<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">AS</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Agricultural Sciences</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2156-8553</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/as.2016.78051</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">AS-69777</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Biomedical&amp;Life Sciences</subject><subject> Earth&amp;Environmental Sciences</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Evaluation of Parametric Limitations in Simulating Greenhouse Gas Fluxes from Irish Arable Soils Using Three Process-Based Models
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mohammad</surname><given-names>I. Khalil</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mohamed</surname><given-names>Abdalla</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gary</surname><given-names>Lanigan</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bruce</surname><given-names>Osborne</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Christoph</surname><given-names>Müller</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Teagasc Environment Research Centre, Johnstown Castle, Wexford, Ireland</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Institute of Biological &amp;amp; Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Scotland, UK</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>UCD School of Biology &amp;amp; Environmental Science and UCD Earth Institute, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>ibrahim.khalil@ucd.ie(MIK)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>16</day><month>08</month><year>2016</year></pub-date><volume>07</volume><issue>08</issue><fpage>503</fpage><lpage>520</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>8</day>	<month>June</month>	<year>2016</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>accepted</day>	<month>13</month>	<year>August</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>16</day>	<month>August</month>	<year>2016</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  Globally a large number of process-based models have been assessed for quantification of agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Modelling approaches minimize the presence of spatial variability of biogeochemical processes, leading to improved estimates of GHGs as well as identifying mitigation and policy options. The comparative performance of the three dynamic models (e.g., DNDC v9.4, DailyDayCent and ECOSSE v5+) with minimum numbers of common input parameters was evaluated against measured variables. Simulations were performed on conventionally-tilled spring barley crops receiving N fertilizer at 135
   
  -
   
  159 kg
  &#183;
  N
  &#183;
  ha
  <sup>-</sup>
  <sup>1</sup>
  &#183;
  yr
  <sup>-</sup>
  <sup>1</sup>
   and crop residues at 3 t
  &#183;
  ha
  <sup>-</sup>
  <sup>1</sup>
  &#183;
  yr
  <sup>-</sup>
  <sup>1</sup>
  . For surface soil nitrate (0
   - 
  10
   
  cm), the ECOSSE and DNDC simulated values showed significant correlations with measured values (R
  <sup>2</sup>
   
  =
   
  0.31
   - 
  0.55,
   p
   
  &lt;
   
  0.05). Only the ECOSSE-simulated N
  <sub>2</sub>
  O fluxes showed a significant relationship (R
  <sup>2</sup>
   
  =
   
  0.33, 
  p
   
  &lt;
   
  0.05) with values measured from fertilized fields, but not with unfertilized ones. The DNDC and DailyDayCent models significantly underestimated seasonal/annual N
  <sub>2</sub>
  O fluxes compared to ECOSSE, with emission factors (EFs), based on an 8-year average, were 0.09
  %
  , 0.31
  %
   and 0.52%, respectively. Predictions of ecosystem respiration by both DailyDayCent and DNDC showed reasonable agreement with Eddy Covariance da
  ta (R
  <sup>2</sup>
   
  =
   
  0.34
   
  -
   
  0.41, 
  p
   
  &lt;
   
