<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">AM</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Applied Mathematics</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2152-7385</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/am.2014.51021</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">AM-42087</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Physics&amp;Mathematics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Oscillatory Behavior of a Network Epidemic SIS Model with Nonlinear Infectivity
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>hunhua</surname><given-names>Feng</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Carl</surname><given-names>S. Pettis</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>College of Science, Mathematics and Technology, Alabama State University, Montgomery, USA</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>cfeng@alasu.edu(HF)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>25</day><month>12</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><volume>05</volume><issue>01</issue><fpage>203</fpage><lpage>211</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
   In this paper, an epidemic SIS model with nonlinear infectivity on heterogeneous networks and time delays is investigated. The oscillatory behavior of the solutions is studied. Two sufficient conditions are provided to guarantee the oscillatory behavior for the solutions. Some computer simulations are demonstrated. 
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Sepidemic SIS Network Model; Delay; Oscillation</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>The classical susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model is a system consisting of three differential equations. For example, if the host population <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\988efba1-3368-48d4-8cda-cbf8f955ed67.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is divided into susceptibles, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\97723d35-7d98-4835-a93d-29e040d7dfe4.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, and infectives, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\ad2e581e-9084-40e5-801a-7d96bcc53cee.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, Zhou proposed the following model [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.42087-ref1">1</xref>]:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69537"><label>(1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\7bb9bf83-134a-400f-b264-2b6dd067b7cd.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where A is the constant recruitment rate, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\6c542a16-c847-4122-ace3-be0e586d9bbc.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the fertility of susceptibles, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\95bd9d0a-bd13-4c40-a2c2-4a5fe72ae420.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the infectives, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\954d680d-8f45-4efb-9ba9-e7403fd1dc35.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the fertility reduction factor due to infection, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\8e1842fd-2cd8-40c7-a0e2-da92c8277243.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the probability of newborns of infectives which are susceptible, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\763cc721-e062-4145-8014-c197cee0bbbe.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the probability of vertical transmission from a mother to her newborn baby before, during, or just after birth, d <img src="21-7401806.files/image002.gif" />&#160;is the natural death rate, <img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\18d7d952-2dc2-4a6e-9bdf-a7c9e90c7858.png" />is the disease-related death rate, and <img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\74c6b533-1d93-4759-96cd-d539d2d8b9db.png" /> is the recovery rate. Zhou studied the global asymptotic stabilities of the equilibrium described in the model (1). Several authors have investigated the dynamical behavior of various models similar to system (1) [2-6]. Hethcote et al. discussed a predator-prey model with infected prey [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.42087-ref7">7</xref>]. Sinha et al. studied a predator-prey system with infected prey in polluted environment [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.42087-ref8">8</xref>]. Those epidemic models are based on uniform mixing population. However, in practice, it seems that each individual has limited contact with those they can pass disease which leads to a new theory that the ensemble of all such individuals forms a complex network. A particular class of infections such as computer viruses also spread naturally in networks. Using the new network models to compute the epidemic dynamics has been shown in the effects of network structure on disease spreading [9-16]. Recently, Zhu et al. proposed a new epidemic SIS network model with nonlinear infectivity as follows [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.42087-ref15">15</xref>]:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69538"><label>(2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\0b466ebb-6bc7-452d-8f6b-98cdd2d35811.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\6a64e37f-e8d8-45c2-b793-70bba90d7465.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\b69b81af-a554-4207-8012-372628af7172.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> represent the relative densities of the susceptible and infected nodes,<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\66bbc20a-b704-48ad-9806-5df0e9a39aec.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>; <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\32991f6f-6366-4fa2-aecd-6a675d32e162.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>represent the recovery rate, birth rate and death rate respectively; <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\2e82bb65-f433-4622-b77d-5dda68d09a82.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the correlated infection rate; and</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69539"><label>(3)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\c0973c8d-343d-4ea2-9616-27f25bcdb9d0.