Contribution to Study and Mapping Landslide Hazard in the West Cameroon Region: Case of Double Landslide on Foréké Escarpment

Abstract

With nearly 1.3 billion people living in mountainous regions worldwide, exposure to landslide risks is very high. Cameroon, with its morphological, climatic and soil diversity, is the site of frequent landslides. With climate change, the frequency and intensity of these disasters have increased significantly, and they now represent a threat to the lives and livelihoods of people in the western highlands. Over the past five years, the West Cameroon region has experienced two major landslides. The study produces a regional landslide hazard map for West Cameroon using an AHP‐based GIS approach and Landsat land-use data. Four topographic factors extracted from SRTM DEMs are weighted with Saaty’s method to build the hazard layer. The resulting hazard map shows 10.7% of the region in a high-risk class. A field case study of the 5 November 2024 double landslide on the Foréké escarpment links creep on a 56˚ slope, clay-rich soils, and road construction. Basic mitigation ideas (rainfall monitoring, slope stabilization) are proposed.

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Ouafo, M.R., Ntouda, O., Mogo, A. and Leumbe, O. (2025) Contribution to Study and Mapping Landslide Hazard in the West Cameroon Region: Case of Double Landslide on Foréké Escarpment . Open Access Library Journal, 12, 1-25. doi: 10.4236/oalib.1114165.

1. Introduction

Landslide is a major disaster [1] [2] causing over 10,000 deaths worldwide every year [3]. They can be very violent, as in Honduras in 1973 (2,800 deaths), Nepal in 2015 (400 deaths) or India in 2024 (413 deaths) [4] [5]. Because of their unpredictability [6], speed and brutality [7], they represent a great danger for populations and infrastructures [8]. In 2024, more than 400 landslides were recorded worldwide, and this is the highest number ever recorded in a single year [4]. Their intensification and increasing impact on populations are attributed to human pressure on territories sensitive to climate change [9]. Landslides, particularly active in mountain areas [10]-[13], can occur suddenly or more slowly over long periods [14] [15]. In Cameroon, they occur frequently in the western highlands (1978 at Dschang and Fossong Wentcheng, 1986 at Melong, 1991 at Pinyin, 1992 at Santa, 1993 at Bafaka, 2000 at Nwa, 2001 and 2009 in Limbe, 2002 in Bana, 2003 in Magha’a in Bafou and Wabane, 2005 in Fongo-Tongo, 2007 in Abuh and Kékem, 2008 in Santchou and Fondenera, 2011 in Kékem and Koutaba, 2019 in Bafoussam...etc.) [16]. The most recent is a double landslide of November 05, 2024, on the Foréké escarpment (more than 20 dead), which buried intercity transport vehicles, trucks and excavators. Unlike landslides recorded generally during the rainy season in Cameroon [11] [13] [14] [17]-[19], the November 05, 2024 case occurred during the dry season. The combination of natural and anthropogenic constraints led to a landslide by creep. As the conditions that prevailed at the end of the first landslide persist after the second, further landslides can occur on the site. Mitigating the impact requires a comprehensive analysis of the phenomenon [20] and a good understanding of spatio-temporal patterns [21] [22]. However, the complex nature of mechanisms behind landslides makes it difficult to grasp the prerequisites [23]. In a bid to reduce natural hazards on its territory, Cameroon has been pursuing a natural hazard prevention policy for several years now. Among the means developed, the mapping of risk zones is a fundamental tool. In order to reduce natural hazards on its territory, Cameroon has been implementing a natural hazard prevention policy for several years now. Among the means developed, the mapping of risk zones is a fundamental tool. Landslide-hazard maps are an essential tool for assessing landslide risk and contributing to public safety worldwide [24]. Natural risk is the combination of natural hazard and vulnerability. Natural hazard assessment consists of determining the spatial probability of occurrence of the phenomenon [25]. However, quantifying the hazard is intrinsically difficult because natural environmental conditions are uncertain and complex, so previous landslides are essential for refining assessment and validating the results. Although the various methods benefit from an increase in calculation capacity, they remain based on the relationship between previous landslides and the environmental factors of the site studied [22]. In order to validate the model, we mapped the landslide hazard on the Foréké escarpment and extended it to the West Cameroon region to create a prediction map. This map was then compared with the landslide distribution of the later period. Finally, measures to mitigate this disaster in the West Highlands are proposed.

