<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">AM</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Applied Mathematics</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2152-7385</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/am.2014.51006</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">AM-41613</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Physics&amp;Mathematics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Note on the Linearity of Bayesian Estimates in the Dependent Case
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>ouad</surname><given-names>Assoudou</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Belkheir</surname><given-names>Essebbar</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Mathematics and Computer Sciences, Faculty of Science, Mohammed V University, Rabat, Morocco</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Department of Economics, Faculty of Law, Economics and Social Sciences, Hassan I University, Settat, Morocco</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>s_assoudou@yahoo.fr(OA)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>25</day><month>12</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><volume>05</volume><issue>01</issue><fpage>47</fpage><lpage>54</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>September</day>	<month>21,</month>	<year>2013</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>October</day>	<month>21,</month>	<year>2013</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>October</day>	<month>28,</month>	<year>2013</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
   This work deals with the relationship between the Bayesian and the maximum likelihood estimators in case of dependent observations. In case of Markov chains, we show that the Bayesian estimator of the transition probabilities is a linear function of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). 
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Bayes Estimator; Maximum Likelihood Estimator; Markov Chain; Transition Probabilities; Jeffreys’ Prior; Multivariate Beta Prior; MCMC</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.41613-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">P. Diaconis and D. Ylvisaker, “Conjugate Priors for Exponential Families,” The Annals of Statistics, Vol. 7, No. 2, 1979, pp. 269-281.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.41613-ref2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">T. C. Lee, G. G. Judge and A. Zellner, “Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian Estimation of Transition Probabilities,” JASA, Vol. 63, No. 324, 1968, pp. 1162-1179.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.41613-ref3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">S. Assoudou and B. Essebbar, “A Bayesian Model for Markov Chains via Jeffreys’ Prior,” Department of Mathematics and Computer Sciences, Faculté des Sciences of Rabat, Morocco, 2001.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.41613-ref4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">C. Robert, “Méthode de Monte Carlo par Chanes de Markov,” Economica, Paris, 1996.</mixed-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>