<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ME</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Modern Economy</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2152-7245</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/me.2013.41007</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">ME-27598</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Business&amp;Economics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Measuring Trade Costs in Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>harles</surname><given-names>Ackah</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Festus</surname><given-names>Ebo Turkson</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kwadwo</surname><given-names>Opoku</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Research Department Bank of Ghana, Accra, Ghana</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Institute of Statistical, Social and Economic Research, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Economics, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>akaobo@yahoo.com(HA)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>29</day><month>01</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><volume>04</volume><issue>01</issue><fpage>56</fpage><lpage>65</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>October</day>	<month>31,</month>	<year>2012</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>December</day>	<month>1,</month>	<year>2012</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>January</day>	<month>2,</month>	<year>2013</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
   In this paper, we measure trade costs for ECOWAS countries and infer their impact on trade flows. The paper applies an unconditional general equilibrium trade model consistent with the Ricardian and heterogeneous firms’ models of trade to estimate a trade cost equation to obtain the tariff equivalent trade cost measure for ECOWAS countries. The method expresses the trade cost parameters as a function of observable trade data. We find that over the period 1980-2003, the cost of trading within SSA was the highest, compared to other regional groups, at an average tariff equivalent of 271.5 percent. On average ECOWAS countries traded with their trading partners at a tariff equivalent trade cost of 268.2 percent, higher than countries from other regional blocs within and out of SSA. With regards to trade flow involving ECOWAS countries, estimates of tariff equivalent trade costs indicates that on average ECOWAS countries traded among each other at a lower cost than with other trading partners from economic blocs out of ECOWAS. This could be attributed to the positive impact of regional trade integration efforts. Over the years especially since 2000, ECOWAS seemed to have promoted intra-ECOWAS trade especially with regards to export of manufactures. With regards to countries within ECOWAS, intra-ECOWAS trade costs with Cote d’Ivoirewere the lowest at an average tariff equivalent trade cost of 138.5 percent and this was significantly lower thanGhana,NigeriaandBenin. 
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Trade Costs; Intra-ECOWAS Trade; Exports; Gravity Model</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>The high and rising level of trade costs has generated intense academic and policy interest on the level and its impact on trade flows and economic integration. Higher trade costs are an obstacle to trade and impede the realization of gains from trade liberalization (see De [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref1">1</xref>]). Indeed, the international trade literature is replete with studies on the impact of trade costs on the volume of trade (see for example Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref2">2</xref>]). Regional integration is also seen as the resultant of reduced costs of transportation in particular and other infrastructure services in general (Khan and Weiss [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref3">3</xref>]). Commitment towards removal of trade barriers as well as initiatives to have fair assessment about the size and shape of trade costs among countries would definitely strengthen economic integration process. Thus, reducing international trade costs and hence improving trade competitiveness would have a very significant impact on intra-regional trade. It is therefore unsurprising that trade facilitation and trade cost reduction programs or targets form important component of bilateral or regional trade and economic integration initiatives.</p><p>Trade costs as argued by Obstfeld and Rogoff [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref4">4</xref>] explain all the six major puzzles of international macroeconomics (see [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref3">3</xref>]). Its importance in international trade cannot be over-emphasized as they are large and variable, impose significance implications on welfare, linked to policy, and matter for economic geography. By distorting the relative price of domestic to foreign goods, trade costs distort the worldwide allocation of production and consumption as well as welfare. Indeed, estimates indicate that for each per cent reduction in trade transaction costs, world income could increase by US $30 to $40 billion (see for example, OECD, [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref5">5</xref>]; and Francois et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref6">6</xref>]). Irarrazabal et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref7">7</xref>] simulations also indicate that the welfare costs are roughly 50 per cent higher when tariffs are per-unit compared to a modeling variable trade costs as an ad valorem tax equivalent (iceberg costs).