<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">OJEMD</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Open Journal of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2165-7424</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/ojemd.2015.512023</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">OJEMD-62182</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Medicine&amp;Healthcare</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  The Best Central Adiposity Index in the Prediction of Cardiovascular Risk Factors in South-Western Nigeria
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>aiwo</surname><given-names>Hussean Raimi</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Olufemi</surname><given-names>Fasanmade</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Olatunde</surname><given-names>Odusan</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Augustine</surname><given-names>Efedaye Ohwovoriole</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Medicine, Lagos University Teaching Hospital, Idi-Araba, Nigeria</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Department of Medicine, Olabisi Onabanjo University Teaching Hospital, Sagamu, Nigeria</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Department of Medicine, Ekiti State University/Ekiti State University Teaching Hospital, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>adechristie2004@yahoo.com(AHR)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>08</day><month>12</month><year>2015</year></pub-date><volume>05</volume><issue>12</issue><fpage>184</fpage><lpage>192</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>30</day>	<month>October</month>	<year>2015</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>accepted</day>	<month>21</month>	<year>December</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>24</day>	<month>December</month>	<year>2015</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  Objective: To determine the best index of central obesity that predicts cardiovascular risk factors (general obesity and hypertension). Methods: A cross-sectional study involving nine hundred and sixteen (443 males and 473 females) participants of a community health survey in Sagamu and Remo-North Local Government Areas of Ogun State, Nigeria. The body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) of the participants were determined by standard protocols. Pearson correlation between BMI and the three central obesity indices was determined. The area under curve (AUC) on the ROC was used to determine the best measure of central obesity which identified individuals with general obesity and hypertension. Results: WHtR and WC were better than WHR at detecting the presence of both general obesity and hypertension in both males (WHtR vs WHR {difference in areas = 0.131} p &lt; 0.0001; WC vs WHR {difference in areas = 0.132} p &lt; 0.0001), and females (WHtR and WHR {difference in areas = 0.214} p &lt; 0.0001; WC and WHR {difference in areas = 0.205} p &lt; 0.0001). Conclusions: WHtR is as good as WC but better than WHR in identifying individuals with cardiovascular risk factors, and may also be a good criterion to diagnose metabolic syndrome.
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Central Obesity</kwd><kwd> Cardiovascular Risk Factors</kwd><kwd> Prediction</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>Obesity is now a global epidemic, and its comorbidities include coronary heart disease, hypertension and stroke, certain types of cancer, type 2 diabetes mellitus, gallbladder disease, dyslipidemias, osteoarthritis and gout, and pulmonary diseases [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref1">1</xref>] . Furthermore, it is associated with increased mortality [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref2">2</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref3">3</xref>] . Fat accumulation occurs in different regions of the body. Body mass index (BMI) is a measure of general obesity, and a well-recognized cardiovascular risk factor [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref4">4</xref>] -[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref6">6</xref>] .</p><p>Central obesity is a measure of visceral fat deposit and can be defined by parameters such as the waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref4">4</xref>] . Moreover, measures of central obesity also predict cardiovascular disease, and all-cause mortality [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref7">7</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref8">8</xref>] . Central obesity is listed as a criterion for diagnosing metabolic syndrome by some authorities. While the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref9">9</xref>] , and National Cholesterol Education Programme Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP ATP III) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref10">10</xref>] recommended the use of waist circumference (WC), the WHO [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref11">11</xref>] recommended waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) as a measure of central obesity. Recently, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) was proposed as a good measure of central obesity, and suggested as an alternative to WC, because unlike WC, it took into account differences in body height [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref12">12</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref13">13</xref>] . Furthermore, it has been suggested that the predictive power of anthropometric indices is population-dependent, and varies across ethnic groups [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref14">14</xref>] .</p><p>While many workers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref14">14</xref>] - [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref18">18</xref>] in different parts of the world have compared the relationship between the three measures of central obesity and CVD risk factors, there are no such reports in Nigeria. Rather, there is a report comparing the ability of WC and WHR to predict cardiovascular risk factors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref19">19</xref>] . Thus, the best index of central obesity has not been determined in our environment, and the knowledge of this will aid the clinicians in the diagnosis of metabolic syndrome.</p><p>The aim of the study was to determine the correlation between indices of central obesity and body mass index, and the measure of central obesity that best identifies individuals with cardiovascular risk factors (body mass index and systemic hypertension).