<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JSEA</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Journal of Software Engineering and Applications</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1945-3116</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/jsea.2017.107034</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">JSEA-77152</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Computer Science&amp;Communications</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  State Estimation for Fuzzy Sound Environment System with Finite Amplitude Fluctuation
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Akira</surname><given-names>Ikuta</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hisako</surname><given-names>Orimoto</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gerard</surname><given-names>Gallagher</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Department of Management Information Systems, Prefectural University of Hiroshima, Hiroshima, Japan</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>ikuta@pu-hiroshima.ac.jp(AI)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>23</day><month>06</month><year>2017</year></pub-date><volume>10</volume><issue>07</issue><fpage>625</fpage><lpage>638</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>April</day>	<month>19,</month>	<year>2017</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>Accepted:</day>	<month>June</month>	<year>20,</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>June</day>	<month>23,</month>	<year>2017</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  Internal physical mechanism of actual sound environment system is often difficult to recognize analytically, and it contains unknown structural characteristics. Furthermore, the observation data often contain fuzziness due to several causes and exhibit level saturation owing to the existence of a finite dynamic range. Therefore, it is necessary to propose a new state estimation method by considering fuzziness and finite amplitude fluctuation of observation data. In this paper, a method for estimating the specific signal for sound environment system with unknown structure is proposed in an appropriate form for the finite level range of the measured fuzzy observation data by introducing an expansion expression of probability distribution with Bata distribution in the first term and new type of membership function. The effectiveness of the proposed theoretical method is confirmed by applying it to the actual problem in the sound environment.
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Fuzzy Observation</kwd><kwd> Sound Environment System</kwd><kwd> Finite Fluctuation Range</kwd><kwd> State Estimation</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>The internal physical mechanism of actual sound environment system having a complicated relation to various factors is often difficult to recognize analytically, and it contains unknown structure. Furthermore, the stochastic process observed in the actual phenomenon exhibits complex fluctuation pattern and there are potentially various nonlinear correlations in addition to the linear correlation between input and output time series [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref1">1</xref>] .</p><p>Furthermore, it is necessary to pay our attention on the fact that the observation data in the sound environment system often contain fuzziness due to several causes, for example, the permissible error of the accuracy in measurements, the quantized error in the digitization of observation data, and the existence of confidence limitation in measuring instruments. In our previous studies, state estimation methods for sound environment system based on fuzzy observation have been proposed by considering the standard Gaussian type membership function [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref2">2</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref3">3</xref>] . On the other hand, owing to a finite range of the amplitude fluctuation and/or a definite dynamic range of measurement instrument, only the information defined within a finite range usually can be obtained as reliable data in the measurement of real sound environment [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref4">4</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref5">5</xref>] . In this situation, in order to evaluate more precisely the objective sound environment system, it is necessary to introduce a fuzzy theory to estimate the waveform fluctuation of the specific signal based on the observed data with fuzziness and amplitude saturation.</p><p>As a typical method in the state estimation problem, the Kalman filtering theory and its extended filter are well known [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref6">6</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref7">7</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref8">8</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref9">9</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref10">10</xref>] . Furthermore, several state estimation methods for stochastic system with non-Gaussian fluctuations have previously been proposed [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref11">11</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref12">12</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref13">13</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref14">14</xref>] . These theories are originally based on the additive model of the specific signal and an external noise. The actual sound environment systems often contain unknown characteristics in the relationship between the state variable and the observation. Furthermore, the observation data often contain fuzziness and amplitude saturation.</p><p>In this study, based on the fuzzy observations, a Bayesian filter for estimating the specific signal of sound environment systems with unknown structural characteristic is theoretically proposed in an appropriate form for the finite amplitude range of the measured data. More specifically, complex sound environment systems which have to be treated as the systems with unknown characteristics are paid our attention. By introducing the orthogonal expansion expression of the probability distribution with a Beta distribution as the first term, and a new type of membership function, which are suitable for the finite amplitude fluctuation range of the signal and observation, a method to estimate the waveform fluctuation of the specific signal based on the fuzzy observation data is proposed. After adopting a previously reported expansion expression of the conditional probability distribution as the correlation information between the specific signal and observation [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref1">1</xref>] , by regarding the expansion coefficients as unknown parameters and introducing probability measure of fuzzy events [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref15">15</xref>] , these parameters are estimated simultaneously with the specific signal based on the fuzzy observation.</p><p>Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed Bayesian filter focusing on the relationship between variables is confirmed experimentally too by applying the theory to the estimation of sound level based on the observation data containing fuzziness and amplitude saturation.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Theoretical Consideration</title><sec id="s2_1"><title>2.1. Formulation of Sound Environment System with Fuzzy Observation</title><p>Let <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x3.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x4.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> be the input and output signals at a discrete time k for a sound environment system. It is assumed that there are complex nonlinear relationships between <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x5.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x6.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, which are difficult to find a fundamental relationship between them. Since the system characteristics are unknown, a system model in the form of a conditional probability is adopted. More precisely, attention is focused on the joint probability distribution function <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x7.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> reflecting all linear and non-linear correlation information between <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x8.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x9.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Expanding the joint probability distribution function <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x10.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in an orthogonal form based on the product of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x11.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x12.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the following expression can be derived.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula84"><label>(1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x13.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula85"><label>(2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x14.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x15.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> denotes the averaging operation on the variables. The linear and non-linear correlation information between <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x16.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x17.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is reflected hierarchically in each expansion coefficient<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x18.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. The functions <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x19.