<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">AM</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Applied Mathematics</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2152-7385</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/am.2012.36100</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">AM-20362</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Physics&amp;Mathematics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Modeling and Analysis of a Single Species Population with Viral Infection in Polluted Environment
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>udipa</surname><given-names>Chauhan</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Om</surname><given-names>Prakash Misra</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>IMS Engineering College, Adyatmik Nagar, Ghaziabad, India</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>School of Mathematics and Allied Sciences, Jiwaji University, Gwalior, India</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>sudipachauhan@gmail.com(UC)</email>;<email>misra_op58@yahoo.co.in(OPM)</email>;</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>21</day><month>06</month><year>2012</year></pub-date><volume>03</volume><issue>06</issue><fpage>662</fpage><lpage>672</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>September</day>	<month>7,</month>	<year>2011</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>May</day>	<month>2,</month>	<year>2012</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>May</day>	<month>9,</month>	<year>2012</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to study the effect of pollutant and virus induced disease on single species animal population and its essential mathematical features are analyzed. It is observed that the susceptible population does not vanish when it is only under the effect of infection but in the polluted environment, it can go to extinction. Also, it has been observed that the replication threshold obtained, increases on account of pollutant concentration consequently decreasing the susceptible population. Further persistence results for the proposed model are obtained and the condition for the existence of the Hopf-bifurcation is derived. Finally, numerical simulation in support of analytical results is carried out.
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Virus Population; Single-Species Population; Hopf-Bifurcation; Stability</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>Pathogens such as viruses, bacteria, protozoan, and helminthes affect their host’s population dynamics [1-7]. It is now widely believed that disease and parasites are responsible for a number of extinctions on island and on large land masses. Theory on the effects of parasites on host population dynamics has received much attention and focused on issues such as how the parasite induced reduction of the host fecundity and survival rates change the host population dynamics, and how such dynamics be applied to predict threats to biodiversity in general and endangered species in particular [8,9]. Besides the study of effect of disease, effect of environmental pollution is also a great challenge in the study of the population dynamics in a polluted environment. A great quantity of the pollutant enters into the environment one after another which seriously threaten the survival of the exposed populations including human population. For a general class of single population models with pollutant stress, [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref10">10</xref>] obtained a survival threshold distinguishing between persistence in the mean and extinction of a single species under the hypothesis that the capacity of the environment is large relative to the population biomass, and that the exogenous input of pollutant into the environment is bounded. The threshold of survival for a system of two species in polluted environment was studied by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref11">11</xref>]. Again, a spatial structure has been carried out by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref12">12</xref>], to describe the dynamics of a population in a polluted environment and the sufficient criteria for the persistence and the extinction of the population are described. Many researchers have studied SIR model for different disease, such as dengue disease transmission [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref13">13</xref>]. Most recently, the bird flu, or H5N1, has garnered public attention for its potential not only to spread from chickens and other birds to humans, but also for the virus to mutate in a way that allows it to spread between humans. During the study period, bird flu killed just over half of the 145 people infected with the virus. In the absence of the virus the population is growing logistically according to the carrying capacity of the particular system but as the virus affects the species, its population starts decreasing and the population is divided into susceptible and infected population. It is well known fact that the virus multiply in the host body. This period when it multiply in the susceptible body is called the latent period and as the latent period gets over, it becomes infected and thus the disease spreads to the whole population resulting in the Deterioration of the population. But if along with this infection, if the population comes in contact with some toxicant directly with the food they intake like harmful chemicals then the situation gets worse [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref14">14</xref>]. Developed an extension of standard epidemiological models that describes the probability of disease spread among a given population of chicken. The model considered actual disease surveillance data gathered by health experts like the World Health Organization and looked for anomalies in the expected transmission rate versus the actual one. It is assumed that two viruses namely strain 1 and strain 2 causes the disease and long lasting immunity from infection caused by one virus may not be valid with respect to a secondary infection by the other virus. As a result ecologists acknowledge the importance of disease and parasite in the dynamics of the population [15-19]. Recently few interesting mathematical models with combined effects of disease and toxicant were studied [20- 22], for competing and prey predator dynamics. Keeping in view of the above, in this paper, we have proposed a mathematical model by considering the combined effect of both the infection and the toxicant through food intake and environmental toxicant. Many researchers have been done on the persistence of a biological system affected by infectious disease and the harmful toxicant separately, but here we have actually studied the combined effect of both disease and toxicant on a single population. This can be very useful for the researchers as it is not necessary that the system can have only one negative factor affecting it. This model is very helpful for plant population also which are infected by viruses and by environmental toxicant and the toxicant via food. Plant populations are affected by harmful toxicant like air pollutants which from combustion include sulphur dioxide and fluoride and those from photochemical reactions include complex nitrates and ozone and affect the plants. A few hundred plant viruses cause diseases known as tobacco, cucumber or tomato mosaics, potato leaf roll, raspberry ring spot, tulip flower breaking, barley yellow dwarf, etc. Several viroids cause diseases such as potato spindle tuber, cucumber pale fruit, hop and chrysanthemum stunt, etc.