<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article  PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">AS</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Agricultural Sciences</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2156-8553</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Research Publishing</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.4236/as.2020.1110057</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">AS-103366</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Articles</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Biomedical&amp;Life Sciences</subject><subject> Earth&amp;Environmental Sciences</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>
 
 
  Suitability of Green Gram Production in Kenya under Present and Future Climate Scenarios Using Bias-Corrected Cordex RCA4 Models
 
</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jane</surname><given-names>Wangui Mugo</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Franklin</surname><given-names>J. Opijah</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Joshua</surname><given-names>Ngaina</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Faith</surname><given-names>Karanja</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mary</surname><given-names>Mburu</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Department of Geospatial and Space Technology, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff4"><addr-line>Department of Agriculture and Veterinary Sciences, South Eastern Kenya University, Kwa Vonza, Kenya</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Department of Meteorology, South Eastern Kenya University, Kwa Vonza, Kenya</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Meteorology, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya</addr-line></aff><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>09</day><month>10</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>11</volume><issue>10</issue><fpage>882</fpage><lpage>896</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>9,</day>	<month>September</month>	<year>2020</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>10,</day>	<month>October</month>	<year>2020</year>	</date><date date-type="accepted"><day>13,</day>	<month>October</month>	<year>2020</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>&#169; Copyright  2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><license><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>
 
 
  Green gram is considered as one of the legumes suitable for cultivation in the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) of Kenya. However, climate change may alter the areas suitable for green gram production. This study sought to model green gram suitability in Kenya under present and future conditions using bias-corrected RCA4 models data. The datasets used were: maps of soil parameters extracted from Kenya Soil Survey map; present and future rainfall and temperature data from an ensemble of nine models from the Fourth Edition of the Rossby Centre (RCA4) Regional Climate Model (RCM); and altitude from the Digital elevation model (DEM) of the USGS. The maps were first reclassified into four classes of suitability as Highly Suitable (S1), Moderately Suitable (S2), Marginally Suitable (S3), and Not Suitable (N). The classes represent the different levels of influence of a factor on the growth and yield of green grams. The reclassified maps were then assigned a weight generated using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). A weighted overlay of climate characteristics (past and future rainfall and temperature), soil properties (depth, pH, texture, CEC, and drainage) and altitude found most of Kenya as moderately suitable for green gram production during the March to May (MAM) and October to December (OND) seasons under the baseline, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios with highly suitable areas being found in Counties like Kitui, Makueni, and West Pokot among others. During the MAM season, the area currently highly suitable for green gram production (67,842.62 km
  <sup>2</sup>) will increase slightly to 68,600.4 km
  <sup>2</sup> (1.1%) during the RCP 4.5 and reduce to 61,307.8 km
  <sup>2</sup> (
  &amp;#8722;9.6%) under the RCP 8.5 scenario. During the OND season, the area currently highly suitable (49,633.4 km
  <sup>2</sup>) will increase under both RCP 4.5 (22.2%) and RCP 8.5 (58.5%) scenarios. This increase is as a result of favourable rainfall and temperature conditions in the future.