</p><p>The high trade costs have been touted as one of the main determinants of the persistent low level of intra-regional trade in ECOWAS. In most ECOWAS countries, though tariff rates have fallen considerably over the years, the existence of numerous (uncontrolled) check points along the ECOWAS community’s highways and border points and various ports (airports and seaports) as well as the accompanying illegal charges contribute significantly to the costs of doing business in the sub-region. The bureaucracies and other indirect costs that are not policy induced, in particular, have been recognized to constitute the most significant hindrances to integration, trade and more importantly export supply response capacity of West Africa (see Alaba [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref8">8</xref>]).</p><p>Portugal-Perez and Wilson [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref9">9</xref>] have shown that transport costs in Africa are about 2.5 times those of industrialized countries. World Bank Doing Business Report [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref10">10</xref>] indicates that the trading costs for African countries, in general, are about twice as high as those in high-income OECD countries. Estimates indicate that average trade costs for African countries are equivalent to an ad valorem term of 425 per cent and that transport costs are 63 per cent higher in African countries compared with the average in developed countries (UNECA [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref11">11</xref>]).</p><p>Yet very little is known about the level and intensity of trade costs in ECOWAS countries and to what extent these costs are compared to other trade costs in other regional sub-groupings. No empirical study has been undertaken to estimate the level and extent of trade costs in ECOWAS. This paper therefore seeks to address this knowledge gap by estimating and analyzing intra and extra-regional trade costs of ECOWAS.</p><p>The remaining part of this paper is organized as follows. In the next section, we present intra and interECOWAS trade flows and the structure of ECOWAS exports as well as trade costs. Section three deals with literature review on trade costs and its measurement, with methodology and data description discussed on section four. We offer estimation and analysis of results on section five with conclusions on the last section of the paper.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Trade Costs in ECOWAS</title><p>Contribution of ECOWAS to global trade is very small. In terms of exports, ECOWAS account for less than one per cent of world merchandise exports. Marginalization of ECOWAS in global trade is also manifested in its very low share of intra-regional exports in its total exportsintra-ECOWAS’ share of total ECOWAS exports has been insignificant and have hovered around 9.2 per cent since 2005 though it increased marginally from 8.8 per cent in 2005 to 9.2 per cent in 2010. The EU and USA remains the major export destinations of ECOWAS exports. The EU and USA, on average, consumed about 57.8 per cent of ECOWAS exports compared with an intra-ECOWAS trade of 9.2 per cent for the period 2005-2010.</p><p>The poor performance of ECOWAS in global trade and intra-ECOWAS trade have been largely attributed to the high and rising cost of trade incurred in transporting and moving across borders<sup>1</sup>. For Lyakurwa [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref12">12</xref>], the high transaction costs constitute the most binding trade constraint in African countries. The high transport cost and infrastructural costs which are enormous in ECOWAS countries are attributed to, among other things, inappropriate and disproportionate arrangements of existing roads and railway links, air and sea transport and poor communication and disappointing power supply. Others are the burdensome documentation requirements, timeconsuming customs procedures, inefficient port operations and inadequate transport infrastructure lead to unnecessary costs and delays for traders (see Alaba [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref8">8</xref>]).</p><p>The Doing Business [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref14">14</xref>] indicates that in SSA, despite making the most improvements in trading across borders in 2009/10, trade is still the slowest and most expensive. <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref> indicates that the cost of importing and exporting a container is estimated to amount to $2491.80 and $1961.50 respectively compared to $1744.50 and $1511.60 in South Asia. Other developing regions including East Asia &amp; Pacific, Latin America &amp; Caribbean and Middle East &amp; North Africa even have relatively smaller costs of importing and exporting. Also, it requires 7.7 and 8.7 documents to export and import in sub-Saharan Africa, more than any other region with the exception of South East Asia. There is still more costs with regards to number of days to export and import as the region typically face delays 3 times as long, with the</p><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>. Border Trade costs across different regions.