<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JSS</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Open Journal of Social Sciences</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2327-5952</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/jss.2018.64011</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">JSS-83914</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Business&amp;Economics</subject><subject> Social Sciences&amp;Humanities</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Oil, Gas and Energy Business under One Belt One Road Strategic Context
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Md.</surname><given-names>Nazirul Islam Sarker</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Md.</surname><given-names>Altab Hossin</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yinxiao</surname><given-names>Hua</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Md.</surname><given-names>Kamruzzaman Sarkar</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nitin</surname><given-names>Kumar</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"><sup>5</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff5"><addr-line>Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff4"><addr-line>Department of Zoology, National University, Gazipur, Bangladesh</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff3"><addr-line>School of Automation Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Management Science and Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 
Chengdu, China</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>School of Public Administration, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China</addr-line></aff><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>18</day><month>04</month><year>2018</year></pub-date><volume>06</volume><issue>04</issue><fpage>119</fpage><lpage>134</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>18,</day>	<month>March</month>	<year>2018</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>20,</day>	<month>April</month>	<year>2018</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>23,</day>	<month>April</month>	<year>2018</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  
    One Belt One Road (OBOR) Initiative of China is a mega and historical project which facilitates international oil, gas and energy trade and connects people over the world. This article examines the oil, gas, and energy business status under OBOR. It also explores the risk associated with oil, gas and energy business under OBOR initiative of China. The article used secondary sources extensively. The article reveals that China is the top-level energy importing country and the strategy of OBOR is favorable for oil, gas and energy business for all partner countries of OBOR. It also explores the potential risk for oil, gas and energy business under OBOR like political risk, economic risk, investment environment, resource potential, environmental constraints and Chinese factors which can be minimized by using two risk free economic corridors viz. China-Pakistan Corridor (CPEC) and Myanmar-China oil pipeline. The article suggests that a strong initiative should be taken by the government to implement OBOR strategy for creating favorable investment opportunities in China especially for Middle Eastern countries like Saudi Arabia, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Pakistan. 
  
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>OBOR</kwd><kwd> One Belt One Road</kwd><kwd> Energy</kwd><kwd> Global Economy</kwd><kwd> International Trade</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>China is getting benefit from globalization and trade liberalization by making world largest manufacturing center [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref1">1</xref>] . But China faces a slowdown in the economy due to global and inter-regional trade [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref2">2</xref>] . Chinese President Xi Jinping proposed a historical initiative for connecting the world through “Silk Road Economic Belt” and “21st Century Maritime Silk Road”. Both of the Initiatives are known as One Belt One Road (OBOR). Recently it is called Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The major objective of this initiative is to maintain global trade, realizing development path. This initiative connects different countries and increases cooperation and mutual benefits and promoting global economic system through strengthening the relationship. It also attracts its partner countries, regions and global attention [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref3">3</xref>] . Already 65 nations are agreed to extend their cooperation under OBOR. One of the main items of this cooperation is energy. Energy is the key item for every country. China’s energy consumption and demand are increasing day by day. So, China’s core energy strategy is very favorable for foreign energy investment in China. OBOR increases this oil, gas and other energy investment opportunity to China and mutual benefits [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref4">4</xref>] . It also creates a new platform for overseas oil, regional stability, and energy security. So, it is a big opportunity for the partner countries of OBOR. The OBOR initiative already achieved its partnership from 5 countries of Central Asia, Mongolia from East Asia, 8 countries from South Asia, 10 ASEAN countries, 18 from West Asia and Northern Africa, 7 from Commonwealth of the Independent States and 16 from Middle Eastern Europe [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] . According to a statistic of EIA, 58.8% oil, 79.9% natural gas and 54.0% coal of the world’s total energy is under the hand of OBOR partner countries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref6">6</xref>] . So, energy cooperation among the partner countries helps to stable and ensure energy security and trading under OBOR partner countries. A continuous and stable energy supply claims energy investment from energy demanding countries. Global energy investment is passed more than $1.6 trillion by 2035 for mining, transportation, and refinement of fossil fuel energy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref7">7</xref>] . The emerging countries will get this facility up to two-third portion. Due to increasing demand, the investment of energy areas and regions will be increased and expanded from China to different parts of Asia, Latin America, and Africa. One of the major factors is the risk associated with overseas energy investment. The main energy exporting countries are from Middle East, Russia, and Central Asia. Energy trading becomes in high risks due to the singular economic system, political risk, and lack of financial technology [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] . Therefore, the energy business is one of the prime concerns of OBOR for stimulating the future energy business development (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>).