  0.05). Compared to the measured value (3624 kg
  &#183;
  C
  &#183;
  ha
  <sup>-</sup>
  <sup>1</sup>
  &#183;
  yr
  <sup>-</sup>
  <sup>1</sup>
  ), th
  e ECOSSE unde
  restimated annual heterotrophic respiration by 7% but this was smaller than the DNDC (50%
  ) and DailyDayCent (24%) estimates. All models simulated CH
  <sub>4</sub>
   uptake we
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Greenhouse Gases</kwd><kwd> Arable Lands</kwd><kwd> Input Parameters</kwd><kwd> Process-Based Models</kwd><kwd> Ireland</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>Agricultural activity is estimated to be responsible for approximately 14% of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref1">1</xref>] . In the European Union (EU), agriculture comprises 10% of emissions, with CH<sub>4</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O contributing 49% and 63%, respectively to sectoral emissions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref2">2</xref>] . In the Republic of Ireland (ROI), agricultural emissions comprise one-third of national emissions and remain a key component of national emissions despite recent decreases, due to the economic downturn [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref3">3</xref>] . Agricultural GHGs, particularly N<sub>2</sub>O, are produced mainly through biological processes and the degree of variation (spatial and temporal) in emissions depends on soil type, land use and climatic factors (e.g. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref4">4</xref>] - [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref10">10</xref>] . Agricultural soils may either be net sinks or sources, depending largely on the balance between N<sub>2</sub>O release and carbon (C) sink-source strength and functional relationships exist between organic C and N, derived from either inorganic or organic sources, to produce GHGs. These relationships are regulated by agricultural activities and associated disturbances (e.g. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref11">11</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref12">12</xref>] . Thus, an understanding of the associated controlling factors and their interactions, including impact of site-specific soil conditions are key requirements [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref13">13</xref>] for understanding the GHG balance and for the development and selection of an appropriate model for accounting and reporting.</p><p>Most of the Annex-I countries are using IPCC Tier 1 methodologies [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref1">1</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref14">14</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref15">15</xref>] for the estimation of agricultural GHGs due to a lack of detailed, spatially-explicit activity data and the absence of disaggregated emission factors (EFs). Some countries (e.g. New Zealand, USA) have moved to Tier 2, with country-specific emission factors and are developing Tier 3 (modelling) methodologies. The Tier 1 approach has several limitations for studies of the GHG balance relevant to Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU)/LULUCF [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref1">1</xref>] . Development of higher tiers requires good country/regional-specific activity data allied to extensive GHG emissions datasets. Compared to Tier 2, more additional resources are required for the development of Tier 3, including an appropriate biogeochemical model. A process-based model could take into account functional relationships and provide a flexible and structured way to assess how different scenarios including land-use management and land-use change can affect GHG emissions and soil C and N dynamics. A modelling approach can provide improved estimates of GHG budgets and reflect more robust emissions assessments (sink or source) by reducing the uncertainties associated with the impacts of soil, climate and management activities. The advantages in using a model include an ability to 1) scale GHG emissions from the site-specific to the national/regional level, 2) identify potential mitigation options and the interactions between different gaseous and/or other loss pathways, and 3) provide a better understanding of how agricultural soils can act as C sinks or sources.</p><p>In line with commitments under the UNFCCC, the ROI is committed to improving the estimation of GHG budgets by developing Tier 3 approaches. There has been much progress in recent years in developing models to simulate GHG emissions. Modelling is considered a low-cost method of estimating GHG emissions from agricultural soils at different scales and for exploring potential mitigation strategies [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref16">16</xref>] . Any discrepancies in predicting field measured GHG fluxes can be used to identify limitations to model use, suggesting further potential developments that could lead to a better representation of the impacts of differences in land use, land use management or environmental factors. However, spatial variability in GHG fluxes due to soil heterogeneity, in particular, has to be considered when comparing model results with field measurements [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref17">17</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref18">18</xref>] . There is also a particular need for improved methodologies for up-scaling of GHG emissions from site to regional/national scales [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref1">1</xref>] . The use of models for estimating soil GHG emissions is expected to increase, and further improvements in model accuracy and precision will be essential.</p><p>Several process-based models are currently used to predict a variety of variables related to different ecosystems. DNDC (DeNitrification-DeComposition) is a process-based model that simulates carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) biogeochemistry in agro-ecosystems and has been used for predicting GHG emissions, soil C dynamics, crop growth and other relevant data [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref19">19</xref>] . DailyDayCent is the daily time-step version of the CENTURY biogeochemical model [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref20">20</xref>] , which simulates daily N-gas fluxes, C fluxes and other ecosystem parameters [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref21">21</xref>] . More recently, the Rothamsted Carbon Model (RothC) and SUNDIAL (SimUlation of Nitrogen Dynamics in Arable Land) have been used in the development of a multi-pool, process-based model, called “ECOSSE” (Estimating Carbon in Organic Soils-Sequestration and Emissions) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref22">22</xref>] . The ECOSSE model simulates soil C and N turnover, including GHG/trace gas emissions, in both mineral and organic soils using only limited meteorological, land-use and soil data, compared to other models. In the ROI, some models (DNDC, DayCent, RothC, PASIM, etc.) have been tested/validated using limited datasets measured from grassland and arable systems [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref23">23</xref>] - [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref29">29</xref>] . However the results have not been sufficiently robust to allow them to be used in the inventory process without further investigations.</p><p>Based on the different characteristics and performances, three process-based models (DNDC v9.4, DailyDayCent and ECOSSE v5+) were chosen to evaluate GHG emissions associated with the major Irish cropland type. The goal was to establish the basis of an emission inventory system using process-based models with the minimum number of commonly available input parameters that reflect the site-specific diversity of management practices that influence GHG emissions. Barley, with dominancy of spring barley, is the major cereal crop in Ireland, comprising 71% of the total cereals in 2014 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref30">30</xref>] . Multi-year GHG fluxes data for spring barley, measured at the plot scale, were available to initiate model comparison exercises. The main objectives were: 1) to simulate daily N<sub>2</sub>O, CH<sub>4</sub> and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from conventionally-tilled spring barley fields located in Carlow, Ireland over 8 years using the DNDC v9.4, DailyDayCent and ECOSSE v5+ models; 2) to assess the extent of statistical agreements (R<sup>2</sup>, RMSE, RE and MD) between model outputs and measured datasets; and 3) to evaluate the differences between the measured and modelled seasonal/annual GHG emissions and their estimated EFs.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Materials and Methods</title><sec id="s2_1"><title>2.1. Experimental Sites and Datasets</title><p>Data on inputs and management practices were collected from plot-scale field experiments conducted at the Teagasc Oak Park Research Centre, Carlow (52&#176;86' N and 6&#176;54' W). The soil (0 - 10 cm depth) at Oak Park site is classified as a sandy loam (overlying loam) in texture, free draining, Euteric Cambisol (Grey Brown Podzolics). Detailed site characteristics, which may differ from other published information [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref24">24</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref25">25</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref31">31</xref>] due to averaging of samples taken from both small and large plots, are given in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>. Thirty years (1982-2011) climate data measured from the nearby weather stations (Oak Park, Carlow and Kilkenny, 30 km away) by Met Eireann were used as inputs to run the models. The meteorological inputs required for DNDC and DailyDayCent are daily minimum and maximum air temperature, rainfall, wind speed, radiation and relative humidity; and for ECOSSE only average air temperature, rainfall and potential evapotranspiration is required.</p></sec><sec id="s2_2"><title>2.2. Description of Field Experiments</title><p>The larger plots used (2.5 ha) for field-scale studies were part of an experiment comparing the effects of conventional and minimum tillage practices [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref24">24</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref25">25</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref32">32</xref>] - [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref34">34</xref>] . An experiment was also carried out using small plots (6 m &#215; 25 m = 150 m<sup>2</sup>, each plot containing a 0.27 m<sup>2</sup> ground area chamber), which were on the border of the large plots. Only the results from the conventional (CT) tillage treatment were used in the present paper. The CT plots were prepared using a mouldboard plough to a depth of 22 - 25 cm. Subsequently, a light tilling was performed in the CT treatment and seeds (spring barley, cv. Tavern/Quench) were sown using a cultivator drill, followed by rolling. The small plots comprised three randomized. Each main plot divided into two subplots containing different fertilizer treatments: fertilized (N<sub>1</sub>) and non-fertilized (N<sub>0</sub>) plots. Treatments were randomly distributed and each treatment was replicated four times.</p><p>Following the harvesting of the crop (July or August), crop residues were chopped and left on the field over the autumn and winter period (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>). The experiments were conducted under rainfed conditions. N fertilizer was applied in the form of calcium ammonium nitrate (CAN). The amount of N applied varied slightly from year to year. From 2004-2006 fertilizer was applied at 0 and 135 - 159 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>, whilst from 2007-2011 it was applied at 0 and 135 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>. It was split into two applications from 2005 onwards. The unfertilized control started in 2003 and prior to that the whole field had received annually 140 - 160 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup> and had been in spring barley production since the mid-1990s. Herbicide (glyphosate 3 l∙ha<sup>−1</sup> of a 360 g product) was applied in January or early February to control over-wintering weeds and volunteer barley seedlings.</p><table-wrap id="table1" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref></label><caption><title> Site characteristics of experimental field as well as inputs and management practices (EC = Eddy Covariance/large plot received highest N rate)</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="3"  >Site characteristics</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Location</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Oak Park, Carlow</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Latitude-longitude</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >52˚86'N - 6˚54'W</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Mean annual air temperature (˚C)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >9.8</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Mean annual precipitation (mm)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >870.5</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Land use history</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Cereals (15 years), croplands (50 years), received 140 - 160 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup> in 2003 and the year before. Spring barley since 2000.