Objective: The study aimed to assess the characteristics of pancreatic cancer deaths and the relationship between socio-demographic status and mortality risk of pancreatic cancer in Inner Mongolia.
Method: We obtained our data for 2008-2014 from the Death Registry System of Inner Mongolia. We calculated the mortality rate, potential years of life lost (PYLL) and average years of life lost (AYLL) for men and women. We collected socio-demographic characteristics including education level, ethnicity, region, and occupation. Logistic regression models were employed to analyze risk factors of pancreatic cancer.
Results: The average mortality rate of pancreatic cancer was 4.42/100,000 in Inner Mongolia during 2008 to 2014. Mortality rate in men was higher in all age groups compared with those in women. The highest mortality rate was 1.3 times than the lowest mortality rate for men and 1.6 times for women during seven years. Average AYLL in women were more than 3.4 years compared with that in men. PYLLR in women was fluctuated from 0.41 to 0.63 per thousand during 2008 to 2014. In eastern region, no occupation and high education level had a higher risk of pancreatic cancer.
Conclusion: In Inner Mongolia, the mortality rate associated with pancreatic cancer was higher in men compared with in women. More than 65 years old groups had high death risk for pancreatic cancer. Average years of life lost for women were significantly higher than that for men. We should pay more attention to the older men.
Pancreatic Cancer Multiple Factor Analysis PYLL AYLL1. Introduction
Pancreatic cancer has been considered an “orphan cancer” and would be of little concern except for its exceptionally high mortality rate [1] . Globally, pancreatic cancer is placed in the eighth for mortality rate among any type of cancer [2] . In the United States of America (USA), pancreatic cancer is the fourth most frequent cause of cancer death after lung, breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer [3] . In Japan, it is the fifth most common cause of cancer death [4] . At the beginning of the 21st century, the estimated number of pancreatic cancers death throughout the world was 110,000, with an estimated mortality rate of 98% [5] . Up to now, we have found that the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer had an increasing trend. In Japan, the mortality rate had been increasing in 1968-2002 [6] . The mortality rate was rising in China during the period 2003-2009 [7] . The death cases of pancreatic cancer in China were beyond the number of cases in the United States in 2010 [5] . GLOBOCAN 2012 estimates that cases in China account for 19.45% of all newly diagnosed pancreatic cancer and 19.27% of all deaths from pancreatic cancer worldwide [8] . We didn’t find the epidemiological study of pancreatic cancer death in Inner Mongolia till now, the paper analyzes the potential years of life lost, average years of life lost and influencing factors of pancreatic cancer mortality in Inner Mongolia in 2008-2014.
2. Materials and Methods2.1. Data Collection
The study examined data was obtained by the Chinese Ministry of Health and the Center for Disease Control (CDC) of Inner Mongolia. Data on deaths were collected through the Death Registry System (DRS) of 20 monitoring points. DRS uses a multistage cluster probability sampling strategy with stratification according to eastern, central and western of China, the local gross domestic product (GDP) and proportion of rural dwellers, the total population of local areas [9] . The study divided these eight monitoring points into two regions in 2008-2012: the Eastern region including Yakeshi City, Kailu County, Bairin Youqi, Sonid Youqi, the midwest region including Ejin Horo Qi, Muslims District, Tumd Youqi and Linhe district. From 2013 to 2014, cause of death monitoring points are up to 20, new increasing districts from the eastern region including Keshiketeny country, naiman country, Arong Banner, Manzhouli city, Horqin Right Wing Middle Banner, Xi Ujimqin Banner. New increasing districts from the midwest region include Haibowan District, Dongsheng District, Chayouqianqi, Alxazuoqi, Wuchuan County, Qingshan District.
Codes from the 10th version of International Classification of Diseases (ICD- 10) [9] were used to define the death cause of pancreatic cancer (codes C25). The annual midyear population figures in 2008-2014 were obtained from the CDC of Inner Mongolia to calculate age-specific mortality rate, gender-specific mortality rate and annual mortality of each region per 100,000 people [10] .