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\f199e669-0539-4be4-be2e-92c7968c4bae.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> denotes the mean degree value, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\9863cc89-68be-4aae-b8d7-eb03275daadd.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the largest degree number, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\ccf5b63f-966d-4f30-9a2f-4a6a8f4d3fce.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>is the probability that a node has k <img src="21-7401806.files/image004.gif" />edges, <img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\9f256dc7-afbc-440d-86e9-4e7c74187940.png" />represents the occupied edges which can transmit the disease and <img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\d24f7a0c-9bd6-48dc-a957-61de2f3d02c3.png" /> can be consisted as a force of infection [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.42087-ref15">15</xref>]. Based on death rate which is equal to birth rate, then Model (2) changes to the following simple form:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69540"><label>(4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\66c8ea81-b2d7-41b9-b9b4-35bab5a94666.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>The global attractivity of the model (4) is studied mathematically by the authors. However, the recovery rate, birth rate may have different values in each edge. Also the incubation period <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\d739ce37-6242-4719-91b8-7d5dfadb3041.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for infected term needs to be considered.</p><p>Therefore, in this paper, we investigate the oscillatory behavior of the following elementary extension of Model (4) with time delay:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69541"><label>(5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\14078bf8-0208-4159-8352-68566043ae51.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>The oscillatory behavior of the solution for System (5) means that the disease is still limited spreading.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Main Results</title><p>Based on a practical consideration, we assume that the initial condition for System (4) as follows:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69542"><label>(6)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\d2ca926f-b24c-49a5-aad9-d836c7b0a389.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Definition 1. The solution <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a3f4658f-0a4a-4401-a691-9857adbe3742.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of System (5) is called oscillation about the equilibrium <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\afbbfc4c-31c6-47d0-aae2-909ce02c52e4.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> if there exists a sequence<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\df59f2aa-5de7-43ef-afb2-f88da138c742.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\66af566b-b202-4ecc-846e-02ea8d775091.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>tends to infinity as <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\9ad8684b-880f-4b6f-a3b7-f4740f896e45.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a7529924-b888-4cf4-b262-48ac4f2240af.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\d8948fca-3177-432d-910f-b0be5939614a.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> If there exists at least one component of the solution <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\6e80dfb5-2e94-49bc-89e8-dbaa7a450903.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> is non-oscillating, then we say that the solution is partly oscillation.</p><p>Lemma 1. The solutions <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\cea4ac54-f7fe-4615-ab3a-554f3f447593.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of System (5) with initial condition (6) are nonnegative and bounded.</p><p>Proof. It is known that time delay can induce the instability of the solutions of the system. It does not change a bounded solution to unbounded solution. Therefore, we only need to prove that the bounded solution for the following system:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69543"><label>(7)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\67165009-b411-4cfe-a8a1-4e53b439eb8d.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Since<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\71b83ec2-b2de-40ee-acd9-3d72bfcf78a4.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\f5ed8f95-9951-4f48-8b39-bd6fa300029d.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>according to the definition of<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\6246c78a-ea53-4169-897e-c3dc9f51f9cd.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, we can easily see that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\78f49d3f-8052-4646-9eff-f0778e757d6a.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> for any <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\7c7948b9-df17-4d0f-a0cb-1ea8bb2cc661.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> Then we have</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69544"><label>(8)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\e725f842-5b2c-4f05-9fe2-061c5987db0e.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Therefore,</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69545"><label>(9)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\09f872c7-12f2-4a4d-8029-e05ca9561cc4.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>On the other hand,</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69546"><label>(10)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\2c318d1e-11f4-4a61-9991-aad0142bc1fb.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>We get</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69547"><label>(11)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\76160bb3-92ad-4111-9fac-6e220f90349b.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>So, for any <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a213bb1b-3c4f-4532-9716-dae62763e739.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> Based on the initial condition (6), we have that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\fd1c9588-0c52-421e-b89f-70d71dc6a2ac.