2. Description of the Study Area

The Western region of Cameroon covers an area of 13,892 km2. It lies between 4˚45' and 6˚10' north latitude and between 9˚50' and 11˚10' east longitude (Figure 1). Morphologically, it is made up of plateaus bordered by volcanic massifs, the highest of which (Mount Bambouto) reaches an altitude of 2740 m [17]. This massif is bordered to the south-west by the Mbo plain and the Nkam valley, and to the north-east by the Tikar plain and the Mbam valley. The Foréké escarpment forms the boundary with the Mbo plain. The equatorial climate (dry season from November to mid-March, rainy season from March to October) has a number of specific features depending on the geomorphology [26]. On the mountains and escarpments, the climate is very cool and permanently foggy, with very low temperatures (10˚C to 15˚C on average) and high rainfall (over 2500 mm per year) [27]. On the plateau, the climate is cool and humid, with an average monthly temperature of around 18˚C and average annual rainfall of 1690 mm [28]. On the

Figure 1. Location map of the study area. (Source: ArcGIS 10.8 (ESRI) software, from the topographic base sheets of Cameroon produced by the National Institute of Cartography)

plain, the average annual rainfall is 1750 mm and the average monthly temperature is 23.5˚C [29]. Phytogeographically, the region is composed of grassland at the summit [28], a shrub stratum and dense grass stratum on the plateau [30] and raffia trees in the valley [27]. The hydrographic network is dense, with falls and rapids cutting rivers at escarpments [31]. Geologically, rhyolites, trachytes and basalts rest on a granitic bedrock [17] [32] [33]. Andosols are found in the mountains, red ferric soils on the plateaus and ferruginous soils on the plains [11] [34] [35] [36].

3. Methods

The hazard map was produced using the Saaty method. Topographical features are derived from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital terrain model, based on data from the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). Using ArcGIS 10.3 software, layers (slope, profile of curvature, terrain ruggedness index and altitude above the channel) were produced. These layers were weighted according to Saaty’s task importance scale (Tables 1-8). The hazard maps were produced using a 12.5 m resolution DTM. Data pre-processing began with the representation of the hydrographic network on the DTM. The data were then processed successively.

For the generation of the layers, the following procedures have been followed in SagaGIS 7.2:

Slope: “Terrain Analysist”—“Morphometry”—“Slope”—“Aspect”—“Curvature”.

Profile of curvature: both are generated in the “Geoprocessing”, “Terrain Analyst”, and “Basic Terrain Elements”.

Terrain ruggedness index: “Terrain Analysist”—“Hydrology”—“Topographic Wetness index”.

Altitude above the channel: “Terrain Analyst”, “Preprocessing” and “Burn stream”.

Modelling was carried out with the software ArcGIS, using the “Raster Calculator” tool—“Map algebra”.

3.1. Weights Assignments

Table 1. Weight assignment.

Expression

Numeric value

Explanation

Equal importance

1

Both activities contribute equally to the objective

Moderate importance

3

Experience and judgment favor one activity over the other

High importance

5

Experience and judgment strongly factor one activity over the other

Very high importance

7

One activity is strongly favored and its dominance is demonstrated in practice

Extreme or absolute importance

9

Evidence favoring one activity over the other is of the highest possible order of affirmation

Intermediate degree of importance

2; 4; 6; 8

When a compromise between two expressions is required

Reciprocal importance

1/2; 1/3; 1/4; 1/5; …; 1/9

The reciprocal of the first 5 degrees

Table 2. Saaty weighted task importance scale.

Preference intensity

Associated value

Equal importance of both factors

1

One factor is moderately more important than the other

3

One factor is more important than the other

5

One factor is more important than the other

7

One factor has absolute importance over the other

9

Slightly less preference for the first factor than the second

1/3

Prefer the first factor less than the second

1/5

We much prefer the second factor to the first

1/7

The first factor is much less preferred than the second

1/9

Table 3. Binary comparison matrix.