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Mathematical Model</title><p>The mathematical model that we are presenting in this paper is constrained to the following assumptions:</p><p>1) We have two populations viz. a single species animal population in terrestrial ecosystem denoted by symbol <img src="25-7400591\064ed5f7-14b0-475b-9b67-1f6f1010f10f.jpg" /> at time t and a virus biomass, which are bacteriophages, denoted by symbol <img src="25-7400591\2a301998-9a54-40c2-b239-811939935dc8.jpg" /> at time t.</p><p>2) In the absence of bacteriophages (i.e. viruses) the single species population density grows according to a logistic curve with carrying capacity <img src="25-7400591\d3f6d7f7-da9a-43b5-8770-ae2a4bd7f78c.jpg" /> with an intrinsic birth rate constant<img src="25-7400591\021be1e9-3071-4a7a-91f9-6e5c5a2e9506.jpg" />:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71561"><label>(1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\7cc2daf3-ee6d-4fd4-bcd8-c788b66d0a68.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>3) In the presence of virus biomass, we assume that total population <img src="25-7400591\460a2049-608d-486f-99f9-e9c66df5edc0.jpg" /> is composed of two population classes:<img src="25-7400591\14dd0633-095f-4cb5-abf3-2ca7fd0c4aa7.jpg" />, where <img src="25-7400591\b1034136-f6e0-4dfc-b44f-3a13f59697c2.jpg" /> is the susceptible population class, and <img src="25-7400591\12802217-e2c3-4c99-9807-3d9e48070b36.jpg" /> is the infected population class.</p><p>4) It has been assumed that only susceptible population is capable of reproducing with logistic law. However, the infected population still contributes with susceptible population growth towards the carrying capacity.</p><p>5) A susceptible population <img src="25-7400591\6c1221d8-8c22-4f46-affa-ffa3d89a755c.jpg" /> becomes infected <img src="25-7400591\176b97d3-53b3-407e-ba02-03b0e7861863.jpg" /> under the attack of many virus particles. Virus enters into susceptible individual, and then starts its replication inside the susceptible individual (now infected). Therefore, the evolution equation for the susceptible class <img src="25-7400591\71c26feb-b94b-490d-a049-201a8b2d8927.jpg" /> according to the Equation (1) under assumptions 4) and 5) is:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71562"><label>(2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\59182fa0-dd91-4093-b962-dc24829948fa.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where,<img src="25-7400591\5547073c-f859-4f2e-b64e-fbb93e1cfa77.jpg" />. In equation above <img src="25-7400591\a0b7a3c8-6e71-47ca-8e90-c35753f7a726.jpg" /> represents effective animal population contact rate with viruses.</p><p>6) An infected individual <img src="25-7400591\ee604697-8aaf-4f60-b828-8339e197f5d3.jpg" /> has a latent period, which is the period between the instant of infection and that of lysis, during which the virus reproduces inside the individual. The lysis death rate constant <img src="25-7400591\a86ade66-1eb9-467a-bc46-3fe639eaa166.jpg" /> gives a measure of latency period T being<img src="25-7400591\5f63ecf9-2cda-4290-af66-06d8dedcbe5c.jpg" />. The lysis of the infected individual on the average, produces b virus particles<img src="25-7400591\b74b9a50-13c1-4f0a-bcd0-6a9b47419444.jpg" />, b is the virus replication factor.</p><p>7) The virus particles have a death rate constant<img src="25-7400591\941e4ee1-5d60-4037-afe9-bf55638cd75a.jpg" />, which accounts for all kinds of possible mortality of viruses due to enzymatic attack, pH dependence, temperature changes, UV radiation etc.</p><p>From the above assumptions, the model equations are:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71563"><label>(3)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\e3f7bdd0-a998-4d43-b9b5-67345561e037.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71564"><label>(4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\60fdfea8-8fae-4c29-b9c0-a18c2fbef471.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71565"><label>(5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\10324b34-f6cb-4ffc-a6d6-cee0d3bf23b5.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>It has been observed that virus replication factor i.e. b plays an important role in shaping the dynamics of systems (3)-(5). If b is greater than some critical value then system exhibits the oscillatory behavior. Also, it has been established that systems (3)-(5) is uniformly persistent if <img src="25-7400591\3707ea51-c1a8-4cdb-a491-003e46bc5ee8.jpg" /> where<img src="25-7400591\6c2492d5-cac8-48f6-b074-fc15edfc6530.jpg" />. Further, to elaborate the effect of environmental pollution on single species population <img src="25-7400591\249b7274-af2f-404d-bc39-a21863020e63.jpg" /> when it is already subjected to virus induced infection, we consider following assumptions:</p><p>8) We assume that pollutant enters into population via food which they intake and also from environment.</p><p>9) Pollutant losses from organism due to metabolic processing and other causes.</p><p>If Q is the constant exogenous input rate of the pollutant into environment then evolution equation for the concentration of environmental pollutant and for the organismal concentration of toxicant is given as:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71566"><label>(6)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\2a38af5d-938e-4501-8b48-38c009c57115.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71567"><label>(7)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\1b274455-218c-42ef-b914-b8ae9f3b8343.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where, <img src="25-7400591\b0083cb4-1afd-4d7e-b029-0ac5ff63da20.jpg" />is the environmental concentration of the pollutant, <img src="25-7400591\bc25d228-be23-4bdf-b3d3-039aad143dcc.jpg" />is the organismal concentration of the pollutant. h is the loss rate of toxicant from environment, a<sub>1</sub> is environmental pollutant uptake rate per unit mass organism, the uptake rate of pollutant in food per unit mass organism is denoted by second term in Equation (7);<img src="25-7400591\f73a61fe-b16c-49f5-a7dc-1e3efb8a8fb0.jpg" />, is the concentration of the pollutant in resource, <img src="25-7400591\1403b77b-5b32-49e0-a469-f008a389d9c4.jpg" />, is the average rate of the food intake per unit mass organism, d<sub>1</sub>, the uptake rate of pollutant in food per unit mass organism. l<sub>1</sub> and l<sub>2</sub> are organismal net ingestion and depuration rates of pollutant, respectively. The natural loss rate of pollutant from environment can be due to biological transformation, hydrolysis, volatilization, microbial degradation, including other processes. Thus the extended form of the systems (3)-(5) including Equations (6) and (7) is given as follows:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71568"><label>(8)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\171ccc2c-9a12-49e4-ab31-5b2e1fe8c7c4.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71569"><label>(9)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\4c9308ac-fc7e-477b-82fe-30b748bba5e3.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71570"><label>(10)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\3d476f5b-8636-42a7-af9a-b390fb3e54b7.