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x20.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are orthonormal polynomials with the weighting functions <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x20.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x21.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x20.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x21.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x22.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> respectively, and satisfy the following orthonormal conditions:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula86"><label>(3)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x23.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula87"><label>(4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x24.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>These orthonormal polynomials can be decomposed by using Schmidt’s orthogonalization [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref16">16</xref>] . From Equation (1), the conditional probability distribution function <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x25.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is given as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula88"><label>(5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x26.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Though Equation (5) is originally infinite series expansion, finite expansion series with <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x27.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x27.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is adopted because only finite expansion coefficients are available and the consideration of the expansion coefficients from the first few terms is usually sufficient in practice. The expansion coefficients defined by Equation (2) satisfy the following conditions:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula89"><label>(6)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x29.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Furthermore, let <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> be the fuzzy observation obtained from the output <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> with a finite fluctuation range <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> owing to a definite dynamic range of measurement instrument. The fuzziness of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x33.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is characterized by a membership function<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x33.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x34.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Since the objective system contains an unknown specific signal and unknown structure, the expansion coefficients <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> expressing hierarchically the correlation relationship between <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x36.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x36.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> must be estimated on the basis of the fuzzy observation<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x36.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Considering the expansion coefficients <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x36.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> as unknown parameter vector<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x36.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x40.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula90"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x41.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula91"><label>(7)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x42.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>the following simple dynamical models are introduced for the simultaneous estimation of the parameters with the specific signal<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x43.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula92"><label>(8)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x44.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula93"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x45.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x46.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is the number of unknown expansion coefficients to be estimated.</p><p>On the other hand, the following time transition model for the input signal is generally established.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula94"><label>(9)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x47.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x48.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is the random input with mean 0 and variance<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x48.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x49.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Two parameters F and G are estimated by using an auto-correlation technique [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref16">16</xref>] .</p><p>A method to estimate <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x50.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> adaptively based on the fuzzy observation <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x50.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x51.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is derived in this study by introducing probability measure of fuzzy events [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref15">15</xref>] and the expansion series expressions of the conditional probability distribution function in Equation (5).</p></sec><sec id="s2_2"><title>2.2. Derivation of Estimation Algorithm Based on Fuzzy Observation with Amplitude Saturation</title><p>In order to derive an estimation algorithm for a specific signal<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x52.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, based on the successive observations of fuzzy data<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x52.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x53.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, we focus our attention on Bayes’ theorem for the conditional probability distribution [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref12">12</xref>] . Since the parameter <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x52.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x53.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x54.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is also unknown, the conditional probability distribution of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x52.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x53.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x54.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x55.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x52.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x53.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x54.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x55.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x56.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is considered.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula95"><label>(10)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x57.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x58.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is a set of fuzzy observation data up to a time k. After applying probability measure of fuzzy events [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref15">15</xref>] to the right side of Equation (10), expanding it in a general form of the statistical orthogonal expansion series [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref12">12</xref>] , the conditional probability density function <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x58.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x59.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> can be expressed as:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula96"><label>(11)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x60.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula97"><label>(12)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x61.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula98"><label>(13)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x62.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula99"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x63.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>The functions<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are the orthogonal polynomials of degrees<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> with weighting functions<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x71.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x71.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x72.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, which can be artificially chosen as the probability density functions describing the dominant parts of<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x71.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x72.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x73.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x71.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x72.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x73.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x74.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x68.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x71.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x72.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x73.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x74.