 
</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Climate Change</kwd><kwd> Green Gram</kwd><kwd> Kenya</kwd><kwd> Rainfall</kwd><kwd> Soil</kwd><kwd> Suitability</kwd><kwd> Temperature</kwd><kwd> Topography</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1"><title>1. Introduction</title><p>Over 80% of Kenyan land is classified as ASALs and is considered as being the most susceptible to the effects of climate change and variability [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref1">1</xref>]. The ASAL regions of Kenya are characterised by low rainfall that varies in space and time. These areas also experience prolonged dry seasons with high evapotranspiration rates [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref1">1</xref>]. Climate in its spatial and temporal variability is one of the major drivers determining agricultural productivity in a region.</p><p>There is general agreement that climate is changing, and that the agricultural sector among others will be affected under future climates. Climate change may have an impact on both the ASAL and high potential areas in Kenya making present agricultural use unsuitable. Climate-smart agriculture either by growing drought-resistant crops or supplementing rainfall with irrigation can help the country generate income, employment, and attain food security. To develop long-term agricultural policies, planners need to understand the likely impacts of climate change on agricultural suitability zones [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref2">2</xref>].</p><p>Green gram (Vigna radiata L.), is a short duration (65 - 90 days) grain legume grown on more than 6 million hectares globally in the warm areas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref3">3</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref4">4</xref>]. Green gram is native to the Indian subcontinent [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref4">4</xref>], but also grown in the dry and hot regions of Eastern Africa, Southern Europe and Southern United States [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref5">5</xref>], and reported to have spread early into other Asian countries and to northern Africa. India is the largest consumer and producer of green grams, accounting for 54% and 65% of world consumption and acreage respectively.</p><p>Green gram is considered as a legume suitable for cultivation in the ASALs due to its ability to perform well under the dry conditions found in the semi-arid regions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref6">6</xref>]. Since green gram performs well in dry conditions, with this dryness expected to worsen with future climate change, green gram may be a better crop for subsistence farmers to survive the expected effects of climate change. Planting green grams where it is best suited will bring more returns to farmers, enhance food security, and increase food production [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref7">7</xref>]. To enhance the productivity of green grams, there is need to develop a suitability map.</p><p>Crop suitability analysis helps determine which areas are currently suitable and whether they will remain so in the future, which is critical for policy regarding the future [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref8">8</xref>]. Ahmed and Fayyaz-Ul-Hassana [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref9">9</xref>] recommended using suitability ratings to rank crop production potential based on different ranges in the climate, terrain, and soil of the land. Decision-makers are usually engaged to determine which factors they consider most important for suitability analysis using Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA); the results are then used in GIS as weights for the suitability analysis. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is the most used MCDA method to weigh the factors that decision-makers consider most important for suitability analysis [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref7">7</xref>]. Several studies have carried research on crop suitability for various crops using the AHP method [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref7">7</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref10">10</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref11">11</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref12">12</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref13">13</xref>].</p><p>Mugo et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref14">14</xref>] found some areas in Kitui County, an ASAL region in Kenya, suitable for production in terms of climate. There is, however, a lack of knowledge on whether other ASAL areas in Kenya are currently suitable for green gram production, and how climate change will affect their current suitability. This study used a bias corrected multimodel ensemble of rainfall and the multimodel ensemble of mean temperature to carry out the analysis. The process of bias correcting the rainfall data is described in a previous paper by Mugo et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref15">15</xref>]. This study shall determine which areas in the ASAL regions in Kenya would best support green gram production under baseline (1971-2000) and future (2021-2050) climate conditions for the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5.</p></sec><sec id="s2"><title>2. Materials and Methods</title><sec id="s2_1"><title>2.1. Study Area</title><p>Kenya (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>) lies between latitudes 5˚N and 5˚S and longitudes 34˚E and 42˚E and has an area of approximately 584,000 km<sup>2</sup>. Kenya’s rainfall and temperature pattern is mainly bimodal and is controlled by the location of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The seasonal migration of the sun which is overhead the equator in March and September and the position of the ITCZ affect the rainfall pattern observed from May to May (MAM) and October to December (OND). The cloud cover influences the observed temperature by lessening the incoming solar radiation and outgoing terrestrial radiation.</p><p>Kenya’s climate is also affected by its varying topography and the presence of large water bodies. Kenya’s elevation increases from the coastal plateau toward central Kenya where Mount Kenya is located. The presence of Mount Elgon and Mount Kilimanjaro put the western part of the country at a higher elevation compared to the eastern part. Large water bodies include the Indian Ocean in the east and Lake Victoria in the west. Rainfall in Kenya has high variability across different regions, with the ASALS experiencing the highest variability in time and space.</p><p>The ASALs which make up 80% of Kenya’s total landmass are characterised by high poverty levels, low illiteracy levels, human conflict, poor infrastructure, and land degradation [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref16">16</xref>]. The ASALs are also prone to floods; despite receiving low levels of rainfall of 300 - 500 mm annually [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref1">1</xref>]. Periods of intensive rainfall have been observed to follow the droughts [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref17">17</xref>]. However, despite the challenges mentioned, the ASALs are rich in natural resources amid them being wildlife, biodiversity, minerals, and diverse culture [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref16">16</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s2_2"><title>2.2. Data Description</title><p>Secondary digital databases were acquired from various sources as shown in (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>). The secondary databases were: maps of soil parameters extracted from Kenya Soil Survey map; present and future rainfall and temperature data from a bias corrected ensemble of nine RCA4 models from the Fourth Edition of the Rossby Centre (RCA4) Regional Climate Model (RCM) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref18">18</xref>]; and altitude from the Digital elevation model (DEM) of the USGS.