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71571"><label>(11)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\9b744b0a-757e-4a50-8876-6acb5fed7bcd.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71572"><label>(12)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\695b2430-5251-4ef6-b353-615f12f2acd8.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where, r<sub>1</sub> and r<sub>2</sub> are loss rates from susceptible and infected populations respectively due to effect of pollutant. In the next section, we will show that all the solutions of the Model (8)-(12) are bounded.</p></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Boundedness and Equilibria</title><p>The boundedness of the solutions can be achieved by the following lemma.</p><p>Lemma 3.1. All the solutions of the Model (8)-(12) will lie in the following region as <img src="25-7400591\6b62ddc9-ccaf-4c28-8575-40c0f9ec01a6.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\2b96a6ff-0610-4e11-ab80-ddcce8f01ecf.jpg" /></p><p>where<img src="25-7400591\d453ebfb-2779-4baa-90cb-185741a77172.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\e9ac5e17-30a3-422a-9b7c-88ca2cc0771c.jpg" /></p><p>and C is the carrying capacity of the susceptible population.</p><p>Proof. Let us consider the function</p><p><img src="25-7400591\833f51b3-de02-4ea7-80cd-083c310d1bee.jpg" /></p><p>then from Equations (9)-(11), we get</p><p><img src="25-7400591\d69513a4-508d-4f70-99c4-29ac26b893ef.jpg" /></p><p>Let <img src="25-7400591\7f2db9a1-ab2b-4e9b-81c1-7af9627d0893.jpg" /> then</p><p><img src="25-7400591\c30123e2-d5cb-41ae-834c-743ce498c360.jpg" /></p><p>then by usual comparison theorem [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref23">23</xref>], we get the following expression as <img src="25-7400591\2607e3ce-4a84-4291-bea4-1045d04e1e22.jpg" /> <img src="25-7400591\2bcfde00-35b1-4cdc-bc4d-5cf7274c7815.jpg" /> and hence <img src="25-7400591\85b5843f-74bc-4913-a3f0-074df901500f.jpg" /></p><p>From (12), we get</p><p><img src="25-7400591\6a88ed16-ba1c-4639-9cc3-f4efba84bda9.jpg" /></p><p>Let<img src="25-7400591\4d81c727-5e33-43d8-8720-b39f209aedd0.jpg" />, then we get</p><p><img src="25-7400591\d172be78-72c3-4fd3-950c-7111547e4412.jpg" /></p><p>then by usual comparison theorem [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref23">23</xref>], we get the following expression as <img src="25-7400591\5207631b-487b-447a-ba86-ad35099ecc78.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\6cbd3ef6-30a2-48d4-9b5f-cd505805629c.jpg" /></p><p>From (11), we get</p><p><img src="25-7400591\ef717ecd-56bd-4501-bdad-89634d1c463a.jpg" /></p><p>then by again usual comparison theorem, we get</p><p><img src="25-7400591\d5ad27e9-cb52-4a59-8b6d-e0b92ebee260.jpg" /></p><p>This completes the proof of lemma.</p><p>Now, consider the following system:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71573"><label>(13)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\26665f45-d069-4b12-a6d4-eefb42b66562.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71574"><label>(14)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\73036bed-5a0e-480c-af43-d047e081e875.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where, f and g are continuous and locally Lipschitz in x in<img src="25-7400591\53e5dc5f-6e38-41c9-8cd1-8509a7cf5767.jpg" />, and solutions exists for all positive time. Equation (14) is called asymptotically autonomous with limit equation (13) if <img src="25-7400591\4222a013-8abf-474e-87ae-90156a9fc711.jpg" /> as <img src="25-7400591\f002cf42-8cbb-439a-9771-ea00a54efb64.jpg" /> uniformly for all x in<img src="25-7400591\11b01259-2c55-49b3-b33e-6efb9ab5961e.jpg" />.</p><p>Lemma 3.2. Let e be a locally asymptotically stable equilibrium of (14) and ω be the ω-limit set of a forward bounded solution <img src="25-7400591\a6b79426-0d7e-4ccf-ab15-9a59b5c2c4db.jpg" /> of (13). If ω contains a point y<sub>0</sub> such that the solutions of (14), with <img src="25-7400591\a90e0175-aa7a-48e9-b308-001462cf7715.jpg" /> converges to e as<img src="25-7400591\09129f7b-52d6-44f0-8396-87c1a7353490.jpg" />, then <img src="25-7400591\eef96414-3e21-4716-b526-78e86a6da8f6.jpg" /> i.e. <img src="25-7400591\b79882c7-6168-44c7-b069-dc69f11d4c5f.jpg" />as<img src="25-7400591\a2f17bca-eac6-4ebd-a1b2-98b165ce300f.jpg" />.</p><p>Corollary. If the solutions of the system (13) are bounded and the equilibrium e of the limit system (14) is globally asymptotically stable than any solution <img src="25-7400591\687111bd-1d33-4c3e-94ed-09567e5b979c.jpg" /> of the system (19) satisfies <img src="25-7400591\ff59eaef-9610-4cf0-b72d-89f932e20f68.jpg" /> as<img src="25-7400591\b59e7a2e-aeb0-4be1-b034-0446d59b923c.jpg" />.</p><p>The Equations (11) and (12) can be solved explicitly and we obtain</p><p><img src="25-7400591\1e10d03b-1c47-49fd-a986-1624ec6a963e.jpg" /></p><p>and</p><p><img src="25-7400591\0dc2f0e9-f273-4ebb-ae1d-211008b44c34.jpg" /></p><p>Thus, on applying above corollary in systems (8)-(12) we get the following equivalent asymptotic autonomous system:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71575"><label>(15)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\431e5374-64e2-4f13-b71f-2957872ab0ec.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71576"><label>(16)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\9d1ee74e-e83e-4b95-b9de-0421b1793a9f.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71577"><label>(17)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\636f7c62-b486-4096-8b5a-f7795752f4cf.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>To predict the dynamical behavior of the systems (8)- (12) it is sufficient to study the behavior of the systems (15)-(17), since the behavior of the systems (15)-(17) near to the steady states is similar to the behavior of the systems (8)-(12). Now, we rescale the systems (15)-(17) using following non-dimensionalised quantities:<img src="25-7400591\a6363393-aef0-42ff-a726-908408785cd5.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\3a9e0faa-3e39-4c41-b9d0-a27743ac6ee7.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\5035cdef-40f6-4a23-be2b-67abe17911d2.jpg" />and<img src="25-7400591\feba8b65-6344-420c-a37a-ecfc906a7fcd.jpg" />, we get</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71578"><label>(18)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\c7b21117-d2db-4b64-8a03-3a909bd5045a.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71579"><label>(19)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\d0965edb-7806-44c8-a9a8-b289dc9a8d44.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71580"><label>(20)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\babe75bf-9481-4ac6-b5b8-3e13be0ba888.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where,</p><p><img src="25-7400591\002cc473-8f29-426b-b72d-846260773b62.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\9e6012f4-9026-48df-9ceb-9c21d56f5a93.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\589b3605-92d6-42cf-8cb5-d9bd41d969d1.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\8041c3d4-1b40-41be-a5cb-661d1c4ab137.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\5a07f214-a568-4e38-a906-0b660a7f6008.jpg" /></p><p>and<img src="25-7400591\d1d61d69-5106-4a73-9594-3909956ca319.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\6f94272a-41ae-4c3e-80dd-2fe0d7e8311e.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\725293c2-425f-4365-8edd-070a52806395.