<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">OJS</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Open Journal of Statistics</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2161-718X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/ojs.2013.36049</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">OJS-41537</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Physics&amp;Mathematics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Estimating the Parameters Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) with Measurement Error
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>da</surname><given-names>Mariati Hutabarat</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Asep</surname><given-names>Saefuddin</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Anik</surname><given-names>Djuraidah</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>I</surname><given-names>Wayan Mangku</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Departement of Mathematics, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Departement of Statistics, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Departement of Mathematics, Cenderawasih University, Jayapura, Indonesia;Departement of Statistics, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>ida_mariati@yahoo.com(DMH)</email>;<email>asaefuddin@gmail.com(AS)</email>;<email>anikdjuraidah@gmail.com(AD)</email>;<email>wayan.mangku@gmail.com(IWM)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>27</day><month>12</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><volume>03</volume><issue>06</issue><fpage>417</fpage><lpage>421</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>October</day>	<month>18,</month>	<year>2013</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>November</day>	<month>18,</month>	<year>2013</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>November</day>	<month>25,</month>	<year>2013</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
   Geographically weighted regression models with the measurement error are a modeling method that combines the global regression models with the measurement error and the weighted regression model. The assumptions used in this model are a normally distributed error with that the expectation value is zero and the variance is constant. The purpose of this study is to estimate the parameters of the model and find the properties of these estimators. Estimation is done by using the Weighted Least Squares (WLS) which gives different weighting to each location. The variance of the measurement error is known. Estimators obtained are <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="dit_c9565e1a-ffd1-4b65-baa5-c484c4cebe38.png" xlink:type="simple"/></inline-formula>. The properties of the estimator are unbiased and have a minimum variance. 
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Geographical Weighted Regression; Measurement Error; Instrumental Variable; Weighted Least Squares</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>The measurement error is the error appeared when a recorded value isn’t exactly equal to the true value in terms of a measurement process, so that the true value of the explanatory variables is represented by a value that is obtained through a measurement process that isn’t necessarily correspond to the true value.</p><p>[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref1">1</xref>] says that the measurement errors affect the slope of the regression curve. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref2">2</xref>] say that the measurement errors can lead to bias in the regression estimator and also lead to a model that is not built right or not representative of the population. The presence of the measurement error causes biased and inconsistent parameter estimates and leads to erroneous conclusions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref3">3</xref>]. In addressing these issues, we use the measurement error models.</p><p>There are many researches that have been discussed about parametric regression models with the measurement error, including [2,4]. Nonparametric regression models with the measurement errors have been developed by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref5">5</xref>]. They discussed a nonparametric regression function estimator which is constructed to reflect the fact that there are errors in variables. The result of their study shows that the convergence rates of all possible estimators have a lower bound possessed by the kernel estimators. In addition, [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref6">6</xref>] have conducted a study to estimate the parameters in the measurement error model with the modified spline method.