<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">TEL</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Theoretical Economics Letters</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2162-2078</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/tel.2012.25081</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">TEL-25611</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Business&amp;Economics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  A Study on Lucas’ “Expectations and the Neutrality of Money’’
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>asayuki</surname><given-names>Otaki</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sub>1</sub></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><addr-line>Institute of Social Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>ohtaki@iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>19</day><month>12</month><year>2012</year></pub-date><volume>02</volume><issue>05</issue><fpage>438</fpage><lpage>440</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>May</day>	<month>19,</month>	<year>2012</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>June</day>	<month>2,</month>	<year>2012</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>July</day>	<month>22,</month>	<year>2012</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  This short article shows that the functional equation on the equilibrium price function is more complicated than that considered by Lucas [1], and that modification is required to complete the proof. Furthermore, we shall provide a sufficient condition that guarantees the uniqueness of the equilibrium price function.
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Neutrality of Money; Functional Equation; Contraction Mapping; A Sufficient Condition for the Unique Equilibrium Price Function</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>This study aims to show that some additional condition is necessary for the operator <img src="5-1500168\cc22b8a3-b5f1-47ad-a1aa-8cd89631e091.jpg" /> in Lucas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref1">1</xref>] to become the contraction mapping. This is because transformation between the functional equations on the equilibrium price function is not equivalent. We also provide a sufficient condition such that <img src="5-1500168\cfcf7459-dd49-4941-a676-4c05aeacd04c.jpg" /> can become the contraction mapping.</p><p>The paper is as follows. Section 2 rewrites the functional equation in the correct form and shows that unlike the original paper, the contraction mapping method cannot be easily applied. A sufficient condition for the uniqueness of the equilibrium price function is provided in Section 3. Section 4 contains brief concluding remarks.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Equivalent Transformation</title><p>Lucas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref2">2</xref>] admits that there is no guarantee that <img src="5-1500168\556b7032-247b-48b0-9382-d5f999c8603c.jpg" /> and <img src="5-1500168\0954ff84-8f56-446f-bbbc-069c399e979f.jpg" /> is a one-to-one correspondence, and some reservation is necessary for the conclusion. Furthermore, he also recognizes that the equilibrium price function <img src="5-1500168\ebc6b09d-032d-49f5-9744-631efe4ef040.jpg" /> should be specified as</p><p><img src="5-1500168\b00ac231-c0f1-4b74-99fe-432502f445f0.jpg" /></p><p>for determining the unique equilibrium. However, besides these problems, the transformation between functional equations below is not equivalent. The aim of the study is to clarify that fact and show rather restrictive condition for supporting the original result.</p><p>Lucas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref1">1</xref>] firstly derives the following functional equation as the equilibrium condition of money market:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106388"><label>(1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\923f2f7a-706b-40eb-9cfb-003285eb2bec.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <img src="5-1500168\4ffc6d0c-e4fc-495a-85b1-d294e1385de4.jpg" /> is the realized value of the increment of money during the current period. <img src="5-1500168\160bd2b7-a428-4ae5-bf39-bb968085aaf9.jpg" />also denotes the realize value of the population of the young generation. <img src="5-1500168\e1ddf0f7-ee76-4ff5-a2f0-7d8778c0eb61.jpg" />are random variables of each exogenous shock during the next period. We must note the existence of the random variable<img src="5-1500168\abcaa78a-a2a2-4b05-9b9b-718b4b2425fd.jpg" />. Although <img src="5-1500168\cadbea73-ed77-47f9-a9cd-bd8ecc8f00e0.jpg" /> is an available information through the inverse equilibrium price function, <img src="5-1500168\18794897-279c-472c-ba7e-5f4420103c2b.jpg" />cannot be directly observed alone by household. Thus, when <img src="5-1500168\63b95f59-5a12-415b-b7ed-bfa0341d0182.jpg" /> singly appears in the functional equation, it should be treated as the random variable<img src="5-1500168\bb1b4bcc-6e3f-4263-8b83-3760bdd8d2f9.jpg" />.</p><p>The right-hand side of (1) means the marginal utility of the current consumption, and the left-hand side implies the expected marginal utility of the future consumption. Namely, functional Equation (1) is the Euler equation in this model. Lucas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref1">1</xref>] asserts that (1) is equivalently transformed into</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106389"><label>(2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\f5ef5c98-c29c-4bc6-929c-fa8b566005fb.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>However, (1) and (2) is not equivalent. We shall deal with this problem. This transformation assumes<img src="5-1500168\4f42bd13-a310-4809-a4dc-0b08b74949be.jpg" />. Nevertheless, as discussed above, <img src="5-1500168\ac2b1938-0e71-4721-8bfa-334fea584207.jpg" />is a realized vale (real number) of the random variable <img src="5-1500168\60c47b97-fabc-4b06-bfbb-3a703b5a29da.jpg" /> (measurable function). Hence they cannot be cancelled out. The equivalent transformation from (1) to (2) is</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106390"><label>(3)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\a83d4af6-2eb6-42d9-9a8f-0d9d7b0a407d.