</p><p><img src="7-7200398\56a5e297-4c0b-44b3-8321-9e8367393e62.jpg" /></p><p>time to export averaging 32 days and the time to import 38 days.</p><p>On average, overall delays at African customs remain longer than the rest of the world: 12 days in countries south of the Sahara, compared to 7 days in Latin America, 5.5 days in Central and East Asia, and slightly more than 4 days in Central and East Europe, adding a tremendous cost to importers each passing day at the custom’s warehouse (see ECA [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref15">15</xref>]). ECA [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref16">16</xref>] also indicates that, on average, customs transaction in Africa involve 20 to 30 different parties, 40 documents, 200 data elements (30 of which are repeated at least 30 times) and the rekeying of 60 to 70 per cent of all data at least once.</p></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Literature Review</title><sec id="s3_1"><title>3.1. Definition of Trade Costs</title><p>Trade costs<sup>2</sup> include all costs (other than the marginal cost of producing the good) incurred in getting a good from the producer to the final user. It includes transportation, time and local distribution costs, border costs, institutional costs (i.e. legal and regulatory costs, foreign exchange costs), and informational costs (i.e. contract enforcement costs, communication cost).</p><p>Within the international trade literature two main sources of trade costs have been identified, namely direct sources or evidence and indirect sources or evidence. While the direct sources of trade costs are obtained from data obtained on costs imposed by tariff and nontariff barriers and by the environment (transportation, time cost, wholesale and retail distribution costs and insurance), indirect evidence has been obtained mainly through inference from trade flows<sup>3</sup>.</p><p>For almost five decades, trade economists have inferred unobservable trade costs from trade flows through economic models, mainly in the form of gravity equations. Originally borrowed from the Newtonian law of universal gravitation<sup>4</sup>, the gravity framework was first applied in economics by Tinbergen in 1962 to explain bilateral trade flows between two countries. Without much theoretical foundation, Tinbergen [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref20">20</xref>] postulated that bilateral trade flows are positively related to the product of the two countries’ GDPs and inversely related to the distance between them.</p><p>Following from Tinbergen’s [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref20">20</xref>] benchmark gravity model for explaining bilateral trade flows, two main theoretical approaches emerged in the international trade literature namely the conditional and the unconditional general equilibrium frameworks.</p><p>According to Bergstrand and Egger [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref21">21</xref>], the main difference between these two approaches was the assumption made about the “seperability” of production and consumption decisions from decisions made about the choice of bilateral trade countries. While the conditional general equilibrium approach (and endowment based model) assumed production and consumption decisions as given and that each country specialized wholly in the production of its own good, which for each country is produced exogenously, the unconditional general equilibrium approach recognized the absence of seperability of production and consumption decisions from bilateral trade decisions.</p><p>Under the endowment-based conditional general equilibrium framework, trade economists have estimated two types of gravity equations namely, the “traditional” and “theory-based” gravity equations. The traditional gravity equation to infer unobservable trade costs following from Tinbergen [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref20">20</xref>] and Anderson [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref22">22</xref>] is of the form</p><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135267"><label>(1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\ce228840-d58c-4a8d-ae4b-214cf83c3c3d.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where x<sub>ij</sub> is the log of exports from i to j, y<sub>i</sub> and y<sub>j</sub> are the log of GDP of the exporter and importer, <img src="7-7200398\e23ed026-9009-49f7-a14c-168b5954ae8f.jpg" /> is a set of observables to which bilateral trade frictions/barriers are related and ε<sub>ij</sub> is the disturbance term.</p><p>Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>] following from the findings of McCallum [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref24">24</xref>]<sup>5</sup> made a theoretical refinement of the “traditional” gravity to incorporate multilateral trade resistance variables. Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>] argued that the highly overstated impact of national borders on bilateral trade found by McCallum [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref24">24</xref>] was because the “traditional” gravity model failed to account for the impact of multilateral trade resistance (i.e. the average trade resistance between a country and its trading partners with the rest of the world) on bilateral trade costs.