</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Soil type (FAO/Irish GSG)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Euteric Cambisol/Grey Brown Podzolics</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Soil texture: 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Sandy loam</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Clay (%): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >15.13/14.73</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Silt (%): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >25.63/33.73</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Sand (%): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >59.24/51.55</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Bulk density (g∙m<sup>−</sup><sup>3</sup>): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.42/1.46</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Total soil organic carbon (kg∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >19.912/42.888</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Total inert soil organic carbon (kg∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.863/8.163</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Soil pH: 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >7.24/7.35</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Available water (AW) at field capacity (mm): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >22.69/55.13</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Water content at saturation (%): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >47.21 (AW = 29.51 mm)/45.56 = 113.87 mm (AW = 71.17)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Water content at field capacity (%): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >40.39 (AW = 22.69 mm)/38.97 = 97.43 mm (AW = 54.73 mm)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Water content at wilting point (%): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >17.70 (=17.70 mm)/17.08 = 42.7 mm</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Initial NH<sub>4</sub> and NO<sub>3</sub><sup>−</sup> (kg∙N∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>): 0 - 10/0 - 25 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.8/6.9 and 9.5/23.17</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Annual atmospheric N deposition (kg∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >11</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Slope (%) and water table depth (cm)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.004% from vertical and 240</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Depth of impermeable layer (cm) and drainage class</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&gt;150 and High</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="3"  >Inputs and management practices</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Land use</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Spring barley (var. Tavern or Quench)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Date of previous crop harvested</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >17/08/03</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Type and depth of tillage practices</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Conventional (22 - 25 cm)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Date of tillage practices (ploughed and light till)</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >19/02/04 and 25/03/04; 09/03/05 and 14/03/05; 10/03/06 and 19/03/06; 24/02/07 and 18/03/07; 22/02/08 and 19/03/08; 18/02/09 and 18/03/09; 02/03/10 and 08/03/10; 02/03/11 and 08/03/11</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Date of sowing</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >26/03/04; 16/03/05; 20/03/06; 21/03/07; 20/03/08; 19/03/09; 09/03/10; 09/03/11</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Residue incorporation</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >3.0 t∙DM∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>(1.32 t∙C∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>), chopped and left on the field; incorporated during tillage operation only</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Type of N fertilizer</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Calcium Ammonium Nitrate (CAN)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Number of fertilizer application</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >2003-04: 1; 2005-11: 2</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Fertilizer N rates (kg∙N∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >2003: 140; 2004: 0 and 140; 2005: 0 and 159 (106 + 53); 2006: 0 and 140 (90 + 50); 2007-2011: 0 and 135 (67.5 + 67.5)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Date of fertilizer application</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >27/04/04; 12/04/05 and 10/05/05; 12/04/06 and 11/05/06; 20/04/07 and 10/05/07; 16/04/08 and 15/05/08; 21/04/09 and 22/05/09; 13/04/10 and 07/05/10; 04/04/11 and 10/05/11</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Date of harvest</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >17/08/03; 17/08/04; 09/08/05; 09/08/06; 17/07/07; 22/08/08; 12/08/09; 06/08/10; 14/08/11</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap></sec><sec id="s2_3"><title>2.3. Measurements of N<sub>2</sub>O, CO<sub>2</sub> and CH<sub>4</sub></title><p>Measurements of GHGs from the experimental plots were either made seasonally or annually and for three years commencing from 2009 to 2011, at daily or fortnightly intervals. N<sub>2</sub>O emissions were measured using the static closed chamber method. Gas was sampled at 0, 30 and 60 min intervals between 9 and 11 am every week and more intensively (twice weekly) following fertilizer application. The gas samples were stored in exetainers (Labco, High Wycombe, UK) prior to the analyses. The gas analyses were performed using a gas chromatography (Varian CP 3800 GC, Varian, USA) fitted with a 63Ni electron capture detector (ECD) for N<sub>2</sub>O analysis and a Flame Ionisation Detector (FID) for CH<sub>4</sub> analysis with high purity helium as a carrier gas. Samples were returned to ambient pressure prior to analysis and fed into the system by a Combi-Pal automatic sampler (CTC Analysis, Switzerland). Following a two-year gap, gas samples for the measurement of both N<sub>2</sub>O and CH<sub>4</sub> were collected from September 2008 to September 2010 and from April 2009 to September 2010, respectively. Gas sampling was carried out weekly during the crop growth period and less frequently (2 - 3 weeks) during the fallow period using static chambers, with 18 replicates.</p><p>Eddy Covariance (EC) systems installed in the large plots, consisted of Gill R3 sonic anemometer (Gill Instruments, USA) and Li-7000 infra-red gas analyser (Licor Inc., USA), for net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and ecosystem respiration (R<sub>eco</sub>) measurements. Estimates of R<sub>eco</sub> (2003-2007) were based on half-hourly measurements and expressed on a daily basis.</p></sec><sec id="s2_4"><title>2.4. Determination of Soil Nitrate Concentrations</title><p>Soils were sampled during the gas sampling periods and soil nitrate concentrations were determined on 2M KCl extracts using an auto-analyzer (Bran and Luebbe, Norderstedt, Germany) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref35">35</xref>] .</p></sec><sec id="s2_5"><title>2.5. Description of Models</title><p>Three dynamic models (ECOSSE v5 updated in 2012, DNDC v9.4 and DailyDayCent) were selected for this comparative study. Input requirements for each model differ as indicated previously. However, the site characteristics and crop management practices used were the same for all the models which were run for 8 years. Other inputs were either defaults or module-based. A brief description of the models is given below. ECOSSE was mainly calibrated under UK conditions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref36">36</xref>] with subsequent improvements of the N<sub>2</sub>O and CH<sub>4</sub> modules using Irish data [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref37">37</xref>] . Both DNDC and the DailyDayCent were calibrated/validated under Irish conditions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref24">24</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref32">32</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref33">33</xref>] .</p><sec id="s2_5_1"><title>2.5.1. ECOSSE Model</title><p>The ECOSSE model was developed to simulate SOC in highly organic soils from algorithms originally derived for mineral soils in the RothC and SUNDIAL models [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref22">22</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref38">38</xref>] . The model uses a pool type approach, and all of the major processes of C and N turnover in the soil are included and are driven by readily available input variables (e.g., SOC, soil water, plant inputs, nutrient applications and timing of management operations). It is a tool for site-specific simulations that apparently does not result in any major loss in accuracy at this scale and makes full use of the limited information that is available to run models whilst still providing accurate simulations of GHGs. The N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes derive from both nitrification and denitrification, CO<sub>2</sub> corresponds to R<sub>H</sub> and CH<sub>4</sub> through a balance between methanogenesis and methanotrophy and changes in SOC stocks. The model can be used with both organic and mineral soils, to provide estimates of the net change in soil C and N in response to changes in land use and climate. This model considers variations for outputs by calculating them on each soil layer for each time step. This model doesn’t use crop growth parameters as inputs but uses a built-in default functional relation.</p></sec><sec id="s2_5_2"><title>2.5.2. DNDC Model</title><p>The DNDC is a widely used process-based model [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref39">39</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref40">40</xref>] , but several modifications/versions have been developed for different production systems. This model couples denitrification and decomposition processes to predict emissions of C, with CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation, and N from agricultural soils that are governed by various soil and environmental factors. It contains six sub models: soil climate, crop growth, decomposition, denitrification, nitrification and fermentation, and includes subroutines for cropping practices (fertilization, irrigation, tillage, crop rotation and manure addition) to simulate SOM turnover. The model considers decomposition process as first order kinetics, and the soil is considered as a series of discrete horizontal layers with uniform soil properties within each layer, except for some soil physical properties that are anticipated as being constant across all layers. However, time-dependent variations in soil moisture, temperature, pH, C and N pools are considered for a reliable estimate of C and N fluxes by calculating them for each soil layer for each time step.</p></sec><sec id="s2_5_3"><title>2.5.3. DailyDayCent Model</title><p>DailyDayCent is a biogeochemical model based on the Century soil C model and, for the most part, the parameter files used are identical to the ones used by Century 4.5 and DayCent 4.5 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref41">41</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref42">42</xref>] . This model simulates C and N fluxes between the atmosphere, vegetation, and soil. Major factors (e.g. nutrient availability, water, temperature) controlling plant growth are included in order to simulate GHGs and SOC changes over time. This model considers nutrient supply as a function of SOM decomposition and external nutrient additions. Other model inputs are the timing and description of management events (e.g. fertilization, tillage, harvest), and soil texture data. There are submodels that consider plant production, SOM decomposition, soil water and temperature for each layer, as well as nitrification and denitrification, and CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation. Improvements in this model are on-going, and comparison of model results and plot data have shown that DayCent reliably simulates crop yield, SOM levels, and trace gas fluxes for various native and managed systems [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref43">43</xref>] .</p></sec></sec><sec id="s2_6"><title>2.6. Model Run, Statistical Evaluation and Calculation</title><p>The datasets were collated and compiled to prepare a list of common input parameters with respect to site characteristics and managements to initialize the models (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>). The models were run using the common input parameters and the weather data (data not shown). For DNDC and DailyDaycent, the corresponding simulation spin-up for 30 and 700 years were used to allow the model to reach equilibrium state. For ECOSSE, the soil C pool at steady state equilibrium, with crop residue inputs and N as the <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x7.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> concentration measured immediately before the start of experiments was used for the initialization.</p><p>The ECOSSE model can predict soil heterotrophic respiration (R<sub>H</sub>) only whereas the EC provides R<sub>eco</sub> (soil autotrophic and heterotrophic respiration + crop respiration). For comparison and validation of ECOSSE-simu- lated R<sub>H</sub> with measured ones, daily R<sub>eco</sub> measured by EC from the large fertilized plot was transformed to daily R<sub>H</sub> using DailyDayCent fractions (R<sub>H</sub>/R<sub>eco</sub>) obtained from this study. Calculation of the total/cumulative N<sub>2</sub>O, R<sub>H</sub> and R<sub>eco</sub> through integration of the measurement values and the sum of simulated values were performed. Seasonal and annual emission factors (EFs) for N<sub>2</sub>O over the 8 years were calculated by subtracting cumulative measured and model outputs of the unfertilized control from that of the fertilized treatments and dividing by the respective N inputs.</p><p>The outputs were collated and converted into standard units for comparison with measured datasets. The simulated values of GHGs were compared and validated quantitatively with measured values using MS Excel speadsheet (MODEVAL v 2.0) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref44">44</xref>] . Based on the available measured flux data, an evaluation of the consistency of seasonal (4 - 5 months)/annual N and C emissions with simulated values was carried out. The approach was to take a simple mean and standard error (SE) of the values for each dataset and to calculate statistics (e.g., R<sup>2</sup> = Coefficient of determination; RMSE = Root Mean Square Error; RE = Relative Error; MD = Mean Difference) that describe the model fits for all data points simulated by placing equal weight on all values. An analysis of variance for significance at the 0.05 level of probability was performed and the 95% confidence intervals calculated using SAS v. 9.3 (SAS Inc.), MODEVAL and MS Excel (v. 2010).</p></sec></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Results</title><sec id="s3_1"><title>3.1. Simulated and Measured Nitrate-N Concentrations</title><p>The measured surface soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x8.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> concentration was found to reach a maximum of 71.3 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup> following fertilization, decreasing to 0.82 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup> during later periods (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>). In the unfertilized field, the minimum and maximum surface <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x9.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> levels (seasonal/annual) measured was 0.20 and 25.2 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>, respectively. The DailyDayCent and DNDC-predicted soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x10.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> levels were highly variable. For the fertilized field, the average <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x11.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> contents predicted over the 8 years by DailyDayCent (71 &#177; 1.6 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) and DNDC (193 &#177; 4.6 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) were markedly higher than the ECOSSE simulated (20 &#177; 0.4 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) values or the measured ones. For the unfertilized field, the corresponding average surface <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x12.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> concentrations predicted were 12 &#177; 0.2, 17 &#177; 0.4 and 8 &#177; 0.1 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>. Only the ECOSSE model predicted values that were closer to measured values, which were con- sistent over the 8 years, and to the amount of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x13.