</p><table-wrap id="table1" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref></label><caption><title> Description of secondary data sources used as map layers in delineating areas suitable for green gram production</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data layer</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Source</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Scale/Resolution</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Data Format</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Climate: Temperature and rainfall</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >CORDEX RCA4 model</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.44 degrees/50 km</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >NETCDF format and converted to Raster format</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Soil: pH, CEC, depth, drainage, and texture</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Kenya Soils Survey</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Vector format and converted to Raster format</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Topography/DEM: Altitude</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >United States Geological Survey (USGS)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >30 m</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Raster format</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap></sec><sec id="s2_3"><title>2.3. Methodology</title><sec id="s2_3_1"><title>2.3.1. Suitability Criteria Assignment and Reclassification of Data</title><p>The data on climatic, soil, and altitude was first categorized into two classes, suitable and not suitable. The two classes were further divided into four classes namely, Highly suitable (S1), Moderately suitable (S2), Marginally suitable (S3), and not suitable (N) as guided by <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>. <xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref> shows the four classes of suitability in terms of green gram production. The classes represent the different levels of influence of a factor on the growth and yield of green grams.</p><table-wrap id="table2" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref></label><caption><title> Land suitability classification structure source: [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref19">19</xref>]</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Order</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Class</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Description</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="3"  >S</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >S1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Land that has no significant limitations to the continued application of a given use, or only minor limitations that will not remarkably reduce productivity and benefits and will not raise inputs above an acceptable level.</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Land having limitations which in total are moderately severe for continued application of a given use; the limitations will thus lower the productivity or benefits and increase the inputs required to the level that the final advantage to be obtained from the use, although still attractive, is considerably lower to that expected on Class S1 land.</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S3</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Land having limitations which in total are severe for continued application of a given use and will so lower productivity and benefits, or increase required inputs, such that this expenditure is only marginally justifiable.</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  >N</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >N1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Land having limitations that may be overcome in time but which cannot be rectified with existing knowledge at a currently acceptable cost, the limitations are so acute as to prevent the successful sustained use of the land in the given manner.</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >N2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Land that has limitations which seem to be so severe as to surpass any chance of successful sustained use of the land in the given manner</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="table3" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table3">Table 3</xref></label><caption><title> Suitability levels for factors used in developing suitable areas for green gram production</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" ></th><th align="center" valign="middle" >S1</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >S2</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >S3</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >N</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Source</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Rainfall</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >250 - 350 mm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >150 - 250 mm 350 - 600 mm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >75 - 150 mm &gt;600</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;75 mm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref20">20</xref>]</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Temperature</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >30˚C - 21˚C</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >18˚C - 21˚C</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >15˚C - 18˚C</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;15˚C &gt;30˚C</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref21">21</xref>]</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Soil pH</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6.2 - 7.2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5 - 6.2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >7.2 - 8.0</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&gt;8.0 &lt;5.0</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref14">14</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref22">22</xref>]</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Drainage</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Well-drained</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Imperfectly drained</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Poorly drained, Rapidly drained</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Very poorly drained</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref14">14</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref23">23</xref>]</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Texture</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Loam