Goats in the institute’s demonstration farm constituted the study population. There were 37 goats comprising Mubende (46%), Boer (11%) and crosses (43%) on the farm at the beginning of the study period (July 2020). The youngest and oldest goats were 3 and 62 months old respectively while the smallest and heaviest goats were 4.3 kg and 51.2 kg respectively. The mean weight of goats in the flock was 20.08 kg. At the end of the study period (June 2022), the number of goats rose to 175 comprising of female (136) and male (39) goats. Their overall mean weight was 21.78 kg that of female and male were 23.5 kg and 15.7 kg respectively.

Throughout the study period, goats were grazed on pasture land bearing grass, legumes and shrubs daily from 9:00am to 5:00pm, fresh Napier harvested from nearby field was provided in suspended mangers constructed in the resting yard. The mineral supplement was provided as 5 kg blocks per month.

To enhance reproductive performance and genetic selection, bucklings and bucks of superior phylogenic and morphologic characteristics were selected for breeding while keeping conscious of the potential erosion of Mubende breed in case of indiscriminate breeding. Male goats born 2.0 kg and above, heavier and fast growing bucks, born from twin births were selected so as to increase the chances of multiple births in the flock. Males not suitable for breeding were culled/castrated and fattened for disposal as slaughter goats. For simplicity and low cost, random mating breeding system was practiced in the farm throughout the period, over 99% of the pregnant does deliver normally; we performed only two caesarian sections and assisted vaginal deliveries. The proportion of Does kidding successfully unassisted was 99%.

The farm has two Ariel houses with three compartments each measuring 50 m²; they have rain water harvesting and storage systems, urine collection channels and tanks. Each of the houses is situated in chain link fenced resting yard measuring 4000 m².

The flock heath management program involve activities aimed at preventing introduction of pathogens into the farm and minimizing the impact of diseases incase outbreak occurs. These activities were scheduled and implemented over the year and included: Identification of new born and procured goats (ear tagging and entry), Spraying against ectoparasites every week, Deworming of the goats every three months, Daily adequate feeding of the goats on safe and nutritious pasture, vaccination of goats against Pest des Petit Ruminates (PPR), Contagious Caprine Pleuropneumonia (CCPP), Foot and Mouth Diseases (FMD) and Clostridial diseases every year, Screening against Brucellosis every year, daily inspection and treatment of goats that come up with the disease.

All the goats in the demonstration farm were recruited into the study non- probabilistically through convenience; the study population was disaggregated by sex (male & female), breed (Mubende, Boer & Crosses), age group (kids, weaners and adults (doelings, buckling, does & bucks)) and reproductive stage. There were 37 and 175 goats at the beginning and end of the study period respectively.

Data collection templates were designed to capture data vital for computing individual and flock health and production indices. Measurements of variables made on individual goats and flocks were recorded in hard cover books using pens by technicians and scientists. They include; Tag no, sex, breed, age, weight, color, date of birth, date of delivery, number of kids delivered, state of delivery, temperature, treatments, hospital visits, reasons for culling, estimated carcass weight, source of goats introduced into the farm & disability. The data in the field hard cover books were entered into MS Excel 2013, cleaned, validated, stored and exported to SPSS version 22 and R version 3.4.2 for further exploration and analysis. Descriptive statistics were computed, relationship between desired performance indicators and explanatory variables were assessed and inferences were made based on test statistics (X², F) and p-values at 5% level of significance.

Mortality rate among flock of goats

The mortality rate among the flock of goats over the period was computed using mathematical models proposed by medical statisticians to explain the observed mortality rates [3] [4] [5] [6] [7].

The cumulative mortality of goats over the period of study was computed using the formula;

Cummulative Mortality = Number of goats in the flock that died over the period Number of goat in the farm in the begining of the period

While Mortality rate among the flock of goats on the farm was computed using the formula;

Mortality rate = Number of goats in the flock that died over the period Number of goat time at risk of death in the farm

The numerator, the number of goats in the flock that died over the period was obtained by counting all death of individual goats in the flock regardless of cause.

The denominator; the number of goat time at risk in an open flock of goats was obtained using the formula;

Number of goat time at risk of death in the farm = { [ N start + 1 2 N new ] – 1 2 ( N lost + N deaths ) } × time

where:

N new = N kids + N purchased

N_start = number of goat at beginning of the period.

N_new = number of goats introduced in the flock through birth or purchases in the period.

N_kids = number of goats introduced in the flock through kidding in the period.

N_purchased = number of goats introduced in the flock through purchases in the period.

N_Withdrawn = number of goats lost from the flock through death and non-death disappearance to follow up in the period, e.g., death, slaughter, sales, theft, etc.

N_deaths = number of goats that died over the period.