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> applied. For the fertilized field, the ECOSSE (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.55)</p><fig-group id="fig1"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref></label><caption><title> Comparison of field measured (seasonal/annual; open circle/square with vertical bars as standard errors) nitrate-N concentrations (kg∙N∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>) in the 0 - 10 cm soil depth with values simulated (solid line) using the three process-based models over 8 years, commencing from 17 August 2003 (day of harvest), in conventionally-tilled fertilized arable land cropped to spring barley. Solid arrows indicate the days of ploughing and dotted arrows indicate the days of N fertilizer application.</title></caption><fig id ="fig1_1"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x15.png"/></fig><fig id ="fig1_2"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x14.png"/></fig></fig-group><p>and the DNDC (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.31) model estimates correlated significantly (p &lt; 0.05) with the measured values (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>). None of the models simulated the surface soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x16.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> concentrations for the unfertilized field accurately, showing poor coefficients of determination (R<sup>2</sup> = −0.07 to 0.13). The total error and bias differences between the simulated and measured soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x17.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> concentrations were large and significantly (p &lt; 0.05) greater than their 95% confidence intervals for both fields.</p></sec><sec id="s3_2"><title>3.2. Performance of Models to Simulate GHG Emissions</title><sec id="s3_2_1"><title>3.2.1. N<sub>2</sub>O Emissions</title><p>The maximum N<sub>2</sub>O flux measured across all years was observed in 2004 (56.0 g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>). For the other years the maximum value was 17.6 g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup> and the minimum −8.0 g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>, demonstrating small differences with the unfertilized plot (16.6 versus −10.4 g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>). Regardless of the models, the simulated N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes were consistent over the years but differed from the measured values, and none of the models predicted fluxes less than zero. The N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes varied largely between the fertilized (80.0 - 100.9 g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>) and unfertilized (24.5 - 56.5 g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>) plots, with the highest values predicted by DailyDayCent, including an unusual peak for the unfertilized field (110.1 g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>). The ECOSSE-simulated values correlated well with the measured values (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.33, p &lt; 0.05) under fertilized conditions only (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>). The total bias and error differences between simulated and measured values did not vary significantly with their 95% confidence levels. Similar results were observed for the unfertilized field but the coefficient of determination was poor (R<sup>2</sup> = −0.02 to −0.04, negative).</p><p>For the fertilized fields, both DNDC (87%) and DailyDayCent (81%) underestimated the total N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes</p><table-wrap id="table2" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref></label><caption><title> Statistical comparison between simulated and the measured daily soil NO<sub>3</sub><sup>−</sup> concentration (kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) and N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes (g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) from a conventionally-tilled plot cropped to spring barley</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  >Statistical parameters</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="3"  >Fertilized</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="3"  >Unfertilized (Control)</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="7"  >Soil NO<sub>3</sub><sup>−</sup> concentration</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >R<sup>2</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.31<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.14</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.55<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.07</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.13</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RMSE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >925<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2847<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >115<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >837<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >684<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >169<sup>*</sup></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RMSE<sub>95%</sub> (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >103</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >103</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >103</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >157</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >157</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >157</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−610<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−1807<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−46<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−419<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−497<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−86<sup>*</sup></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RE<sub>95%</sub> (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >66</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >66</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >66</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >65</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >65</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >65</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >MD (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−68</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−203</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−5</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−14</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−16</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−3</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="7"  >N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >R<sup>2</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.02</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.19</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.02</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.03</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.04</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RMSE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >189</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >367</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >154</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >186</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >183</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >197</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RMSE<sub>95%</sub> (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >372</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >372</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >372</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >305</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >305</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >305</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >87</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >74</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−59</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >94</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >87</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−43</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RE<sub>95%</sub> (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >267</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >267</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >267</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >305</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >305</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >305</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >MD (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−3</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−1</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p><sup>*</sup>Significant at 5% level of probability. R<sup>2</sup> = Coefficient of Determination; RMSE = Root Mean Square Error; RE = Relative Error (Mean); MD = Mean Difference; n = 130.</p><fig-group id="fig2"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref></label><caption><title> Comparison of field measured (seasonal/annual; open circle/square with vertical bars as standard errors) N<sub>2</sub>O emissions (g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) with values simulated (line) using the three process-based models over 8 years, commencing from 17 August 2003 (day of harvest), in conventionally-tilled fertilized arable land cropped to spring barley. Solid arrows indicate the days of ploughing and dotted arrows indicate the days of N fertilizer application.</title></caption><fig id ="fig2_1"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x19.png"/></fig><fig id ="fig2_2"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x18.png"/></fig></fig-group><p>(seasonal/annual), whilst the ECOSSE model overestimated these by 59% (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref>). Based on an 8-year average, the DNDC simulated total N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes for the fertilized (207 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) and unfertilized (81 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) fields were 2 - 15 times lower than the estimates provided by the other two models. The DNDC-simulated values resulted in significant underestimation of N<sub>2</sub>O EFs, whilst those derived from DailyDayCent, and the ECOSSE were closer to those calculated from measured values. Compared to the annual EFs derived from measured values, DNDC was 94% lower, DailyDayCent 44% lower, and ECOSSE 35% lower. An estimation discrepancy for total fluxes between integrated values and the corresponding sum of daily fluxes and thereby EFs was observed. On an 8-year average, the simulated N<sub>2</sub>O EF was 0.09% with DNDC, 0.31% with DailyDayCent and 0.52% with the ECOSSE model.</p></sec><sec id="s3_2_2"><title>3.2.2. Ecosystem and Heterotrophic Respiration</title><p>The R<sub>eco</sub> measured using EC from the large fertilized plot reached a maximum flux of 75.6 kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup> during crop growth that decreased to 0.59 kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup> during the non-crop period, corresponding to R<sub>H</sub> (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>). The DNDC simulated values for R<sub>eco</sub> showed trends similar to the measured values, with an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.34 (p &lt; 0.05), and the total bias and error differences between simulated and measured values were ≤34% and ≤91%, respectively (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref>). The estimated R<sub>eco</sub> for the DailyDayCent model also showed trends similar to the measured values, with higher fluxes from 2007 onwards, with an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.41 (p &lt; 0.05) and relatively small total bias (≤50%) and error (≤85%) difference between simulated and measured values. All models simulated R<sub>H</sub> satisfactorily, with R<sup>2</sup> ranging from 0.44 - 0.62 (p &lt; 0.05), with a small bias (≤50%) and error (≤87%) difference between simulated and measured values.</p><p>The annual total R<sub>eco</sub> measured using the EC was on average 6771 kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>, which is closer to the DailyDayCent value (6736) but higher than the DNDC estimate (4455; <xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref>). Based on a 4-year average, the estimated R<sub>H</sub> based on measured values of R<sub>eco</sub> was 3624 kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>, which is closer to the ECOSSE and the DailyDayCent simulated values, but higher than the DNDC estimate (1794 kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>). Based on an 8-year average, the R<sub>H</sub> differed somewhat from the 4-year average though the simulated amount was similar to the measured value.