</p><p>Now the Chinese authorities are very aware of energy business to overcome the weakness of foreign trade policies and transnational agreement [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref9">9</xref>] . Therefore, Chinese authority revived the old Silk Road by introducing New Economic Silk Belt which connects China to Europe through Central and Western Asia. On the other hand, the 21<sup>st</sup> Century Maritime Silk Road connects China and Southeast Asian Countries to Europe and Africa. These two initiatives are jointly known as One Belt One Road (OBOR). One of the primary objectives is to support paradigm shift to regional and foreign trade for improving networks of</p><p>logistics and transportation with infrastructure and strategy development through six economic corridors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref8">8</xref>] . Political and international trade agreement decision sometime changes the activity of logistics and transportation. Consequently, financial losses may occur in logistic distribution flow networks due to high risk the traders adept new spatial structure [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref10">10</xref>] . Therefore, international logistic network especially which is dealing energy trading should be restructured in the perspective of spatial-temporal interactions.</p><p>This article contributes to the existing literature by exploring risk free energy business and opening clear understanding about the energy business under OBOR partner countries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref11">11</xref>] . It also added to the literature by exploring possible risks of energy business under OBOR and initiatives of China for greater cooperation with others [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref12">12</xref>] . The second section describes methodology of the study. Third and fourth section explains review of related literature and energy supply chain respectively. The fifth and sixth sections depict possible risks and recommendations. The final sections conclude the article.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Methodology</title><sec id="s2_1"><title>2.1. Research Design</title><p>Energy business prospect, risk and challenges under OBOR is explored through an extensive review of the literature [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref13">13</xref>] . The research is descriptive in nature using some indicators of international energy business. It mainly focuses on oil, gas and energy business under OBOR strategic context and explain the possible challenges with some recommendations for energy security among partner countries of OBOR initiative.</p></sec><sec id="s2_2"><title>2.2. Sources of Data</title><p>The article uses secondary sources extensively related to energy business, challenges and opportunities of international energy trade, OBOR facilities for energy trade and future energy security at global level. The latest information has been included for a better recommendation for future energy business under OBOR. All the partner countries and economic corridor and logistic distribution have been considered on this study but it is also applicable for regional energy trade.</p></sec><sec id="s2_3"><title>2.3. Search Strategy</title><p>The study has been extensively searched some renowned databases like google scholar, a web of science, science direct, Springer link website using important keywords like “oil, gas, risk, challenges, energy trade, one belt one road, and China for getting desired data [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref14">14</xref>] . The data collection and analysis for this study has been done from November to December 2017. Literature reviews are a significant part of the development of a field [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref15">15</xref>] . They offer the opportunity to synthesize and reflect on previous research, and thus providing secure grounding for the advancement of knowledge [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref16">16</xref>] . By maintaining systematic procedure, this study has been analyzed finally 59 documents including books, journal articles and survey report on energy trade (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>).</p></sec><sec id="s2_4"><title>2.4. Data Analysis</title><p>Data has been analyzed from different perspectives of energy trading like rout of logistic distribution, OBOR strategy, economic corridors, possible risks and challenges, future opportunities, energy security and regional energy business.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Review of Related Work</title><p>Global supply chain is a major concept of global business. There is a competition between firms in terms of products, quality, and supply chain among the partner countries of OBOR due to progress of technology and globalization [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref17">17</xref>] . Modern and improved policies and holistic network design are able to tackle the risk and uncertainties related to logistic supply chain in global business operation [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref18">18</xref>] . Decision making is important for global trade in terms of warehousing, location, inventory management, management of distribution and transportation, proper coordination and contracts among traders [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref19">19</xref>] . Global energy trading is improving due to the improvement of information technology but physical flows of the product through logistic companies need to be smooth [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref20">20</xref>] . However, internal and domestic business can easily handle than global trade because of bearing some risks and uncertainties. Global energy trade is affected by currency exchange rate, economic and geographical constraints and political instability, taxation, entry-exit regulation, transfer prices, insecurity of network and terrorism [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref21">21</xref>] . However, economies of scale are another major factor of firm’s decision making in terms of location and distribution of product [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref22">22</xref>] . There are some other factors of global energy trade which include buyer, seller, policy maker and service providers. These factors should be considered for global</p><p>energy trade. The OBOR initiative gives a big platform for the global energy business by minimizing risks and uncertainties [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref23">23</xref>] .