can be compared to current and future observational data.
3. Predictions with Respect to Cosmological Redshift and
Cosmic Entropy
Figure 1 shows how the time-dependent Lambda varies with observed cosmological redshift in HTC. This result appears to be in line with DESI observations [28] [29], in that Lambda cannot be a constant. Haug and Tatum have already demonstrated that they get a perfect match to the full distance ladder of SNe Ia observations without the need for accelerated expansion of the universe. So, it appears to be likely that the universe is either expanding at a constant velocity according to
, or that it is in a steady state and yet somehow gives the same predictions as
as a consequence of following an extremal universe model; see [30].
Figure 1. HTC time-dependent Lambda as a function of cosmological redshift.
We can also express time-dependent Lambda as a function of cosmic entropy. Haug and Tatum [11] have previously derived:
(10)
Therefore, time-dependent Lambda can also be written as:
(11)
where the number of entropic states (defined according to the Bekenstein-Hawking black hole entropy formula [31] [32]) within HTC is given by:
(12)
following
, where
is the Planck length, as defined by Max Planck [33] [34]. See also Tatum and Haug [35], which discusses how a time-dependent entropy in
cosmology could be directly linked to a dynamic dark energy without necessarily requiring acceleration in the expansion of the universe. We have also demonstrated [11] that, within HTC
cosmology, one must have:
(13)
Therefore, we can also express time-dependent Lambda in HTC as:
(14)
where
.
4. Hubble Constant Predicted by the HTC Model Compared
to DESI Study Results
Haug and Tatum have used the full distance ladder of SNe Ia to extract
km/s/Mpc. In addition, Tatum et al. [7] have, using only the CMB temperature, found the same value for
. The reason for obtaining the same
value from SNe Ia redshift observations and the current CMB temperature is the exact mathematical relationships between the current CMB temperature,
, and cosmological redshift in the HTC model.
Table 1 shows our predicted
values in comparison to recent DESI-based
values. It should be noted that the DESI estimated values for
are different for different models. We see, for example, that the pure ΛCDM model gives
values slightly above those derived from the Haug-Tatum
model. The
CDM model, on the other hand, allows for dynamic dark energy which, by definition, changes over cosmic time. One can readily see that the Haug-Tatum values for
are, for most of the DESI-related values of
, well within the 95% confidence intervals. However, note that the Haug-Tatum model gives much more precise
values than the other models, due to its exact mathematical relationships between
, CMB and cosmological redshift
. The models with
also allow for the neutrino mass parameter to vary, assuming a
; see [29].
Table 1. This table shows
values from the Haug-Tatum model in comparison to the
values from DESI observations.
From: |
Hubble Parameter: |
Study |
CMB |
km/s/Mpc |
Planck Collobration [36] |
CMB |
km/s/Mpc |
Tatum et al [7] |
SNe Ia Pantheon+ |
km/s/Mpc |
Haug and Tatum [9] |
SNe Ia Union2 |
km/s/Mpc |
Haug and Tatum [37] |
ΛCDM |
|
See TABLE V. [29] |
DESI + BBN |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI + CMB |
km/s/Mpc |
|
ωCDM |
|
See TABLE V. [29] |
DESI + CMB |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI + CMB + Pantheon+ |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI + CMB + Union3 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI + CMB + DESY5 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
CDM |
|
|
DESI BAO + CMB + Pantheon+ |
km/s/Mpc |
See TABLE V. [29] |
DESI BAO + CMB + Union3 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI BAO + CMB + DESY5 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
ΛCDM +
: |
|
See TABLE VII. [29] |
DESI BAO + CMB [Camspec] |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI BAO + CMB [L-H] |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI BAO + CMB [Plik] |
km/s/Mpc |
|
ωCDM +
: |
|
|
DESI BAO + CMB |
km/s/Mpc |
See TABLE VII. [29] |
DESI BAO + CMB + Pantheon+ |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI BAO + CMB + Union3 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI BAO + CMB + DESY5 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
CDM +
|
|
|
DESI BAO + CMB |
km/s/Mpc |
See TABLE VII. [29] |
DESI BAO + CMB + Pantheon+ |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI BAO + CMB + Union3 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
DESI BAO + CMB + DESY5 |
km/s/Mpc |
|
The DESI comparison in Table 1 can be judged by the simple rule of overlap of confidence intervals. All papers referenced in this table explain how the estimates and their confidence intervals were calculated. Forthcoming papers of ours will delve further into statistical comparisons with various DESI data sets, including Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations data. The current paper does not perform a new fit to DESI data and instead compares HTC predictions with published parameter estimates from other analyses.
5. Conclusion
We have shown that we must have a time-dependent Lambda according to
in our HTC variant of
black hole cosmology. This is not only consistent with the observation-based relation
, but also consistent with a non-accelerating expansion of the universe following the
principle. We eagerly look forward to seeing further dynamic dark energy observational evidence along the lines shown in our Figure 1.
NOTES
1Wojnow [23] in a recent working paper suggests:
. However, this is incompatible with the observation-based CMB temperature relation
inside
cosmology, as demonstrated by Haug and Tatum. Instead, the relations presented in this paper are fully consistent with this observation-based CMB temperature versus redshift relation.