<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">AM</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Applied Mathematics</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2152-7385</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/am.2015.611171</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">AM-60782</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Physics&amp;Mathematics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  The Analysis of an SIRS Epidemic Model with Discrete Delay on Scale-Free Network
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>ao</surname><given-names>Li</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Qiming</surname><given-names>Liu</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Baochen</surname><given-names>Li</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Science and Research, Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, Shijiazhuang, China</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Institute of Applied Mathematics, Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, Shijiazhuang, China</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>leo_119@163.com(AL)</email>;<email>lqmmath@163.com(QL)</email>;<email>testability83@163.com(BL)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>16</day><month>10</month><year>2015</year></pub-date><volume>06</volume><issue>11</issue><fpage>1939</fpage><lpage>1946</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>12</day>	<month>September</month>	<year>2015</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>accepted</day>	<month>26</month>	<year>October</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>29</day>	<month>October</month>	<year>2015</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  A new epidemic SIRS model with discrete delay on scale-free network is presented. We give the formula of the basic reproductive number for the model and prove that the disease dies out when the basic reproductive number is less than unity, while the disease is uniformly persistent when the basic reproductive number is more than unity. Numerical simulations are given to demonstrate the main results.
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Scale-Free Network</kwd><kwd> Epidemic Spreading</kwd><kwd> Attractivity</kwd><kwd> Uniformly Persistence</kwd><kwd> Time Delay</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>Since the modelling of the seminal works on the scale-free network, in which the probability of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x5.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for any node with <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x6.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> links to other nodes is distributed according to the power law<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x7.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, suggested</p><p>by Barab&#225; and Albert [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref1">1</xref>] , it is well known that the real disease transmission networks exhibit scale-free properties (see for example [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref2">2</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref3">3</xref>] ), and the spreading of epidemic disease on scale-free network has been studied by many researchers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref4">4</xref>] - [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref21">21</xref>] .</p><p>Continuous time deterministic epidemic models are traditionally formulated as systems of ordinary differential equations. More realistic models should include some peat states of these systems, and ideally, a real system should be modeled by delay differential equation. Time delay plays an important role in propagation process of the epidemic, we can simulate the latent period of infectious diseases, the infections period of patients and the immunity period of recovery of the disease with time delay. Much attention has been given to the dynamical behaviors of the epidemic spreading model with time delay on homogeneous network [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref18">18</xref>] . However, up to now, compared with studies of the dynamical behaviors of the epidemic models with time delays on hetergeneous network, only a few attentions have been paid to them on heterogeneous networks. Recently, Liu and Xu presented a delay differential equation SEIRS epidemic model with discrete time delays which represent the latent period and the immune period [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref19">19</xref>] . Liu and Deng et al. discussed epidemic SIS model with discrete time delay which represents the infectious period [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref20">20</xref>] , they obtained the basic reproduction number and discussed the persistence of the disease. Wang and Wang et al. discussed an epidemic SIR model with discrete time delay which represented the latent period [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref21">21</xref>] . Motivated by these, in this paper, we will present a suitable epidemic SIRS model with discrete delay which represents the infectious period on scale-free network using functional differential equations to investigate the epidemic spreading.</p><p>The rest of this paper is organized as follows: The SIRS model on scale-free network with discrete delay is presented in Section 2. The basic reproductive number is given and dynamical behaviour of the system is analyzed in Section 3. Numerical simulations are given to demonstrate the main results in Section 4. Conclusion is finally drawn in Section 5.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. The SIRS Model with Discrete Delay</title><p>Suppose that the size of the network is a constant N during the period of epidemic spreading, we also suppose that the degree of each degree is time invariant. Let<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x8.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x9.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x10.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> be the relative density of susceptible nodes, infected nodes and recovered nodes of connectivity k at time t, respectively. Obviously, the following normalization condition holds due to the fact that the number of total nodes with degree k is a constant <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x11.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> during the period of epidemic spreading.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula105"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x12.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>The dynamical equation for the density<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x13.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x14.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x15.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, at the mean-field level, satisfy the following system when<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x16.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula106"><label>(1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x17.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x18.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is the correlated (k-dependent) infection rate such as <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x19.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref5">5</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref8">8</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref20">20</xref>] , <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x20.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref6">6</xref>] and so on, and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x20.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x21.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> represents the average infectious period. The term <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x20.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x21.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x22.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> describes some infected nodes</p><p>may become susceptible nodes because they are recovered and are not immunized, where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x23.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is called incomplete cure rate, and consequently, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x23.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x24.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is cure rate. In reality, for example, some computer users find network virus and kill it after <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x23.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x24.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x25.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> due to its destruction of the user, but they do not take further action to immunize computer from the network virus, but the other users can get the technique to protect their computer and their computer cannot be infected again. The dynamics of n groups of SIRS subsystems are coupled through the function<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x23.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x24.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x25.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x26.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, which represents the probability that any given link points to an infected site. Assume that the network has no degree correlations [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref4">4</xref>] , we have</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula107"><label>(2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x27.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> stands for the average node degree, and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> has many different forms, such as <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref4">4</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref5">5</xref>] , <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref7">7</xref>] , <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x33.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref8">8</xref>] , and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x33.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x34.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x28.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x29.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x30.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x31.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x32.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x33.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x34.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref9">9</xref>] and so on.</p><p>The initial condition of system (1) is</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula108"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x36.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are nonnegative continuous on<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x40.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x40.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x41.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. C denote the Banach space <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x40.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x41.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x42.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> with the norm<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x40.