<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JWARP</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Journal of Water Resource and Protection</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1945-3094</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/jwarp.2013.52013</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">JWARP-27680</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Earth&amp;Environmental Sciences</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Using Artificial Neural Network to Estimate Sediment Load in Ungauged Catchments of the Tonle Sap River Basin, Cambodia
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>okchhay</surname><given-names>Heng</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tadashi</surname><given-names>Suetsugi</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Interdisciplinary Graduate School of Medicine and Engineering, University of Yamanashi, Kofu, Japan</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>heng_sokchhay@yahoo.com(OH)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>04</day><month>02</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><volume>05</volume><issue>02</issue><fpage>111</fpage><lpage>123</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>November</day>	<month>30,</month>	<year>2012</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>December</day>	<month>30,</month>	<year>2012</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>January</day>	<month>9,</month>	<year>2013</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
   Concern on alteration of sediment natural flow caused by developments of water resources system, has been addressed in many river basins around the world especially in developing and remote regions where sediment data are poorly gauged or ungauged. Since suspended sediment load (SSL) is predominant, the objectives of this research are to: 1) simulate monthly average SSL (SSL<sub>m</sub>) of four catchments using artificial neural network (ANN); 2) assess the application of the calibrated ANN (Cal-ANN) models in three ungauged catchment representatives (UCR) before using them to predict SSL<sub>m</sub> of three actual ungauged catchments (AUC) in the Tonle Sap River Basin; and 3) estimate annual SSL (SSL<sub>A</sub>) of each AUC for the case of with and without dam-reservoirs. The model performance for total load (SSL<sub>T</sub>) prediction was also investigated because it is important for dam-reservoir management. For model simulation, ANN yielded very satisfactory results with determination coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>) ranging from 0.81 to 0.94 in calibration stage and 0.63 to 0.87 in validation stage. The Cal-ANN models also performed well in UCRs with R<sup>2</sup> ranging from 0.59 to 0.64. From the result of this study, one can estimate SSL<sub>m</sub> and SSL<sub>T</sub> of ungauged catchments with an accuracy of 0.61 in term of R<sup>2</sup> and 34.06% in term of absolute percentage bias, respectively. SSL<sub>A</sub> of the AUCs was found between 159,281 and 723,580 t/year. In combination with Brune’s method, the impact of dam-reservoirs could reduce SSL<sub>A</sub> between 47% and 68%. This result is key information for sustainable development of such infrastructures. 
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Artificial Neural Network; Suspended Sediment Load; Ungauged Catchment; Lower Mekong Basin; Tonle Sap River Basin</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>Rainfall and runoff, the main erosion agents, detach soil particles from its matrix and transport gravitationally the detached materials or sediments to surrounding rivers. In the rivers, sediments flow further downstream with streamflow. Suspended sediment load (SSL) is a major portion of the total load transported by streams [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref1">1</xref>] and commonly accounts for 85% to 95% [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref2">2</xref>]. Sediment has been becoming an important issue involving in sustainable development of water resources system. The Mekong2Rio conference also addressed the concern on food security which could be adversely affected by alteration of the sediment natural flow [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref3">3</xref>]. Construction of water storages (e.g. dam-reservoirs) can provide solutions to food security issues through increased irrigation and at the same time improve access to energy through hydropower generation. However, such developments could affect on fisheries through the loss of sediment trapped behind dam walls, for example. The Lower Mekong Basin (LMB) contains over 100 hydropower projects (HPP) and if there are no any effective countermeasures taken into account, their development could trap sediment around 26 Mt/year, 60% of the total basin production [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref4">4</xref>].</p><p>Quantification of sediment load is necessary not only during the project development stage but also along the course of operation until decommissioning [5-12]. It is interesting with regard to reservoir sedimentation, fish habitat, river utilization as well as biological sustainability in the whole river basin [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref13">13</xref>]. The most reliable way in estimating sediment load is the use of its observed records, but sediment sampling is very difficult and requires high experienced professionals because of its significant fluctuation within the river section [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref9">9</xref>] and userunfriendly measurement tools. Moreover, it is time consuming and costly [11,14]. These constraints have led to low frequency of sediment observation around the world and especially in developing and remote regions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref1">1</xref>] such as the LMB. In response to this problem, modeling approach, based on different hydrological variables and terrain attributes, has been taken into consideration.