Sandy Loam</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Clayey</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >Very clayey Extremely sandy</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref14">14</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref23">23</xref>]</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >CEC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&gt;10 meq/100g</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5 - 10 meq/100g</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0 - 5 meq/100g</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref14">14</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref22">22</xref>]</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Depth</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&gt;50 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >30 - 50 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&lt;30 cm</td><td align="center" valign="middle" ></td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref14">14</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref23">23</xref>]</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Altitude</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0 - 1600 m</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1600 - 2000 m</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >&gt;2000 m &lt;0 m</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref14">14</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref22">22</xref>]</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap></sec><sec id="s2_3_2"><title>2.3.2. Factor Weight Assignment Using the Analytical Hierarchy Process</title><p>A scale of values from 1 to 9 (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref>) was used to compare and assign weights to factors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref24">24</xref>] under climate (rainfall and temperature), soil (depth, pH, texture, CEC, and drainage) and altitude.</p><p>A Consistency Ratio (CR) (Equation (1)) was determined and for the weights to be accepted, the ratio was expected to be less than 10% to prevent bias [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref8">8</xref>].</p><p>C R = C I R I (1)</p><p>C I = ( λ max − n ) ( n – 1 ) (2)</p><p>In Equation (1) CR represents the Consistency Ratio and RI stands for the Random Inconsistency Index which is dependent on the number of factors being related as shown in (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref>). In Equation (2) CI signifies the Consistency Index; λmax represents the maximum Eigenvalue of the pairwise comparisons, and n counts the number of factors being related.</p></sec><sec id="s2_3_3"><title>2.3.3. Green Gram Suitability Map</title><p>After reclassifying the criteria maps, each was assigned a certain percentage stake (weight). These were the weights obtained through the analytical hierarchy process. The maps were then overlaid to generate the final output which is a green gram suitability map under baseline (1971-2000) and future (2021-2050) RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate conditions.</p></sec></sec></sec><sec id="s3"><title>3. Results and Discussions</title><sec id="s3_1"><title>3.1. Analysis of the Suitability of Land for Green Gram Production under Past and Future Climate Scenarios</title><p>This section presents results obtained from the weighted overlay of climate (past and future rainfall and temperature), soil (depth, pH, texture, CEC, and drainage), and altitude. The first step in analysing the suitability of green gram production involved reclassification of soil and climate parameters.</p><table-wrap id="table4" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table4">Table 4</xref></label><caption><title> Scale of relative importance between any two factors which affect green gram production e.g. rainfall vs. drainage</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >Definition of Importance</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Scale</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Factors have equal rank</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >One factor has weak rank over the other</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >One factor has strong rank over the other</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >One factor has demonstrated importance over the other</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >7</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >One factor has absolute rank over the other</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >9</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Intermediate values used when factor importance lies between the odd numbers</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2, 4, 6, 8</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="table5" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table5">Table 5</xref></label><caption><title> Random Inconsistency Index (RI) for N = 1, 2 …, 11</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" >N</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >I</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >II</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >III</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >IV</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >V</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >VI</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >VII</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >VII</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >IX</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >X</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >XI</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >RI</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.58</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.90</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.12</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.24</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.32</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.41</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.45</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.49</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.51</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>Source: [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref24">24</xref>].</p><sec id="s3_1_1"><title>3.1.1. Reclassification of Soil and Altitude Parameters in Terms of Their Suitability for Green Gram Production</title><p>This subsection presents the results on the reclassification of soil and altitude depending on their suitability levels (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>). <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref> presents the results for the reclassification of soil and altitude parameters into four classes (S1, S2, S3, and N). In <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref> factors highly limiting the suitability of green gram were pH, depth, altitude, and drainage.