We conducted a cross-sectional observational study for pancreatic cancer death in Inner Mongolia 2008-2014. We collected cases characteristics including education level, occupation, ethnicity and region to assess the demographic characteristics of pancreatic cancer related mortality rate. Education level is divided into low (illiterate, primary school), high (middle school, junior high school, technical school, college, university, university above). The illiterate was defined the person who can’t read and literacy. Primary school was defined a person who accepts formal education of initial stage, length of schooling is six years [11] .
2.2. Statistical Analyses
Mortality rate, potential years of life lost (PYLL), rate of PYLL (PYLLR and average years of life lost (AYLL) were calculated for men and women. PYLL: PYLL = ∑(ai * di) = ∑(L - Xi-0.5) × di, where ai = loss of life-years for a certain age group, and di = the number of deaths in that particular age group [9] , L = upper age level limit, Xi = Median number for each age group. PYLLR = (PYLL/n) × 1000‰, where n is the total population at risk. AYLL = PYLL/Σdi, that is the average difference value between the life expectancy and the actual age at death [12] . SPSS 22.0 statistical software (IBM SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) were used for data management and analyses. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess risk factors, with a significance level of 0.05.
3. Result
The average mortality rate was 4.42/100,000 in Inner Mongolia during the years of 2008 to 2014. The total mortality rate of pancreatic cancer between 3.97/ 100,000 to 5.23/100,000 fluctuations during the seven years. The highest mortality rate was 5.92/100,000 in 2011 for men and 4.49/100,000 in 2011 for women. The lowest mortality rate was 4.49/100,000 in 2013 for men and 2.73/100,000 in 2010 for women. The highest mortality rate was 1.3 times compared with the lowest mortality rate for men and 1.6 times for women during the years of 2008 to 2014.
Figure 1 shows age-specific mortality of pancreatic cancer in Inner Mongolia from 2008 to 2014. Regardless of men or women, the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer increased with aging, then reached the top at the highest age group (over 85 years old). Mortality rate in men were higher in all age groups compared with those in women.
Figure 2 shows gender-specific mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Inner Mongolia in 2008 and 2014. The mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in 2014 had an obviously increased compared with that in 2008. Regardless of in 2008 or 2014, the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in men was higher than that in women. The mortality rate of pancreatic cancer was 1.7 times and 1.3 times respectively for women and men in 2014 than that in 2008.
Table 1 shows AYLL, PYLL and PYLLR for pancreatic cancer in Inner Mongolia from 2008 to 2014. We observed a total PYLL of 7435.76 years for men and 6005.37 years for women during the years of 2008 to 2014. Average AYLL in women were more than 3.4 years compared with that in men. PYLLR in men
The gender-specific mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Inner Mongolia, 2008-2014
The gender-specific mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Inner Mongolia in 2008 and 2014
AYLL, PYLL and PYLLR of pancreatic cancer in Inner Mongolia, 2008-2014
year
AYLL(years)
PYLL(person-years)
PYLLR(‰)
men
Women
men
women
men
women
2008
12.69
19.78
723.19
553.94
0.75
0.59
2009
9.11
14.06
564.52
534.36
0.46
0.46
2010
12.07
15.16
820.9
485.21
0.67
0.41
2011
10.12
12.52
749.07
650.93
0.60
0.56
2012
12.50
13.97
749.71
516.91
0.59
0.44
2013
11.21
14.75
1536.43
1490.12
0.50
0.54
2014
13.81
15.16
2291.94
1773.9
0.73
0.63
Logistic regression analysis of socio-demographic characteristics for pancreatic cancer death in Inner Mongolia from 2008 to 2014
charateristics
OR
95%CL
P
Region
0.000
Eastern
reference
Midwestern
0.456
0.379 - 0.547
Ethnicity
0.002
Han
reference
Mongolian
1.269
0.880 - 1.830
Other
2.909
1.555 - 5.443
Occupation
0.000
Yes
reference
No
2.089
1.652 - 2.640
Education level
0.000
low
reference
high
1.386
1.184 - 1.622
fluctuated from 0.46/1000 to 0.67/1000 during the years of 2009 to 2013, more than 0.7/1000 in 2008 and 2014. PYLLR in women was fluctuated from 0.41/1000 to 0.63/1000 during the years of 2008 to 2014.