</p></sec><sec id="s3_2_3"><title>3.2.3. CH<sub>4</sub> Fluxes</title><p>The measured CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes (emission and oxidation) were small and differed significantly between the fertilized (−040 to 0.36 g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>) and unfertilized (−0.09 to 0.12) plots (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref>). The highest simulated oxidation and emission, respectively, were 2.92 and 0 g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup> with DNDC, 4.02 and 0 with DailyDayCent, and 0.24 and 0.31 with ECOSSE, providing values closer to the measured ones for the fertilized plot only. The DNDC and the DailyDayCent simulated values correlated poorly with the measured values (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.02), demonstrating</p><table-wrap id="table3" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref></label><caption><title> Statistical comparison between simulated and the measured seasonal and annual N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes (g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) and emission factors (EFs) derived from a conventionally-tilled field cropped to spring barley</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  >Total N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="4"  >Fertilized</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="4"  >Unfertilized (Control)</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Measured</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Measured</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Seasonal (04)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >522</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >137</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >94</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1091</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−20</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >18</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >83</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >816</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Seasonal (05)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1145</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >74</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1066</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >194</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >64</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >342</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual (08 - 09)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1168</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >88</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >380</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2049</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >689</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >61</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >119</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1423</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual (8 yrs Av)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >207</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >644</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2037</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >81</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >218</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1319</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="9"  >N<sub>2</sub>O EFs</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Seasonal (04)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.39</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.09</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.01</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="5"  >0.20</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Seasonal (05)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.60</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.02</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.01</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="5"  >0.46</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual (08 - 09)<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.34</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.02</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.19</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="5"  >0.46</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual (08 - 09)<sup>**</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.06</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.34</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="5"  >0.48</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual (8 yrs Av)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.09</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.31</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="5"  >0.52</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p><sup>*</sup>Integrated (harvest to harvest); <sup>**</sup>Sum of daily simulated values (harvest to harvest); EF = Emission factor.</p><fig-group id="fig3"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref></label><caption><title> Comparison of Eddy Covariance measured (3 years; open circle) CO<sub>2</sub> emissions (R<sub>eco</sub>, soil respiration only; kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) with values simulated (and/or estimated using DNDC-derived fractions for DailyDayCent and ECOSSE; lines, solid/dotted including R<sub>H</sub>, heterotrophic respiration) using the three process-based models over 8 years, commencing from 17 August 2003 (day of harvest), in conventionally-tilled fertilized arable land cropped to spring barley. Solid arrows indicate the days of ploughing and dotted arrows indicate the days of N fertilizer application.</title></caption><fig id ="fig3_1"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x21.png"/></fig><fig id ="fig3_2"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x20.png"/></fig></fig-group><table-wrap id="table4" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref></label><caption><title> Validation of daily soil (R<sub>eco</sub>) and heterotrophic respiration (R<sub>H</sub>) simulated by three process-based models with values measured from spring barley fields</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  >Statistical parameters</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="4"  >R<sub>eco</sub></th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="4"  >R<sub>H</sub></th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Measured</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Measured!</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSEf</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >R<sup>2</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.34<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.41<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.58<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.62<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.44<sup>*</sup></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RMSE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >85</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >91</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >85</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >68</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >87</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >34</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >24</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >7</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >MD (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1<sup>*</sup></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Total CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes kg∙C∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual total R<sub>eco</sub></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6771</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4455</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6736</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual total R<sub>H</sub></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1826</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2668</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3218</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Annual total R<sub>H</sub> (4 yrs average)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3624</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1794</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2744</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3387</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p><sup>*</sup>Significant at 5% level of probability. ! = estimated using DailyDayCent derived ratio; f = R<sub>eco</sub> estimated using a conversion ratio derived from DNDC outputs for ECOSSE and DailyDayCent. R<sup>2</sup> = Coefficient of determination; RMSE = Root Mean Square Error; RE = Relative Error (Mean); MD = Mean Difference.</p><fig-group id="fig4"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref></label><caption><title> Comparison of field measured (seasonal/annual; open circle/square with vertical bars as standard errors) CH<sub>4</sub> emissions/oxidation (g∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) with values simulated (line) using the three process-based models over 8 years, commencing from 17 August 2003 (day of harvest), in conventionally-tilled fertilized arable land cropped to spring barley. Solid arrows indicate the days of ploughing and dotted arrows indicate the days of N fertilizer application.</title></caption><fig id ="fig4_1"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x23.png"/></fig><fig id ="fig4_2"><label></label><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x22.png"/></fig></fig-group><p>large bias and error differences between them (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref>). The ECOSSE simulated values correlated well (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.34, p &lt; 0.05), with the total bias and error differences between simulated and measured values were at &lt; 95% confidence intervals. For the unfertilized plots, either model estimates showed low R<sup>2</sup> values, large total biases and errors.</p><p>Annual budgets based on the measured data showed the arable land to be a small CH<sub>4</sub> source, with an emission of 2.35 g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup> from the unfertilized plot, increasing to 3.50 g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup> for the fertilized plot (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref>). For an 8-year average, the model estimates indicated that cropland was a sink for CH<sub>4</sub>, with the annual oxidation of 666 g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup> predicted by DNDC, 704 g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup> from the DailyDayCent and 28 g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup> from the ECOSSE models. The integrated and sum of the daily flux approaches taken to calculate total CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes showed a small difference.</p></sec></sec></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Discussion</title><sec id="s4_1"><title>4.1. Performance of the Models in Simulating Nitrate-N Concentrations</title><p>Compared to the unfertilized field, the measured soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x24.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> concentration in the fertilized plot following CAN fertilizer application was higher. The decrease in soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x24.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x25.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> concentration over time is pre-assumed to have been due to plant uptake and other N loss processes, such as leaching. The DailyDayCent and DNDC-predicted</p><table-wrap id="table5" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref></label><caption><title> Validation of daily CH<sub>4</sub> effluxes (g∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>) simulated by three process-based models with values measured from spring barley fields and their total fluxes</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  >Statistical parameters</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="4"  >Fertilized</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="4"  >Unfertilized (Control)</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >R<sup>2</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.02</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >0.02</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.34</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.02</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.07</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RMSE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >18,926<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >183,761<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >401</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >38,037<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2286<sup>*</sup></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RMSE<sub>95%</sub> (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >14,821</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >14,821</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >14,821</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2071</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2071</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RE (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >17,564<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >16,786<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-65</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >35,238<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1670<sup>*</sup></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RE<sub>95%</sub> (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >101,499</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >101,499</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >101,499</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1318</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1318</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >MD (%)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >2<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2<sup>*</sup></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0<sup>*</sup></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Total annual fluxes (g∙C∙ha<sup>−</sup><sup>1</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Measured</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Measured</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DNDC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >DailyDayCent</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >ECOSSE</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Integrated</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−646</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−612</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.35</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−729</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−31.1</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Sum of daily flux</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−682</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−657</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−28</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−712</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−31.4</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >8 years average</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−666</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−704</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−28</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−667</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−30.3</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p><sup>*</sup>Significant at 5% level of probability. R<sup>2</sup> = Coefficient of determination; RMSE = Root Mean Square Error; RE = Relative Error (Mean); MD = Mean Difference.</p><p>soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x26.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> levels are noisy, and attributed to a mismatch between plant N uptake and other N loss processes, or due to errors associated with the crop growth module, particularly for the latter model. Moreover, the simulated upper or lower limit of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x26.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x27.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> levels are generally above the measurement values. Similar large overestimations were reported by others [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref24">24</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref25">25</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref38">38</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref45">45</xref>] using the earlier DNDC versions. This may be ascribed to limitations in the ability of the models to accurately account for variable soil depth increments or movement through soils and/or high mineralization of N and rapid nitrification.