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x41.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x42.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x43.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x40.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x41.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x42.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x43.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x44.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is Euclidean norm of<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x37.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x39.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x40.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x41.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x42.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x43.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x44.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x45.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Dynamical Behaviors of the Model</title><p>Denote</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula109"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x46.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula110"><label>(3)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x47.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x48.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in which <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x48.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x49.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is a function.</p><p>Obviously, the second equation of system (1) can be furthermore transformed into the following integral equation:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula111"><label>(4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x50.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Note that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x51.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x51.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x52.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> can be replaced by <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x51.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x52.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x53.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in the first equation of system (1). Thus we obtain the following equivalent system of system (1):</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula112"><label>(5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x54.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Theorem 1. The system (5) has always a disease-free equilibrium<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x55.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. The system (5) has a unique endemic equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x55.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x56.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> when<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x55.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x56.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x57.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Proof. Denote<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x58.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x58.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x59.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x58.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x59.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x60.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> (some constants) and substitute them into (5), we have</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula113"><label>(6)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x61.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula114"><label>(7)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x62.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>It yields that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula115"><label>(8)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x63.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Substituting it into (7), we obtain the self-consistency equality</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula116"><label>(9)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x64.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Obviously, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>always satisfies (9), it follows that from (8) that the disease-free equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x65.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x66.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of system (5) always exists. Note that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula117"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x67.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>and</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula118"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x68.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Hence, if<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the Equation (9) has a unique positive solution, consequently, system (5) has a unique positive equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> since (8) holds. <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x69.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x70.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x71.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is an unique endemic equilibrium.</p><p>Theorem 2. Consider the system (5), the following assertions hold.</p><p>(1) If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x72.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x72.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x73.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of system (5) is globally attractive.</p><p>(2) If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x74.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the disease is uniformly persistent, i.e., there exists a positive constant <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x74.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x75.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x74.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x75.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x76.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and the equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x74.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x75.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x76.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x77.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of system (5) is unstable.</p><p>Proof. First, According to the Equation (4), similar to the proof of Theorem 1 in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref20">20</xref>] , we can obtain that the equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x78.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of system (5) is globally attractive.</p><p>Second, motivated by the work in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref22">22</xref>] , we will prove that conclusion (2) in Theorem 2 holds step by step, i.e., we prove that the disease is uniformly persistent when<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x79.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Step 1. We will prove that for any<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x80.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, it is impossible that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x80.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x81.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x80.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x81.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x82.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Since<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x83.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, there exists a small enough <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x83.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x84.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula119"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x85.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>in which <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x86.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p>Suppose <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x87.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x87.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x88.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, which implies</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula120"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x89.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x90.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. It follows from the first equation of system (5) that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula121"><label>(10)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x91.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x92.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Hence there exists a <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x92.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x93.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula122"><label>(11)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x94.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x95.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and there a <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x95.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x96.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula123"><label>(12)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x97.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>It follows from (2) and (12) that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula124"><label>(13)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x98.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Set<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. We claim that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x100.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x100.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x101.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. If not, there exists a <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x100.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x101.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x102.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x100.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x101.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x102.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x103.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x100.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x101.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x102.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x103.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x104.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x100.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x101.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x102.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x103.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x104.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x105.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. It follow that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula125"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x106.