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\dd89699f-fb2d-4dff-8021-a3e08fe28fe9.jpg" />,<img src="25-7400591\41020a31-e379-4129-8d5d-149a4ba3fbeb.jpg" />. All the initial conditions for (18)-(20) may be any point in the non-negative orthant of <img src="25-7400591\20472b7c-99e9-4965-9c78-12a6ea2db87e.jpg" /> of <img src="25-7400591\848d8fd4-f8c2-4906-bab3-b21c8770d082.jpg" /> and <img src="25-7400591\72cf0491-d507-4054-a970-c916cd3a2a86.jpg" /> is defined as the interior of<img src="25-7400591\9296facc-d857-4b80-aacc-d6c417fb93e1.jpg" />. We will use notation t instead of notation <img src="25-7400591\9340c547-4f8f-4ec3-92c2-a4bd5cbf09df.jpg" /> for the convenience in rest of the paper. Systems (18)-(20) has three feasible equilibrium points, trivial equilibrium point<img src="25-7400591\ad30c51b-e23e-443b-9344-501071f2e32d.jpg" />, disease free equilibrium point <img src="25-7400591\99cbd475-74a0-416c-aadf-3b1757bc998b.jpg" /> and a interior equilibrium point <img src="25-7400591\0ec5e811-fdcb-44de-9e95-f8ea2f2493b1.jpg" /> where</p><p><img src="25-7400591\25d0c8e9-c056-4be2-9b21-d17b8e380277.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\bf5ef871-fe1d-4dfc-9a14-f3e21e99339f.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\d3dc6fb4-63f9-4c4e-8735-c85042693435.jpg" /></p><p>and<img src="25-7400591\f15585ed-77a2-4060-861f-c7a73faacb09.jpg" />,<img src="25-7400591\a9b8c100-1012-42c9-8bcb-9ae3e7449646.jpg" />. Whenever <img src="25-7400591\5c589dee-db87-4329-b89e-eae263a256ae.jpg" />then <img src="25-7400591\819acf57-9dc4-4ace-a77a-5f0cf6fd57ab.jpg" /> and<img src="25-7400591\89c7a691-5d3c-4446-9730-f984487bea5d.jpg" />, i.e. in this case positive equilibrium point <img src="25-7400591\3a908991-f700-47a5-ba9c-16108e1d3bc6.jpg" /> approaches to disease free equilibrium state E<sub>1</sub> in polluted environment. Now, we move to the biological relevant parameter b i.e. the virus replication factor. This parameter plays an important role in shaping the dynamics of the system. We see that as <img src="25-7400591\71493742-dfa1-4736-8c24-1d18ec828087.jpg" /> then<img src="25-7400591\003903d2-5cdf-4986-b74a-3f9c82b53612.jpg" />, and in pollution free environment, we have <img src="25-7400591\36726819-b5ad-45b4-941a-53f0fc8a60ea.jpg" /> as<img src="25-7400591\59c8fa00-cab5-4ee6-ad5a-fc26ade6d3f7.jpg" />. It is readily clear that lower limit for virus replication factor has been increased to <img src="25-7400591\6cbe1fbe-823d-4587-b9cf-aa69e2b0c5f5.jpg" /> from <img src="25-7400591\041b4962-bd1e-4594-820b-a9044889a134.jpg" /> due to presence of the toxicant into the environment. Of course, the range of virus replication factor has become shorter <img src="25-7400591\9796fb88-47dc-450a-bc36-5188309593a5.jpg" /> in polluted environment as compared to <img src="25-7400591\8c4ed5d9-7309-48ae-8f7c-36dc1c45c7f2.jpg" /> in pollution free environment for the existence of the interior equilibrium point. It is clear that for increasing value of U<sup>*</sup> the lower limit of parameter b for the existence of positive equilibria of system increases, and we know as b increases then <img src="25-7400591\c02babb3-8d5a-4258-897e-c4774a675e3a.jpg" /> is monotonically decreasing but constrained to the range <img src="25-7400591\fe241738-8cf3-4cf0-a7b8-8847cee7950c.jpg" />and it reaches the value</p><p><img src="25-7400591\ad80c758-cb28-4e68-a461-4277c8b13c61.jpg" />at</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71581"><label>(21)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\895ce15b-cc8a-46e2-aeb2-7aa30598854f.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>and in absence of toxicant we have<img src="25-7400591\5b0a3997-aeb4-4eb7-b1a8-d15c508b845c.jpg" />. Nowit is clear that <img src="25-7400591\49b5c191-fc5a-4489-9130-3369075a16b4.jpg" /> as <img src="25-7400591\603686f2-d510-41e4-b219-642ec43954f8.jpg" /> in polluted environment and <img src="25-7400591\b49958c4-fc19-4e13-9562-477a105f0bd5.jpg" /> as<img src="25-7400591\0df0ebb9-9f14-43d5-bd77-d9340a02f02a.jpg" />. Thus, positive equilibria <img src="25-7400591\d33b3c12-dccf-49b2-b35f-3464d7e01006.jpg" /> is not feasible when ever<img src="25-7400591\de90f238-b4b4-45d9-bd8d-9d4ab7f3df16.jpg" />.</p><p>In this case, we have stable boundary equilibrium point E<sub>1</sub> at which epidemic cannot occur and the trivial equilibrium E<sub>0</sub> state remains unstable saddle point for any parameter value provided<img src="25-7400591\3895bad1-0d2f-47f3-b943-eab60e21f0b0.jpg" />. Increasing b further i.e.<img src="25-7400591\eb737f5d-4204-4ba4-886f-a31dd75e3cba.jpg" />; we see that <img src="25-7400591\569d7557-0776-4b13-839a-50d9e68e039f.jpg" /> and</p><p><img src="25-7400591\b53e4657-d995-4edf-a615-bfffa8239d72.jpg" />,<img src="25-7400591\788c966b-7a98-4d68-8284-b33b935cb7f7.jpg" />. Hence, when the virus replication factor is larger than<img src="25-7400591\6a23870c-9903-40e4-b092-8a603b787c0a.jpg" />, then interior equilibria will exists. We can summarize the above result in following proposition.</p><p>Proposition 1. Whenever, <img src="25-7400591\95a928fa-33f3-460e-8b2c-f5a50cd323ab.jpg" />then equilibria of the system (18)-(20) are E<sub>0</sub> and E<sub>1</sub>, and whenever <img src="25-7400591\943979fe-bfac-4c0b-aeb5-dd07bc519828.jpg" /> then the positive equilibria <img src="25-7400591\df8eac15-b28b-4a31-ae62-bad6cbb909ca.jpg" /> is feasible. Moreover, as <img src="25-7400591\ed1d6406-892c-4ecc-94fb-a2c566a1fb32.jpg" /> then <img src="25-7400591\53cf14e4-5071-4d51-8441-79bc41331ab8.jpg" /> and at <img src="25-7400591\43b1e803-a1cc-4ffc-8891-fb0409a55bdf.jpg" /> we have<img src="25-7400591\d129ef76-e71d-4861-a0c2-297ada1c991c.jpg" />. It is clear by the above discussion that for the existence of positive equilibria the virus replication factor i.e. b should be much higher i.e. <img src="25-7400591\a0147463-f64e-44b4-afb9-9bd9f7024d52.jpg" />in the polluted environment instead of pollution free environment where<img src="25-7400591\e2c3acf8-38e5-4e22-8bc2-40510395a01c.jpg" />. Also, as <img src="25-7400591\84557eb5-cd00-4838-ba75-85811bb53076.jpg" /> increases then <img src="25-7400591\ba6fa206-5a0f-4e8c-a856-3db2668d129a.jpg" /> increases and simultaneously <img src="25-7400591\d9d60b09-7afb-4adf-be8b-0bded1f545a9.jpg" /> decreases. Thus, amount of toxicant in environment plays an important role in co-existence of all species in the systems (18)-(20).</p></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Local Stability and Bifurcation Analysis</title><p>In this section we will discuss local stability analysis of the systems (18)-(20). Moreover, condition for the existence of Hopf-bifurcation has also been discussed in this section. The jacobian matrix for the systems (18)-(20) is given as:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\04fc5a8a-e906-4da7-94f9-d32eefc68684.jpg" /></p><p>where<img src="25-7400591\7de90320-e3b5-4310-b151-9f1227194832.jpg" />. At trivial equilibrium point <img src="25-7400591\dcac9f59-381a-4f83-9c21-4b2000e8b67e.jpg" /> we have:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\1431fed5-d9ea-4232-80e7-0a6bfcd8b6eb.jpg" /></p><p>We have following eigen values corresponding to<img src="25-7400591\09dc270e-3afc-47fe-9184-21fe24357166.jpg" />:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\8db21373-11ea-4aad-a39d-a19977cfa315.jpg" /></p><p>and<img src="25-7400591\f77ee870-e1f2-4592-bf1a-cd18a767b6a8.jpg" />. It is clear that jacobian of the system (18)- (20) corresponding to vanishing equilibria <img src="25-7400591\fbcf3489-2835-4d31-857f-c4e87b5adf28.jpg" /> is attracting in s direction