</p><p>The ECOSSE simulated values are closer to the amount of NO<sub>3</sub>-N applied, in line with the results of other researchers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref36">36</xref>] , and consistent over the 8 years, unlike the simulations predicted by the other two. With the exception of fertilizer-induced peaks in<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, there were small differences between fertilized and unfertilized plots. Statistical evaluations confirm that the ECOSSE model can simulate soil <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> well (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.50) for the fertilized field, and that it performs better than DNDC (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.31) and DailyDayCent (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.14). However, all the models have difficulties in predicting background levels of soil<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, though the total bias and error differences are within their 95% confidence intervals, in line with the DNDC v9.2 estimates [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref25">25</xref>] .</p></sec><sec id="s4_2"><title>4.2. Simulation Capacity of the Models for GHG Emissions</title><sec id="s4_2_1"><title>4.2.1. N<sub>2</sub>O Emissions</title><p>Simulated N<sub>2</sub>O emissions using the three models are reasonably consistent over the different years. However, all models are unable to predict N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes less than zero. This contrasts with the measured values where a sink of N<sub>2</sub>O under conditions of low oxygen and/or mineral N was observed [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref7">7</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref46">46</xref>] . DailyDayCent simulated N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes reasonably well. The total bias and error differences are somewhat large but within their 95% confidence levels. This indicates a high predictive potentials for the models although only the ECOSSE-simulated values show a significant relationship with the measured ones under fertilized conditions, in agreement with other observations [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref36">36</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref38">38</xref>] . Higher R<sup>2</sup> values for cumulative N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes derived from DNDC simulated values were reported by other workers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref25">25</xref>] but these did not correspond with the daily fluxes. Similar strong relationships for total N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes might be achieved from the other two models; however, the overall performance mainly depends on daily fluxes. Given that the simulated values were within the 95% confidence intervals, none of the models simulated daily N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes particularly well for the unfertilized field. Thus, an appropriate methodological compromise for the calculation of EFs may not be achievable without considering other factors controlling N<sub>2</sub>O emissions.</p><p>For the fertilized fields, both DNDC and DailyDayCent underestimated, and the ECOSSE model overestimated the total N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes (seasonal/annual). Based on an 8-year average, DNDC simulated total fluxes are 2 - 15 times lower than the DailyDayCent and the ECOSSE estimates. The variations among the model estimates and their relationship with key driving forces such as soil water and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> levels are assumed to be functionally related to the production and release of N<sub>2</sub>O [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref28">28</xref>] . These are consistent with the DNDC and the DailyDayCent-simulated peaks. This indicates that both models consider denitrification as the major contributor to N<sub>2</sub>O production. In contrast, nitrification might be the major pathway in the ECOSSE model and the N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes are reasonably consistent with the simulated <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/1-3001454x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> levels; however, further enhancement of the emissions is possible with increasing soil water contents provided that substrate supply is not limiting [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref37">37</xref>] . The results from ECOSSE are in general agreement with the literature values for total N<sub>2</sub>O emissions from crop fields, which range from 0.7 to 3.5 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup>∙yr<sup>−1</sup> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref47">47</xref>] - [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref50">50</xref>] . The inconsistencies and uncertainties in the modelled predictions are thought to be partially associated with differences in model version, methods of data analyses, and crop managements between years as well as the use of default values particularly for DNDC and DailyDayCent.</p><p>Similarly, a large underestimations of N<sub>2</sub>O EFs by DNDC as well as by DailyDayCent, compared to the measured data, are evident. Estimation of EFs using simulated values is constrained by total flux differences between the fertilized and unfertilized plots. Replacement of unfertilized values by using background annual N<sub>2</sub>O emissions of 1 kg∙N∙ha<sup>−1</sup> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref41">41</xref>] could also be erroneous. Similar overall underestimations, particularly using the earlier versions of DNDC, have been reported [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref24">24</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref25">25</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref51">51</xref>] . This may be attributed to the limited number of field measurements, as this could result in large uncertainties in the measured values [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref52">52</xref>] . The fact that the DailyDayCent model also underestimated the N<sub>2</sub>O EF (44%), with similar findings using DayCent (~25%), when compared with the default annual value, was reported by Del Grosso et al. (2005). In contrast, the ECOSSE model, on average, increased the EF by 35%, but was within a closer range of the measured estimate (0.52%). This is in line with the previous version of the model used [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref53">53</xref>] , although it is still lower than the IPCC default value (1%).</p><p>There is a discrepancy between the integration approach and the corresponding sum of daily fluxes in calculating the total/cumulative N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes, which may under or overestimate the values, depending on the corresponding peak sizes, and thereby influence the EFs. Nitrous oxide emissions show large temporal and/or spatial variability [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref54">54</xref>] , resulting in an EF uncertainty of &gt;50% [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref55">55</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref56">56</xref>] . This uncertainty could be more significant over several years of measurements than management-induced variations [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref49">49</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref57">57</xref>] . However, the lower measured total N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes and the corresponding EFs may be explained by the application of CAN during a relatively dry period, leading to less denitrification, and a higher SOC density, which is favourable for complete denitrification to occur under anoxic conditions. The above statement remains equivocal due to intermittent gas sampling, suggesting the need for intensive/continuous sampling to cover the impact of tillage, fertilization, rainfall events and other environmental factors that regulate the degree of N<sub>2</sub>O emissions. Moreover, further improvements of the models by identifying errors associated with the processes that interactively produce N<sub>2</sub>O are imperative. The use of more robust measurement protocols are also required for accurate validation and calculation of N<sub>2</sub>O EFs across disaggregated land use types and in response to different management practices.</p></sec><sec id="s4_2_2"><title>4.2.2. Ecosystem and Heterotrophic Respiration</title><p>The simulated values for R<sub>eco</sub> from both DailyDayCent and DNDC demonstrated good correlation with the measured values (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.41 versus 0.34, p &lt; 0.05), with relatively small total bias and error differences. Likewise, DNDC simulates well the cumulative CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes of cropland sites in Europe, except for some overestimation of net CO<sub>2</sub> uptake [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref58">58</xref>] . It was found that DayCent provided robust simulated CO<sub>2</sub> emissions for various land use systems [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref18">18</xref>] . Our study indicates that a further improvement of both models is required to remove the discrepancy with regard to the mis-match between the simulated CO<sub>2</sub> peaks and the measured values. Irrespective of the models, this shift cannot be seen for R<sub>H</sub> in the modelled values, which correlated well (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.44 - 0.62; p &lt; 0.05), with small biases and errors. The DailyDayCent and DNDC simulated R<sub>H</sub> better than ECOSSE. The relatively poor performance of ECOSSE is probably due to the estimation errors associated with the requirement to convert the measured R<sub>eco</sub> data to R<sub>H</sub>.</p><p>Accordingly, the annual estimates for the total R<sub>eco</sub> measured using EC (6771 kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) is closer to the global cropland average (5440 &#177; 800 kg∙C∙ha<sup>−1</sup>) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref59">59</xref>] . The measured value is similar to the DailyDayCent predictions whilst DNDC underestimated it by 34%, which may be attributed to the poor prediction of soil water content between 50% and 80% WFPS [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref60">60</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref61">61</xref>] or around 55% - 60% [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref62">62</xref>] . Soil water as a confounding factor together with soil temperature also regulates the processes involved in decomposition [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref63">63</xref>] . Decomposition decreases as the soil dries the extent of the decrease is determined by diffusion limitations and the availability of oxygen [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref64">64</xref>] . Higher temperatures are often accompanied by low water contents and vice versa [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref65">65</xref>] and the strong interdependencies between these two factors make it difficult to separate their effects on soil respiration. Moreover, it was reported that DNDC may not predict R<sub>eco</sub> perfectly, due to some limitations in the crop growth module [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref66">66</xref>] . The crop growth module has an application of a sigmoid curve based upon degree days which require additional parameters, e.g. base temperature, degree days of phenology stages and radiation use efficiency to correctly define the growth curves for crops in terms of temporal carbon take up. Despite having a lower R<sup>2</sup>, the ECOSSE model simulated total R<sub>H</sub> values that were closer to the measured values, whilst the DailyDayCent and DNDC values underestimated it. Similar values based on the 8-year average were also observed, implying that the ECOSSE predicts R<sub>H</sub> better than the other two models. This can be attributed to the absence of crop growth and biomass-related inputs to run the models.</p></sec><sec id="s4_2_3"><title>4.2.3. CH<sub>4</sub> Emission/Oxidation</title><p>The measured data demonstrated both CH<sub>4</sub> emissions and oxidation though the magnitude of the fluxes was relatively small. This might be linked to the contribution of R<sub>H</sub> with simultaneous influence of mainly soil water contents/precipitation events creating aerobic and anaerobic conditions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref8">8</xref>] . The measured peaks for CH<sub>4</sub> show a stimulating effect of N fertilization on both emissions and oxidation. The three models are unable to predict similar trends, and are assumed to be constrained by several regulating factors, so that consideration of the flux variations between fertilized and unfertilized fields may not be appropriate for judging the model’s performance. Both DNDC and DailyDayCent predict CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation, in line with former versions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref38">38</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref67">67</xref>] , and the ECOSSE also provided values closer to the measured ones, showing small sources, particularly for the fertilized field. The simulated and measured values are poorly correlated, including remarkably high total bias and error differences, particularly with the DNDC and DailyDayCent models. The modified version of ECOSSE used in this study performs better (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.34) than the previous one [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref53">53</xref>] . Although the CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes from arable lands might have less impact in terms of overall GHG accounting the functional relationship between C and N emissions need to be improved for accurate estimations.</p><p>The measured data show that cropland is a CH<sub>4</sub> source that increases with the application of N fertilizer, indicating fertilizer-induced limitation for CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation to occur. Arable soils are mainly considered as a sink rather than a source of CH<sub>4</sub> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref8">8</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref68">68</xref>] . Indeed, tillage and N fertilization have a tendency to reduce oxidation potentials [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref69">69</xref>] . Increased CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation in arable soils [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref46">46</xref>] may be linked to well aerated conditions with a positive redox potential that limits methanogenic activities through draining, coupled with ploughing [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.69777-ref70">70</xref>] . The three models also demonstrated an annual reduction in CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation from the N fertilizer-treated plots compared to the unfertilized ones. However, the higher predicted oxidation with the DNDC and DailyDayCent models compared to ECOSSE indicates that annual estimates are not in agreement with the amounts of mineral N either mineralized and/or applied as fertilizer. These results suggest that functional constraints on the DailyDayCent and DNDC models for predicting CH<sub>4</sub> emissions were greater, in comparison to the ECOSSE model and assumed to be mainly due to input parametric limitations.