N_{non death} = number of goats lost from the flock through non-death in the period, e.g., slaughter, sales, theft, straying, etc.

Time = period of study (months).

N_start = a, N_new = b, N_sold = c, N_slaughtered = d, N_theft = e, N_final =f and N_deaths = g, time = h, N_kid = k, and N_purchased = p.

Mortality rate = Number of goats that died in the farm over the period { [ N start + 1 2 N new ] – 1 2 ( N Withdrawn + N deaths ) } × time

Mortality rate = Number of goats that died in the farm over the period { [ N start + 1 2 ( N kids + N purchased ) ] – 1 2 ( N sold + slaughtered + theft + N deaths ) } × time

Mortality rate ( goats goatmonths ) = g { [ a + 1 2 ( k + p ) ] − 1 2 ( ( c + d + e ) + g ) } goat × h

Factors contributing to crude mortality of goats were described through percentages and graphs

Percentage of goats dead with factor ( % ) = Number of goats that died in the period Total number of goats that died in the period ∗ 100

The percentages were then ranked from highest to smallest.

The population of goats on the farm increases through the acquisition of breeding stock and kidding in the farm. This number is reduced by the mortality of goats due to various causes, sale of goats, donations and loss through theft (Figure 2). Mortality rate and survival rate among goats are vital indicators for evaluating the effectiveness of management practices.

The farm employs semi intensive goat production system where goats have house, resting yard, browse on natural grass and shrubs in the pastureland paddocked by bands. They get feed supplements such as crop residues, fodder trees and concentrates. The grazing land bears numerous grass and woody species like natural pasturelands in many parts of Uganda described by Nampanzira et al. [8].

The farm is rearing mainly Mubende goats (Figure 3), one of the outstanding small east African goats. These goats are mainly black (80%) and spotted (15%) in color, tolerant to several environmental insults, reared for meat and have approximately 32% multiple births. Breeding males are being selected based on phenotypically observable traits; weight gain, color, quality of meat, tolerance to disease, quality of skin, etc. and allowed to mate Does and Doelings naturally. The goats are identified using mechanical ear tags widely practiced in developing countries [9].

Like any other living animals, goats need nutrients; proteins, carbohydrates, lipids, vitamins, minerals and water in quantities matching their physiological requirements. Feed is needed for growth, maintenance, reproduction and production [10]. Goats get nutrients from eating a number of feed resources; grass, shrubs, legumes, cultivated fodder, crop residues, pods and cladodes, most of which are naturally occurring in Uganda [8].

During the 24-month period, goats grazed on 50 acres of pasture land. The land is moderately covered with a number of woody and herbaceous species palatable and nutritious to goats. This includes;

1)Hyparrhenia rufa and other species;

2)Panicum maximum, Panicum coloratum (Ebikonzi);

3)Brachiaria brizantha, Brachiaria ruziziensis (Ejubwa);

4)Imperata cylindrica (Esojo);

5)Cynodon nlemfuensis;

6)Neonotonia wightii;

7)Desmodium intortum;

8)Macroptilium atropurpureum;

9)Setaria anceps;

10)Acacia Senegal;

11)Acacia sieberiana;

12)Melia azedarach;

13)Acacia Seyal Delile etc.

The farm regularly rids pasture lands of toxic plants, e.g., Solanum incanum, phytolaca dodecandra, lantana camara, etc. Toxic plants are uprooted using hoes. Bear spots are planted with grazable pasture such as Brachieria brizantha, Panicum maxima, etc. Pasture is also conserved as standing hay. Cool moist fires are set to trim off very bushy and extremely lignified pasture areas.

Cultivated fodder

The farm cultivates fodder grasses (Chloris gayana, Panicum maximum and Pennisetum purpureum, etc.) and legumes (Centrosema pubescens, Desmodium intortum, Lablab purpureus, Leucaena leucocephala and Cajanus cajan).

These are conserved as hay and used to feed the goats during dry season (Figure 4).

Minerals and Vitamins

Goats need minerals and vitamins for proper functioning of their physiological systems. The farm supplements essential vitamins such as Vitamin A, D, E & K in diet and also avail macro minerals (calcium, phosphorus, magnesium, sodium, potassium, sulfur and chlorides) and micro minerals (copper, cobalt, manganese, zinc, iodine, selenium, molybdenum, etc.) through commercial and crude mineral licks (Figure 5).

Water

The sources of water for goats on the farm are boreholes and rainwater (Figure 6). Water is given in troughs.

With due consideration for goat houses of desired qualities, location and design which are vital for enhancing production, health and security of goats. The farm has two aerial houses and a resting yard created by a fence which provides open space for goats to relax. The houses are penetrated adequately by sunshine and located in a well-drained area. The houses protect the goats against rain, cold wind, direct sunlight, predators, thieves and diseases. Each house has 3 rooms (5 m × 25 m) capable of accommodating 150 goats (Figure 7). The houses are made of iron sheet roof, timber wall, slated floor which helps in separating dung and urine. The ground surface is cemented to facilitate the collection of urine [11].