when<img src="25-7400591\dd29d068-f5cb-40af-96c1-4b1e18acb6db.jpg" />, which means that the susceptible population can vanish only when it’s intrinsic growth rate become smaller than the death due to pollutant. On the other hand if <img src="25-7400591\1675e7a4-6b07-4e07-b3ac-90f17c0eed29.jpg" /> then susceptible population can never vanish. It has been already studied that in pollutant Free State, jacobian of the systems (18)-(20) corresponding to <img src="25-7400591\1016753f-393c-45a9-8948-22805de4be85.jpg" /> is always repulsive in s direction. Thus, it is clear that due to effect of toxicant, the susceptible population can vanish. While, on the other hand in pollutant free environment susceptible population in systems (15)-(17) can never vanish. According to eigen values it has been observed that Jacobian J corresponding to trivial equilibria <img src="25-7400591\895b02e9-e519-4b09-b61a-225f4c9d6a67.jpg" /> is repulsive in s direction when<img src="25-7400591\125d2adb-262d-4ad5-bd40-706630f24531.jpg" />, and attracting in i and p direction. Thus, the above discussion shows that <img src="25-7400591\338065e2-da6f-4af0-8409-941b51f9496a.jpg" /> is an unstable saddle point. We know discuss the disease free equilibrium point E<sub>1</sub>, when<img src="25-7400591\f09c1b40-3b03-4628-b104-aafc07ca0369.jpg" />, then corresponding to this equilibrium point we have the following jacobian matrix:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\ae2f2ba9-a7a4-4f2c-a497-b6fa2490a0bd.jpg" /></p><p>where<img src="25-7400591\3bb69a78-6d4a-4b28-900c-1d8569c8e25f.jpg" />.</p><p>Then, we have following eigen values of<img src="25-7400591\62d8891e-2f67-402c-b1e7-5a6c604b55c4.jpg" />: <img src="25-7400591\6f4c32c1-eb10-405b-b53b-38088d09c4c9.jpg" />and <img src="25-7400591\bc1b74e7-f762-434c-a1f2-6b8f527b4802.jpg" /> and <img src="25-7400591\0699fd94-2860-440e-a0d8-7e24d72a3ef6.jpg" /><sub> </sub>are roots of the following quadratic:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\adafaaac-9174-450a-b51b-4e4cc97a2ef1.jpg" /></p><p>where</p><p><img src="25-7400591\fc86f040-28fd-46ab-91f0-4bbf9ac6f057.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\db932057-ccf6-45d2-a014-abe1a67ba5e1.jpg" /></p><p>It is clear that<img src="25-7400591\3af79b51-100f-4c80-bc97-e77ecb33d3b3.jpg" />, and <img src="25-7400591\26210d82-e55c-421a-8c33-ce0945988a25.jpg" /> can be rewritten in the following form:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\a39c9f53-c780-44b9-83da-a513ac70aa34.jpg" /></p><p>where <img src="25-7400591\2b5f1ccb-5687-4615-8cac-6cabe93984be.jpg" /> is first point in positive equilibrium point<img src="25-7400591\eb6a4ff4-7454-4101-b91e-3f6ba1ad1030.jpg" />: Now, if <img src="25-7400591\9b8a1a04-f736-4c57-9a07-2a849dc54ec0.jpg" /> and<img src="25-7400591\cf501fce-a6c8-42ae-8989-62babb08e4df.jpg" />, then E<sub>1</sub> is a saddle point, and when<img src="25-7400591\54241006-9269-4eb6-9122-a699cf92eaea.jpg" />, then we have <img src="25-7400591\06815e1a-b31d-4d74-93df-9f878e7f89ae.jpg" /> and therefore positive equilibrium point <img src="25-7400591\0f7c5953-7dc8-44fc-8fc3-e9145fd5eff3.jpg" /> is not feasible. Thus, for the situation <img src="25-7400591\0f432c8e-f404-4ac7-b746-d4fd0bd8bacf.jpg" /> equation <img src="25-7400591\6e64a0dc-8808-4475-b757-ae35127e6d31.jpg" /> has two real and negative roots. Now, when <img src="25-7400591\d7cdd580-c2c1-4bc4-bda4-573b946fd0cf.jpg" /> then</p><p><img src="25-7400591\50bbf5cc-c64a-4c43-aba1-53e21122cde0.jpg" />and the disease free equilibrium point E<sub>1</sub> has one vanishing eigen value and two real and negative eigen values:<img src="25-7400591\bd037e2a-cc82-4fdd-8ff5-c0a2f94aa6a9.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\6c2ac260-c9f4-46aa-ab47-30fbf11d292e.jpg" />and<img src="25-7400591\e8dda87e-8299-4074-8718-c513b95a7f44.jpg" />, i.e. in this case E<sub>1</sub> is critically asymptotically stable. Finally, when <img src="25-7400591\8f711c14-3414-47df-b4c3-f4a63db4e1c6.jpg" /> and <img src="25-7400591\4eeb82a9-2f6b-47df-aa23-fb4eed34cd4d.jpg" /> then positive equilibria E<sup>*</sup> exists and E<sub>1</sub> become repulsive.</p><p>The above results can be summarized as in the form of the following lemma.</p><p>Lemma 4.1. For the systems (18)-(20), the trivial equilibrium point E<sub>0</sub> is always an unstable saddle point if<img src="25-7400591\cb218363-0ee4-46a8-961a-0e63a3694606.jpg" />. The disease free equilibria E<sub>1</sub> in polluted environment is locally asymptotically stable point if<img src="25-7400591\e85eaf68-2195-46ba-81b8-006038bd3921.jpg" />; i.e. when E<sup>*</sup> is not feasible. At<img src="25-7400591\090344d5-2010-41ac-bfd0-a9396d95dfd5.jpg" />, E<sub>1</sub> become critically stable. Whereas, when E<sup>*</sup> is feasible i.e. for<img src="25-7400591\9230378c-068d-48ff-b4b9-d154a98f5f57.jpg" />, E<sub>1</sub> is repulsive.</p><p>Now, we will discuss the local behavior of the flow of the system (18)-(20) near to the positive equilibrium point E<sup>*</sup>. Let us consider <img src="25-7400591\77737f6a-f757-476b-8bae-def99e2d691f.jpg" /> and<img src="25-7400591\a42f37c2-c331-4f60-9c90-9ccb15894c49.jpg" />. The jacobian of the system (18)-(20) corresponding to positive equilibrium point <img src="25-7400591\0ccb08b2-53bd-45bc-95c7-6305e6d4ec0c.jpg" /> is given as:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\7bcfa5b0-ea15-4759-8b84-e1e1303204e6.jpg" /></p><p>then the characteristic equation corresponding to above jacobian <img src="25-7400591\d60b4154-82fb-40de-bce9-87939717c8f0.jpg" /> is given as:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\867874af-e42e-4679-8ce3-eac6dd7d8fa3.jpg" /></p><p>where</p><p><img src="25-7400591\144b39f0-79ce-4a5a-afc0-7d36deb71409.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\efb7cdd5-a153-4303-b645-61588e0542d2.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\7022442d-6dd2-4f9f-a223-37a19115fcab.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\b75e9222-7813-4062-9c8a-d2ea8b7c9664.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\da950bc5-9b38-458f-9f78-5ab2e5db3243.jpg" /></p><p>Here, <img src="25-7400591\a9539b96-5421-4f18-9fc1-ba6a056219b8.jpg" />and <img src="25-7400591\23b94ffe-ac4c-4ab4-be1e-6a2c3792d1a6.jpg" /> for all</p><p><img src="25-7400591\d0c7201a-2623-4813-8cfe-222f5fea369a.jpg" />, and for <img src="25-7400591\efba6502-b465-4002-95d7-9b5ec61d50dc.jpg" /> we have following two cases:</p><p>1)<img src="25-7400591\3022b801-dd58-4dd0-aedf-26e7ad94f56e.jpg" />, in this case <img src="25-7400591\3195de10-eefc-41fe-b56d-bafa7bbea2e2.jpg" /> for all <img src="25-7400591\4132e394-ac4c-424c-9bb5-4b30382381ba.jpg" /></p><p>2) <img src="25-7400591\7e6e8f60-39f9-44a6-8641-8bd250e13606.jpg" />in this case <img src="25-7400591\170a6c37-0b7b-4375-8048-5055356d59f2.jpg" /> for all<img src="25-7400591\c80b2ab7-09fc-4d44-ab8a-00a9b27dd949.jpg" />, and <img src="25-7400591\decf4d91-c605-457c-9210-012c904d80d7.jpg" /> for all <img src="25-7400591\c6782954-54bc-4e53-a4cb-5e5c4e4314df.jpg" /> and <img src="25-7400591\42e5c292-6482-4616-99da-cdfc43ad6dee.jpg" /> at <img src="25-7400591\f722946f-a978-4721-b858-b60d3c6c0a82.jpg" /> where</p><p><img src="25-7400591\52874e49-b7e2-47e4-83d5-d950286aeae0.jpg" /></p><p>which is the root of<img src="25-7400591\71d85ef5-f006-410c-a149-6078a02884c1.jpg" />. The Hurwitz criterion gives a necessary and sufficient condition for local asymptotic stability of E<sup>*</sup>.