</p></sec></sec></sec><sec id="s5"><title>5. Conclusion</title><p>Compared to the measured values, ECOSSE could simulate nitrate concentration more robustly than DNDC and DailyDayCent. Both DNDC and DailyDayCent underestimated daily and total N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes compared to ECOSSE, providing an improved prediction of fertilizer-induced N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes and EFs. All models could simulate soil and/or heterotrophic respiration adequately, except for an underestimation with DNDC that may be related to the greater impact of variations in soil properties compared to other model predictions. Only the ECOSSE model was able to predict field CH<sub>4</sub> emissions/oxidation that were closer to the measured ones, and demonstrate the overall dominance of oxidation processes. There are constraints in terms of processes and driving forces in all the models for predicting coupled C and N emissions, leading to the underestimation of GHGs. Thus, refinement and further validation of the models using country-specific activity data are required to better predict GHG emissions. In addition, to avoid a dependency on default inputs that may lead to significant errors in the model outputs more measurements are required that account for temporal and spatial variability. Furthermore, validations and sensitivity tests need to focus more on site-related characteristics, land use differences, management interventions, and climatic factors for providing national GHG estimates and for identification of mitigation options.</p></sec><sec id="s6"><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>The senior author gratefully acknowledges the funding by the Science, Technology, Research and Innovation for the Environment (STRIVE) Programme of the Irish Government under the National Development Plan 2007-2013 and the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government. The authors would like to thanks Phillip O’Brien (EPA) for extending technical and relevant support; Mike Williams, Mike Jones and Matt Saunders (TCD), Komsan Rueangritsarakul and Mohamed Helmy (UCD) for supplying experimental data for modelling work; as well as Tom Bolger and Tommy Gallagher (UCD) for providing administrative support.</p></sec><sec id="s7"><title>Cite this paper</title><p>Mohammad I. Khalil,Mohamed Abdalla,Gary Lanigan,Bruce Osborne,Christoph M&#252;ller,1 1, (2016) Evaluation of Parametric Limitations in Simulating Greenhouse Gas Fluxes from Irish Arable Soils Using Three Process-Based Models. Agricultural Sciences,07,503-520. doi: 10.4236/as.2016.78051</p></sec><sec id="s8"><title>NOTES</title></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.69777-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="book" xlink:type="simple">[1]IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. In: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K.B., Tignor, M. and Miller, H.L., Eds., Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 996 p.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Weiske, A. and Petersen, S.O. (2006) Mitigation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Livestock Production. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 112, 105-106. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2005.08.009</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Duffy, P., Hanley, E., Black, K., O’Brien, P., Hyde, B., Ponzi, J. and Alam, S. (2015) Ireland’s National Inventory Report 2015. Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2013 Reported to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Environmental Protection Agency (An Ghníomhaireacht um Chaomhnú Comhshaoil), Wexford, Ireland, 609 p.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="journal" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Conrad</surname><given-names> R. </given-names></name>,<etal>et al</etal>. (<year>1996</year>)<article-title>Soil Microorganisms as Controllers of Atmospheric Trace Gases (H2, CO, CH4, OCS, N2O, and NO)</article-title><source> Microbiology Review</source><volume> 60</volume>,<fpage> 609</fpage>-<lpage>640</lpage>.<pub-id pub-id-type="doi"></pub-id></mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Drury, C.F., Oloya, T.O., McKenney, D.J., Gregorich, E.G., Tan, C.S. and van Luyk, C.L. (1998) Long-Term Effects of Fertilization and Rotation on Denitrification and Soil Carbon. Soil Science Society of America Journal, 62, 1572-1579. http://dx.doi.org/10.2136/sssaj1998.03615995006200060014x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Chan, A.S.K. and Parkin, T.B. (2001) Effect of Land Use on Methane Flux from Soil. Journal of Environmental Quality, 30, 786-797. http://dx.doi.org/10.2134/jeq2001.303786x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Khalil, M.I., Rosenani, A.B., Van Cleemput, O., Fauziah, C.I. and Shamshuddin, J. (2002) Nitrous Oxide Emission from an Ultisol of the Humid Tropics under Maize-Groundnut Rotation. Journal of Environmental Quality, 31, 1071-1078. http://dx.doi.org/10.2134/jeq2002.1071</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Khalil, M.I. and Baggs, E.M. (2005) Soil Water-Filled Pore Space Affects the Interaction between CH4 Oxidation, Nitrification and N2O Emissions. Soil Biology and Biochemistry, 37, 1785-1794.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2005.02.012</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref9"><label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Stehfest, E. and Bouwman, L. (2006) N2O and NO Emission from Agricultural Fields and Soils under Natural Vegetation: Summarizing Available Measurement Data and Modeling of Global Annual Emissions. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 74, 207-228. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10705-006-9000-7</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref10"><label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rochette, P., Angers, D.A., Chantigny, M.H., Gagnon, B. and Bertrand, N. (2008) N2O Fluxes in Soils of Contrasting Textures Fertilized with Liquid and Solid Dairy Cattle Manures. Canadian Journal of Soil Science, 88, 175-187.   
http://dx.doi.org/10.4141/CJSS06016</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref11"><label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Richter, J. and Roelcke, M. (2000) The N-Cycle as Determined by Intensive Agriculture: Examples from Central Europe and China. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 57, 33-46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1009802225307</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref12"><label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Khalil, M.I. and Inubushi, K. (2007) Possibilities to Reduce Rice Straw-Induced Global Warming Potential of a Sandy Paddy Soil by Combining Hydrological Manipulations and Urea-N Fertilizations. Soil Biology and Biochemistry, 39, 2675-2681. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2007.05.003</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref13"><label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="book" xlink:type="simple">Oenema, O., Bannink, A., Sommer, S.G. and Velthof, G.L. (2001) Gaseous Nitrogen Emissions form Livestock Farming Systems. In: Follett, R.F., Hatfield, J.L., Eds., Nitrogen in the Environment: Sources, Problems, and Management Ch. 10, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 255-289. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-044450486-9/50012-1</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref14"><label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">IPCC (1996) Chapter 5, Land-Use Change and Forestry. Revised 1996 Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. In: Reference Manual, The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Blacknell, 5.6-5.75.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref15"><label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="book" xlink:type="simple">IPCC (2006) Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use. In: Eggleston, H.S., Buendia, L., Miwa, K., Ngara, T., Tanabe K., Eds., IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, Hayama, Prepared by the National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref16"><label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Giltrap, D.L., Li, C. and Saggar, S. (2010) DNDC: A Process-Based Model of Greenhouse Gas Fluxes from Agricultural Soils. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 136, 292-300. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2009.06.014</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref17"><label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ambus, P. and Christensen, S. (1995) Spatial and Seasonal Nitrous Oxide and Methane Fluxes in Danish Forest-, Grassland-, and Agroecosystems. Journal of Environmental Quality, 24, 993-1001.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.2134/jeq1995.00472425002400050031x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref18"><label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Frolking, S.E., Mosier, A.R., Ojima, D.S., Li, C., Parton, W.J., Potter, C.S., et al. (1998) Comparison of N2O Emissions from Soils at Three Temperate Agricultural Sites: Simulations of Year-Round Measurements by Four Models. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 52, 77-105. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1009780109748</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref19"><label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Li, C., Frolking, S. and Harriss, R. (1994) Modeling Carbon Biogeochemistry in Agricultural Soils. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 8, 237-254. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/94GB00767</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref20"><label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Parton, W.J., Hartman, M.D., Ojima, D.S. and Schimel, D.S. (1998) DAYCENT: Its Land Surface Submodel: Description and Testing. Global and Planetary Change, 19, 35-48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8181(98)00040-X</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref21"><label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="book" xlink:type="simple">Del Grosso, S.J., Parton, W.J., Mosier, A.R., Hartman, M.D., Brenner, J., Ojima, D.S. and Schimel, D.S. (2001) Simulated Interaction of Carbon Dynamics and Nitrogen Trace Gas Fluxes Using the DAYCENT Model. In: Schaffer, M., Ma, L. and Hansen, S., Eds., Modeling Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics for Soil Management, CRC Press, Boca Raton, 303-332.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref22"><label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Smith, J.U., Gottschalk, P., Bellarby, P.J., Chapman, S., Lilly, A., Towers, W., et al. (2010) Estimating Changes in National Soil Carbon Stocks Using ECOSSE—A New Model That Includes Upland Organic Soils. Part I. Model Description and Uncertainty in National Scale Simulations of Scotland. Climate Research, 45, 179-192.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr00899</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref23"><label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Gottschalk, P., Wattenbach, M., Neftel, A., Fuhrer, J., Jones, M., Lanigan, G., et al. (2007) The Role of Measurement Uncertainties for the Simulation of Grassland Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) in Europe. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 121, 175-185. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2006.12.026</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref24"><label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Abdalla, M., Wattenbach, M., Smith, P., Ambus, P., Jones, M. and Williams, M. (2009) Application of the DNDC Model to Predict Emissions of N2O from Irish Agriculture. Geoderma, 151, 327-337.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2009.04.021</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref25"><label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Abdalla, M., Rueangritsarakul, K., Jones, M., Osborne, B., Helmy, M., Roth, B., et al. (2012) How Effective Is Reduced Tillage-Cover Crop Management in Reducing N2O Fluxes from Arable Crop Soils? Water, Air and Soil Pollution, 223, 5155-5174. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11270-012-1268-4</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref26"><label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Li, D., Lanigan, G. and Humphreys, J. (2011) Measured and Simulated N2O Emissions from Ryegrass and Ryegrass/ Clover Swards in a Moist Temperate Climate. PLoS ONE, 6, e26176. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0026176</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref27"><label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rafique, R., Peichl, M., Hennessy, D. and Kiely, G. (2011) Evaluating Management Effects on Nitrous Oxide Emissions from Grasslands Using the Process-Based DeNitrification-DeComposition (DNDC) Model. Atmospheric Environment, 45, 6029-6039. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.07.046</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref28"><label>28</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Xu, X., Liu, W., Zhang, C. and Kiely, G. (2011) Modeling the Change in Soil Organic Carbon of Grassland in Response to Climate Change: Effects of Measured versus Modeled Carbon Pools for Initializing the Rothamsted Carbon Model. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 140, 371-382. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2010.12.018</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref29"><label>29</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Byrne, K. and Kiely, G. (2012) Evaluation of Models (PaSim, RothC, CENTURY and DNDC) for Simulation of Grassland Carbon Cycling at Plot, Field and Regional Scale.  
http://www.epa.ie/pubs/reports/research/land/STRIVE_20_Byrne_GrassCarbonCycling_web.pdf</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref30"><label>30</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">CSO (Central Statistics Office) (2016) Agriculture-Area Yield and Production of Selected Crops for 2014.  