</p><p>Zheng [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref24">24</xref>] analyzed the uncertainties on investment and prices of natural gas fuel for a competitive market and conclude that energy business has a great potential in the global market. Liedtke [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref25">25</xref>] also mentioned that the oil investment decision of China is favorable for OBOR partner countries. Jianjun et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref26">26</xref>] determined China’s subsidy on the uncertainty of coal business and conclude that it is favorable for the energy business. Some other researchers also analyzed the energy investment decision in terms of carbon emission and clean renewable energy development mechanism. political, social and financial risks are the major risks in overseas investment [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref12">12</xref>] . Aloui et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref27">27</xref>] used some indicators for these risks. The country-based risk is measured by Tang [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref12">12</xref>] through developing environmental risk awareness model and mentioned three environmental risks viz. industrial environmental risks, macro-environmental risks, and corporate-micro-environmental risks. But Kang, Ratti, &amp; Vespignani [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref28">28</xref>] considered political, operational, economic and social aspects for making comprehensive risk index. Liedtke [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref25">25</xref>] measured the risk of crude oil exporting countries by decomposition hybrid approach and conclude that a smooth initiative is necessary for global crude oil business. The summary of the literature review is as follows (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>).</p><p>The extensive literature review shows that most of the research is done only investment issues related to operational risk and uncertainty. Only a few studies</p><table-wrap-group id="1"><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref></label><caption><title> Major research on low carbon economy</title></caption><table-wrap id="1_1"><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Researcher &amp; duration</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Summary of finding</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Journal or source</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Wang et al., 2013 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref29">29</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Gas production of China will only be 164.6 bcm in 2020 which is lower than forecast demand.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Energy Policy</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Sinogasenergy, 2016 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref30">30</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The energy business is inherently subject to business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties and contingencies.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Sinogas energy</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Wu, 2008 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref31">31</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >“Going out” has become part of the overall investment strategy for every state oil company in China.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Oil and Gas Energy Law</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >China Energy Group, 2014 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref32">32</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >China consumed for 20% of global energy. Energy grew 51% percent as fast as GDP.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Cunningham, 2015 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref2">2</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Chinese outward foreign direct investment (ODI) ranked fifth in the world in 2014 and accounted for 5.7 percent of the global total, just ahead of Russia.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Global Economic Governance Initiative Working Paper</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Edwards, Ishaq, &amp; Johnsen, 2011 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref33">33</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Technology is the most important force to increase the supply of more challenging oil and gas and mitigate the environmental impact of energy production and consumption.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >IBM Global Business Services, Executive Report</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Wang, 2016 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref11">11</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >China now has reserve/production ratios of 11.9 and 30.4 for crude oil and natural gas.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The Oil &amp; Gas Conference, Denver, Colorado</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Dent, 2015 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref34">34</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >China faces serious energy security challenges, as burgeoning industrial-based development and rising material demands of business and society.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Asia Pacific Business Review</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Thomson &amp; Boey, 2015 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref35">35</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The role of oil and gas in China’s energy strategy are set to remain very significant over the next 20 years.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Asia Pacific Business Review</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Wang, Zhu, &amp; Wang, 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref36">36</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Shocks of oil supply havesignificant negative impacts on China’s export duration, while aggregate demand shocks have a significantly positive impact on China’s export.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Energy</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Aloui et al., 2016 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref27">27</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Higher uncertainty increases crude-oil returns only during certain periods of time.