From 2010 to 2019, 50,956 women gave birth at the Philippe Maguilen Senghor Health Center. Among them, 20,535 knew the exact date of their last menstrual period (LMP) or had an early ultrasound for the calculation of gestational age. The inclusion criteria were applicable to 18,871 patients, constituting the sample of this study. The incidence of pregnancies beyond term was 8.3%, and that of prolonged pregnancy was 14% ( Figure 1 and Table 1 ).

WA = Weeks of amenorrhea.

The average age of the patients was 27.61 years with a standard deviation of 6.2. The median age was 27 years, with a range from 13 to 50 years. The average body mass index (BMI) of the parturients was 26.5 kg/m² with a standard deviation of 5.09. Half of the patients had a BMI above 25.7 kg/m². The average parity was 1.21 with a standard deviation of 1.5. Nulliparous women accounted for 43.8% of the sample. Nearly one in five patients was admitted following a referral from another healthcare facility ( Table 2 ).

WA = Weeks of amenorrhea. 1: Group of patients with prolonged pregnancy. 2: Group of patients past their due date.

During prolonged pregnancies, we observe a small increase in the Apgar score rate below 7 at the 5th minute. In addition, there was no difference in the rates of oligoamnios, transfer to the neonatal unit, and neonatal death.

On the other hand, post-term mortality is significantly associated with an increase in fetal and neonatal morbidity and mortality. We report a high risk of oligoamnios (OR = 2.60; 95% CI = [1.47, 4.63]), low Apgar score at the 5th minute (OR = 2.40; 95% CI = [1.89, 3.04]), transfer to the neonatal unit (OR = 1.87; 95% CI = [1.28, 2.74]) and neonatal death (OR = 5.12; 95% CI = [2.53, 10.35]) ( Table 3 ).

We observed an even greater risk when it came to over-term: OR = 2.12, 95% CI = [1.81, 2.50]. In both situations, the differences were statistically significant. The risk of post-partum hemorrhage was significantly higher in post-term pregnancies: OR = 2.85, 95% CI = [1.65, 4.92]. This risk did not apply to prolonged pregnancies. The risk of elective caesarean section was not greater in the case of post-term pregnancy, when this group was compared to full-term pregnancies. On the other hand, the risk of induction of labor was significantly greater for prolonged pregnancies and those beyond term. The ROs were 1.83 (95% CI = [1.53, 2.20]) and 5.27 (95% CI = [4.50, 6.20]), respectively. The risk of caesarean delivery was significantly no greater than in the post-term group: OR = 1.47, 95% CI = [1.32, 1.64] ( Table 4 ).

WA = Weeks of amenorrhea. 1: Group of patients with prolonged pregnancy. 2: Group of patients past their due date.

One of the main limitations of our study remains its retrospective nature. Furthermore, less than half of the patients who gave birth in the facility during these 9 years had an accurate dating of their pregnancy. The level of the technical facilities did not allow for recording fetal heart rate, hydrogen potential (pH), or lactate measurement from the fetal scalp. Thus, the diagnosis of peripartum asphyxia was made based on an Apgar score at the 5th minute of less than 7/10. The strengths of this study lie in the sample size as well as the method of data collection through a database.

For pregnancies beyond term, the diagnosis of AFS was more frequently made, with a prevalence of 13.2% compared to prolonged and full-term pregnancies. For the latter, the rates were 9.9% and 6.7% respectively. The difference was statistically significant (p = 0.000). Acute fetal hypoxia has a major role in the increase in perinatal mortality from 40 weeks of gestation. Olesen et al. [6] conclude that the risk of perinatal asphyxia is greater in post-term newborns (1.5%) than in term neonates (0.9%) with an OR calculated at 1.63 (95% CI = [1.43, 1.85]). The risk is increased in low birth weight infants with an OR = 2.91 [6] . Hovi et al. [7] conclude that 3.4% of post-term newborns have perinatal asphyxia compared to 2.1% of term newborns, with an OR of 1.47 (95% CI = [1.11, 1.95]). The fetus, exposed to a risk of hypoxia, undergoes a less efficient blood redistribution mechanism, degrading its renal function and consequently responsible for oligoamnios, which is common in post-mature newborns (15% - 20% of cases) [8] . By comparing full-term pregnancies with those beyond term, we found that the rate of oligoamnios (0.4% and 1% respectively) and transfer to neonatology (1.1% and 2% respectively) doubled beyond 42 weeks of pregnancy. We noted, for these 2 parameters, that prolonged pregnancy was not associated with an increase in morbidity.