Table 2 shows logistic regression analysis of socio-demographic characteristic for pancreatic cancer death in Inner Mongolia from 2008 to 2014. The OR in midwestern region was 0.456 times than that in eastern. The OR in other ethnic groups was nearly 3 times than that in ethnic Han. The OR in the no occupation was 2 times than that in occupation. The OR in higher education level was 1.4 times compared with lower education level.
4. Discussion
The average mortality rate of pancreatic cancer (4.42/100,000) in Inner Mongolia in 2008-2014 was lower than that in China with 6.61/100,000 in 2012 [5] , but slightly higher than that in worldwide with 4.1/100,000 in 2012 [13] . The mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in men was higher than that in women no matter what ages, the result was consistent with most other studies [5] [13] [14] . Higher mortality of men may due to them having much unhealthy diet habits, such as excessive drinking [15] and smoking [16] . Tobacco smoking is the major recognized risk factor for pancreatic cancer, with a relative risk of approximately 2 for current smokers compared to never smokers [16] . It is suggested that the prevention of pancreatic cancer among men is important.
In the present study, the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer was obviously higher in over the age of 65 groups. Our result indicated that pancreatic cancer mortality rate was increasing with aging for both genders. The global temporal trends are increasing significantly with age increasing [3] [11] . More population had pancreatic cancer at the age of 60 - 65 and the age of 70 - 80 years were up to the peak [17] . The age factor is an aging phenomenon that alters some of the mechanisms in the body or pancreatic cells, which are eventual transformated cancer cells on the result of each specific change in the target cell accumulates over time [18] .
AYLL was used to estimate the effect of pancreatic cancer on life expectancy. Both PYLL and AYLL reflect premature death, they give greater weight to diseases that result in younger deaths and less weight to those affecting the elderly [19] . Our study showed that women had a higher AYLL than that in men, though men had higher pancreatic cancer mortality rate. This result suggested that the burden of premature death due to pancreatic cancer was more serious in women in Inner Mongolia.
The high level of education was a risk factor for pancreatic cancer by Logistic regression analysis. Previous study was opposite to our result [20] . However, the high level of education was associated with a higher risk of cancer in our previous study [9] . No occupation was a risk factor for pancreatic cancer, but other studies had shown that people who feel tired after a day’s work are also more likely to develop pancreatic cancer [21] .
In our study, the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in 2014 was higher than that in 2008, the results showed that pancreatic cancer has become severe in Inner Mongolia. Pancreatic cancer will occupy the second most common cause of cancer related death in the USA With the world population of growing rapidly and the increase of aging, by 2030 [3] . We should pay more attention in pancreatic cancer in order to reduce the burden of the cancer mortality in Inner Mongolia.
5. Conclusions
The findings of this study suggest that mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in men was higher than in women, however, average years of life lost for women was significantly higher than that for men in Inner Mongolia. People who were more than 65 years old had high death risk for pancreatic cancer. In addition, the difference of regions, culture may be an important factor on the impact of pancreatic cancer. Understanding the pancreatic cancer of development helps us to make correct prevention of the cancer.
The limitation of our present study is that there were many other socio- demographic characteristics that could affect the pancreatic cancer death, such as drinking, smoking, chronic disease, insurance. Unfortunately, we did not obtain these data.
Acknowledgements
The study was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia, China (grant No. 2016MS0828).
Cite this paper
Zhang, X.Y., Shi, Y., Sun, C.Q., Guo, L., Zhang, H.R., Zhou, Z.Y., Wang, D., Yan, J., Dong, L.L., Wang, Q.X., Hu, Y.L. and Sun, J. (2017) The Description of Pancreatic Cancer Death in Inner Mongolia 2008-2014. Open Journal of Epidemiology, 7, 131-138. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojepi.2017.72012
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