</p><p>Routh-Hurwitz criterion and Hopf-bifurcation: For any<img src="25-7400591\7f481e45-3ee9-4527-9c7e-8609769a87f9.jpg" />, E<sup>*</sup> is locally asymptotically stable if and only if:<img src="25-7400591\c025d04d-c552-49f3-b384-dd5c2d1be4c0.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\a98a92ce-6de5-4011-b03a-d7600b3c01f9.jpg" />and<img src="25-7400591\3ca2e6b8-6aa3-4b75-b3c5-4601b3f97720.jpg" />.</p><p>In the following we give for our case the definition of a simple Hopf bifurcation. Assume that the positive equilibrium depends E<sup>*</sup> of the system (18)-(20) smoothly depends on the parameter<img src="25-7400591\197ce661-cc87-423c-8420-3152c5a09218.jpg" />. If there exists <img src="25-7400591\b03bd882-046d-478c-8eab-2c4e531b54f3.jpg" /> such that 1) A simple pair of complex conjugate eigen values of Equation (22) exists, say <img src="25-7400591\7904d7b6-6baa-4ecd-94f5-26dd3161f35a.jpg" /> and</p><p><img src="25-7400591\9c872ffa-b931-4906-9ef4-dd3ec948432b.jpg" />, such that they become purely imaginary at<img src="25-7400591\eb1511cc-a0c1-4da1-8893-4266f5dfc2d7.jpg" />, i.e. <img src="25-7400591\1fb69373-c74b-458d-882c-81424f59e824.jpg" />and<img src="25-7400591\d3a5aeec-5ffd-4e04-87d0-42bcb6ae7bfc.jpg" />whereas the other eigenvalue <img src="25-7400591\7721e4b3-277d-4566-ba21-2bf5cadd6d27.jpg" /> at <img src="25-7400591\9219a532-9984-4cc5-a0ea-ed272bd2dade.jpg" /> remains real and negative. And2) At<img src="25-7400591\b5c12479-80bb-4ab7-b188-b20705a6506c.jpg" />, i = 1, 2, we must have</p><p><img src="25-7400591\e169763b-a41e-4841-a9a5-98d2a04a1eb1.jpg" /></p><p>Then at <img src="25-7400591\d826db83-d28a-488c-967a-b8dd5fd31a75.jpg" /> we have a simple Hopf-bifurcation. Without knowing eigenvalues, [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.20362-ref15">15</xref>] proved that if<img src="25-7400591\db35762d-a7dc-40fd-a118-4f33f2b7242b.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\5b68f045-6b7c-4f2a-90ee-f71b49f3a070.jpg" />and <img src="25-7400591\0d4eab7c-c242-4f1b-b06d-1d8cee3a822c.jpg" /> are smooth functions of <img src="25-7400591\072150de-f91b-4e90-b635-940593f3bd3b.jpg" /> in an open interval of <img src="25-7400591\76de2b74-0c91-4453-98ef-2815c8ba6a5d.jpg" /> such that<img src="25-7400591\1fa123af-471b-4666-b7eb-2f09bcb297c7.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\12bcc5b7-9d63-447c-b284-575ba1f2304c.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\78d1102a-e5d4-4bf3-80a2-94da078401ba.jpg" /></p><p>and at <img src="25-7400591\0efa25d4-0fc1-4898-b13d-3ae44f67bccf.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\1337612c-1686-443a-957d-6bd960f4506c.jpg" /></p><p>then simple Hopf-bifurcation occurs at<img src="25-7400591\ac924c65-aedb-4b32-8b1d-0992b8778abf.jpg" />. According to the above results we can prove the Theorem 4.1.</p><p>Theorem 4.1. Assume that <img src="25-7400591\74da2ece-640f-4124-a91a-ccdf3645fac9.jpg" /> for all</p><p><img src="25-7400591\90557a26-0999-48b5-9163-47e6b4fab0ec.jpg" />, then a single Hopf-bifurcation occurs at the unique value <img src="25-7400591\ed9e621b-9228-42af-b04c-2a8f0bfb2c1d.jpg" /> for decreasing</p><p><img src="25-7400591\7dc4527a-9c95-49f4-9aae-b74919b56a84.jpg" />, i.e. the positive equilibria E<sup>*</sup> is asymptotically stable in <img src="25-7400591\cdd5a5c8-958f-464b-b65d-77ec571e04b0.jpg" /> and unstable in<img src="25-7400591\63683a84-548e-422a-bf98-11e184b0d44a.jpg" />.</p><p>Proof. Coefficients of the characteristic Equation (22) for positive equilibria E<sup>*</sup> are<img src="25-7400591\eada1843-8dce-43d4-ab9e-84788ec26642.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\26156c95-9321-4e88-b252-1b24108a559b.jpg" />and<img src="25-7400591\45cefd6f-4e4e-4200-a87e-d1588e018d28.jpg" />, and when <img src="25-7400591\fbe01da4-69b6-4bae-8db1-a48cfd6b9890.jpg" /> then all these coefficients are positive. Now, we look at<img src="25-7400591\0e9194b1-0377-4a6a-84b3-9eccddc1110e.jpg" />. Since</p><p><img src="25-7400591\06596e56-97e5-4ab6-a66c-36e5fdd4f039.jpg" />and</p><p><img src="25-7400591\b2f5ffc6-d680-4ba7-af5f-1226723b1bae.jpg" /></p><p>then we have<img src="25-7400591\d1fefb4c-5f14-4260-be04-cd6d2f0bff7f.jpg" />. Further at<img src="25-7400591\64ee2a83-f547-4f8a-b15a-fbc1255cc77c.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\a49a21c7-6547-4374-9830-67debd237531.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\7c59151c-995c-42e6-983d-484169fe8f54.jpg" />and hence <img src="25-7400591\1c990dda-3ced-4521-8d29-2c4e960b03cb.jpg" /> Since <img src="25-7400591\138c0c13-6817-4b2e-83a4-c946fc583e00.jpg" /> is continuous on<img src="25-7400591\addab950-9e53-4dab-98c0-6ce50a27c22d.jpg" />, then a value <img src="25-7400591\e4b614ff-270c-404e-a17c-7b93ea32b016.jpg" /> must exists at which<img src="25-7400591\42c4a307-bf62-441b-9c28-4b82cc1b22e4.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\01c0582a-2f10-4b28-a85e-3c9574c2e57d.jpg" />,<img src="25-7400591\c68040ae-dd1d-4aec-ad89-cc0f5c1b6303.jpg" />. The value at <img src="25-7400591\5ffd1f66-92ef-43d3-a52b-8c58882fb143.jpg" /> is unique because <img src="25-7400591\98ebfb6e-23fb-4e63-b9fa-db42187be5e4.jpg" /> is monotone increasing and <img src="25-7400591\13df02a0-3612-4be0-a310-84338eafa683.jpg" /> is monotone decreasing in <img src="25-7400591\e25d75fc-79a3-4edc-9b0b-51a6dcabeddc.jpg" /> Further, it is easy to check that at<img src="25-7400591\e5bdaf42-51ae-4050-a7b0-97684218fced.jpg" />,</p><p><img src="25-7400591\ea66d233-aba2-4cae-94ff-fcecf8d38853.jpg" /></p><p>Hence <img src="25-7400591\caed53c9-2c73-4c43-80da-ce382014d897.jpg" /> in<img src="25-7400591\6b770f7d-6df9-423d-a30c-21a53d938472.jpg" />, and according to Routh-Hurwitz criterion E<sup>*</sup> is asymptotically stable<img src="25-7400591\e796f1b1-1566-4b08-b1cd-8d934af58bc3.jpg" />. Furthermore, at<img src="25-7400591\d78eefdc-c939-4afc-8fbc-50e2d43d727f.jpg" />, we have a simple Hopf-bifurcation towards periodic solutions for decreasing θ, being <img src="25-7400591\380a289f-a35d-4fe3-86cd-518fbc77a3da.jpg" /> in<img src="25-7400591\c5f8b436-491f-4fb4-b726-7539aab0588d.jpg" />, i.e. E<sup>*</sup> is unstable when<img src="25-7400591\a6cd2621-2cf2-4dcb-bf5e-d980caad406e.jpg" />. This finishes the proof.</p><p>Suppose, <img src="25-7400591\2f148282-9186-4402-a901-3cc26a60723f.jpg" />, i.e. there exists <img src="25-7400591\ad116696-31b2-42fa-baa9-2c4fbe9e2723.jpg" /> such which <img src="25-7400591\1c1aae84-6dda-42fb-aa37-0cbe384f7731.jpg" /></p><p>and <img src="25-7400591\c70ed45a-530c-4d5d-9121-dca797c13633.jpg" /> for <img src="25-7400591\eeea2af6-4538-463e-ba32-f083bf30f066.jpg" /> and <img src="25-7400591\7f3675f4-0619-43b9-aa08-ffb1aa4524fc.jpg" /> for <img src="25-7400591\2ec5e159-f3e8-40b3-adbd-cd36f561f047.jpg" />. Now, in this case we can prove the Theorem 4.2.</p><p>Theorem 4.2. Assume that <img src="25-7400591\a9a7e707-010e-4847-bbc7-68e0a5b1bfcb.jpg" />, i.e. there exists <img src="25-7400591\8d3b241b-43ee-4bad-bd03-32cf3994babf.jpg" /> at which <img src="25-7400591\edfe5a20-4482-4205-a5ff-e998090efab7.jpg" /> Then, there exists a unique value <img src="25-7400591\19281683-88d1-4439-8b25-926d6b557367.jpg" /> at which a simple Hopf bifurcation occurs for decreasing<img src="25-7400591\e92f936e-da5d-499b-b41a-54976d67e27a.jpg" />. Therefore, the positive equilibria E<sup>*</sup> is asymptotically stable in <img src="25-7400591\f3216b7a-2175-4cea-9374-757703faed5c.jpg" /> and unstable in<img src="25-7400591\b269d8f7-c590-4cbf-ae74-4d71c5109740.jpg" />.