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Energy Economics</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Shao et al., 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref10">10</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Crude oil import of China is associated with exporting country’s supply, demand, and price and its bilateral trade relationships.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Energy Policy</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Sun et al., 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref19">19</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The energy exporting countries of OBOR are trying to reduce oil and gas export dependence and to extend their industrial chain to promote economic growth.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >IAEE Singapore 2017</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Kang, Perez de Gracia, &amp; Ratti, 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref37">37</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Demand-side shock has a positive effect on the return of oil and gas companies on average, whereas shocks to policy uncertainty have a negative effect on the return.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Journal of International Money and Finance</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Zhang et al. 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref38">38</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Prices of natural gas increases lead to an increase in the consumer price index (CPI) and lead to reductions in GDP.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Journal of Cleaner Production</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Zhang et al., 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref39">39</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The seasonal peak-shaving issues are increasingly prominent with the rapid development of natural gas industry in China.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Natural Gas Industry B</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Jianjun et al., 2016 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref26">26</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The global oil prices have a significant impact on China’s oil and gas industry system and the national energy security.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Natural Gas Industry B</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="1_2"><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Zheng, 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref24">24</xref>]</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Oil security is the major concern of China’s energy policy due to the no effective substitute oil and the heavy reliance on internationally imported crude oil.</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >American Journal of Industrial and Business Management</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Liu &amp; Ma, 2016 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref40">40</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The low oil price has resulted in business performance decline of oil and gas companies.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Natural Gas Industry B</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Li, Cheng, &amp; Yang, 2015 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref41">41</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The oil industry is mainly influenced by domestic demand shock, while plays the dominant factor of the returns of oil exploitation and oil sales industries.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Energy Procedia</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Wu, 2014 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref9">9</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >China is now a net importer of oil, natural gas, and coal.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Energy Policy</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Jiang et al. 2016 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref42">42</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The low-cost strategy will be indispensable to oil and gas business.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Natural Gas Industry B</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Yang et al., 2016 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref4">4</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >China is the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides and particular matter.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Environmental Development</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Yang, Tong, &amp; Ou, 2014 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref43">43</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >If China’s energy consuming sectors adopted appropriate energy-saving technologies, total energy-savings would be 200 million, 450 million, 650 million and 800 million tons of standard coal in 2015, 2020, 2025 and 2030, respectively.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Open Journal of Energy Efficiency</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Pan et al., 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref21">21</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Over-capacity in China’s refining industry is at the severest level. The measurement reveals the driven-force of over-capacity from supply chain perspective and demonstrates a quantitative method to figure out the proper capacity of energy supply industry.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Applied Energy</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Burger &amp; Luke, 2017 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref44">44</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Continued cost declines, technological innovation, and changing policy and regulatory landscapes mean the business models of tomorrow will likely look very different than the business models of today.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Energy Policy</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Tang et al., 2018 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref12">12</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >The changes in tax policies have become the important factors of risk in oil and gas investment.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Duan et al., 2018 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>]</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Overseas energy investment as an effective way of securing energy supply is being favored by the world’s leading energy-consuming countries.