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p>Lemma 2. Assume that the initial condition (6) and the following condition are satisfied:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69548"><label>. (12)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\b6c87caf-128a-48a8-9c68-9938a1cc6128.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Then there exists a unique positive equilibrium point of System (5).</p><p>Proof. The proof is similar to Theorem 2.2 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.42087-ref15">15</xref>]. Indeed, the equilibrium point of (5) is the solution of the following algebraic equation:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69549"><label>(13)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\ce602985-2dbe-4f9e-886d-a299b82f96d0.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>From (13) we get</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69550"><label>(14)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\c5f90675-0745-44f2-b1dd-698568a02409.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Substituting (14) into (3) we have</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69551"><label>(15)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\747112b6-ae5e-46fb-a359-8e8d25b085bc.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Since <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\7fa756be-ede2-4b54-aa66-7eb95caefd4f.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\ab4ec6a5-6c2b-4281-aea1-ce5838baa8b0.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, the equation <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\9b4a8b5d-105d-44fe-971a-b4145239bb93.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> has a unique non-trivial solution <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\435b313c-4c8a-4032-8b4f-6ea28344316e.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> if the assumption is satisfied. The proof is completed.</p><p>Note that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\fe9e8ad5-395f-4a59-9b61-44cccd913c9b.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\962970e4-99f2-4b13-83c7-0987865af8e4.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. From (5) we have</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69552"><label>(16)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\5f3b76f8-a211-4ff6-bd9f-532cba74fe86.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where  <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\1c7d2d7e-fbca-46ca-b6e9-fdfdaeb9d17a.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> Thus, the instability of the trivial solution for the following system (17) and (18) implies the instability of the equilibrium point of System (5).</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69553"><label>(17)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\947a01be-f84b-455e-8733-c521c4016fa3.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69554"><label>(18)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\3c0b5336-9886-47d8-9655-1445e49b608a.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>We can rewrite System (17) as a matrix form</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69555"><label>(19)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\1a1138d1-8f8a-4701-80eb-4378c0e66ee8.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\cb0ff2b9-c6f4-409e-8c05-80dace0ddf07.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p><img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\82eb44ac-895f-4527-9a52-17074245146d.png" /></p><p>In which<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\25c96856-4123-4ac0-932b-335eaf75f31f.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\b788c422-0259-466a-aa13-38013f879e90.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p>Theorem 1. Assume that the initial condition (6) holds and there exists a unique positive equilibrium point of System (5). Let <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\096cb652-0614-4bc4-a420-8eb092b4cfe0.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> denote the eigenvalues of the matrix <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\72aab895-3af9-4342-9e35-df34399cc026.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> of the System (19). Suppose that there exists some <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\cdbb7d5c-5f1d-40b8-8c28-c3ef1d9eaab8.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> that satisfies</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69556"><label>(20)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\464b8a0b-e04a-4322-b06b-8141f253ffbb.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Then there exists an oscillatory or partly oscillatory solution of System (5).</p><p>Proof. We shall prove that the trivial solution of (19) is unstable. Suppose this is not the case, then there exists an <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\ee7fd4e9-107f-43e8-9be1-69c531f2252c.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> such that the trivial solution is convergent for <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a3847a49-07e8-4c0c-8d8a-9ee6eacfcfe3.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> Since <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\2e39178f-fd13-4f47-b4d8-531f91b5b269.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> are eigenvalues of the matrix <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\fec18814-fd97-4a30-96cc-12b3aaae4c4f.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> we have immediately that</p><p><img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\5c1eed30-f531-4106-9e57-f940e93e6140.png" /></p><p>or</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69557"><label>(21)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\8545c8cb-7c7b-4791-95fd-420e3196deed.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Consider the characteristic equation for some <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\b847a835-09a0-4d40-a85e-3caadeef0bb2.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69558"><label>(22)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\dd96a1a0-8bb6-46a5-bc75-ad099d5fca05.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>If the trivial solution of (20) is convergent for <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\5f82a90f-8a48-4605-8c8d-2c40d1350acc.