</p><p>Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>] were therefore motivated to provide a theoretical refinement of the traditional gravity model (henceforth, “theory based” gravity model) to include multilateral trade resistance variables. The various studies that have made use of the “theory based” gravity model (an enhanced conditional general equilibrium model) have estimated in different ways the gravity equation of the form</p><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135268"><label>(2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\935bc454-9372-4dc1-9d2c-30ef5cd07f0c.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where &#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;<img src="7-7200398\cfe06a32-cbca-4607-81a3-a888eae67018.jpg" />&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160; (3)</p><p>where x<sub>ij</sub> is nominal exports from country i to j, y<sub>i</sub> and y<sub>j</sub> is the nominal income (GDP) of exporter i and importer j respectively, y<sub>w</sub> is nominal world income (total world GDP), t<sub>ij</sub> is the bilateral trade costs, γ is the elasticity of substitution among goods, П<sub>i</sub> and P<sub>j</sub> are outward and inward multilateral resistance variables respectively. In addition <img src="7-7200398\25f56a1c-bb12-41b0-af4f-74fe1c9301a4.jpg" /> is a set of observables to which bilateral trade frictions/barriers are related.</p><p>According to Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>], the multilateral trade resistance variables in Equation (2) which capture countries average international trade barrier costs can be expressed as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135269"><label>(4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\6f4a5c8f-123c-43e7-848a-63bdbfb4eb25.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135270"><label>(5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\4a62fab4-015f-4f5b-894f-e9ab70b9ff0f.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where θ<sub>i</sub><sub> </sub>and θ<sub>j</sub> is the share of world income of country i and j defined as <img src="7-7200398\eb8a8314-0a06-433e-bded-18b788e1f7da.jpg" /> and <img src="7-7200398\599cf071-0081-4c5e-afe0-6ba42bd65735.jpg" /> respectively. From Equations (4) and (5) bilateral trade costs t<sub>ij</sub> are summed over and weighted by all destination countries j or origin countries i.</p><p>Both the “traditional” and “theory-based” gravity equations have continued to achieve empirical success in explaining bilateral flows<sup>6</sup> and this explains why the gravity framework of trade is recognized as the workhorse in explaining bilateral trade flows. Most of the studies that have employed versions of either the “traditional” and “theory-based” gravity equations have sought to estimate various types of bilateral trade costs across countries and overtime.</p></sec><sec id="s3_2"><title>3.2. Recent Developments in Measuring Trade Costs</title><p>The empirical validity of using gravity equations to measure trade costs and its impact on trade volumes has been criticised mainly as a result of the underlying theoretical assumptions. The criticisms that have come up relate to the omission of the non tradable sector in the trade cost function, symmetric assumption about outward and inward multilateral resistance, the inclusion of time invariant proxies and omission of important frictions to trade in the trade cost function. Attempts to address these criticisms have led to the emergence of a new strand of promising trade cost literature.</p><p>Engel [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref25">25</xref>] and Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] argue that by ignoring the non-tradable sector the gravity equation underestimates border barrier costs because trade barriers do not only affect international trade but domestic trade as well. The intuition behind this argument is straightforward. A change in trade barriers will lead to a shift in resources between the tradable sector and non-tradable sector (import competing) and this will result in changes in trade flows (either bilaterally or multilaterally). This is especially the case for multilateral resistance of the trading countries because it does depend on domestic trade. This implies that there is the need to include domestic trade in the gravity equation to account for the home bias.</p><p>The symmetric assumption underlying trade costs within the gravity model has also come under criticism because as indicated by Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] it might not hold in all cases. It is empirically possible for bilateral trade costs to be asymmetric because one country imposes a higher tariff than the other or because the quality standards and technical requirements in one country is more stringent than the other, a situation likely for African countries.</p><p>As indicated by Coe et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref27">27</xref>] and other studies, the estimates of distance elasticity of trade costs obtained from the gravity equation has remained a “missing globalization puzzle” because over time it has remained unchanged in spite of declining transport costs. This might possibly be as a result of the inclusion of time-invariant trade cost proxies such as distance in the gravity equation. Distance cannot be a useful measure of transport costs because it does not capture changes in transport costs over time.