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x75.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. These three functions must satisfy the following orthonormal relationships:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula100"><label>(14)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x76.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula101"><label>(15)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x77.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula102"><label>(16)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x78.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Based on Equation (11), the recurrence algorithm for estimating an arbitrary <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x79.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>th order polynomial type function <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x79.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x80.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x79.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x80.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x81.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x79.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x80.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x81.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x82.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> can be derived as follows:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula103"><label>(17)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x83.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x84.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is the expansion coefficient determined by the equality:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula104"><label>(18)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x85.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>In order to make the general theory for estimation algorithm more concrete, the well-known Gaussian distribution is adopted as <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x86.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x86.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x87.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, because this probability density function is the most standard one.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula105"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x88.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula106"><label>(19)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x89.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula107"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x90.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x91.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x91.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x92.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p><img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x93.png" />,<img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x94.png" /> (20)</p><p>Furthermore, the Bata distribution [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref17">17</xref>] suitable for the random variable with a finite fluctuation range <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x95.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is adopted as<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x95.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x96.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula108"><label>(21)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x97.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with</p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x98.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>; Beta function</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula109"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x99.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula110"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x100.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p><img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x101.png" />,<img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x102.png" /> (22)</p><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x103.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is the Gamma function. Then, the orthonormal functions with the weighting probability density functions in Equations (19) and (21) can be given by</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula111"><label>(23)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x104.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula112"><label>(24)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x105.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula113"><label>(25)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x106.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x107.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is the Hermite polynomial with lth order [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref18">18</xref>] and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x107.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x108.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is the Jacobi polynomial with nth order [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref4">4</xref>] . As the membership function, the following function matching to the Beta distribution is newly introduced.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula114"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x109.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula115"><label>(26)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x110.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where s is a parameter.</p><p>Accordingly, Equation (12) can be given by</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula116"><label>(27)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x111.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with</p><p><img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x112.png" />,<img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x113.png" /> (28)</p><p>The fuzzy data <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are reflected in <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x115.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x115.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x116.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Furthermore, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x115.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x116.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x117.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>(<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x115.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x116.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x117.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x118.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>) are the expansion coefficients in the equality on Jacobi polynomial:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula117"><label>(29)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x119.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>By considering the orthonormal condition of Jacobi polynomial [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref4">4</xref>] , Equation (27) can be expressed as follows:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula118"><label>(30)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x120.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where a few concrete expressions of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x121.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in Equation (30) can be expressed as follows:</p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x123.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula119"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x124.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula120"><label>(31)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x125.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>In two special cases when<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x126.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x126.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x127.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, estimates related to mean and variance of the specific signal are expressed as follows:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula121"><label>(32)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x128.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula122"><label>(33)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x129.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula123"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x130.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula124"><label>(34)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x131.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Using the property of conditional expectation and Equation (5), the two variables <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in Equation (22) can be expressed in functional forms on predictions of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x134.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x134.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x135.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> at a discrete time <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x134.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x135.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x136.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> (i.e. the expectation value of arbitrary functions of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x134.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x135.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x136.