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>then<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\52eadfee-7294-436a-adab-46b2ce2fb653.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. From (22) and noting that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\3ffb1954-3de8-4d23-8032-0732bf417d42.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> we get</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69559"><label>(23)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\5049a43b-7bee-4910-b965-a3a32b489c60.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>From (23) this yields <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a86a31ad-d16e-4832-b762-982064d69f64.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> by the formula<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\1cd0618a-a49d-43b1-82b1-a5225ec11151.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, which contradicts the condition (20). Similarly, from (18) we can get</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69560"><label>(24)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\2d64a517-95c7-48f2-a709-992ee0d2629d.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>(24) is also a contradiction with (20). Thus the trivial solutions of Systems (17) and (18) are unstable, implying that the unique positive equilibrium point of System (5) is unstable. Namely, System (5) generates an oscillatory or partly oscillatory solution.</p><p>Theorem 2. Assume that the initial condition (6) holds and there exists a unique positive equilibrium point of System (5). Suppose that the following inequality holds</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69561"><label>(25)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\d8cfa8af-4da1-4c02-98ef-9e56ab366321.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Then there exists an oscillatory solution of System (5).</p><p>Proof. The characteristic equation corresponding (19) is the following:</p><p><img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\abbe7608-550c-49d0-a5bd-9465ee21a91f.png" /></p><p>If the trivial solution of (19) is convergent for <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\54f04785-51c4-420e-a0d8-9bb25cab6abc.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> then there exists an eigenvalue say <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\4fde6134-73da-4e5e-80a6-79f4994a5cb2.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> that satisfies</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69562"><label>(26)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\b2712f64-bbd3-406f-9a7c-66c1be35f9cb.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>By Gershgorin’s theorem [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.42087-ref17">17</xref>] <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\34acbc52-f5cf-45db-88c5-d3ab7d13f60b.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>satisfies <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a9303e59-b455-4825-8fbf-ac90d7357cc9.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>  or</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69563"><label>(27)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\ec907d1c-72c4-4f0d-9aa8-f2acb89dbbff.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>From (27), and note that <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\663d44ee-58b1-47ef-aea7-45b8025edfde.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> we have</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69564"><label>(28)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\ecb20072-7383-4cd4-9210-216eca46670e.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>We get</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69565"><label>(29)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\1d39dc45-d11a-447f-8552-9e70af3e3f72.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Both sides divided by <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\76c38c05-8c98-44e4-bb43-3d2fc66f467c.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> in (29) we get</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69566"><label>(30)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\8f3e9a2c-8331-439c-8261-2624fe387d6a.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Noting that<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\65aa9c40-ad1d-457d-92f6-590ab05f5815.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, then <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a378f661-a94f-43b8-a476-5f1637ab39fb.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> And again using the formula<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\e2c182ae-6bd9-4ccf-b4e9-b4aa4c087f5c.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, this leads to</p><disp-formula id="scirp.42087-formula69567"><label>(31)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="htmlimages\21-7401806x\93ce85f5-a2c1-4f5a-9234-15710928c336.png"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>But (31) contradicts our assumption (25). Thus the trivial solution of System (19) is unstable. Similarly, one can show that the trivial solution of System (18) is also unstable under the condition (25). The instability of the trivial solutions of Systems (18) and (19) implies the instability of the unique positive equilibrium point of System (5). Therefore, System (5) generates an oscillatory or partly oscillatory solution.</p></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Simulation Results</title><p>In <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>, we discuss the case that the largest degree number n is three in System (5), let<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\d1944db0-64f4-4a15-a0db-19c8645a7ec3.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>so <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\0bf012d2-1bdf-4cc7-8bb5-521b2fbe9f73.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> We first select <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\e2ada8db-d924-4290-8431-f608361001c9.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\27b06f7d-74f1-4e82-a83d-4d014a895943.