</p><p>Standard gravity equations (i.e. the traditional and theory-based) have also failed to capture all trade costs components because of lack of information and hidden transactions costs that have in most situations not been accounted for in capturing trade costs. This might explain why there is a missing trade flow component when predicted trade flows are compared with actual trade flows.</p></sec><sec id="s3_3"><title>3.3. Micro-Founded Measure of Trade Cost</title><p>By building on Head and Ries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref28">28</xref>] and Anderson and van Wincoop’s [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>] micro-founded (i.e. theory based) gravity equation with trade costs, Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] allows for trade costs to be inferred from easily observable time-varying data without imposing trade cost function (with “questionable” assumptions).</p><p>The motivation for Novy’s approach was to overcome the drawbacks that were associated with the microfounded (theory-based) gravity framework by Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>]. Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] identified three drawbacks with the assumptions made by Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>] with respect to the bilateral trade cost formulation. These included the possibility of a functional form misspecification of the trade cost function and also most likely an omitted variable(s) problems; the inclusion of time invariant proxies such as geographic distance and borders in capturing empirically time-varying trade costs and the possibility that bilateral trade costs might be asymmetric because countries impose different tariffs in their trade relations so one country can impose a higher tariff than the other (i.e. t<sub>ij</sub> ≠ t<sub>ji</sub>). Even if trade tariffs between the two countries are assumed to be the same, it is impracticable to assume that other trade frictions will also be the same. Thus it follows that outward and inward multilateral trade resistance between countries i and j are not the same (i.e. П<sub>i </sub>≠ P<sub>j</sub>) as assumed by Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref23">23</xref>].</p><p>In the light of these drawbacks, Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] following closely Head and Ries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref28">28</xref>] derived an explicit analytical solution for the multilateral trade resistance variables and with that solved the trade costs function. This approach (henceforth “micro-founded measure” of trade costs) relies on the argument that changes in trade barriers do not only affect international trade but domestic trade as well. In practice when a country phases out or reduces trade tariffs, some goods that are produced for domestic consumption are shipped to foreign countries, implying that trade barriers impact on domestic trade as well.</p><p>By specifying the theory-based gravity equation in domestic trade terms and explicitly solving for the multilateral resistance variables and bilateral trade costs from the general equilibrium model, Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] obtained the tariff equivalent total trade costs (τ<sub>ij</sub>) by taking a geometric mean of trade costs in both directions minus one as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135271"><label>(6)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\160600c7-6daa-4417-b3e0-cb876a34a0f0.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where τ<sub>ij</sub> is the total trade cost (i.e. measures bilateral trade costs relative to domestic trade costs), t<sub>ij</sub>t<sub>ji</sub> is the bilateral trade costs of countries i and j and t<sub>ii</sub>t<sub>jj</sub> is the domestic trade costs of countries i and j. The measure of the international component of trade costs net of distribution costs in the destination country is given as</p><p><img src="7-7200398\4d8e68ca-1ef9-4c2f-847a-86fda564d3bf.jpg" />.</p><p>This captures what makes international trade costly over and above domestic trade.</p><p>Intuitively, Equation (6) indicates that when bilateral trade costs decrease relative to domestic trade costs, total trade costs (τ<sub>ij</sub>) will decrease, making it easier for countries i and j to trade relative to domestic trade. This will therefore imply that bilateral trade flows will increase relative to domestic trade flows. Similarly, if bilateral trade flows increase relative to domestic trade flows, one can infer that it has become easier for the two countries to trade (possibly because bilateral trade costs have declined relative to domestic trade cost), and this will be reflected in a decline in total trade costs.</p><p>Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] showed how the micro-founded trade cost function (i.e. Equation (6)) is not specific to the endowment (conditional general equilibrium ) model but that it can be derived from unconditional general equilibrium trade models—the Ricardian model of Eaton and Kortum [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref29">29</xref>] and the heterogeneous firms’ models by Chaney [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref30">30</xref>] and Melitz and Ottaviano [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref31">31</xref>].</p><p>Using a similar approach Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] derived the tariff equivalent total trade costs function from the unconditional general equilibrium trade models of Eaton and Kortum [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref29">29</xref>] Chaney [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref30">30</xref>] and Melitz and Ottaviano [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref31">31</xref>] as given in Equations (7)-(9) respectively.