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x134.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x135.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x136.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> conditioned by<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x134.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x135.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x136.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>),as follows:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula125"><label>(35)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x140.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula126"><label>(36)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x141.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with</p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula127"><label>(37)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x144.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where T denotes the transpose of a matrix. The coefficients <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in Equations (35) and (36) are determined in advance by expanding <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x148.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in the following orthogonal series forms:</p><p><img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x149.png" />,<img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x150.png" /> (38)</p><p>Furthermore, using Equation (5) and the orthonormal condition of Equation (4), each expansion coefficient <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x151.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> defined by Equation (13) can be obtained through the similar calculation process to Equations (35) and (36), as follows:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula128"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x152.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>(<img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x154.png" /><img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x153.png" />: appropriate coefficients). (39)</p><p>In the above, the expansion coefficient <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> can be given by the predictions of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x157.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Finally, by considering Equation (9), the prediction step which is essential to perform the recurrence estimation can be given by</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula129"><label>(40)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x158.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula130"><label>(41)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x159.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>By replacing <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x160.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> with<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x160.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x161.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the recurrence estimation of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x160.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x161.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x162.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> can be achieved.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Experimental Consideration</title><p>In order to confirm the effectiveness of the proposed method, it was applied to real data observed in a sound environment system. Acoustic signals observed by two microphones in indoors and outdoors for a house were adopted as input and output data for the sound insulation system shown by the frame in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>. The rock music was selected as an input signal by considering the aggravation of “Karaoke” noise pollution problem.</p><fig id="fig1"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref></label><caption><title> A schematic drawing of the experimental set up in sound insulation system</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x163.png"/></fig><p>After generating the music sound inside the house, the indoor and outdoor sound pressure levels were regarded as the input signal <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x164.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and the output observation<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x164.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x165.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. The data were measured with a sampling interval of 1 s. The statistics of the input signal and the output signal used in the experiment are shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref> and <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>. Applying the proposed estimation method to actually observed output data quantized roughly with 1 dB, 2 dB and 3 dB widths as examples of fuzzy observation, the fluctuation wave form of the input signal was estimated. Comparison of the accuracy for the estimated probability distribution between the case considering a finite fluctuation range of the observation data and the case without consideration of the fluctuation range was discussed in our previous study [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref5">5</xref>] .</p><p>Figures 2-4 show the estimation results of the fluctuation wave form of the input signal for Data 1 in a typical case of widely fluctuating signals, by applying the proposed algorithm to the quantized observation data with 1 dB, 2 dB and 3 dB widths. Furthermore, Figures 5-7 show the estimation results for Data 2 in a typical case of narrowly fluctuating signals. In these estimations, the finite number of expansion coefficients <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x166.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are used for the simplification of the estimation algorithm. In these figures, the horizontal axis shows the discrete time k, of the estimation process, and the vertical axis expresses the sound pressure level. For comparison, the estimation results calculated by using the usual method are also shown in these figures. Since Kalman’s filtering theory is widely used in the field of stochastic system, the extended Kalman filter [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.77152-ref8">8</xref>] is also applied to the observation data as a trail by introducing the following observation model.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula131"><label>(42)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x167.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> denotes the quantized noise. A uniform distribution within <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x169.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> (q: the quantized width) is assumed as the probability distribution of<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x169.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Since the parameters <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x169.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x171.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x169.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x171.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x172.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are unknown, these parameters are also estimated simultaneously with the input signal <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x169.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x171.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x172.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x173.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> by introducing the following time transition models in addition to Equation (9):</p><disp-formula id="scirp.77152-formula132"><label>(43)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x174.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>The results estimated by the proposed method show good agreement with the</p><fig id="fig2"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref></label><caption><title> Estimation results for Data 1 of the input signal by applying the proposed method based on the quantized output observation data with 1 dB width</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x175.png"/></fig><fig id="fig3"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref></label><caption><title> Estimation results for Data 1 of the input signal by applying the proposed method based on the quantized output observation data with 2 dB width</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x176.png"/></fig><fig id="fig4"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref></label><caption><title> Estimation results for Data 1 of the input signal by applying the proposed method based on the quantized output observation data with 3 dB width</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x177.png"/></fig><fig id="fig5"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref></label><caption><title> Estimation results for Data 2 of the input signal by applying the proposed method based on the quantized output observation data with 1 dB width</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x178.png"/></fig><fig id="fig6"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6</xref></label><caption><title> Estimation results for Data 2 of the input signal by applying the proposed method based on the quantized output observation data with 2 dB width</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x179.png"/></fig><fig id="fig7"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig7">Figure 7</xref></label><caption><title> Estimation results for Data 2 of the input signal by applying the proposed method based on the quantized output observation data with 3 dB