</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Journal of Cleaner Production</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap></table-wrap-group><p>have been done on the prospect of energy business under OBOR strategic context. This peace of study will fill up the gap of the knowledge of literature by exploring the status, potential opportunities and possible challenges of energy business under OBOR initiative.</p></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Chinese Oil, Gas and Energy Supply Chain in OBOR Context</title><p>The demand for energy in China is increasing rapidly due to its fastest economic development and industrialization. The major part of China’s energy security plan is to access to sufficient oil supplies which are also a part of China’s national security [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref24">24</xref>] . More than 11 million barrels per day oil is the requirement for consumption in China which leads China to become atop most oil importer in 2014 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref6">6</xref>] . The oil import becomes double at 57% in 2014 from 30% in 2000 which creates a major challenge for the Chinese government in the aspect of oil security. The main three challenges of oil importing countries are facility dependence, source dependence and transit dependence [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref45">45</xref>] . Now China imports oil from more than 15 countries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref46">46</xref>] of which Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia, Angola, Iraq, Oman, and Pakistan are the main suppliers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref6">6</xref>] . The recent trend of the demand for various energy products of China is shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>.</p><p>The transportation network for oil import is an area to maintain security since the exporting countries are fixed. Usually, oil tanker and pipelines are used to import oil from oil exporting countries to China (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>). So, the way is used for importing about 83% oil in China of which strait of Malacca is used for transportation rout for 80% oil since it is a geopolitically dispute zone [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref24">24</xref>] .</p><p>A single rout is necessary for China to import oil, and other energy items and minimize the risk and challenges. According to Shaikh et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref47">47</xref>] , one of the major strategies for minimizing risk is route diversification. It is a great opportunity that OBOR initiative provides this diversification through various corridors like China-Pakistan Corridor (CPEC) and Myanmar-China oil pipeline. The rout of Malacca can easily avoid by using these two routes. The OBOR logistic network facilitates to use rout diversification for administering oil freight flow and minimizing risks and challenges (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref>).</p><p>OBOR initiative helps china for diversifying the routes of transportation from Russian and Iranian oil and gas through linking with pipeline networks from Russia and Central Asia. It has been strengthening to Gwadar coast of Pakistan and coastal Myanmar to Yunnan, China through pipeline connection which can reduce the vulnerability of energy supply and promote energy security. The proposed economic corridor will reduce cost and time for energy transportation which will promote business.</p></sec><sec id="s5"><title>5. Risk Associated with Oil, Gas and Energy Business</title><p>There are some challenges and risk also associated with oil, gas and other energy business in the perspective of global tradeas international trade always bears</p><table-wrap id="table2" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref></label><caption><title> Demand for various energy products of China (thousand barrels per day)</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  >Products</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="3"  >Demand</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Annual change (kb/d)</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Annual change (%)</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >2015</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2016</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2017</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2016</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2017</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2016</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2017</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >LPG &amp; Ethane</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1114</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1273</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1353</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >159</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >80</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >14.3</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6.3</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Naphtha</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >994</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1063</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1088</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >69</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6.9</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.4</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Motor Gasoline</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2526</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2596</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2728</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >71</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >132</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.8</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5.1</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Jet Fuel &amp; Kerosene</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >620</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >652</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >686</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >32</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5.2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5.1</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Gas/Diesel oil</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3388</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3305</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3290</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−83</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−15</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−2.5</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.4</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Residual