</p><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135272"><label>(7)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\56d1d763-e6f0-4af2-8186-f1c6ead28a4f.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135273"><label>(8)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\9805041c-0858-43ea-a71b-b768156affc0.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135274"><label>(9)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\3f217f1b-372f-4c44-be83-fe928e142518.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>The trade cost measures in Equations (8) and (9) are the same although (8) incorporates fixed costs of exporting (as discussed by Chaney [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref30">30</xref>] whilst in (9) there is no fixed cost of exporting (Melitz and Ottaviano [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref31">31</xref>]). This is so because while Chaney [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref30">30</xref>] considered fixed and variable cost of exporting, Melitz and Ottaviano [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref31">31</xref>] argued that exporting firms only face variable costs of exporting because all fixed costs are incurred before entry into the export market. The derived measure of trade cost by Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] is therefore consistent with the Ricardian and heterogeneous firms’ models of trade.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Methodology and Data</title><sec id="s4_1"><title>4.1. Model Specification</title><p>The empirical approach adopted in this study is to estimate a trade cost equation to obtain the tariff equivalent trade cost measure for ECOWAS countries that expresses the trade cost parameters as a function of observable trade data, derived in (6) as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.27598-formula135275"><label>(10)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="7-7200398\8ea9f4e8-88d5-4947-9e6d-29ca6de9451e.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where τ<sub>ij</sub> is the tariff equivalent trade cost (i.e. measures domestic trade relative to bilateral trade), X<sub>ii</sub> and X<sub>jj</sub> is the domestic trade of countries i and j respectively, X<sub>ij</sub> and X<sub>ji</sub> is the bilateral trade of countries i and j respectively, and σ is the elasticity of substitution.</p></sec><sec id="s4_2"><title>4.2. Sources of Data</title><p>Data for our analysis is obtained from two sources. Data for estimating the tariff equivalent trade cost measure will be constructed from the Trade and Production Database published by CEPII. Data for the second stage of analysis will be constructed from the COMTRADE database of the UN and it involves bilateral trade and tariff data for the period 1990-2009. The Trade and Production Database published by CEPII provide an updated version of the worldwide data used in Mayer and Zignago [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref32">32</xref>]. The database contains two main groups of information. The first group which is in two parts covers 28 industrial sectors in the ISIC (International Standard Industrial Classification) Revision 2. The first part is bilateral trade for 1980-2003 based on BACI, one of the most exhaustive worldwide datasets publicly available. The second part is an extension of industrial production figures from the Trade, Production and Protection database by Alessandro Nicita and Marcelo Olarreaga (World Bank). Information at the country level consists of geographic data used for the estimation of gravity equations published by CEPII, and data on GDP from the World Development Indicators database published by the World Bank.</p><p>To meet the study objectives, the sector (ISIC rev 2) level bilateral trade and production data is aggregated to the country level. The database used for the study contains information on 13,174 bilateral country-years, covering about 128,000 observations for 24 years over 1980-2003. The analysis focuses on the production and trade in manufactures only.</p><p>In order to focus our analyses on Africa, we concentrate mainly on bilateral trade relations involving African countries. This leaves us with a final panel of about 3346 bilateral country-years covering 13,184 annual observations. With the final dataset, bilateral countries appear in only 7 years on average, making the dataset unbalanced. The use of unbalanced data partially allows bilateral countries to enter and exit the panel. The dataset also contains geographic information that allows us to divide the bilateral country-years into different economic blocs/regions. By this information, we will be able to carry out regional analyses, making it easier for us to identify the differences that exist between bilateral trading partners from different economic blocs/regions. Bilateral exports (X<sub>ij</sub> and X<sub>ji</sub>) (Gross Exports valued at F.O.B and denominated in thousands of US dollars) data used in this study are sourced from the CEPII database and UN COMTRADE. Domestic trade or internal flows for the exporting (i.e. X<sub>ii</sub>) and importing (i.e. X<sub>jj</sub>) country is defined as total production minus total exports of manufactures. This is also denominated in thousands of US dollars and is sourced from the CEPII database.