</p><p>Proof. Let us remark that <img src="25-7400591\a2f85872-1976-4797-8ea6-3d2a4aa736e8.jpg" /> in <img src="25-7400591\833cd455-bb91-4426-a924-ebadd42a06c7.jpg" /> and <img src="25-7400591\d0f03ec9-e56e-4847-af78-fd2e14e65076.jpg" /> in <img src="25-7400591\a7c28da7-1782-4d8f-b3b7-51e35242f59b.jpg" /> with<img src="25-7400591\ca821a8b-5658-4c38-85aa-f76b98cc7899.jpg" />. Then, <img src="25-7400591\cf61bd5a-7c31-41b2-960a-1d72b8ecfd72.jpg" />in <img src="25-7400591\82d33f8e-8910-47b9-b3b7-b44f116e61c4.jpg" /> Furthermore, <img src="25-7400591\669435f6-7374-4c46-acb5-7615b75cabe8.jpg" />at<img src="25-7400591\bdfc1730-5ce6-4e3d-abe8-9aa3dc0760fb.jpg" />. Since, <img src="25-7400591\96f747f9-0683-421e-a690-86418dab80f8.jpg" />is continuous on <img src="25-7400591\ff5c9c7f-c4c3-4366-8387-196ca87b31f7.jpg" />, then there exists a <img src="25-7400591\5555a35b-67cb-4ed0-8363-d4fece48f873.jpg" /> such that<img src="25-7400591\7193f46c-831e-40d2-ad58-f724d0dd7d7f.jpg" />. The uniqueness of <img src="25-7400591\66f88458-f031-48f3-a09d-9bbb6235de67.jpg" /> follows from the remark that <img src="25-7400591\d1d30b33-83b2-4b24-85fa-48df6e961fbe.jpg" /> is monotone increasing and <img src="25-7400591\0985fa75-44bf-451b-974c-32c75daf8996.jpg" /> is monotone decreasing functions of <img src="25-7400591\fab53081-f0f1-450c-a11f-8de0da990713.jpg" /> in<img src="25-7400591\444c20d1-7b32-4c46-9818-d46c510a4a44.jpg" />. Hence, <img src="25-7400591\316defe2-b0e0-4d1c-a969-df7022aa2fe4.jpg" />in<img src="25-7400591\71da04a2-56d5-44de-8287-731a66d30be0.jpg" />, and <img src="25-7400591\e53f050f-01d8-481c-86b9-6ab60c93c096.jpg" /> in <img src="25-7400591\85ce0571-c9d8-445f-874e-c3d72f53ef7e.jpg" /> with <img src="25-7400591\e66f40bd-7f5b-4a1d-8545-b6be43a82c47.jpg" /> i.e. at <img src="25-7400591\14f393d0-3d02-4d45-b0c6-cd50ac4382d4.jpg" /> we have simple Hopf-bifurcation, with E<sup>*</sup> asymptotically stable in<img src="25-7400591\28ec704c-77a7-4efd-b711-a14a70763798.jpg" />, and unstable in<img src="25-7400591\02290832-c356-4e3e-814f-9afc559005ac.jpg" />. This finishes the proof.</p></sec><sec id="s5"><title>5. Global Stability and Persistence</title><p>In this section, we will establish global stability and persistence results for the system (18)-(20). We claim that<img src="25-7400591\125c5f71-2a50-4429-bcf3-90927541fc86.jpg" />, where</p><p><img src="25-7400591\ff07be86-1cde-47bb-a1fb-4d5d6f765a61.jpg" /></p><p>the boundary equilibria E<sub>1</sub> is globally asymptotically stable with respect to<img src="25-7400591\752fe699-d358-429f-b47c-c039d2a738ee.jpg" /><sub>.</sub></p><p>Theorem 5.1. If <img src="25-7400591\ff482cfd-f72f-4d42-a255-37ef9da2b905.jpg" /> then the boundary equilibrium point E<sub>1</sub> is globally asymptotically stable in<img src="25-7400591\3da26848-3f20-47aa-875d-fd05f4ebc04c.jpg" />.</p><p>Proof. Let G be the set of<img src="25-7400591\d82a0b49-76ce-4a56-ab98-4abfc20bec82.jpg" />. We proved that any solution of systems (18)-(20) starting outside G either enters into G at some finite time, say <img src="25-7400591\bf8f60ad-cc02-4f6b-9764-28ddfe510893.jpg" /> and then it remains in its interior G for all <img src="25-7400591\19a48672-24c6-4a52-b46f-1ff8c1dec436.jpg" /> or tends to the boundary equilibrium E<sub>1</sub>. It is therefore sufficient to prove that E<sub>1</sub> is asymptotically stable with respect to G to prove global asymptotic stability in<img src="25-7400591\056862c9-c7c2-4cb8-b5a1-5f8da9759ab6.jpg" />. Let</p><p><img src="25-7400591\4b0f2061-5f29-4886-84c0-1211382cb568.jpg" />, consider a scalar function<img src="25-7400591\856f7677-4281-4525-bebf-361e5038f0a9.jpg" />, such that</p><p><img src="25-7400591\18c03016-a260-4d76-a1e0-e9916d391b79.jpg" /></p><p>where k<sub>1</sub> and k<sub>2</sub> are real positive numbers. Then from Equations (18)-(20) we arrive at:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71582"><label>(25)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\8c2baa14-bf4e-4d8e-b159-e28a3a38bdf6.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>In Equation (25) we can choose<img src="25-7400591\624f5940-01d7-420b-b6cd-f7979fe26b51.jpg" />, then we get:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\04541776-6bf2-42ee-bb2f-16893389c7f3.jpg" /></p><p>Furthermore, if we choose k<sub>2</sub> in such a way that</p><p><img src="25-7400591\7798780a-11e5-49c9-976e-fda8b7aae080.jpg" /></p><p>then from Equation (26) we get:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71583"><label>(27)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\4c5fa822-1edc-4f77-bebf-799d0a7a43e2.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>The above Inequality (27) holds for any<img src="25-7400591\b99ec7d9-b032-41fb-a87a-44da58c86a67.jpg" />, <img src="25-7400591\161fba6a-3954-47da-a495-ed7733708f1e.jpg" />and <img src="25-7400591\fe628a0d-e9f3-474e-b20f-dd2e50ff8da8.jpg" /> in<img src="25-7400591\15ee08c5-f6ca-4780-8aac-1e928b6623d5.jpg" />. However, in this case we have:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\1a66d8c5-ab66-489a-aa2a-7f6b89d80fb5.jpg" /></p><p>It is straightforward to show that the largest invariant set in M is E<sub>1</sub>, by the well known Lasalle-Lyapunov theorem, we again show that E<sub>1</sub> is globally asymptotically stable when<img src="25-7400591\150537de-9348-412f-8572-b3265577ff63.jpg" />. This finishes the proof.</p><p>Assume now that positive equilibria E<sup>*</sup> is feasible i.e.<img src="25-7400591\5d2f0abb-bf32-4fe5-837c-439e7efa86da.jpg" />, thus we can prove the following theorem about E<sub>1</sub>.</p><p>Theorem 5.2. If <img src="25-7400591\8b07a495-3761-4c52-a1ce-dd1aa11f9c44.jpg" /> then there are no</p><p><img src="25-7400591\a8c66e19-30ea-4f30-ba4e-7fa5ed0560eb.jpg" />(where <img src="25-7400591\dcdafeb8-b384-4f0d-8e52-dc520e840808.jpg" /> is interior of<img src="25-7400591\bc4e4fbe-9042-4a4d-82d1-aceac0cb48f5.jpg" />) such that</p><p><img src="25-7400591\7ad7e659-4caf-48b9-a1f9-040b6ffddbe6.jpg" />as<img src="25-7400591\17614f80-661e-45b2-b931-e6313247a5a1.jpg" />.</p><p>Proof. Let us consider following function:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\065811be-fa68-4e85-bb6d-2bd960336740.jpg" /></p><p>where<img src="25-7400591\cb5f70eb-12e0-46da-8a84-fa047116dd91.jpg" />, (i = 1, 2) which is of course positive in G since <img src="25-7400591\2e0ba940-b1a3-4faa-913d-41e54f0601b2.jpg" /> and<img src="25-7400591\5cb17110-9774-4e67-b05d-efad7861798b.jpg" />. let <img src="25-7400591\0ec7011b-f78e-4685-a8dc-eacbe8cec919.jpg" /> be a ε-neighborhood of E<sub>1</sub> in G. Then from Equationa (19) and (20) we get:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71584"><label>(28)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\028bcca2-42ef-445f-a542-02c00bcf6d48.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>or</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71585"><label>(29)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\12f5414d-58ee-4d76-920d-9c3ac28a0d6c.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where the inequality on the right of the Equation (29) holds true in <img src="25-7400591\2be61d45-8e65-456f-8f58-ee38badcca4d.jpg" /> Positive definiteness of <img src="25-7400591\b69bda36-238f-40bf-9f99-ea7557763454.jpg" /> in <img src="25-7400591\80d03fe4-8f32-4c07-869a-813fb5d3288a.jpg" /> requires that</p><p><img src="25-7400591\8a4a6a55-d13f-4b23-b0a8-7039436dd4df.jpg" /></p><p>and</p><p><img src="25-7400591\34693f3b-d4fe-4e90-89c9-15439bd2ab6a.jpg" /></p><p>and this in turns requires that</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71586"><label>(30)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\3e3f4d1f-447c-46b0-b638-bc367c45f1cd.