A number of routine activities are carried out by the farm to prevent and minimize the impact of diseases on the farm.

• Refresher meetings of goatherds on health management every six months.

• Construction, repair and ensuring the farm infrastructures (houses, water sources, dip, crush, fences) are functional & evaluated regularly.

• Acquire disinfectants and sanitize fomites such as feed troughs and hoof trimmers.

• The farm purchase breeding goats from known sources of healthy farms (Records, physical and laboratory examinations are considered).

• Isolate new, sick goats and treat them.

• Routinely (yearly) vaccinate entire flock of goat against common diseases, e.g., Anthrax, clostridial disease, PPR, Brucellosis, CCPP, RVF, etc.

• Try level best to feed the goats adequately.

• Deworm entire flock of goats every three months (February, May, August and November).

• Spray all the goats against ectoparasite, e.g., ticks, lice and fleas with appropriate Acaricide once a week during rainy season and once in two weeks during the dry season.

• Examine and treat herdsmen identified sick animals promptly.

There were 37 goats on the demonstration farm in July 2020 and 175 goats in June 2022. The lowest and highest number of goats on the farm was recorded in November 2020 and November 2021 (Figure 8). Over the 24-month period, the mean number of goats per month was 106 (SEM = 14.4). The monthly flock size increased every month through acquisition of breeding goats and kidding (Figure 1 and Figure 3) and this also led to changes in flock structure (Figures 9-12) of the semi-intensive production system [12].

A total of 125 goats were acquired and introduced into the farm during the study period. They were acquired from Kyarushesha in Kikuube district (37), Abi ZARDI (06) in Arua district, Kyabigambire in Hoima district (5) and Ruhengere NAGRIC & DB farm in Kiruhura district (77) as shown in Table 1.

In total 89 kids were produced by Does in the farm over the 24-month period. Forty percent of them were born as twins and triplets. Sixty-six percent of the kids were born between October 2021 and February 2022.

Thirty-seven goats were sold (29) for revenue, lost through theft (2) and slaughtered (6) at the institute’s function over the period (Figure 8).

The highest mean weight of female and male goats on the farm was recorded in October 2020 and November 2020 respectively (Figures 13-16).

Sixty-one goats died during the two years period. Forty-nine percent were kids (n = 30) and the death occurred mainly during October 2021 to December 2021 heavy rain period (Table 2). The majority of the kids died of worm infestation. Adults constituted the second highest percentage of mortalities (30%) and the majority of them died of ticks and tick borne diseases. Most of the adult goats were breeding goats introduced from NAGRIC & DB farm and their kids were weak and could not withstand high tick challenge. The majority of their kids died due to inadequate colostrum and milk from their does. Weaners constituted the least percentage (21%) of goats that died in the last 24 months (Table 2 & Table 3). Merkine Tifashe et al. in Wolaita Soddo Zuria District, Southern Ethiopia also found that kids had higher mortality compared to other age groups and gastro intestinal diseases accounted for the highest mortality of goats [13] [14].

Using the formula elucidated on pages 7 & 8, we computed the mortality rate among goats on the farm over the last 24 months and disaggregated it into FY 2020-2021 & FY 2021-2022 and shown in Table 4.

During the period July 2020 to June 2022 (FY 2020-2021 & FY2021-2022), the number of goats reared on the farm increased from 37 to 175. One hundred twenty-five goats were sourced and introduced into the farm as breeding stock. Eighty-nine kids were born on farm. Sixty-one goats died due to various causes with worm infestation and stamped contributing the most. The average number of goats on the farm per month was 109. (SEM = 13.7), female 79.8 (SEM = 10.8), male 29.4, (SEM = 9.9). The average population of goats at risk of death was 95 and the mortality rate was 27 goats per 1000 goat months. This figure is quite high for a farm employing semi-intensive farming system. The mortality rate is significantly higher during FY2021-2022 (39 goats per 1000 goat months) than in FY2020-2021 (5 goats per 1000 goat months).

Numerical differences exist in the proportion of mortalities attributable to various causes. Worm infestation accounted for the highest number of deaths (33%), followed by fractures and injuries arising from stampedes (18%), Ticks and tick borne diseases (18%), respiratory tract infections (11%) and malnutrition (10%). Upadhyay et al., similarly ranked gastro intestinal diseases as the highest cause of mortality [15]. It is also in agreement with the findings of Chandran et al., where the following mortality due to enteritis is pneumonia (respiratory tract infection) [16]. Although production system is similar (semi-intensive system) BuZARDI goat farm has aerial houses for the goats.