Slope

Profile of curvature

Terrain ruggedness index

Altitude above the channel

Slope

1

2

3

4

Profile of curvature

1/2

1

3

4

Terrain ruggedness index

1/3

1/3

1

2

Altitude above the channel

1/4

1/4

1/2

1

Columns sum

2.0833

3.05833

7.5

11

The binary comparison matrix is a preferential intensity assignment (Table 2) of two parameters. This pair-by-pair comparison of layers is assigned an associated value showing the importance of the layer in relation to the other on the outcome of the phenomenon.

The elements of the judgment matrix are obtained by dividing the value of each cell (Table 3) by the sum of the values corresponding to the column of that cell.

To obtain the weights of the factors, the sum per line (Table 4) corresponding to each factor was divided by the total sum of the lines.

The consistency of judgments was assessed by multiplying the associated value of the binary comparison matrix (Table 3) column by the weight of the corresponding factor.

Consistency was calculated by dividing each sum of the rows in the judgement consistency score (Table 6) by the weight corresponding to the criterion.

Table 4. Result of judgment matrix.

Slope

Profile of curvature

Terrain ruggedness index

Altitude above the channel

Lines sum

Slope

0.4800

0.5581

0.4

0.3636

1.8017

Profile of curvature

0.2400

0.2791

0.4

0.3636

1.2827

Terrain ruggedness index

0.1600

0.0930

0.1333

0.1818

0.5681

Altitude above the channel

0.1200

0.0697

0.0666

0.0909

0.3472

Total lines sum

3.9997

Table 5. Results of factor weights.

Factor

Slope

Profile of curvature

Terrain ruggedness index

Altitude above the channel

Weight

0.4505

0.3207

0.1420

0.0868

Weight in %

45.05

32.07

14.20

8.68

Table 6. Results of the assessment consistency of judgments.

Slope

Profile of curvature

Terrain ruggedness index

Altitude above the channel

Lines sum

Slope

0.4505

0.6414

0.426

0.3472

1.8651

Profile of curvature

0.2252

0.3207

0.426

0.3472

1.3191

Terrain ruggedness index

0.1502

0.1069

0.1420

0.1736

0.5727

Altitude above the channel

0.1126

0.0802

0.071

0.0868

0.3506

Table 7. Consistence.

Factor

Slope

Profile of curvature

Terrain ruggedness index

Altitude above the channel

Consistency

4.1401

4.1132

4.0331

4.0391

Table 8. Random index.

N

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

IA

0

0

0.58

0.90

1.12

1.24

1.32

1.41

1.45

1.49

1.51

1.48

1.56

1.57

1.59

Consistency was calculated by dividing each sum of the rows in the judgement consistency score (Table 6) by the weight corresponding to the criterion.

We can then determine:

γ max = Consistency 6 =4.0814

IC= γ maxn n1 =0.0271

RC= IC IA =0.0301

With: γ max : max value for 4 criteria; n: number of factors; IC: consistency index; IA: random index linked to the number of factors; RC: consistency ratio.

The matrix is sufficiently coherent as RC < 0.1

3.2. Field Work and Laboratory Analysis

A soil pit was dug manually, a profile described and soil samples collected. The horizon’s thickness was measured with a tape, and the colour was determined using the Munsell soil colour chart. Samples are collected and stored in plastic bags previously labelled. Accessible past landslides were described, and geographical coordinates were recorded using Garmin 73 GPS navigation devices. Morphometric measurements were also taken using a double decameter and a clinometer. In the laboratory, granulometry was carried out using the Robinson pipette method after dispersion with sodium hexametaphosphate.

The analysis results are presented in Table 9.

Table 9. Physical characteristics of Foréké soils.

Depth

0 - 20 cm

30 - 40 cm

60 - 80 cm

90 - 135 cm

Sand

17.31

32.34

31.15

20.6

Silt

31.96

17.96

13.35

14.6

Clay

50.73

49.70

56.50

64.8

4. Results

4.1. Characterization of Foréké Soils

The profile made in the Foréké village shows from top to bottom:

0 - 20 cm: A dark-brown humus horizon (10YR4/3), clay-loam, friable, plastic, lumpy structure and dense root.

200 - 135 cm: A reddish-brown horizon (7.5YR5/6), clayey, porous, plastic, coarse polyhedral structure.