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>We see that the solutions of the system are convergent when delay <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\cacf8823-8877-430f-9a00-9d7b5b1c6513.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> (see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>(a)). However, setting delay<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a203de06-b86d-4fc2-a0be-369e986d58c3.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, partial oscillation of the solution occurs (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>(b)). Then we take<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\ca112afc-400a-4b71-a459-3208e3507156.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>,</p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\9affc57c-f8f4-4637-a6dd-6428027bd77f.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. The matrix<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\6e767595-4e89-476a-9bc5-a6b3cbb03297.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. The eigenvalues of matrix C are<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\9b968b32-086b-47ed-bdc2-09ab1a48f235.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>,</p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\1b0dd870-027a-4612-89f4-a8b529a0801e.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>and <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\dbc6c1dd-06c4-4233-95bc-523fd21d1190.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> We select <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\bc1916b7-e47e-4aea-9c46-27c409da94dd.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> Let <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\958ce2a2-a186-423e-8ef2-847c0e64fd27.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and 2.165 respectively, each component of the solution is oscillatory (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>(c) and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>(d)). It seems that the amplitude the more the larger of <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\ab23c03b-cf7a-4b22-857c-4a996d1bfca2.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> In this case, we have<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\e38cda95-bdd1-48ca-a0d8-5ca3d5e012ba.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Based on Theorem 1, the equilibrium point is unstable. There exists an oscillatory solution.</p><p>In <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>, we discuss the case that the largest degree number n is four in System (5), setting</p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\78de56a5-8189-4661-aa7b-9ebfab69dc19.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, thus<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\c8cf2250-af27-4953-88ec-a7a5f007aebb.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, we first select<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\579a1135-8f07-4702-ab6b-e6041c98cd1c.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>, Thus the matrix</p><p><img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\5c15ca06-eeeb-4391-8b44-d3909fdb8829.png" /></p><p>The eigenvalues of matrix C are <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\9ac52add-93fd-4049-b4ae-819036e81b99.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\9226d882-3b8b-4e27-873a-c69328631ddc.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> and<inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\1cdb6263-62e6-4390-a053-08ecbe2b9566.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Take <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\a468414c-84a5-48a1-b7e7-f2e48c08b20a.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\379b22c4-d8f2-46fd-944f-cca13c256755.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Select <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\7351f48d-1a14-4fb3-83d1-8fd813b4dd47.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> we have <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\2375c328-7bee-4c83-bf38-41b2cac5aeac.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula></p><p><inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\cc8c4497-7a3a-4fd2-ae36-eaa63f422fa4.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. Based on Theorem 1, the trivial solution is oscillatory (see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>(b)). However, when <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="tmlimages\21-7401806x\ab103157-7a74-4d74-89ec-9f338154dc76.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula> we see that the trivial solution is still convergent (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>(a)). This implies that delay induced oscillation. Also oscillation appeared when delay reached a certain extent.</p><p>In <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>, we take</p><p><img src="htmlimages\21-7401806x\77f3842e-21d8-4191-8d99-16273c733b87.png" /></p><p>We see that there are two components of the solution that are convergent when delay equals to 0.612, while they are oscillatory as delay equals to 0.615.</p></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Conclusion</title><p>This paper discusses an epidemic SIS model with time delays. The oscillatory behavior of the solutions about the equilibrium point is studied. Two sufficient conditions are provided to guarantee the oscillatory behavior for the solutions. The computer simulation suggests time delay induced oscillation or partial oscillation. However, why the time delay will lead to a partial oscillation, this is a very interesting open problem. From <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>, what is the time delay critical value between oscillation and non-oscillation for this system is another open problem.</p></sec><sec id="s5"><title>REFERENCES</title></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.42087-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">J. S. Zhou, “An SIS Disease Transmission Model with Recruitment-Birth-Death Demographics,” Mathematical and Computer Modelling, Vol. 21, No. 11, 1995, pp. l-11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0895-7177(95)00074-C</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.42087-ref2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Y. N. Xiao and L. S. 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