Regarding pH at birth, Olosen et al. [6] found a neonatal asphyxia rate of 2.4%. However, in our data collection, we did not perform a pH assay. In our study, a proportion of 1.2% of newborns were transferred to the neonatal unit.

We have not observed any perinatal deaths, however, we find in the literature a significant increase in the relative risk of fetal death in the case of prolonged pregnancy: RR = 1 - 40 weeks, RR = 1.5 - 41 weeks, RR = 1.8 - 42 weeks, and RR = 2.5 - 43 weeks [9] .

It is recognized that pregnancies that evolve beyond term lead to an increase in the risk of perinatal mortality, which increases from 0.7‰ to 5.8‰ between 37 and 40 weeks of gestation [7] . According to Olesen et al., perinatal mortality is higher in post-mature newborns than in full-term newborns: OR = 1.36 (95% CI = [1.08, 1.72]) [6] .

In a Swedish cohort study based on a national registry, Divon et al. [10] reported an increased risk of fetal death in utero as soon as pregnancy reached 41 WA (OR = 1.48; 95% CI = [1.13, 1.95]). At 43 weeks, this risk is almost multiplied by 3 (OR = 2.90; 95% CI = [1.27, 6.61]) [10] .

In our study, the rate of caesarean section performed before any onset of labor was lower in the case of prolonged pregnancy (4%) than in women at term or post-term (6.2% and 7.3% respectively). For the latter 2 groups, the difference in caesarean section rates was not significant (post-hoc: 2 < 1 = 3). Regarding the caesarean section rate in general, the prognosis was similar in women who gave birth at term and those who gave birth between 41 and 42 weeks of pregnancy. On the other hand, in cases of post-term, the rate of caesarean section was significantly higher, affecting more than 35% of women in this group (p = 0.000). It was noted, for example, that there was a wait-and-see attitude towards prolonged pregnancy, with an increase in caesarean section rates in the event of overterm pregnancy.

In the event of post-term hemorrhage, the rate of post-partum hemorrhage was multiplied by 2, with a significant difference with the other groups (p = 0.000). Maternal morbidity was therefore linked to obstetric interventions but also to serious direct complications.

Sanchez-Ramos et al.’s meta-analysis [11] also concludes that there is a lower rate of caesarean section in the case of a systematic induction policy at 41 weeks compared to simple monitoring. However, there were no significant differences in perinatal mortality, ICU admission, meconium inhalation and APGAR scores between the two populations. Indeed, these authors showed, over a period of nine years, a decrease in the proportion of newborns with meconium inhalation syndrome in their facility, well correlated with the decrease in post-term pregnancies over the same time interval. According to the French National Health Authority HAS [4] , it is recommended to initiate fetal monitoring every 48 hours if the patient has not given birth at 41 weeks + 0 days. In the absence of delivery at 41 weeks + 6 days, it is recommended to induce labor. Induction at 41 + 0 days can be performed if the cervix is favorable after informing the patient and obtaining her consent, this attitude may be motivated by an impossibility of regular monitoring, a request from the patient or a need to organize care. The systematic review by Crowley [8] in 2006 concluded that a policy of induction of labor at or beyond 41 weeks is associated with a reduction in perinatal mortality, and in the number of newborns with meconium inhalation syndrome, and recommends a policy of induction of labor at 41 weeks. In a meta-analysis of 19 trials from 2006, Crowley [8] noted that after induction of labor, the rates of caesarean section and instrumental extraction remained close to those of spontaneous delivery in a prolonged pregnancy population. Similarly, Gelisen et al. [3] and Mozurkewich et al. [12] observed in a randomized study for the first and a meta-analysis for the second, that induction of labor at 41 weeks of gestation did not increase the rate of caesarean section, slightly reducing neonatal morbidity compared to follow-up up to 42 weeks.