http://www.cso.ie/quicktables/GetQuickTables.aspx?FileName=AQA04.asp&amp;TableName=Area+Yield+and+Production+of+Selected+Crops</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref31"><label>31</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Khalil, M.I., Kiely, G., O’Brien, P. and Müller, C. (2013) Organic Carbon Stocks in Agricultural Soils in Ireland Using Combined Empirical and GIS Approaches. Geoderma, 193-194, 222-235.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2012.10.005</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref32"><label>32</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Abdalla, M., Jones, M., Ambus, P. and Williams, M. (2010) Emissions of N2O from Irish Arable Soils: Effects of Tillage and Reduced N Input. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 86, 53-65.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10705-009-9273-8</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref33"><label>33</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Abdalla, M., Jones, M. and Williams. M. (2010) Simulation of N2O Fluxes from Irish Arable Soils: Effect of Climate Change and Management. Biology and Fertility of Soils, 46, 247-260. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00374-009-0424-5</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref34"><label>34</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Davis, P.A., Clifton Browne, J., Saunders, M., Lanigan, G., Wright, E., Fortune, T., et al. (2010) Assessing the Effects of Agricultural Management Practices on Carbon Fluxes: Spatial Variation and the Need for Replicated Estimates of Net Ecosystem Exchange. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150, 564-574.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.01.021</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref35"><label>35</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Compton, J.E. and Boone, R.D. (2000) Long-Term Impacts of Agriculture on Soil Carbon and Nitrogen in New England Forests. Ecological Society of America, 81, 2314-2330.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2000)081[2314:ltioao]2.0.co;2</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref36"><label>36</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Bell, M.J., Jones, E., Smith, J., Smith, P., Yeluripati, J., Augustin, J., Juszczak, R., Olejnik, J. and Sommer, M. (2012) Simulation of Soil Nitrogen, Nitrous Oxide Emissions and Mitigation Scenarios at 3 European Cropland Sites Using the ECOSSE Model. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 92, 161-181. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10705-011-9479-4</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref37"><label>37</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Khalil, M.I., Richards, M., Osborne, B., Williams, M. and Müller, C. (2013) Simulation and Sensitivity of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and SOC Stock to Arable Site Characteristics and Management Using the ECOSSE Model. Atmospheric Environment, 81, 616-624. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2013.09.038</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref38"><label>38</label><mixed-citation publication-type="book" xlink:type="simple">Smith, P., Martino, D., Cai, Z., Gwary, D., Janzen, H., Kumar, P., et al. (2007) Agriculture. In: Metz, B., Davidson, O.R., Bosch, P.R., Dave, R. and Meyer, L.A., Eds., Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the 4th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 497-540.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref39"><label>39</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Li, C.S. (2000) Modeling Trace Gas Emissions from Agricultural Ecosystems. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 58, 259-276. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1009859006242</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref40"><label>40</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Li, C.S. (2007) Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Soils: Scientific Basis and Modeling Approach. Soil Science and Plant Nutrition, 53, 344-352. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-0765.2007.00133.x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref41"><label>41</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Parton, W.J., Mosier, A.R., Ojima, D.S., Valentine, D.W., Schimel, D.S., Weier, K. and Kulmala, A.E. (1996) Generalized Model for N2 and N2O Production from Nitrification and Denitrification. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10, 401-412. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/96GB01455</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref42"><label>42</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Del Grosso, S.J., Ojima, D.S., Parton, W.J., Mosier, A.R., Petereson, G.A. and Schimel, D.S. (2002) Simulated Effects of Dryland Cropping Intensification on Soil Organic Matter and Greenhouse Gas Exchanges Using the DAYCENT Ecosystem Model. Environmental Pollution, 116, S75-S83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0269-7491(01)00260-3</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref43"><label>43</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Del Grosso, S.J., Parton, W.J., Adler, P.R., Davis, S., Keogh, C. and Marx, E. (2012) DayCent Model Simulations for Estimating Soil Carbon Dynamics and Greenhouse Gas Fluxes from Agricultural Production Systems. Book Chapter, Elsevier Inc., New York, 241-250. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-386897-8.00014-0</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref44"><label>44</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Smith, J.U. and Smith, P. (2010) A Worksheet to Compare Modelled with Measured Results (MODEVAL v2.0). School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref45"><label>45</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Del Grosso, S.J., Mosier, A.R., Parton, W.J. and Ojima, D.S. (2005) DAYCENT Model Analysis of Past and Contemporary Soil N2O and Net Greenhouse Gas Flux for Major Crops in the USA. Soil and Tillage Research, 83, 9-24.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2005.02.007</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref46"><label>46</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Chapuis-Lardy, L., Wrange, N., Metay, A., Chotte J.L. and Bernoux, M. (2007) Soils, a Sink for N2O? A Review. Global Change Biology, 13, 1-17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01280.x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref47"><label>47</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kaiser, E.A. and Heinemeyer, O. (1996) Temporal Changes in N2O-Losses from Two Arable Soils. Plant and Soil, 181, 57-63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00011292</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref48"><label>48</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Flessa, H., Wild, U., Klemisch, M. and Pfadenhauer, J. (1998) Nitrous Oxide and Methane Fluxes from Organic Soils under Agriculture. European Journal of Soil Science, 49, 327-335. http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2389.1998.00156.x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref49"><label>49</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kaiser, E.A., Kohrs, K., Kucke, M., Schnug, E., Heinemeyer, O. and Munch, J.C. (1998) Nitrous Oxide Release from Arable Soil: Importance of N Fertilization, Crops and Temporal Variation. Soil Biology and Biochemistry, 30, 1553-1563. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0038-0717(98)00036-4</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref50"><label>50</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">De Gryze, S., Wolf, A., Kaffka, S.R., Mitchell, J., Rolston, D.E., Temple, S.R., Lee, J. and Six, J. (2010) Simulating Greenhouse Gas Budgets of Four California Cropping Systems under Conventional and Alternative Management. Ecological Applications, 20, 1805-1819. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/09-0772.1</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref51"><label>51</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Beheydt, D., Boeckx, P., Sleutel, S., Li, C. and Van Cleemput, O. (2007) Validation of DNDC for 22 Long-Term N2O Field Emission Measurements. Atmospheric Environment, 41, 6196-6211.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2007.04.003</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref52"><label>52</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Parkin, T.B. (2008) Effect of Sampling Frequency on Estimates of Cumulative Nitrous Oxide Emissions. Journal of Environmental Quality, 37, 1390-1395. http://dx.doi.org/10.2134/jeq2007.0333</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref53"><label>53</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Khalil, M.I., Smith, J.U., Abdalla, M., O’Brien, P., Smith, P. and Müller, C. (2012) Simulation of Greenhouse Gases and Organic Carbon in an Irish Arable Land Using the ECOSSE Model. Proceedings of the Agricultural Research Forum Meeting, Tullamore, 12-13 March 2012, 110.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref54"><label>54</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Khalil, M.I., Van Cleemput, O., Rosenani, A.B. and Schmidhalter, U. (2007) Daytime, Temporal and Seasonal Variations of N2O Emissions in an Upland Cropping System of the Humid Tropics. Communications in Soil Science and Plant Analysis, 38, 189-204. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00103620601094122</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref55"><label>55</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Lim, B., Boileau, P., Bonduki, Y., van Amstel, A.R., Janssen, L.H.J.M., Oliveier, J.G.J. and Kroeze, C. (1999) Improving the Quality of National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Environmental Science and Policy, 2, 335-346.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1462-9011(99)00023-4</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref56"><label>56</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mosier, A., Kroeze, C., Nevison, C., Oenema, O., Seitzinger, S. and van Cleemput, O. (1999) An Overview of the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Methodology for Nitrous Oxide from Agriculture. Environmental Science &amp; Policy, 2, 325-333.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref57"><label>57</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Clayton, H., McTaggart, I.P., Parker, J., Swan, L. and Smith, K.A. (1997) Nitrous Oxide Emission from Fertilised Grassland: A 2-Year Study of the Effects of N Fertiliser Form and Environmental Conditions. Biology and Fertility of Soils, 25, 252-260. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s003740050311</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref58"><label>58</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Dietiker, D., Buchmann, N. and Eugster, W. (2010) Testing the Ability of the DNDC Model to Predict CO2 and Water Vapour Fluxes of a Swiss Cropland Site. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 139, 396-401.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2010.09.002</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref59"><label>59</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Raich, J.W. and Schelesinger, W.H. (1992) The Global Carbon Dioxide Flux in Soil Respiration and Its Relationship to Vegetation and Climate. Tellus, 44B, 81-99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.1992.t01-1-00001.x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref60"><label>60</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Pal, D. and Broadbent, F.E. (1975) Influence of Moisture on Rice Straw Decomposition in Soils. Soil Science Society of America Journal, 39, 59-63. http://dx.doi.org/10.2136/sssaj1975.03615995003900010018x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref61"><label>61</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Weihermüller, L., Huisman, J.A., Graf, A., Herbst, M. and Sequaris, J.-M. (2009) Multistep Outflow Experiments for the Simultaneous Determination of Soil Physical and CO2 Production Parameters. Vadose Zone Journal, 8, 772-782.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.2136/vzj2008.0041</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref62"><label>62</label><mixed-citation publication-type="book" xlink:type="simple">Doran, J.W., Mielke, L.N. and Stamatiadis, S. (1988) Microbial Activity and N Cycling as Regulated by Soil Water-Filled Pore Space. In: Witney, B.D., Spoor, G., Soane, B.D. and Douglas, J.T., Eds., Tillage and Traffic in Crop Production: Proceedings of the 11th International Soil Tillage Research Organization, Vol. 1, International Soil Tillage Research Organization, Edinburgh, 49-54.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref63"><label>63</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Reichstein, M. and Beer, C. (2008) Soil Respiration across Scales: The Importance of a Model-Data Integration Framework for Data Interpretation. Journal of Plant Nutrition and Soil Science, 171, 344-354.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jpln.200700075</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref64"><label>64</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Paustian, K., Andrén, O., Janzen, H.H., Lal, R., Smith, P., Tian, G., et al. (1997) Agricultural Soils as a Sink to Mitigate CO2 Emissions. Soil Use and Management, 13, 230-244. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-2743.1997.tb00594.x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref65"><label>65</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Davidson, E.A., Belk, E. and Boone, R.D. (1998) Soil Water Content and Temperature as Independent or Confounded Factors Controlling Soil Respiration in a Temperate Mixed Hardwood Forest. Global Change Biology, 4, 217-227.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.1998.00128.x</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref66"><label>66</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Abdalla, M., Saunders, M., Hastings, A., Williams, M., Smith, P., Osborne, B., Lanigan, G. and Jones, M.B. (2013) Simulating the Impacts of Land Use in Northwest Europe on Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE): The Role of Arable Ecosystems, Grasslands and Forest Plantations in Climate Change Mitigation. Science of the Total Environment, 465, 325-336. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2012.12.030</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref67"><label>67</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Li, C.S., Frolking, S. and Butterbach-Bahl, K. (2005) Carbon Sequestration in Arable Soils Is Likely to Increase Nitrous Oxide Emissions, Offsetting Reductions in Climate Radiative Forcing. Climatic Change, 72, 321-338.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-6791-5</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref68"><label>68</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Bodelier, P.L.E. and Laanbroek, H.J. (2004) Nitrogen as a Regulatory Factor of Methane Oxidation in Soils and Sediments. FEMS Microbiology and Ecology, 47, 265-277. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0168-6496(03)00304-0</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref69"><label>69</label><mixed-citation publication-type="book" xlink:type="simple">Bronson, K.F. and Mosier, A.R. (1993) Nitrous Oxide Emission and Methane Consumption in Wheat and Corn Cropped Systems in Northeastern Colorado. In: Harper, L.A., Mosier, A.R., Duxbury J.M. and Rolston, D.E., Eds., Agricultural Ecosystem Effects on Trace Gases and Global Climate Change, ASA Special Publication No. 55, ASA, CSSA and SSSA, Madison, 133-144.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.69777-ref70"><label>70</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Borken, W., Xu, Y.-J. and Beese, F. (2003) Conversion of Hardwood Forests to Spruce and Pine Plantations Strongly Reduced Soil Methane Sink in Germany. Global Change Biology, 9, 956-966.  
http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00631.x</mixed-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>