</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Methods</title><sec id="s2_1"><title>2.1. Study Design and Participants</title><p>This is a cross-sectional descriptive survey. The study was conducted at Sagamu and Remo North local government area of Ogun State, Nigeria. The locations were chosen by convenience sampling. Approval for the study was obtained from the ethic and research committee of the Olabisi Onabanjo University Teaching Hospital, Sagamu, Ogun State. The consent of the king and community leaders was also sought. The consent of each participant was also obtained. The participants were apparently healthy individuals aged 20 - 70 years. The participants included market men and women, artisans, farmers, drivers, and civil servants. Initial sensitization visits were paid to the communities, and the people that met the inclusion criteria were told to meet at designated points such as motor parks, town hall or the king’s palace for screening. All the people who gave their consent were included in the study. Individuals who are wheelchair bound, pregnant women and lactating mothers were excluded.</p></sec><sec id="s2_2"><title>2.2. Procedure and Measurements</title><p>Trained assistants helped with data collection and measurements.</p><sec id="s2_2_1"><title>2.2.1. Anthropometric Measurements</title><p>The height, weight, waist and hip circumferences and blood pressure were determined. The height was measured (in metres) to the nearest 0.1 metre with a calibrated meter rule placed horizontally against the wall, with the participants barefooted [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref20">20</xref>] . The weight was measured (in kilograms) with a weighing scale (Surgifriend Medicals, England) without shoes and with the patient wearing light clothing, to the nearest 0.1 kg [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref20">20</xref>] . The Body Mass Index (BMI) was taken as the ratio of weight (kg) to the square of the height (m<sup>2</sup>) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref20">20</xref>] . The waist circumference (in centimetres) was taken midway between the inferior margin of the last rib and the iliac crest in a horizontal plane. The circumferences were measured to the nearest centimetre at the end of normal expiration [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref20">20</xref>] . Hip circumference was measured to the nearest centimetres at the level of the greater trochanters with the subjects wearing underwear or light clothing. The waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) was calculated from the values of the waist and hip circumferences [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref20">20</xref>] . Waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) was calculated from the values of waist circumference and height in centimetres.</p></sec><sec id="s2_2_2"><title>2.2.2. Blood Pressure Measurement</title><p>The blood pressure was measured once with a standard mercury sphygmomanometer (Accossons, England), with the subjects in the sitting position and the arm resting on a table at the same level of the heart. The first and fifth Korotkoff sounds were taken as the systolic and diastolic blood pressures respectively.</p></sec><sec id="s2_2_3"><title>2.2.3. Definition of Cardiovascular Risk Factors</title><p>Generalized obesity and systemic hypertension were regarded as cardiovascular risk factors. Generalized obesity was defined as BMI ≥ 30 kg/m<sup>2</sup> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref20">20</xref>] , while systemic hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure of ≥140 mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure of ≥90 mmHg [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref21">21</xref>] .</p></sec></sec><sec id="s2_3"><title>2.3. Statistical and Data Analysis</title><p>Data were analysed using the statistical package for social sciences (SPSS) version 20.0 (Chicago, Illinois, USA). Continuous variables were expressed as means and standard deviation. Pearson correlation between BMI and the three central obesity indices was determined. MedCalc Statistical Software version 14.8.1 (MedCalc Software, Ostend, Belgium, 2014) was used to generate Receiver Operative Characteristics (ROC) Curve, in order to determine and compare the ability of the measures of central obesity to identify persons with generalized obesity and systemic hypertension. The area under curve (AUC) on the ROC was used to determine the best measure of central obesity which identifies individuals with generalized obesity and systemic hypertension.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Results</title><p>The participants’ clinical characteristics are shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>. They were made up of 443 (48.4%) males, mean age 40.56 &#177; 13.59 years and 473 (51.6%) females, mean age 46.81 &#177; 15.49 years. The female participants were significantly older, and had greater BMI, WC, WHR, and WHtR than their male counterparts (p = 0.002 for WC, and p &lt; 0.001 for BMI, WHR and WHtR). There were no significant differences between the systolic and diastolic blood pressures of both genders (p &gt; 0.05).</p><sec id="s3_1"><title>3.1. Correlation between Central and General Obesity</title><p>Among the male participants, WC and WHtR correlated better with BMI compared with WHR , (r = 0.860, p &lt; 0.001 vs r = 0.490, p &lt; 0.001). Among the female participants, the correlation between indices of central and general obesity was best with WC, (r = 0.895, p &lt; 0.001). There was a strong correlation among the three indices of central obesity (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>).</p><table-wrap id="table1" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref></label><caption><title> Clinical characteristics of the study population</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Characteristics</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Females n = 473</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Males n = 443</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Total n = 916</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >p-value</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Age (years)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >43.8 (14.9)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >40.5 (13.6)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >46.8 (15.5)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >BMI (kg/m<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >24.8 (5.3)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >23.7 (3.9)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >25.8 (6.1)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt; 0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WC (cm)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >84.5 (13.0)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >83.1 (11.8)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >85.8 (13.9)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;0.01</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >HC (cm)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >93.6 (11.0)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >90.7 (8.9)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >93.6 (11.0)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.90 (0.07)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.91 (0.07)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.89 (0.07)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHtR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.52 (0.09)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.49 (0.07)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.55 (0.09)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >SBP (mmHg)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >132.0 (24.7)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >133.4 (22.9)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >130.69 (26.2)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&gt;0.05</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >DBP (mmHg)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >80.7 (14.9)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >81.6 (14.1)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >79.9 (15.6)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&gt;0.05</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>Data are means (SD), BMI, body mass index; WC, waist circumference; WHtR, waist-to-height ratio; WHR, waist-to-hip ratio; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; SBP, systolic blood pressure.</p></sec><sec id="s3_2"><title>3.2. Prediction of Cardiovascular Risk Factors</title><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref> shows the Area under the Curve (AUC) of WC, WHR, and WHtR on the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve (of male participants) for predicting general obesity and systemic hypertension. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref> shows the AUC of WC, WHR, and WHtR on the ROC curve (of female participants) for predicting general obesity and systemic hypertension. In both genders, the areas were significantly greater than 0.5 (half of the total area) for the three obesity indices (p &lt; 0.001). The AUC of WC and WHtR were however greater than that of WHR.</p><p>The values of the Areas Under the Curve (AUC) for predicting the presence of general obesity, hypertension, or general obesity/hypertension are shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref>. In most cases the absolute value of AUC of WHtR was greater than those of WC and WHR. Among the three indices of obesity waist-to-hip ratio has the smallest AUC, suggesting that it predicted cardiovascular risk factors less than WC or WHtR.</p><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref> compares the AUC for detecting both general obesity and systemic hypertension. It showed that WHtR and WC were better than WHR at detecting the presence of both general obesity and hypertension in both males (WHtR and WHR {difference in areas = 0.131} p &lt; 0.0001; WC and WHR {difference in areas = 0.132} p &lt; 0.0001), and females (WHtR and WHR {difference in areas = 0.214} p &lt; 0.0001; WC and WHR {difference in areas = 0.205} p &lt; 0.0001). The AUC of WHtR and WC on the ROC for identifying the presence of both general obesity and hypertension were not significantly different in both genders (p &gt; 0.05).</p><table-wrap id="table2" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref></label><caption><title> Correlation matrix between general and central obesity among the participants</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Obesity indices</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >BMI</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >WC</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >WHR</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >WHtR</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Females</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >BMI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.895</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.408</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.676</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHtR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.888</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.971</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.685</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Males</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >BMI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.860</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.490</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.737</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHtR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.860</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.958</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.776</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >―</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>BMI, body mass index; WC, waist circumference; WHtR, waist-to-height ratio; WHR, waist-to-hip ratio. p &lt; 0.001 for all the correlations.</p><fig id="fig1"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref></label><caption><title> Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio and waist-to-height ratio for predicting general obesity and hypertension in males</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/4-1980196x7.png"/></fig><fig id="fig2"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref></label><caption><title> Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio and waist-to-height ratio for predicting general obesity and hypertension in females</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/4-1980196x8.png"/></fig><table-wrap id="table3" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref></label><caption><title> Areas Under the Curve (AUC) for predicting the presence of general obesity, hypertension, or general obesity/ hypertension</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Indices of central obesity</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Generalized obesity</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Hypertension</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Obesity and