</p><p>The choice of a value for the elasticity of substitution (σ) is very important in the estimation of the trade cost measure. Since the trade cost measure derived in (10) is synonymous to the trade costs measure derived from other models (see Equations (7)-(9)), the choice of a value for σ will depend on values of different parameters used in the other models, namely the Fr&#233;chet parameter ϑ and the Pareto parameter γ.</p><p>Survey estimates of σ in Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref2">2</xref>] indicates that σ typically falls in the range of 5 to 10. Eaton and Kortum [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref29">29</xref>] report their baseline estimate for ϑ as approximately equal to 8, while Helpman, Melitz and Yeaple [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref33">33</xref>] estimate <img src="7-7200398\db98fd9e-ce11-40ce-8306-fc16920a9f42.jpg" /> to be around unity, which implies γ ≈<img src="7-7200398\a1d1dada-364f-438c-a77c-3d7fc7e82f11.jpg" />. Novy (2010) followed closely Anderson and van Wincoop [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref2">2</xref>] in setting σ = 8, indicating that it corresponds to ϑ, γ = 7. According to Novy [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref26">26</xref>] the choice of <img src="7-7200398\49fe7003-7178-4e56-972b-83c86ee641a8.jpg" /> = 8 can be seen as an approximate parameter value suitable for aggregate trade flows. This study will set <img src="7-7200398\5952ade5-0ddd-4f20-b571-53d8ff463b87.jpg" /> = 8 in line with previous studies.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s5"><title>5. Estimation and Analysis of Results</title><p>The results obtained in this section relate to our estimate of the tariff equivalent trade cost measure which is obtained from estimating Equation (10) with an elasticity of substitution set equal to 8 (i.e. σ = 8). A decline (an increase) in our estimate of the tariff equivalent trade cost implies that bilateral trade flows have increased (decreased) relative to domestic trade flows, and this would be as a result of a decrease (an increase) in bilateral trade costs relative to domestic trade cost.</p><sec id="s5_1"><title>5.1. Overall Average Bilateral Trade Costs<sup>7</sup></title><p>The results in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref> show the estimated tariff equivalent trade cost of the different regional or economic blocs involved in the global trading system. Over the period 1980-2003, the cost of trading within SSA was the highest at an average tariff equivalent of 271.5 percent. This finding confirms data from the World Bank’s Doing Business database which indicates that the trading costs in SSA, in general, is the highest within the global trad-</p><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>. Test for difference in overall bilateral average trade costs by region/bloc (1980-2003).</p><p><img src="7-7200398\0281d70a-bb04-4458-ab84-7d3b99fb0020.jpg" /></p><p>$$ SSA Average = 2.715; <sup>*</sup>p &lt; 0.10, <sup>**</sup>p &lt; 0.05, <sup>***</sup>p &lt; 0.01; Standard errors are shown in parenthesis.</p><p>ing system and is about twice as high as those in highincome OECD countries. As shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>, SSA countries from the various regional blocs had the highest bilateral trade costs with all trading partners. On average ECOWAS countries traded with their trading partners at a tariff equivalent trade cost of 268.2 percent, higher than countries from other regional blocs within and out of SSA. The trade costs in North America was the lowest at 185.6<sup>8</sup> percent, while that of the EU, East Asia &amp; Pacific and South Asia was estimated at an average of 193.9 percent, 215.2 percent and 236.6 percent over the same period respectively.</p><p>To find out if the average trade costs across blocs differ significantly from the average trade costs of ECOWAS countries, the study conducted t-tests to test the null hypothesis that there is no statistically significant difference between the average trade cost of the various blocs and ECOWAS. The t-test results as shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref> indicates that the tariff equivalent trade cost for ECOWAS countries was significantly higher than countries from all the other regions out of SSA at 1% level of significance. Within SSA, overall bilateral trade costs of ECOWAS countries with trading partners was significantly lower than countries from the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS), East African Community and other SSA (shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>). The results however indicate that statistically there is no difference between the trade cost of ECOWAS and SADC.</p></sec><sec id="s5_2"><title>5.2. Average Bilateral Trade Costs Involving ECOWAS Countries<sup>9</sup></title><p>With regards to trade flow involving ECOWAS countries, estimates of tariff equivalent trade costs obtained from estimating Equation (10) indicates that on average ECOWAS countries traded among each other at a lower cost than with other trading partners from economic blocs out of ECOWAS. This could be attributed to the positive impact of regional trade integration efforts. Over the years especially since 2000, ECOWAS seemed to have promoted intra-ECOWAS trade especially with regards to export of manufactures. For instance between 2000 and 2006, annual average intra-ECOWAS exports was valued at US $4.4 billion compared to the US $3.4 billion exports from ECOWAS to all trading partners between 1980 and 2003. The export diversification index (EDI)<sup>10</sup> for ECOWAS has declined from 0.83 in 2000 to 0.77 in 2008 (see UNCTAD [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.27598-ref34">34</xref>]).