</p><p>Some researches have been done on the nonlinear regression model with the measurement errors such as [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref7">7</xref>] in the logistic regression model of the development of heart disease. In their study, they introduced a bias-adjusted estimator. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref8">8</xref>] conducted a study of the measurement error in the generalized linear model (GLM). The results of the computational methods offered an informative plot, called the measurement error trace which graphically illustrates the effect of the measurement error on the estimated parameters. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref9">9</xref>] estimated the parameters of the proportional hazard models.</p><p>According to [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref10">10</xref>], spatial data are prone to the measurement error in the covariates, so that the research for spatial regression models with the measurement errors begins to develop, because in practice there are variables that can’t be measured directly or can’t be measured precisely in accordance with the true value as well as the spatial effect. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref10">10</xref>] used a model of the conditional auto-regressive (CAR) in the study of spatial linear mixed model. The results of their research show that the naive estimators of the regression coefficients are attenuated while the naive estimators of the variance components are inflated, if the measurement error is ignored.</p><p>Beside CAR, there are several ways to analyze the spatial data. One of them is the geographically weighted regression model [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref11">11</xref>]. The geographically weighted regression model (GWR) is a development of the classical linear regression model. In the linear regression model only valid parameter estimators are produced globally, whereas in the GWR model it produced the model parameter estimators that are local to each observation location.</p><p>Based on the problems and the development of the research before, in this case, we are interested in examining the GWR model with the measurement error. So that, the purpose of this study is to determine the parameter estimators β and to examine the statistical properties of the resulting on the GWR model with the measurement error.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Model</title><p>GWR Model is a regression model of global development of the basic idea which is taken from the nonparametric regression [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref12">12</xref>]. This Model is a locally linear regression that generates a local model parameter estimates to each point or the region where the data is collected.</p><p>GWR Model can be written as follows [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref11">11</xref>]:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105331"><label>(2.1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\398de4d7-0c02-4bce-8117-b878a836248b.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>with <img src="5-1240252\3b695e89-f7a3-4f4e-9a97-594c42cc593c.jpg" /> states the point of coordinates (latitude, longitude) region <img src="5-1240252\afd66996-fcd1-40bd-9cdd-5af567c592b2.jpg" /> <img src="5-1240252\b95a4190-c685-4f8f-9de5-32b559e3fbde.jpg" /> is the value of a random variable and x<sub>i</sub> is the value of a fixed variable which is known and does not contain errors. This means that x<sub>i</sub> can be observed directly.</p><p>If x<sub>i</sub> can’t be observed directly, it will be observed variables z<sub>i</sub>. In this case, there has been a measurement error of the x<sub>i</sub>. Measurement error is referred to as an error on the variables x<sub>i</sub>. Measurement error models are:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105332"><label>(2.2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\f1c35881-6c0c-4da3-a3f9-12bf17a23157.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <img src="5-1240252\9c7efa72-d90c-468e-8ad2-d95f6882eb33.jpg" /> is a random variables<img src="5-1240252\741bc8dd-4ae0-41c9-a86a-c2aa526c621c.jpg" />. The observed random variables <img src="5-1240252\a541a7da-3ed2-40c6-960b-fc5481b4890c.jpg" /> called indicator variables, and unobserved variables <img src="5-1240252\4096db28-3b4d-4b54-8423-ba5d2521005b.jpg" /> referred to as latent variables.