hypertension</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Males</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >AUC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >95% CI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >AUC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >95% CI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >AUC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >95% CI</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.97</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.95 - 0.98</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.70</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.66 - 0.75</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.97</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.95 - 0.99</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.79</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.74 - 0.82</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.67</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.63 - 0.72</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.84</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.80 - 0.87</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHtR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.97</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.95 - 0.99</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.71</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.67 - 0.75</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.97</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.95 - 0.99</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Females</td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  ></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  ></td><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.97</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.95 - 0.99</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.64</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.60 - 0.69</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.93</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.91 - 0.95</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.74</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.70 - 0.78</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.63</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.60 - 0.68</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.73</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.69 - 0.77</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >WHtR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.98</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.96 - 0.99</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.67</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.62 - 0.71</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.94</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.92 - 0.96</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>p &lt; 0.001 for all the AUCs, AUC: area under the curve, CI: confidence interval.</p><table-wrap id="table4" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref></label><caption><title> Pairwise comparison of AUC on the ROC of central obesity indices in identifying both general obesity and hypertension for males and females</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >Males</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Females</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >WC ~ WHtR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Difference between areas</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.000828</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.00922</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >95% CI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.0103 - 0.0119</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−0.00304 - 0.0215</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >z statistic</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.146</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.474</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Significance level</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >p = 0.8837</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >p = 0.1403</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >WC ~ WHR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Difference between areas</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.132</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.205</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >95% CI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.0683 - 0.196</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.144 - 0.265</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >z statistic</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.062</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6.621</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Significance level</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >p &lt; 0.0001</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >p &lt; 0.0001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >WHtR ~ WHR</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Difference between areas</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.131</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.214</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >95% CI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.0705 - 0.192</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.155 - 0.273</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >z statistic</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.232</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >7.054</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Significance level</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >p &lt; 0.0001</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >p &lt; 0.0001</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>The AUC of WHtR and WC on the ROC for identifying the presence of both general obesity and hypertension were not significantly different in both genders (p &gt; 0.05).</p></sec></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Discussion</title><p>To our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the performance of three central obesity indices in identifying cardiovascular risk factors our environment. Previous study compared the performance of WC and WHR in identifying cardiovascular risk factors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref19">19</xref>] .</p><p>The goals of our study were to determine the correlation between the indices of central obesity and body mass index, and determine the central obesity index that best identify cardiovascular risk factors (generalized obesity and systemic hypertension).