width</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/3-9302409x180.png"/></fig><table-wrap id="table1" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref></label><caption><title> Mean and standard deviation of the input signal (in dB)</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data Number</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 1</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 2</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 3</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 4</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 5</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Mean Value</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >80.8</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >79.6</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >80.4</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >82.4</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >80.8</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Standard Deviation</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.31</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.38</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.26</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.50</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="table2" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref></label><caption><title> Mean and standard deviation of the output signal (in dB)</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data Number</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 1</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 2</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 3</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 4</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 5</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Mean Value</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >60.4</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >58.2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >59.7</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >60.8</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >60.0</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Standard Deviation</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.92</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.45</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.74</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.85</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.75</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>true values. On the other hand, there are great discrepancies between the esti- mates based on the standard type dynamical estimation method (i.e., extended Kalman filter). For these differences on estimated results, the following reasons can be considered: 1) The standard method assumes the simple observation model in Equation (42). On the other hand, the proposed method introduces the conditional probability distribution in Equation (5) as the observation model, which can be considered the whole fluctuation of input and output signals; 2) The standard method is not considered the finite amplitude fluctuation of the observation data; 3) To consider the quantized observation by introducing fuzzy theory is more useful than the standard method by introducing the quantized noise.</p><p>The squared sums of the estimation error are shown in Tables 3-5. It can be found numerically that the proposed method is more useful than the extended Kalman filter.</p></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Conclusions</title><p>In this study, based on the observed data with fuzziness and the finite level range, a new adaptive method for estimating the input signal for sound environment systems with unknown structure has been proposed. The proposed estimation method has been realized by introducing a system model of conditional probability type and the probability measure of fuzzy events. The proposed method has been applied to the estimation for the input signal of an actual sound environment system, and it has been experimentally verified that better results are obtained as compared with the standard estimation method without considering fuzzy theory.</p><p>The proposed approach is quite different from the traditional standard techniques. However, we are still in an early stage of development, and a number of practical problems are yet to be investigated in the future. These include: 1) application to a diverse range of sound signals in actual noise environment; 2) extension to cases with multi-noise sources, and 3) finding an optimal number of expansion terms for the expansion-based probability expressions adopted.</p><table-wrap id="table3" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref></label><caption><title> Comparison between the proposed method and the extended Kalman filter for root-mean squared error of the estimation based on the quantized observation data with 1 dB width (in dB)</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data Number</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 1</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 2</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 3</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 4</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 5</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Proposed Methods</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.61</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.39</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.32</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.45</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Extended Kalman Filter</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.93</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.18</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.01</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.55</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.60</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="table4" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref></label><caption><title> Comparison between the proposed method and the extended Kalman filter for root-mean squared error of the estimation based on the quantized observation data with 2 dB width (in dB)</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data Number</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 1</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 2</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 3</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 4</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 5</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Proposed Methods</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.63</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.47</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.34</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.38</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.50</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Extended Kalman Filter</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.93</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.80</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.01</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.40</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.58</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="table5" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref></label><caption><title> Comparison between the proposed method and the extended Kalman filter for root-mean squared error of the estimation based on the quantized observation data with 3 dB width (in dB)</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data Number</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 1</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 2</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 3</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 4</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data 5</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Proposed Methods</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.63</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.53</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.39</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.53</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.51</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Extended Kalman Filter</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.83</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.38</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.09</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.78</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.80</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap></sec><sec id="s5"><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>The authors are grateful to Emeritus Prof. Mitsuo Ohta of Hiroshima University for his advice during this study. This work was supported in part by fund from the Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research No.15K06116 from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology-Japan.</p></sec><sec id="s6"><title>Cite this paper</title><p>Ikuta, A., Orimoto, H. and Gallagher, G. (2017) State Estimation for Fuzzy Sound Environment System with Finite Amplitude Fluctuation. Journal of Software Engineering and Applications, 10, 625-638. https://doi.org/10.4236/jsea.2017.107034</p></sec><sec id="s7"><title>NOTES</title></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.77152-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ikuta, A., Masuike, H. and Ohta, M. (2005) A Digital Filter for Stochastic Systems with Unknown Structure and Its Application to Psychological Evaluation of Sound Environment. IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems, E88-D, 1519-1525. 
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