</p><p>The unit stream power (USP) theory of Yang [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref15">15</xref>], the SHESED model of Wicks and Bathurst [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref16">16</xref>] and others known as the physically-based models, could be universally used to predict sediment yield of a watershed but it requires a lot of detailed information including hydrological, hydraulic and geological characteristics of the river basin, and as well as sediment characteristics itself. Preparation of such dataset will be difficult and costly. Furthermore, the stream power approach cannot predict well the SSL because, in rivers, the finest fraction of SSL is often a non-capacity load [17,18]. Similarly for process-based models such as the modified universal soil loss equation (MUSLE), introduced by Williams [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref19">19</xref>], and its family (USLE and RUSLE), they also require huge amount of input data. Data consumption and complex sediment transport mechanism have driven both physicallyand process-based models to be based on many simplifying assumptions and empirical relationships, particularly for rainfall and runoff erosive effects [7,20]. In consequence, their application in data scarce areas would yield high uncertain results or be completely infeasible.</p><p>Alternative approach to the processand physicallybased techniques is the utilization of data-driven models. Artificial neural network (ANN) is the most well-known and powerful data-driven method and it has been proved to be useful in modeling complex hydrologic processes or non-linear systems such as sediment transport [10,21, 22]. ANN forecasts outputs using experiences learned from historical data. This method is widely used because it does not require detailed information of the physical process controlling the system and generally applicable using available hydrological data. Tayfur [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref23">23</xref>] stated that ANN is a very practical and promising modeling tool for the study of sediment transport processes in data shortage regions. Kisi and Shiri [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref13">13</xref>] employed ANN to estimate daily suspended sediment concentration (SSC) in Eel River, California, and obtained a very satisfactory result with determination coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>) ranging between 0.82 and 0.95. In predicting daily SSL in Mississippi, Missouri and Rio Grande River in USA, Melesse et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref11">11</xref>] found that ANN (0.65 ≤ R<sup>2</sup> ≤ 0.96) for most cases is superior to other data-driven models: multiple linear/nonlinear regressions and autoregressive integrated moving average. In Longchuanjiang River, the Upper Yangtze Catchment in China, monthly SSL was modeled well by ANN with R<sup>2</sup> varying from 0.66 to 0.89 in validation stage [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref24">24</xref>].</p><p>Singh et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref12">12</xref>] compared two different models for predicting monthly SSL of Nagwa watershed in India and the results showed that ANN is better than MUSLE for larger R<sup>2</sup> 8% in calibration stage and 13% in validation stage. Similar study conducted by Talebizadeh et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref25">25</xref>] demonstrated that ANN is superior to MUSLE in estimating low and medium values but inferior in case of high values. In comparing with various physically-based models including USP, the performance of ANN is comparable and in some cases better [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref23">23</xref>]. Additionally, ANN could provide detailed information for design purposes and management practices in civil and environmental engineering sector [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref10">10</xref>], and hysteretic analysis of sediment transport [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref26">26</xref>] which no other methods have been confirmed their applicability yet. However, one drawback of ANN is the need of long time series data for system training.</p><p>To our knowledge, there are many studies considering ANN for SSL simulation but very limited researches assessing its applicability in ungauged catchments (UC). The objectives of this research are to: 1) simulate monthly average SSL (SSL<sub>m</sub>) of four catchments using ANN; 2) assess the application of the calibrated ANN models in three ungauged catchment representatives (UCR) before using them to predict SSL<sub>m</sub> of three actual ungauged catchments (AUC) in the Tonle Sap River Basin; and 3) estimate annual SSL (SSL<sub>A</sub>) of each AUC for the case of with and without hydropower dam-reservoirs. All ten catchments considered in this study are located totally in the LMB. UC in this context refers to catchment having no sediment observation.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Materials and Methods</title><sec id="s2_1"><title>2.1. Study Catchments</title><p>The study area is focused on the LMB covering about 606,000 km<sup>2</sup>, 76% of the whole Mekong River Basin and more than 80% of the annual flow [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref27">27</xref>]. It lies approximately between 8˚N to 23˚N and 98˚E to 109˚E. It is a transboundary river basin shared by four countries: Lao PDR, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. Majority of the sediment gauging stations is located in the basin part of Thailand and ranked the highest with respect to data availability and completeness [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref28">28</xref>]. On the other hand, many water related projects such as hydropower dams/ reservoirs are planned in the basin part of Lao PDR and Cambodia where historical records of sediment are very poor. Therefore, modeling of sediment load in the areas rich in observed data and proof of its applicability in ungauged areas with similar hydrological and terrain characteristics, the main purpose of the research, is very challenging in this context.</p><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref> illustrates the location map of all ten catchments selected for the study. Presently, there are no hydropower dams operating in these catchments [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27680-ref29">29</xref>]. Hydrological and geographical/terrain characteristics of each catchment are presented in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>. Catchment No. 1 to 7 where sediment data are available were grouped and divided into two sets: 1) The simulated catchment (SC) composing of Catchment No. 1, 2, 3 and 4, was</p></sec></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.27680-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">D. E. Walling and D. Fang, “Recent Trends in the Suspended Sediment Loads of the World’s Rivers,” Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 39, No. 1-2, 2003, pp. 111-126. doi:10.1016/S0921-8181(03)00020-1</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.27680-ref2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Z. 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