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>which leads to<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x107.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, contradicting<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x107.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x108.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. This proves the claim.</p><p>Choose a positive constant <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x109.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> which satisfies<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x109.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x110.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. We claim now that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x109.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x110.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x111.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for all<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x109.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x110.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x111.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x112.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Note that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula126"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x113.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>If the claim is not valid, there exists a <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x115.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x115.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x116.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x114.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x115.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x116.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x117.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Thus</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula127"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x118.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>which leads to<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x119.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, contradicting<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x119.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x120.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. This proves the claim. By induction method, we conclude that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula128"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x121.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. It follows that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x123.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> if t is sufficiently large, contradicting<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x123.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x124.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. So, for any<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x123.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x124.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x125.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, it is impossible that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x123.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x124.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x125.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x126.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x122.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x123.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x124.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x125.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x126.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x127.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Step 2. We will prove that there exists a positive constant <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x128.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x128.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x129.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Since it is impossible that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x130.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x130.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x131.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Hence, there are two cases to be considered for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x130.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x131.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Hence, there are two cases to be considered for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x130.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x131.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x132.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x133.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Case 1: <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x134.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>when t is sufficiently large.</p><p>Case 2: <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x135.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is oscillates about <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x135.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x136.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> when t is sufficiently large.</p><p>Suppose <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is sufficiently large such that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> holds. Consequently, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is uniformly continuous since the positive solutions of system (4) are bounded. Hence, there is a <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> (independent of the choice of<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>) such that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>
<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x148.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x148.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x149.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x148.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x149.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x150.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, there is nothing to prove. If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x148.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x149.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x150.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x151.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x137.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x138.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x139.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x140.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x141.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x142.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x143.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x144.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x145.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x146.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x147.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x148.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x149.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x150.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x151.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x152.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, we have from (15) that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula129"><graphic  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x153.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Let us define<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, then <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x157.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, by similar method in step 1, we can obtain that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x157.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x158.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x157.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x158.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x159.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Thus, for case 2, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x157.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x158.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x159.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x160.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>when t is sufficiently large, and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x157.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x158.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x159.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x160.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x161.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> where<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x154.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x155.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x157.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x158.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x159.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x160.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x161.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x162.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Hence, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x163.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>when t is sufficiently large, where<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x163.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x164.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, consequently, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x163.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x164.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x165.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and the disease is uniformly persistent.</p><p>At last, since <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x166.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> when<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x166.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x167.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x166.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x167.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is unstable when<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x166.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x167.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x168.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x169.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. This completes the proof of Theorem 2.</p><p>The basic reproductive number for system (4) is<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x171.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the disease will disappear due to the global attractivity of<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x171.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x172.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x171.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x172.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x173.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the disease will always exists due to<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x170.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x171.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x172.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x173.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x174.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>.</p><p>Remark. When <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x175.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> system (1) reduce to system (4) in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref20">20</xref>] , and the results still holds.</p></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Numerical Simulations</title><p>The basic reproductive number for system (1) is</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula130"><label>(14)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x176.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Note that an epidemic always occurs on a finite networks in the real world, the maximum connectivity n of any node is related to the network age, which is measured as the number of nodes N [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref8">8</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.60782-ref9">9</xref>] :</p><disp-formula id="scirp.60782-formula131"><label>(15)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x177.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where m is the minimum connectivity of the network. It follows from (14) and (15) that<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x178.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, which depends both N and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x178.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>