135 - 530 cm: Red alloterite (2.5R3/8), silty-clayey, porous, small weakly indurated rock fragments representing about 30% of the horizon.

530 - 750 cm: Silty isalterite with juxtaposition of yellowish (2.5Y5/3), reddish (5R3/6) and whitish-gray (10YR8/3) domains, presence of rock fragments.

750 to more than 1200 cm: Whitish-grey isalterite (10YR8/3), sandy-loamy, quartz grains up 40% of the horizon, many rock fragments.

4.2. Landslide Hazard Mapping along the Foréké Escarpment

4.2.1. Characterization of the Double Landslide on the Foréké Escarpment

The double landslide of November 05, 2024, is a major landslide that occurred at the “Nteh-Gwang” steep hill (56˚). The crater is subcircular, with a diameter of over 70 m and a depth of 40 m. Around 130,000 m3 of material was mobilized, and the toe is over 350 m (Figure 2 and Figure 3).

Figure 2. Characteristics of the first landslide.

Figure 3. Starting of the second landslide.

4.2.2. Landslide Hazard along the Dschang_Santchou Road

The slope inclination on the site of November 05, 2024, double landslide reaches 296% (Figure 4(a)), the profile of curvature reaches +0.03 (Figure 4(b)),

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

Figure 4. (a) Slope; (b) Profile of curvature; (c) Terrain ruggedness; (d) Terrain ruggedness.

the terrain ruggedness index reaches 25 (Figure 4(c)) and the altitude above the channel reaches +153 m (Figure 4(d)). The Ménoua River, the main collector in the study area, is located at 1031 m from the “Nteh-Gwang” hill. About 35% of the Dschang_Santchou road presents a high hazard (Figure 5).

Figure 5. Risk map along the Foréké escarpement. (Source: ArcGIS 10.8 (ESRI) software, from the topographic base sheets of Cameroon produced by the National Institute of Cartography)

4.3. Landslide Hazard Mapping in West Cameroon Region

In the West Cameroon region, the slope inclination varies from 0 to 692% with a maximum along the escarpments bordering the highlands (Figure 6(a)). The profile of curvature varies from −0.09 to +0.08, with the minimum value on the Bambouto volcanic massif (Figure 6(b)). The terrain ruggedness index varies from 0 to 64, with a maximum along the escarpments bordering the highlands (Figure 6(c)). The altitude above the channel varies from −275 to +891 m with a maximum along the escarpments bordering the highlands (Figure 6(d)). High-hazard zones represent 6.40% of the Western Region, medium-hazard zones 8.47% and low-hazard zones 25.14% (Figure 7). High-hazard zones are located in the highlands (between 1200 and 1800 m).

All control cases (Ngouache, Magha’a, Fongo-Tongo, Dschang, Fossong-Wentche, Santchou, Kekem) are located perfectly in high-hazard zones (Figure 8).

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

Figure 6. (a) Slope; (b) Profile of curvature; (c) Terrain ruggedness; (d) Terrain ruggedness. (Source: ArcGIS 10.8 (ESRI) software, from the topographic base sheets of Cameroon produced by the National Institute of Cartography).

Figure 7. Risk map along the Foréké escarpement. (Source: ArcGIS 10.8 (ESRI) software, from the topographic base sheets of Cameroon produced by the National Institute of Cartography).

Figure 8. Past landslides map in the West Cameroon region. (Source: ArcGIS 10.8 (ESRI) software, from the topographic base sheets of Cameroon produced by the National Institute of Cartography).