</p><p>The pH-water is used as an index of soil suitability for crops or plants; areas not suitable can be improved through liming which can improve the overall suitability. Green gram is well adapted to a pH range of 5 to 8 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref5">5</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref25">25</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref26">26</xref>]. The performance is best on soils with a pH between 6.2 and 7.2 and plants can show serious iron chlorosis symptoms and micronutrient deficiencies on alkaline soils [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref27">27</xref>]. They require slightly acid soil for the best growth [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref27">27</xref>].</p><p>Soil depth is the estimated space in centimeters where root growth is unrestricted by any physical or chemical impediment such as impenetrable or toxic layer. Areas with poor drainage can be improved upon by building fallows to improve drainage during the rainy season which can further improve suitability.</p></sec><sec id="s3_1_2"><title>3.1.2. Reclassification of Climate Parameters (Temperature and Rainfall) Under Present and Future (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) (2021 to 2050) Scenarios in Terms of Their Suitability for Green Gram Production</title><p>This subsection presents the results of the reclassification of temperature and rainfall depending on their suitability levels (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>) under the present and future (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) (2021 to 2050) scenarios in terms of their suitability for green gram production.</p><p>According to <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>, most of Kenya is highly suitable for green gram production in terms of temperature. Areas that are not suitable are noted in Nyeri and Nyandarua Counties since these areas experience temperatures lower than 15˚C which according to Al-Mashreki et al. [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref21">21</xref>] are not suitable for green gram production. Under both the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios during the MAM season, areas around the Northern and Western parts of Kenya will not be suitable for green gram production since they will experience temperatures greater than 30˚C. A temperature range of 28˚C to 30˚C is considered optimum for seed germination and plant growth [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref21">21</xref>] [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref27">27</xref>].</p><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref> shows the areas in Kenya that are suitable and not suitable for green gram production in terms of rainfall. Areas that are not suitable for production are located around the North-West part of Kenya during the OND season, where rainfall amounts are less than 75 mm per season. Water stress reduces the rate of uptake of nutrients, flowering, leaf area development, and photosynthesis causing yield reduction [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref3">3</xref>]. An optimum rainfall of 250 - 350 mm is considered best for sustained germination [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="scirp.103366-ref20">20</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s3_1_3"><title>3.1.3. Overall Suitability of Green Gram Production in Kenya Obtained from a Weighted Overlay of Climate (Under Present and Future (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 (2021 to 2050)), Soil and Altitude Parameters</title><p>This subsection presents the results of the green gram suitability maps. The suitability maps were obtained through the weighted overlay of climate, soil, and altitude parameters whose weights were obtained as shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table6">Table 6</xref>.</p><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref> presents areas suitable for green gram production under historical climate data 1971-2000; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6</xref> presents areas suitable for green gram production in the future under RCP 4.5 scenario for the years 2021 to 2050; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig7">Figure 7</xref> presents areas suitable for green gram production under future RCP 8.5 scenario for the years 2021 to 2050.</p><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref> (historical), <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6</xref> (RCP 4.5), and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig7">Figure 7</xref> (RCP 8.5) show that most of the country is currently moderately suitable for green gram production during both the MAM and OND season, with highly suitable classes being found in Counties like Kitui, Machakos, and West Pokot among others.</p><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table7">Table 7</xref> shows the area in km<sup>2</sup> suitable for green gram production during the MAM and OND season under baseline and future scenarios. While <xref ref-type="table" rid="table8">Table 8</xref> shows the percentage changes between the baseline and the future scenarios. The change in area suitability is only based on climatic parameters and not on the other conditions.</p><table-wrap id="table6" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table6">Table 6</xref></label><caption><title> Weights obtained through the analytical hierarchy process showing how much each parameter contributes to the weighted overlay of green gram production</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" ></th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Rainfall</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Temperature</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Depth</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Texture</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >CEC</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >pH</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Drainage</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Altitude</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Weights</th><th align="center" valign="middle" >Rank</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Rainfall</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >33.0%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Temperature</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >20.2%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Depth</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6.5%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >6</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Texture</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5.0%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >7</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >CEC</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >9.0%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >5</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >pH</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >9.5%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Drainage</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >2.