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>when, <img src="25-7400591\7385f1fa-cc1c-452b-b38d-bd43dc3c9c80.jpg" />then, for all <img src="25-7400591\aedced7b-0cdb-4d4d-a500-3723ba492935.jpg" /> Inequality (30) holds true, thus for the choice of k<sub>1</sub> and k<sub>2</sub> Inequality (29) holds true. Hence, there is <img src="25-7400591\311bf1cb-2c62-44a8-833d-dcfac5f1c48f.jpg" /> such that for the above choice of k<sub>1</sub> and k<sub>2</sub>, we get:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\358759af-65a3-4530-866d-d6a004709989.jpg" /></p><p>in I<sub>ε</sub>. This finishes the proof.</p><p>Moreover, it has been observed in the light of above theorem that, when <img src="25-7400591\0754a4c0-a02f-415f-bd8f-2ee126fa1860.jpg" /> then boundary equilibria E<sub>1</sub> is uniformly strong repeller, and in this case positive equilibria E<sup>*</sup> is uniformly persistent.</p></sec><sec id="s6"><title>6. Numerical Example</title><p>Let us we consider following set of parameters a = 10, l = 24.628, m = 14.925, m<sub>1</sub> = 0.01, m<sub>2</sub> = 0.011, Q = 1, h = 0.1, a<sub>1</sub> = 1, d<sub>1</sub> = 0:21, θ = 1, β = 0:12, (l<sub>1</sub> + l<sub>2</sub>) = 0:5.</p><p>Then we get X<sup>*</sup> = 10 and U<sup>*</sup> = 20.05. In this case, interior equilibrium point of the system (18)-(20) is E<sup>*</sup> = (0.3862, 0.0799, 5.1388). Since, we have considered <img src="25-7400591\837a11dd-8b4e-4cdb-97f0-f8cce152333c.jpg" /> as a Hopf-bifurcation parameter, thus at <img src="25-7400591\1f750f40-2fe0-480c-aade-6600099329d7.jpg" /> we have:</p><p><img src="25-7400591\c39b2aab-6451-4554-8197-3bbc9fe320d2.jpg" /></p><p>where <img src="25-7400591\c982db03-888c-4bec-8f3a-c6917d4a42fe.jpg" /> is the positive and real root of the following equation:</p><disp-formula id="scirp.20362-formula71587"><label>(31)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="25-7400591\09b0a193-2bcd-43dd-af07-2c0db43c3c3d.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where</p><p><img src="25-7400591\48721059-f1bb-4455-b354-6705266d9efc.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\512f57b8-fab4-4c65-9700-2605f323fcdb.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\71cd42d7-f163-48f3-9032-f250f62ae1a9.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\df945573-211b-46b4-b7e2-09bf657a91ac.jpg" /></p><p>and,</p><p><img src="25-7400591\62579f1d-6e57-4675-b01b-9bfb2d239448.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\dd08cbd9-4c45-47fb-a02e-6b19fe40a933.jpg" /></p><p><img src="25-7400591\340ff76d-954f-4ddd-958c-927389a2bf99.jpg" /></p><p>Thus, for the above numerical data we have following positive root of the equation <img src="25-7400591\2e87380b-93f6-4224-83fe-605452f79725.jpg" /> = 0.1568 and corresponding to this value of θ, we have threshold replication factor b = 97.0463 and b<sup>**</sup> = 16.3759. So, we have the following numerical observations:</p><p>1) if b Є (k<sub>6</sub>, 16.3759) then steady state E<sub>1</sub> is globally asymptotically stable, and interior equilibrium point E<sup>*</sup> of the systems (18)-(20) does not exist (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>).</p><p>2) if b Є (16.3795, 1), then interior equilibrium point E<sup>*</sup> of the systems (18)-(20) exists.</p><p>Moreover, if b Є (16.3759, 97.0463), then equilibria E<sup>*</sup> is locally asymptotically stable (Figures 2 and 3). Whenever b ≥ 97.0463, then E<sup>*</sup> is locally asymptotically unstable, and in this case systems (18)-(20) exhibits small amplitude Hopf-type oscillations around steady state E<sup>*</sup> (Figures 4 and 5). Now, we increase exogenous input rate of the pollutant in the systems (18)-(20), suppose increased exogenous input rate of the pollutant is Q = 5. Then we have:</p><p>X<sup>*</sup> = 50, U<sup>*</sup> = 100.0504 and E<sup>*</sup> = (0.4003, 0.0673, 4.3244), b<sup>*</sup><sup>*</sup> = 18.3701, <img src="25-7400591\33c96fc9-d976-4a9a-bb37-8adc2cd5e06b.jpg" />= 0:1452, <img src="25-7400591\dba200bc-08c9-419f-928a-3a3d70bc4c2a.jpg" />= 100.4832.</p><p>In this case, we have following observations:</p><p>1) if b Є (k<sub>6</sub>, 18.3701), then E<sub>1</sub> is globally asymptotically stable and, E<sup>*</sup> is not feasible in this situation.</p><p>2) if b Є (18.3701,<img src="25-7400591\b67f0371-eaa9-4d1d-91f8-0f78c7affc59.jpg" />) then steady state E<sup>*</sup> is feasible, and moreover, E<sup>*</sup> is locally asymptotically stable when &#160;b Є (18.3701, 100.4832), further, as b ≥ 100.4832, then system exhibits small amplitude oscillations around E<sup>*</sup>.</p><p>From both the above numerical observations, it is clear that due to effect of toxicant bifurcation threshold <img src="25-7400591\5af1d20e-5d70-4e60-a043-8eda9df4072b.jpg" /> comes down as environmental pollutant increases. On the other hand, b<sup>*</sup><sup>*</sup> increases as environmental pollutant increases, which in turn, conclude that as environmental pollutant increases then system would have co-existence of all constituent units i.e. existence of interior equilibrium point for higher values of virus replication factor b</p><p>as compared to the case when pollutant is not present in the system.</p></sec><sec id="s7"><title>7. Conclusion</title><p>A mathematical model for single species population which is infected by virus induced disease in a polluted environment is studied. We have studied the local and global behavior of the flow of the system around possible steady states. It has been established that boundary equilibria i.e. E<sub>1</sub> is the globally asymptotically stable. Further, as boundary equilibria E<sub>1</sub> become strongly repeller then flow of the system is persistent towards the positive equilibria E<sup>*</sup>. E<sub>0</sub> is attractor when a &lt; m<sub>1</sub>U<sup>*</sup> i.e. the intrinsic growth rate of susceptible population is less than the death due to pollutant otherwise it is unstable saddle point. It has been found that virus replication factor plays an important role in shaping the dynamics of the system in both the polluted and fresh environment. Further, when the effect of pollution is not considered then it has been established that susceptible population can never vanish, while, on the other hand when the effect of the environmental pollution has been considered then susceptible population can vanish if amount of the environmental pollutant is higher than a certain level. Furthermore, we have traced out two basic effects of environmental pollutant on single species when it is already subjected to some virus induced disease. One of them is that due to effect of pollutant equilibrium level of population goes down as organismal toxicant increases, which is a generally known effect. The second effect is that due to presence of pollutant, threshold of virus replication factor increases which in turn again depress the susceptible population density level. Moreover, it has been established that system exhibits oscillatory behavior as virus replication factor increases by a certain threshold level. We have established the existence of the oscillatory behavior of the solutions of the system using Hopf-bifurcation technique. Global behavior of the system has also been discussed using Lyapunov-LaSalle principle and persistent technique. 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