5. Discussion

5.1. Choice of Method

Hazard defines natural conditions that combine to create a danger [35]-[37]. The hazard map is produced using Saaty’s statistical spatial analysis model. In the literature, the selection of distribution center locations is based on multi-objective decision support metaheuristics (MMODM), multi-objective combinatorial optimization methods (MMOCO) and Multi-Criteria Decision support Methods (MCDM) [38]. MMODM methods optimize the situation after converting it into a single-objective problem, but they are very costly [39]. MMOCO methods solve discrete multicriteria problems for which the alternatives are not explicitly known [40]. The MCDM method evaluates alternatives and scenarios in order to select the most appropriate choice according to the objectives and results sought [41]. They fall into two categories, namely Multi-Objective Decision Support Methods (MODM) and Multi-Attribute Decision Support Methods (MADM). Unlike MADM, MODMs do not include quantitative criteria in the decision-making process [42]. However, for MADM, several approaches are not suitable for mapping natural hazards. For example, the Weight Sum Method (WSM) is recommended for one-dimensional problems, the Weighted Product Method (WPM) is dimensionless, and the TOPSIS technique (Technique for Order of Preference by Ideal Solution Similarity) is only suitable for decision-making for certain criteria [43]. ELECTRE multi-criteria methods take into account quantitative and qualitative criteria, the importance of criteria, and validate the solutions retained by simultaneous tests of agreement and disagreement, but they do not take into account interactions between criteria [44].

To overcome these limitations and meet the requirements of landslide hazard mapping in humid tropical mountain areas, we opted for Thomas Saaty’s hierarchical multicriteria analysis method. Based on the comparison of pairs of options and criteria, it offers the advantages of hierarchical structuring (classes—criteria—weights), priority structuring (sub-criteria—ranks), and logical consistency [45]. It therefore leads to a justified choice, and the decision is then said to be rational, systematic and correctly made [46]. In terms of combining variables and formalizing expert rules, this method is the most comprehensive [47]-[50]. It retains the flexibility of the geomorphological approach while being more objective [51] [52]. It is widely used because of its generalizability and reproducibility [25] [53]. Previous landslides served as the basis for validation of the hazard map for the West Cameroon region. This field validation means that the model can be considered reliable [54] [55]. An inventory of past events is a prerequisite for any hazard assessment, whatever the scale of analysis and approach adopted [56] [57]. This is the principle of cross-validation, which uses non-overlapping spatial subsets of the mapped landslide to assess the accuracy of the prediction.

5.2. Choice of Input Parameters

Availability of high-resolution DTMs offers landslide cartographers the possibility of accurately detecting landslide-prone areas [55] [58]. DEM enables precise visual analyses or automatic processing to facilitate certain geomorphological interpretations. In landslide studies, weightings can be transposed from one site to another if the geomorphological context is similar and if the input data are exactly the same in terms of resolution and variable classes [59]. Based on the natural factors predisposing to landslides on the Foréké escarpment, slope appears as the most important because it influences from 44% to 77% of landslides in humid tropical mountainous regions [60]. Soil loss increases exponentially with slope steepness [61]. Profile curvature is the second important factor, expressing the rate of change of the slope gradient and variations in flow velocity along the slope. A negative value signifies the surface is upwardly convex, while a positive value indicates it is upwardly concave, and a value of zero means the surface is linear [62]. On the Foréké escarpment, it varies between −0.03 and +0.03, characteristic of rugged relief [63]. According to [61], a convex slope tends to concentrate rainwater and runoff at its top, increasing the speed and volume of water and promoting the transport of materials, while a concave slope reduces material transport [63]. Terrain ruggedness index is the third factor. It measures the topographical complexity and increases as the terrain becomes more rugged, as observed on the study site. The altitude above the canal is the last factor. The higher altitude increases the force of gravity acting on the ground, increasing the risk of landslides.

5.3. The Double Landslide on Foréké Escarpment

The 15 km Santchou_Dschang road has a vertical drop of 737 m. The double landslide is the result of an imbalance created by the construction of a road on this very hilly site [64]-[68]. It has been demonstrated that, in the case of low mobilizable shear strength [69]-[72], several landslides can occur on the same site in clay soil [73] [74]. This finding is supported by the clay content, which varies between 69.35 and 82.69% in Foréké soils. On similar soils in the nearby locality of Kékem, [12] describe a very clayey material with high porosity (>29%), low cohesion (<0.5 bar) and a high angle of friction (15˚ - 22˚). The high clay content therefore significantly influenced the residual friction angle by decreasing the residual strength of the soils [75]-[77]. Creep movements have thus evolved into progressive landslides [74] [78]. This process is exacerbated by water infiltration, which accelerates the reduction in shear strength [79] due to the seasonal transition of the soil from a compact to a plastic state [80]. As a result, microcracks opened up in the clay material, altering cohesion [12] [64] and accelerating a landslide by creep. The impact of runoff is amplified by deforestation, which reduces rainwater infiltration [75]-[77] [81]. It should be noted that the conditions that prevailed at the end of the first landslide still prevail at the end of the second landslide, and further landslides are likely to occur on this hill (Figure 9).

