<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JMF</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Journal of Mathematical Finance</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2162-2434</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/jmf.2012.21005</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">JMF-17590</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Business&amp;Economics</subject><subject> Physics&amp;Mathematics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Optimal Portfolio Control with Unknown Horizon
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>oawia</surname><given-names>Alghalith</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sub>1</sub></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><addr-line>University of the West Indies, St. Augustine, Trinidad-and-Tobago</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail:<email>malghalith@gmail.com</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>28</day><month>02</month><year>2012</year></pub-date><volume>02</volume><issue>01</issue><fpage>41</fpage><lpage>42</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>November</day>	<month>10,</month>	<year>2011</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>December</day>	<month>20,</month>	<year>2011</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>December</day>	<month>28,</month>	<year>2011</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  In this paper, we relax the assumption of a known time horizon in optimal control models.
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Portfolio; Investment; Random Horizon; Stochastic</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>The literature on control and optimization mainly considered a known predetermined time horizon or infinite horizon. However, the previous studies did not examine the possibility of unknown (random) time horizon. Examples include Alghalith (2009) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.17590-ref1">1</xref>], Fleming (2004) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.17590-ref2">2</xref>], and Focardi and Fabozzi (2004) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.17590-ref3">3</xref>], among many others. In some cases, it is more realistic to assume that the horizon depends on some of the stochastic factors of the model and therefore it is random. Hence, it cannot be predetermined at the initial time. For example, the horizon of the investor might depend on the stochastic asset price or any other economic factor. Therefore the investor adjusts the horizon accordingly. Consequently, the assumption of a non-random horizon is somewhat restrictive.</p><p>In this paper, we relax the assumption of a known time horizon without significantly complicating the optimal solutions. As an example, we apply our methods to a stochastic factor incomplete markets investment model. In so doing, we provide solutions for the optimal portfolio under the assumption that the investor does not have a predetermined time horizon.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. The Model</title><p>We consider an investment model, which includes a risky asset, a risk-free asset and a random external economic factor. We use a three-dimensional standard Brownian motion <img src="5-1490047\3124373b-97ed-44be-b963-20402d159a2b.jpg" /> based on the probability space <img src="5-1490047\4ad6950b-0191-4dcf-a06a-5e80f9d20d56.jpg" /> where <img src="5-1490047\6b109f6c-80d7-4a32-aa29-99d07a77e108.jpg" /> is the augmentation of filtration. The risk-free asset price process is</p><p><img src="5-1490047\ca1ff8a3-7479-468e-8463-0d62e1fcf78d.jpg" />where <img src="5-1490047\a193d189-2858-4bf5-be65-2ad7c6514df7.jpg" /> is the rate of return and <img src="5-1490047\6364562d-7ce7-4c6d-950e-422fc9bafcf0.jpg" /> is the stochastic economic factor.</p><p>The dynamics of the risky asset price are given by</p><disp-formula id="scirp.17590-formula105913"><label>(1)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1490047\70dad26e-2bd0-4389-8a19-a3300d07ad70.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <img src="5-1490047\6a4e257b-ce2b-4dc9-aa50-682c07cafe2d.jpg" /> and <img src="5-1490047\8f08e20f-3f2b-4ae5-ab16-f634c9e358de.jpg" /> are the rate of return and the volatility, respectively. The economic factor process dynamics are given by</p><disp-formula id="scirp.17590-formula105914"><label>(2)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1490047\de52440a-9350-455e-8d9d-b93863aa010a.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>and<img src="5-1490047\51b65741-2b3b-4e16-91af-b9a9c03f9812.jpg" />.</p><p>The stochastic terminal time is denoted by <img src="5-1490047\f0ffc238-0803-4c09-a517-5fe408202a07.jpg" /> and its dynamics are given by</p><p><img src="5-1490047\76e9ae7f-7be7-4859-b4f1-72c1af0d16aa.jpg" /></p><p>We define <img src="5-1490047\8f410dd8-2194-4046-8773-9bb2d890cc4c.jpg" /></p><p>The wealth process is given by</p><disp-formula id="scirp.17590-formula105915"><label>(3)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1490047\d1b3d802-a9a9-4e41-866d-d0ca4d8e4b7e.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <img src="5-1490047\36c60a2a-df75-4e71-9e49-fc126d309588.jpg" /> is the initial wealth, <img src="5-1490047\4cd768fa-b9dc-458b-b832-da0e5f6d56ee.jpg" />is the portfolio process with <img src="5-1490047\6b54f6aa-3fd8-4154-8e37-d27a36272617.jpg" /> The trading strategy <img src="5-1490047\3310d27b-644d-40e7-8dfd-fffdeac49e62.jpg" /> is admissible.</p><p>The investor’s objective is to maximize the expected utility of the terminal wealth</p><disp-formula id="scirp.17590-formula105916"><label>(4)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1490047\55663c72-a500-4355-8cb8-1edd0c13eef9.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <img src="5-1490047\1d34d952-9892-4531-9ed3-bb57a3d9cd70.jpg" /> is the value function, <img src="5-1490047\88898c92-d5fe-4b48-8ba7-22e1682522a0.jpg" />is a continuous, bounded and strictly concave utility function.</p><p>The value function satisfies the Hamilton-JacobiBellman PDE</p><p><img src="5-1490047\948ad4c6-19cd-48db-b85a-acbdb63f6751.jpg" /></p><disp-formula id="scirp.17590-formula105917"><label>(5)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1490047\71d9181b-8f22-4fd6-bf63-93b1b210a186.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>where <img src="5-1490047\d7639ccf-67d7-48ef-a5b3-5f496c51d2a8.jpg" /> is the correlation coefficient between the Brownian motions. Hence, the optimal solution is</p><disp-formula id="scirp.17590-formula105918"><label>(6)</label><graphic position="anchor" xlink:href="5-1490047\061340fe-a8d5-47fb-b1eb-52728f470e3d.jpg"  xlink:type="simple"/></disp-formula><p>Clearly, following previous studies, we can obtain an explicit solution for specific functional forms of the utility such as an exponential utility function.</p></sec><sec id="s3"><title>REFERENCES</title></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.17590-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">M. Alghalith, “A New Stochastic Factor Model: General Ex-plicit Solutions,” Applied Mathematics Letters, Vol. 22, No. 12, 2009, pp. 1852-1854.  
doi:10.1016/j.aml.2009.07.011</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.17590-ref2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">W. Fleming, “Some Optimal Investment, Production and Consumption Models,” Con-temporary Mathematics, Vol. 351, 2004, pp. 115-124.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.17590-ref3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">F. Focardi and F. Fabozzi, “The Mathematics of Financial Modeling and Investment Management,” Wiley, New York, 2004.</mixed-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>