<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x179.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, can be approximately computed.</p><p>Now we present the results of numerical simulations by using MATLAB 7.0 to support the results obtained in previous sections. Since the equilibria were obtained from system (5), the simulations are based on system (5)</p><p>and a scale-free network in which the degree distribution is<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and C satisfies<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Assume the network is a finite network with <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are suitable assumptions. Let<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x186.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x186.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x187.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x186.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x187.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x188.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>in which<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x186.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x187.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x188.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x189.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>
<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x186.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x187.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x188.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x189.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x190.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x186.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x187.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x188.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x189.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x190.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x191.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x180.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x181.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x182.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x183.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x184.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x185.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x186.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x187.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x188.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x189.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x190.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x191.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x192.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Figures 1-3 show the dynamic behaviors of system (5).</p><fig id="fig1"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1"><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig">Figure </xref>1</xref></label><caption><title> The time series of system (5) with <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x194.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x194.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x195.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x193.png"/></fig><fig id="fig2"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2"><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig">Figure </xref>2</xref></label><caption><title> The time series of system (5) with <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x197.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x197.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x198.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></title></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x196.png"/></fig><fig id="fig3"  position="float"><label><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3"><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig">Figure </xref>3</xref></label><caption><title> The time series of system (5) with <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x200.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<img data-original="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x201.png" /></title></caption><graphic mimetype="image"   position="float"  xlink:type="simple"  xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x199.png"/></fig><p>From the dynamical behaviors of the SIRS model (5) shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig">Figure </xref>l and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2"><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig">Figure </xref>2</xref>, it can be seen that if<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x202.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the infection eventually disappears. If<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x202.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x203.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the relative density of infected nodes will tend to a positive constant, and the infection will always exist. The numerical results are consistent with the theoretical results.</p><p>According to<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, if<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x206.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is globally attractive and the disease eventually disappear. However, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x206.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x207.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>may hold as <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x206.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x207.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x208.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> increases due to the fact <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x206.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x207.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x208.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x209.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is proportional to<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x206.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x207.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x208.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x209.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x210.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, that is to say, the equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x206.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x207.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x208.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x209.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x210.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x211.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> may lose its stability when the average infection period of disease <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x204.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x205.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x206.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x207.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x208.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x209.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x210.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x211.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x212.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is large enough and the infection will always exist (shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3"><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig">Figure </xref>3</xref>).</p></sec><sec id="s5"><title>5. Conclusion</title><p>An SIRS model with discrete delay has been proposed for investigating the dynamical behaviors of the epidemics on scale-free networks. Through mathematical analysis, we obtained the basic reproduction number<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x213.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. The main results reveal that when<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x213.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x214.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the disease-free equilibrium is globally attractive, while<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x213.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x214.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x215.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and the disease is uniformly persistent. In addition, numerical simulations show that the endemic equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x213.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x214.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x215.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x216.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is globally asymptotically stable when <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x213.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x214.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x215.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x216.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x217.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> (as shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2"><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig">Figure </xref>2</xref>). We would like to mention here that it is interesting but challenging to discuss the stability of equilibrium<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x213.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x214.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x215.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x216.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x217.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="http://html.scirp.org/file/12-7402901x218.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, we leave this for our future work.</p></sec><sec id="s6"><title>Cite this paper</title><p>TaoLi,QimingLiu,BaochenLi, (2015) The Analysis of an SIRS Epidemic Model with Discrete Delay on Scale-Free Network. 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