5.3.1. Anthropogenic Constraints

The traffic on Dschang_Santchou is heavy, and the low speed of machinery impacts the amplitude of vibrations. These vibrations, caused in particular by trucks,

Figure 9. Schematic diagram of the process that led to the double landslide on the Foréké escarpment.

give rise to stress waves that propagate through the ground [82]. In addition, during construction of the P17 road, unsterilized cuttings embankments were built at mid-slope on very steep hillsides. [83] note that in such cases, due to slow and complex variations in interstitial overpressure, the most critical stability conditions may only appear in the long term. Indeed, the stiffening of the slope by the excavated material on its flank contributes significantly to increasing driving forces [84]. The second landslide, which occurred a few hours after the first, is a perfect illustration of anthropogenic action in triggering disasters [85] [86].

5.3.2. Natural Constraints

Landslides are very common in mountainous areas [37] [87] [88], on hills [12] [21] and along the high coasts [89]. The West Cameroon region is naturally predisposed to landslide risk due to its very rugged relief [27], the nature of its soils and its high rainfall [26]. The plains are linked to the plateau by escarpments [31] [33] such as Kékem and Foréké [12] [32], on which very clayey soils have developed [90] [91]. The CU triaxial shear performed by [12] on similar soils in the near locality of Kékem shows variations between 4 and 12 for apparent internal friction angle (φcu), 15 and 22 for effective internal friction angle (φ’cu), 0.15 and 0.50 bar for apparent cohesion (Ccu) and 0.10 and 0.38 bar for effective cohesion (C’cu). With low cohesion and a high angle of internal friction, the geotechnical characteristics are unfavorable. Similarly, in the Kekem locality, [12] shows that the soil is saturated with water (80%), taking the material beyond the Atterberg limits (Wp = 28% - 39% and Wi = 52% - 81%).

5.3.3. Mitigation of Landslide Risk in the West Cameroon Region

In the West Cameroon region, landslides generally occur in July, August and September [28]. For the landslide of August 26, 1978, at Santchou, out of a total of 389 mm of water recorded during the month of August 1978, 88 mm of water were recorded on August 25, 1978, and 71 mm on August 26, 1978 [17]. Similar observations were made during the July 20, 2003 disaster in the Bambouto massif, where for a monthly average of 280 mm of water in July 2003, 84 mm of water were recorded during the two days preceding the landslide [19]. More recently, in the town of Bafoussam, 250 mm of rain fell continuously during the two days preceding the landslide on October 28, 2019 [92]. Monitoring rainfall data will alert people to potential landslide risks, and closing the Dschang-Santchou road to traffic during critical periods would be a good mitigation measure. In addition, to prevent landslides along the Dschang-Santchou line, all embankments over 2 meters high with a slope greater than 40% must be stabilized, as recommended by [93]. Combating creep landslides requires a comprehensive approach combining prevention and ground stabilization measures. Regular monitoring helps to anticipate landslides and assess the danger. Retaining walls or the insertion of steel bars in the ground are recommended along road embankments. The installation of drain sub-drains is necessary to evacuate water from the ground. Revegetation of embankments with deep-rooted plants is recommended to stabilize the soil and reduce water erosion. In the West Cameroon highlands, it is essential to carry out geotechnical studies before building any structures.

6. Conclusion

The West Cameroon region is naturally predisposed to landslide risk due to its very rugged relief, nature of soils and high rainfall. High-hazard zones represent 6.40% of the region. The double creep landslide of November 5, 2024, on the Foréké escarpment resulted from a combination of anthropogenic and natural factors. The conditions that prevailed at the end of the second landslide persist, and further landslides are likely to occur at this site. With 35% of the Dschang_Santchou stretch of road in a very high-hazard zone, it is imperative to carry out geotechnical studies to identify the imbalance factors along this stretch of National Road 17. Combating creep landslides requires a comprehensive approach combining prevention and ground stabilization measures. In the meantime, analysis of rainfall data can help detect exceptional rainfall and alert the population to potential landslide risks.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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