fuel oil</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >317</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >191</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >140</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−125</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−51</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−39.6</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−26.9</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Other products</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2478</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2532</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2574</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >54</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >42</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.7</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Total products</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >11436</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >11613</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >11859</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >177</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >246</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.5</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.1</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref47">47</xref>] .</p><p>some risks and challenges in import and export. This study finds out six dimensions of risks viz. political risk, economic risk, investment risk, resource potential, environmental risk and Chinese factor. The six dimensions of risks focused some indicators of risk for better evaluation (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref>).</p><sec id="s5_1"><title>5.1. Political Risk</title><p>Political stability is essential for international trade. Political instability invites strike, procession, blockade, and other damaging activities which are very harmful to running as mooth business and bears great risks [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] . A safe investment requires low political risk and political stability for international trade. The stability of government has a great effect on foreign company’s management and investment [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref45">45</xref>] . The unstable political condition has a bad effect on the willingness of the foreign company for investment. This study identified some major political risks like political instability, corruption, extortion, the conflict between domestic political parties, clash with other external countries, non-accountability</p><table-wrap id="table3" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref></label><caption><title> China’s overseas energy investment risk evaluation indicator system</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Dimension</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Indicators</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Political risk</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Government stability Internal conflict External conflict Corruption Law and order Democratic accountability</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Economic risk</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >GDP per capita Real GDP growth Annual inflation rate Budget balance as a percentage of GDP Foreign debt as a percentage of GDP Exchange rate stability Starting</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Investment risk</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Starting a business Dealing with construction permits Getting electricity Paying taxes Enforcing contracts Resolving insolvency</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Resource potential risk</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Total oil production Crude oil proved reserves Dry natural gas production Proved reserves of natural gas Crude oil distillation capacity Total exports of refined petroleum products Carbon</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Environmental risk</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Carbon dioxide emissions Nitrous oxide emissions Energy intensity Carbon dioxide intensity PM2.5 Forest area (% of land area)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Chinese factor risk</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Years of China’s diplomatic relations Outward FDI stock Value of contracted projects Persons abroad of contracted projects and labor services Value of total imports from China Value of total exports to China</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>Source: Duan et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] .</p><p>of the politicians and poor law and order situation [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref48">48</xref>] . OBOR facilitates an opportunity for partner countries to reduce the political instability through mutual discussion [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref37">37</xref>] .</p></sec><sec id="s5_2"><title>5.2. Investment Risk</title><p>The operational environment of an investor country should be good for doing international trade. A foreign company always expects a favorable investment environment for running the business smoothly. If there is any possibility of investment risk to the investment country, the foreign company will not invest for their business [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref25">25</xref>] . This study identified some investment risks like investment permit from government agencies, tax and tariffs, construction and electricity permits, logistic support and contract enforcement [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref40">40</xref>] . OBOR minimizes investment risk through mutual discussion facility among various partners for minimizing investment risk [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] . But still, need some clarification from OBOR authority for minimizing future investment risk.</p></sec><sec id="s5_3"><title>5.3. Economic Risk</title><p>An investor country should have a strong economic base for running international trade smoothly. A good economic base is a guarantee of return the profit quickly as well as security for a company. So economic risk should be minimized through proper implementation of OBOR strategy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref49">49</xref>] . This study identified some economic risks like poor GDP growth rate, poor GDP per capita, excessive inflation, deficit budget, fluctuation of the exchange rate and foreign debt [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref40">40</xref>] . OBOR initiative minimizes the economic risks through establishing Asian Investment Bank Ltd (AIBL) and facilitating mutual cooperation among partner countries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref8">8</xref>] .