</p><p>The female participants had greater mean BMI, WC, WHR and WHtR compared with the males. This is in agreement with previous local and foreign studies [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref22">22</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref23">23</xref>] . Men are generally more active than women. While more men engage in manual labour and farming activities, women engage in sedentary work such as market trading. Other possible contributors to the gender difference in the obesity include age, nutritional and biological factors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref24">24</xref>] .</p><sec id="s4_1"><title>4.1. Correlation between Indices of Central and General Obesity</title><p>Consistent with previous reports [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref25">25</xref>] , there was a good correlation between body mass index and the indices of central obesity. Among the female participants, WC and WHtR correlated equally with BMI but both correlated better than WHR. This observation is similar to the report by previous authors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref26">26</xref>] . This is not unexpected since both indices are measures of adiposity.</p></sec><sec id="s4_2"><title>4.2. Identification of Cardiovascular Risk Factors</title><p>The ROC revealed that whereas, WHtR has the largest AUC in most instances, WHR has the smallest AUC. This suggests that WHtR identified individuals with cardiovascular risk factors better than WC and WHR. However subjecting the differences in the AUC to further analysis revealed that there was no significant difference between the AUC of WHtR and WC, whereas the AUC of WHR was significantly smaller than that of the other two indices of central obesity. This indicates that WHtR was as good as WC, and both were better than WHR in identifying individuals with cardiovascular risk factors. This is true in both men and women for identification of both general obesity and hypertension.</p><p>Previous studies that compared the ability of indices of central obesity to identify CVD risk factors yielded inconsistent results. Similar to our findings, a Nigerian study which compared the ability of WC and WHR to predict CVD risk factors found that WC was better than WHR [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref19">19</xref>] . However, the above study did not test the predictive ability of WHtR.</p><p>Bener et al., [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref17">17</xref>] in a study conducted in Qatar found that WC performed better than WHR and WHtR in identifying people with metabolic syndrome in both men and women. However, some researchers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref16">16</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref27">27</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref28">28</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref29">29</xref>] found that WHR predicted CVD risk factors better that WC in Turkey and Australia. Other studies conducted in Iran, Jordan, China, Chinese Taipei and Europe found that WHtR either identified [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref18">18</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref30">30</xref>] , or predicted [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref15">15</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref31">31</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref32">32</xref>] cardiovascular risk factors than other central obesity indices.</p><p>Contrary to the above reports none of the three indices of obesity were found to be superior in predicting CVD by other workers in America and New Zealand [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref7">7</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref33">33</xref>] . These inconsistencies may be due to different geographical locations and or methodologies. Indeed, it has been observed that ethnicity and race influence the cut-off points and/or use of different anthropometric indices to diagnose obesity and metabolic syndrome [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref34">34</xref>] . Ethnicity significantly affects the associations between anthropometric indices used to assess adiposity such as BMI and WC. This underscores the need for ethnic specific cut-off for WC in the definition of metabolic syndrome proposed by the IDF [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref9">9</xref>] . Lower cut-off for BMI was also proposed for the Asians who have smaller body frames, are more insulin resistant, and have greater body fat for the same BMI than the Caucasians [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref35">35</xref>] -[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref37">37</xref>] . Furthermore, ethnicity influences the association between anthropometric obesity measures and cardiovascular risk factors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref38">38</xref>] . Molarius et al., therefore, suggested that the predictive power of anthropometric indices is ethnic and population-dependent [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref14">14</xref>] . In view of the above, it has also been suggested that ethnic-specific assessment, prevention and treatment of CVD risk be developed [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref8">8</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.62182-ref39">39</xref>] .</p><p>Apart from geographical locations, methodological differences in the above studies may also contribute to different conclusions. While some studies were prospective, others were cross-sectional in design.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s5"><title>5. Strengths, Limitations and Future Directions</title><p>The cross-sectional design of this research makes it difficult to establish a causal relationship between the parameters studied. Ability to predict other cardiometabolic factors such as serum Triglycerides and HDL-choles- terol were not studied. The findings of the study may not apply to the other parts of the country because of her multi-ethnic populations. A study involving other ethnic groups is necessary to confirm our findings.</p></sec><sec id="s6"><title>6. Conclusion</title><p>WHtR is as good as WC but better than WHR in identifying individuals with cardiovascular risk factors, and may also be a good criterion to diagnose metabolic syndrome.</p></sec><sec id="s7"><title>Cite this paper</title><p>Raimi TaiwoHussean,FasanmadeOlufemi,OdusanOlatunde,Ohwovoriole AugustineEfedaye, (2015) The Best Central Adiposity Index in the Prediction of Cardiovascular Risk Factors in South-Western Nigeria. 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