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Let us define</p><p><img src="5-1500168\00de1427-b1e5-4beb-a730-544146c30e86.jpg" />,</p><p><img src="5-1500168\0554ef5f-275d-4368-9093-994b1b18f68e.jpg" />and<img src="5-1500168\abdd1f01-4bb8-4feb-971b-df1d2ca31f54.jpg" />. Using these definitions (1) is transformed into</p><p><img src="5-1500168\304387cb-d92e-49e6-a77e-950aceb6b160.jpg" /></p><p>Then the correct form of the operator <img src="5-1500168\ec87b081-b6d6-4019-85da-4e2754395a39.jpg" /> in the Appendix of Lucas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref1">1</xref>] becomes</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106391"><label>(4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\ba819577-3aa3-48c2-87fa-01d6958a9dbd.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Consequently, inequality (A.6) in Lucas’ [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref1">1</xref>] appendix</p><p><img src="5-1500168\27cf7e68-3639-433c-bf4d-56024559a070.jpg" /></p><p>is modified as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106392"><label>(5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\de78fd96-fcfd-49c8-8b4b-d8948815cc57.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>It is noteworthy that <img src="5-1500168\9e6e2eee-2c03-42cb-8b71-37b01d84694d.jpg" /> are functions of <img src="5-1500168\c7476f72-708b-474d-bb24-55787f1cb162.jpg" /> in (5). Let us denote those functions as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106393"><label>(6)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\e7865680-d4a2-4ac1-ae0d-527b6662c0c3.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Accordingly, (5) becomes</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106394"><label>(7)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\c2caa4e6-0a57-4e6d-baca-5a6371e05ac3.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Let us define<img src="5-1500168\3e5da328-53c2-4789-bba3-14620bfb787d.jpg" /> as</p><p><img src="5-1500168\a0955035-df92-48ca-b2a4-1232fabf2309.jpg" /></p><p>Consequently, (7) is transformed into</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106395"><label>(8)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\ea33c7ab-230d-4c82-ba95-13e03d60c338.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Applying the mean value theorem and Lucas’ [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref1">1</xref>] assumptions (A.2) and (A.3)</p><p><img src="5-1500168\1f7403d6-bbf3-4a60-8789-8d4af1c6d282.jpg" /></p><p>to (8), we finally obtain</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106396"><label>(9)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\1ca086fb-d94b-4474-9ae3-62f4d5130e9d.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Since <img src="5-1500168\c0a89f0c-089a-47e7-a1a6-aa821b85210b.jpg" /> generally, the original paper has not succeeded in proving that the operator <img src="5-1500168\e183dc41-eb16-4eb0-8b01-2d6aac1a12f3.jpg" /> is the contraction mapping.<sup>1</sup> Some additional condition is necessary for completing the proof.</p></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. A Sufficient Condition</title><p>Since the difficulty arises from the fact that (5) explicitly depends on<img src="5-1500168\233cd548-210b-4882-a5f4-25854ad73859.jpg" />, we assume that the function <img src="5-1500168\7d97d060-ccba-481a-a296-d494474f0f17.jpg" /> is multiplicatively separable. Namely, suppose that <img src="5-1500168\8b9705b2-5b74-4afe-88df-eea1d0cab489.jpg" /> satisfies</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106397"><label>(10)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\60b2acfc-9057-40a7-b85d-524015568351.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>In this case, (5) is modified as</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106398"><label>(11)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\bf399a64-6de4-4edf-b2c3-e5a2b207b5b0.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>This inequality is essentially identical to (A.6), and thus, <img src="5-1500168\4eebeb0f-1097-4cb7-8b37-b435341b32da.jpg" />becomes the contraction mapping.</p><p>Nevertheless, the function<img src="5-1500168\f5bb3f66-427e-4342-ad59-5399258428dc.jpg" />, which satisfies the functional Equation (10), is confined to power functions (See Small [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref3">3</xref>]). Hence,</p><disp-formula id="scirp.25611-formula106399"><label>(12)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1500168\cb87617d-35bf-4769-a473-f36521c39cf8.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>(A.3) also requires<img src="5-1500168\b6e35c86-3f8f-4736-9018-0c1b26ac7bfd.jpg" />. To sum up, CRRA (Constant Relative Risk Aversion) family, whose relative risk aversion is located within<img src="5-1500168\b2addbca-d08b-4c2f-a2cf-8103b40dae44.jpg" />, is the only function satisfying the sufficient condition (10).</p></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Conclusion</title><p>We have shown that the functional equation of the equilibrium price function is more complicated than that considered by Lucas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.25611-ref1">1</xref>]. Hence, some additional condition is necessary to employ the contraction mapping method. This study finds that if <img src="5-1500168\043b2fe0-dde7-488b-8766-4295b56d12c5.jpg" /> belongs to CRRA family of low relative risk aversion, the uniqueness of the solution is guaranteed. To sum up, Lucas' assertion on the neutrality of money under uncertainty hold only rather restrictive utility functions than has been considered.</p></sec><sec id="s5"><title>REFERENCES</title></sec><sec id="s6"><title>NOTES</title></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.25611-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">R. E. Lucas Jr., “Expectations and the Neutrality of Money,” Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 4, No. 2, 1972, pp. 103-124. doi:10.1016/0022-0531(72)90142-1</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.25611-ref2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">R. E. Lucas, Jr., “Corrigendum to `Expectations and the Neutrality of Money,” Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 31, No. 1, 1983, pp. 197-199. 
doi:10.1016/0022-0531(83)90031-5</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.25611-ref3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">C. G. Small, “Functional Equations and How to Solve Them,” Springer Science + Business Media, New York, 2007.</mixed-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>