</p></sec><sec id="s5_4"><title>5.4. Resource Potential Risk</title><p>The feasibility of an investor country can be easily assessed by measuring their resource potential. The countries which possess more oil, gas, and energy resources have a great resource potential for getting foreign investment [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref50">50</xref>] . So, resource potential is an indicator to get foreign investment. But still, there are some risks associated with resource potentials like the low capacity of oil production, poor reserve capacity of crude oil, low capacity of production and reserve of natural gas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] .</p></sec><sec id="s5_5"><title>5.5. Environmental Risk</title><p>Environmental risk is a prior concern of every nation. Carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) emission, greenhouse effect and global warming are the major risk for human civilization. International trade is always conscious about environmental issues. There is a provision for all good investors i.e. the compliance of environmental issues by the business entity [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] . So, international trade requires full compliance of environmental issues from their counterparts. OBOR has a provision regarding environmental issues. Tax and tariff system and macro policy of a country may be influenced by the environmental risks which affect the international oil, gas and energy business and the investment decision of a foreign company [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref24">24</xref>] . This study has identified some environmental risks like high CO<sub>2</sub> emission, high Nitrous Oxide (NO<sub>2</sub>) emissions, the intensity of CO<sub>2</sub> and energy, PM25 index and insufficient forest area [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref37">37</xref>] .</p></sec><sec id="s5_6"><title>5.6. Chinese Factor Risk</title><p>According to Duan et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref5">5</xref>] , Chinese factor is a major concern for doing business with Chinese companies. The business associated risks are not always same in every country. It is depending on the political ideology, diplomatic attitude, and creditworthiness of the companies of buyer and seller country [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref51">51</xref>] . OBOR initiative provides an opportunity to minimize the Chinese factors for making a better business environment with other partner countries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref52">52</xref>] . Actually, OBOR strategy acts as a buffer between the Chinese investor to others oil, gas, and energy exporting countries and vice-versa [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref53">53</xref>] . This study identified some Chinese factors as diplomatic relationship duration, the total value of export and import, outward foreign direct investment, value and labor of project.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s6"><title>6. Recommendations</title><p>1) The study finds out two comparatively risk free economic corridors like China-Pakistan economic corridor and Myanmar-China Pipeline which will be more profitable to invest in oil pipeline setting. It is more beneficial for China and other countries for the oil business. It minimizes risk in oil transportation, distribution, and trading.</p><p>2) Geographical and political challenges should be minimized by are gular discussion with partner countries of OBOR for energy security.</p><p>3) High altitude should be avoided for making future pipeline within OBOR partner countries because it bears vulnerability and risk in energy transportation. The elevation of CPEC transportation network is 15,000 feet which are over 6000 feet above the global highest pipeline. Due to a geopolitical dispute between India and Pakistan, CPEC network is vulnerable to energy business [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.83914-ref4">4</xref>] . Vulnerability should be minimized by mutual discussion.</p><p>4) Iran to Kazakhstan and Iran to China is another potential route for oil and other energy transportation. The policy makers of China and other countries should be considered this rout for the future energy business.</p><p>5) Optimum energy should be adopted by the authorities of the partner countries for reducing global risk. The authority should focus on the opportunity and sustainability of energy business instead of passive risk aversion.</p><p>6) Information channel should be established to provide update information to buyer and seller company for minimizing risk through prior risk warning. Information channel can minimize the risk and optimize the energy business under OBOR strategic context.</p><p>7) All the potential risk can be minimized by strengthening current rules, regulations, legislation and policy related to global energy business. Business-friendly policy legislation can easily minimize risk and maximize global energy business under OBOR. It can be done through bilateral discussion considering the investment protection mechanism.</p><p>8) Insurance system for foreign investment should be launched through bilateral, multilateral, and regional agreement for smooth running of energy business and minimizing risk associated with energy business.</p></sec><sec id="s7"><title>7. Conclusion</title><p>This study analyzes the existing energy business conditions among OBOR partner countries and reveals that OBOR strategic context is more favorable for all partner countries in terms of minimizing risk, regular demand and supply, infrastructure, mutual cooperation and future relationship. This study uses secondary sources extensively and develops a conceptual framework for cross-border energy business under OBOR strategic context. It has also identified six major risks with some indicators for energy business within OBOR partner countries. It suggests that a strong policy measure, business-friendly corridor, infrastructure development, favorable flexible rules and regulations, global risk prevention team comprising the foreign ministries of partner countries and foreign investment insurance system should be introduced in OBOR strategy for smooth running the energy business. This study also suggests that further study is necessary to determine the impact and energy security of OBOR initiative on energy business.</p></sec><sec id="s8"><title>Cite this paper</title><p>Sarker, Md.N.I., Hossin, Md.A., Hua, Y.X., Sarkar, Md.K. and Kumar, N. (2018) Oil, Gas and Energy Business under One Belt One Road Strategic Context. 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