</p><p>So that from Equations (2.1) and (2.2) the regression model becomes:</p><p><img src="5-1240252\d06a76b8-14b3-428e-bd65-fe29484a26a5.jpg" /></p></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Estimation</title><p>The first step from this model approach is forming a weighting matrix for each observation (location). Weighting matrix is used to estimate the parameters in the location<img src="5-1240252\be9727ef-7a4d-48c9-a66f-533423c8299c.jpg" />. Suppose the weight for each location</p><p><img src="5-1240252\1f4a55fc-5c93-4e67-8a6d-046ea2e6dbf0.jpg" />is<img src="5-1240252\cdb2e093-aae8-4a53-98de-f59a2602c32e.jpg" />, <img src="5-1240252\382505c8-b279-4075-a11e-b62ee51dc0ac.jpg" />, then the location parameter <img src="5-1240252\468ad59c-153f-43a4-9c0b-9f0bd5dc0f18.jpg" /> allegedly by adding the element weighting <img src="5-1240252\ad2ee3e1-f61e-4a39-8941-ca45ef27da39.jpg" /> in Equation (2.1).</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105333"><label>(3.1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\61d58e1e-0df5-4fe1-9acc-8f2e0648447e.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Suppose <img src="5-1240252\e06f6933-f816-450a-a430-49199d403cb0.jpg" /> is the element of the i-th row of the matrix 𝑿. Then the value of y at the location of the observation <img src="5-1240252\358cc676-5390-4c3c-8fe5-5fc85cf755ca.jpg" /> can be written as follows:</p><p><img src="5-1240252\afd3cf16-0ad1-4d5b-8e21-4b3caa66e29c.jpg" /></p><p>We let <img src="5-1240252\510d27f8-e7a7-4afb-bda9-5130e89893d1.jpg" /> then</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105334"><label>, (3.2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\7efa1454-e9e9-4f12-a027-a2fad97d9cd0.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>If <img src="5-1240252\09d4e296-c212-4c11-977c-c5aa0aff730e.jpg" /> can’t be directly observed or experienced <img src="5-1240252\b89fc7c6-3189-4112-bda0-26f0492b174c.jpg" /> measurement error, then the Equation (3.1) becomes:</p><p><img src="5-1240252\b4669a69-dd71-4b60-9398-be04a66d3e7c.jpg" /></p><p><img src="5-1240252\63310175-90c6-4951-84a0-88d6bdf13f9d.jpg" /></p><p><img src="5-1240252\7c9aca71-8792-44de-8a17-34149270d4ad.jpg" /></p><p>In Equation (3.2) it is assumed that <img src="5-1240252\90b13d01-4495-43d9-a0e0-fcca45b8273b.jpg" /> has mean 0 and constant variance<img src="5-1240252\f740301f-0d00-49c6-a4da-83303f90d441.jpg" />.</p><p>Means<img src="5-1240252\ea0e724f-91ef-4b70-a499-ae45adb84952.jpg" />, so that</p><p><img src="5-1240252\ebceb4e7-0d63-4412-80ac-e30e9361f49a.jpg" /></p><p>where</p><p><img src="5-1240252\56de37af-e541-4934-8810-8458f1bdc272.jpg" /></p><p>From Equation (3.3) with</p><p><sup><img src="5-1240252\3302a7e0-94d9-4865-9a2c-8f7a895a75c1.jpg" />,</sup><sup></sup></p><p>obtained</p><p><img src="5-1240252\22c59a86-1772-48db-8c46-b526f1808c42.jpg" /></p><p>so</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105335"><label>(3.4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\76a20fb0-c16b-4e74-b688-35202ad886f0.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>If Equation (3.4) derived to <img src="5-1240252\0b6725f5-7ec3-48f4-bc64-87966b2bdfef.jpg" /> and the result equated to zero then obtain parameter estimators</p><p><img src="5-1240252\7ddd65c6-fa95-4bb8-8fe8-8f1058456e17.jpg" /></p><p>The parameter estimation of geographically weighted regression models with the measurement error for each location is</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105336"><label>(3.5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\eb8654b8-8c91-430f-9c7f-9ec623eba484.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Statistical Properties</title><p>After obtaining the estimators <img src="5-1240252\438dd382-b9b7-415a-a663-86fd9088189d.jpg" /> it will look for the properties of the estimator in Equation (3.5). From Equation (2.1), weighted regression with measurement errors obtained:</p><p><img src="5-1240252\a57de578-722e-4632-abbc-4767d5a304e2.jpg" /></p><p>which can also be written as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105337"><label>(4.1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\7113d9c1-cacf-46db-92eb-3e26022f1c2d.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where</p><p><img src="5-1240252\16ee8d71-4d7c-4563-9b31-c0b7f63c3f7b.jpg" /></p><p>In matrix notation, the regression Equation (4.1) is</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105338"><label>(4.2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\bb718085-a0cf-4fe5-87c1-a163e9dc73d4.