</p><p>A test for the difference in means shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref> indicates that significantly intra-ECOWAS trade costs was significantly lower that ECOWAS trade costs with other blocs within SSA. Relatively ECOWAS countries on average traded at a significantly lower cost with the EU than with other sub-regional blocs in SSA. This could be attributable to the EU-ACP preferential trade agreement between the EU and almost all countries within the SSA sub-region.</p></sec><sec id="s5_3"><title>5.3. Average Bilateral Trade Costs among ECOWAS Countries<sup>11</sup></title><p>With regards to countries within ECOWAS, intraECOWAS trade costs with Cote d’Ivoire was the lowest at an average tariff equivalent trade cost of 138.5 percent and this was significantly lower than Ghana, Nigeria and Benin (as shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref>). Ghana and Senegal’s intra-ECOWAS trade cost over the entire period increased during the early 1980s peaking just before 1990. This could be attributable to supply bottle necks experienced during the early 1980s in the manufacturing sector in Ghana and Senegal.</p></sec><sec id="s5_4"><title>5.4. Country-Specific Bilateral Trade Costs-ECOWAS<sup>12</sup></title><p>Estimates of ECOWAS country-specific bilateral trade cost shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref> shows a similar pattern for all the countries. Relatively each of the ECOWAS countries traded at a lower intra-ECOWAS trade cost than with other blocs within and out of SSA.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s6"><title>6. Conclusions</title><p>Trade costs are enormous globally and West Africa in particular, empirical evidence on the extent of trade costs and its actual effect on trades in ECOWAS region have been difficult to measure. High and rising trade cost is having an adverse impact on trade within the sub-region. Given the importance of trade costs in affecting trade flow among nations, and low level of both intra-regional and inter-regional trade of ECOWAS member countries, a clear understanding of the trade costs and its level is very important in order to promote deeper integration of the economies across the region.</p><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref>. Test for difference in bilateral average trade costs with ECOWAS by region/bloc.</p><p><img src="7-7200398\81fd9c3a-3d36-438d-bb73-762d513a0d85.jpg" /></p><p><sup>*</sup>p &lt; 0.10, <sup>**</sup>p &lt; 0.05, <sup>***</sup>p &lt; 0.01; Standard errors are shown in parenthesis.</p><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref>. Test for difference in bilateral average trade costs among ECOWAS countries.</p><p><img src="7-7200398\edf91ae6-00d2-45dd-bda3-f4061f1b15c3.jpg" /></p><p>$$Ghana’s Mean = 1.997; <sup>*</sup>p &lt; 0.10, <sup>**</sup>p &lt; 0.05, <sup>***</sup>p &lt; 0.01; Standard errors are shown in parenthesis.</p><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref>. Test for difference in bilateral average trade costs by region ECOWAS countries.</p><p><img src="7-7200398\9394a982-a8ae-4352-a005-39eb1050d705.jpg" /></p><p><sup>*</sup>p &lt; 0.10, <sup>**</sup>p &lt; 0.05, <sup>***</sup>p &lt; 0.01; Standard errors are shown in parenthesis.</p><p>This paper seeks to empirically measure tariff equivalent of trade costs and its effect on trade in some ECOWAS countries. Our results indicate that over the period 1980-2003, the cost of trading within SSA was the highest at an average tariff equivalent of 271.5 percent. This finding confirms data from the World Bank’s Doing Business database which indicates that the trading costs in SSA, in general, is the highest within the global trading system and is about twice as high as those in high-income OECD countries. We also find that on average ECOWAS countries traded with their trading partners at a tariff equivalent trade cost of 268.2 per cent, higher than countries from other regional blocs within and out of SSA.</p><p>With regards to trade flow involving ECOWAS countries, estimates of tariff equivalent trade costs indicates that on average ECOWAS countries traded among each other at a lower cost than with other trading partners from economic blocs out of ECOWAS probably due to the positive impact of regional trade integration efforts and promotion of intra-ECOWAS trade especially with regards to export of manufactures since 2000. With regards to countries within ECOWAS, intra-ECOWAS trade costs with Cote d’Ivoire were the lowest at an average tariff equivalent trade cost of 138.5 per cent and this was significantly lower than Ghana, Nigeria and Benin. Relatively each of the ECOWAS countries traded at a lower intra-ECOWAS trade cost than with other blocs within and out of SSA.</p></sec><sec id="s7"><title>REFERENCES</title></sec><sec id="s8"><title>NOTES</title></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.27598-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">De, Prabir, “Impact of Trade Costs on Trade: Empirical Evidence from Asian Countries,” Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade Working Paper, 2007. 
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