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Estimating the parameters obtained from the weighted</p><p><img src="5-1240252\ff4e570e-f28f-4f2b-936f-3f0428f1e92a.jpg" /></p><p>From the above Equation we can see that</p><p><img src="5-1240252\08a41b5b-9332-4dc5-b8c8-ac08a8b1cd14.jpg" />so that the estimator <img src="5-1240252\af807f00-7578-4f85-bb1b-58cb60d8aff3.jpg" /> is a biased estimator for<img src="5-1240252\b7e9ea8d-b977-4683-9eb9-00d43c8ebc7d.jpg" />.</p><p>[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref13">13</xref>] found that the instrumental variable method provided unbiased estimates in linear models. To prove the unbiasedness, we use a linear model with <img src="5-1240252\2ddb923d-6df6-44d5-b732-f4d3d8111015.jpg" /> covariates<img src="5-1240252\3ee5bf18-e4b1-4134-9bc3-e0eebcce250a.jpg" />. Suppose <img src="5-1240252\44210b54-536a-4b9b-8dcb-5b680e1ec6fb.jpg" /> is the matrix containing the instrumental variables <img src="5-1240252\f4fda75c-cb15-452e-be50-b0ffc0e7e1a2.jpg" /> and<img src="5-1240252\1afcf010-acb2-46c5-807c-4daca379a8d4.jpg" />, i.e.<img src="5-1240252\41a0e444-8d6e-4c18-99fd-da41b4f7adcf.jpg" />, where “1” indicates the vector of ones which is needed for the intercept. According to the definition of instrumental variables [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref2">2</xref>], V and <img src="5-1240252\beb8393f-df60-4a50-8f3e-ea9db5fb2ab6.jpg" /> are independent. Therefore,</p><p><img src="5-1240252\ddf0f1cc-0f4b-4b4a-8c30-b88982c60beb.jpg" /></p><p>To obtain the parameter estimates<img src="5-1240252\c548181b-6ac1-4499-8a4f-d17f0fc72392.jpg" />, we create a “quasi” normal Equation by pre-multiplying both sides of Equation (4.2) with<img src="5-1240252\160638be-733d-4f5c-9f0f-0ddf2c85824d.jpg" />, and hence, we obtain</p><disp-formula id="scirp.41537-formula105339"><label>(4.3)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1240252\e02ed798-5638-4113-921e-1aa5564d2bce.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Since<img src="5-1240252\02572b80-b685-45e8-8984-7c3963517700.jpg" />, Equation (4.3) above becomes</p><p><img src="5-1240252\b3357edb-552d-406b-a2e9-68558471dba2.jpg" /></p><p>Therefore, the unbiased estimates <img src="5-1240252\6d3ff862-b9bf-4bd0-97cf-cc843b62fb69.jpg" /> obtained by the instrumental variable technique are</p><p><img src="5-1240252\3f76451a-5ad7-425a-97b1-c674301c18f4.jpg" /></p><p>Despite the fact that it is sometimes difficult to find variables serving purely as instrumental variables [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref14">14</xref>], this technique is a good option to overcome the problems of measurement error [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref13">13</xref>]. In addition, [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.41537-ref15">15</xref>] proposed an instrumental variable technique as a method to estimate the reliability coefficient of covariates that are difficult to measure.</p><p>To prove whether <img src="5-1240252\fbe6de2f-1b6b-46c0-911e-860c0b79420f.jpg" /> is an efficient estimator is</p><p><img src="5-1240252\8caa853c-f30d-494e-a0b1-590ee603a7d1.jpg" /></p><p>with</p><p><img src="5-1240252\92561d3b-d596-4d82-bee8-c8a3ae86d138.jpg" /></p><p><img src="5-1240252\61b1b793-99f1-4795-b17a-ad6faafb02c6.jpg" />should be as small as possible so that <img src="5-1240252\bc32e66c-df54-491c-943c-058fd6d33510.jpg" /> efficient estimator.</p></sec><sec id="s5"><title>5. Summary</title><p>In this paper, we assume that the variance of the measurement error <img src="5-1240252\e0feb092-4274-4335-b81b-c2daa0bb4469.jpg" /> is known. Assumptions used in this model are the errors normally distributed with that expected value is zero and the variance is constant. Geographically weighted regression models with the measurement error use the instrumental variable method. <img src="5-1240252\9849fb9e-9b72-4ae4-976e-142bdedfd373.jpg" />gives the unbiased estimation in the linear model, with terms<img src="5-1240252\dcbdc2ee-52a7-45b6-a4a0-6bd58f2e13cb.jpg" />. <img src="5-1240252\6d515981-fe24-473b-865e-7436dd6be5cc.jpg" />and <img src="5-1240252\ec953e31-7390-423c-a7ac-e665b68f5cac.jpg" /> are independent. The properties of estimators of geographically weighted regression models with the measurement error are an efficient estimator if <img src="5-1240252\689c2890-a395-4934-a71b-8542594fd71f.jpg" /> should be as small as possible.</p></sec><sec id="s6"><title>REFERENCES</title></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.41537-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">W. A. 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