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3.00</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >12.4%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >3</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >Altitude</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.25</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.50</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.5</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >0.33</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >4.3%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >8</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="table7" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table7">Table 7</xref></label><caption><title> Changes in land suitable for green gram production (in km<sup>2</sup>) under historical and future climate scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 during the MAM and OND seasons</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  ></th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >HISTORICAL</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >RCP 4.5</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >RCP 8.5</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >MAM (km<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >OND (km<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >MAM (km<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >OND (km<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >MAM (km<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >OND (km<sup>2</sup>)</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >67,842.6</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >45,729.3</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >68,600.4</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >55,885.1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >61,307.8</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >72,464.8</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >470,972</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >423,463.3</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >391,768.9</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >457,128.1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >404,721.1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >488,043.8</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S3</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >41,552.4</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >111,174.4</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >119,997.7</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >60,173.4</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >114,275.8</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >12,777.6</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><table-wrap id="table8" ><label><xref ref-type="table" rid="table8">Table 8</xref></label><caption><title> Percentage changes in land suitable for green gram production between historical and future climate scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 during the MAM and OND seasons</title></caption><table><tbody><thead><tr><th align="center" valign="middle"  rowspan="2"  ></th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >RCP 4.5</th><th align="center" valign="middle"  colspan="2"  >RCP 8.5</th></tr></thead><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >MAM</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >OND</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >MAM</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >OND</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S1</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >1.1%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >22.2%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >-9.6%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >58.5%</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S2</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−16.8%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >7.9%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−14.1%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >15.3%</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" >S3</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >188.8%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−45.9%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >175.0%</td><td align="center" valign="middle" >−88.5%</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>Currently, 67,842.62 km<sup>2</sup> and 45,729.3 km<sup>2</sup> are highly suitable for green gram production in Kenya during MAM and OND seasons respectively. The area highly suitable during MAM will increase slightly by 1.1% to 68,600.4 km<sup>2</sup> according to the RCP 4.5 and reduce by −9.6% to 61,307.8 km<sup>2</sup> under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The area highly suitable during OND will increase by 22.2% to 55,885.1 km<sup>2</sup> according to the RCP 4.5 and reduce by −9.6% to 72,464.8 km<sup>2</sup> under the RCP 8.5 scenario. This increase is as a result of favourable rainfall and temperature conditions in the future.</p><p>Currently, 470,972 km<sup>2</sup> and 423,463.3 km<sup>2</sup> are moderately suitable for green gram production in Kenya during MAM and OND seasons respectively. The area moderately suitable during MAM will reduce by −16.8% to 391,768.9 km<sup>2</sup> according to the RCP 4.5, and by −14.1% to 404,721.1 km<sup>2</sup> under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The area moderately suitable during OND will increase by 7.9% to 457,128.1 km<sup>2</sup> according to the RCP 4.5 and by 15.3% to 488,043.8 km<sup>2</sup> under the RCP 8.5 scenario.</p><p>Currently, 41,552.4 km<sup>2</sup> and 111,174.4 km<sup>2</sup> are marginally suitable for green gram production in Kenya during MAM and OND seasons respectively. The area marginally suitable during MAM will increase by 188.8% to 119,997.7 km<sup>2</sup> according to the RCP 4.5 and by 175.0% to 114,275.8 km<sup>2</sup> under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The area marginally suitable during OND will reduce by −45.9% to 60,173.4 km<sup>2</sup> under the RCP 4.5 and by −88.5% to 12,777.6 km<sup>2</sup> under the RCP 8.5 scenario.</p></sec></sec></sec><sec id="s4"><title>4. Conclusions and Recommendations</title><p>This study sought to model green gram suitability in Kenya under changing climate. Maps showing different levels of green gram suitability in Kenya were obtained through a weighted overlay of climate characteristics (past and future rainfall and temperature), soil properties (depth, pH, texture, CEC, and drainage) and altitude parameters. The parameter maps were first classified into four classes: Highly Suitable (S1), Moderately Suitable (S2), Marginally Suitable (S3), and Not Suitable (N) in terms of their suitability for green gram production. The analyses showed that there are areas in Kenya that are currently not suitable for green gram production and these limitations prevent the successful sustained use of the land for green gram production. The maps of soil pH, depth, and drainage, and altitude show there are areas in Kenya that are currently not suitable.</p><p>When generating the suitability map for green gram production, the change in suitability was only attributed to climate parameters under past and future scenarios. Land use, physical and chemical properties of the soil, and topography were assumed to remain constant in the future since the model persists the prevailing structures.</p><p>The areas that are not suitable for green gram production in terms of the prevailing temperature under present conditions are counties of Nyeri and Nyandarua Counties; this is because these areas experience temperatures lower than 15˚C. The areas in the northern and eastern parts of Kenya will not be suitable for green gram production in the future under both RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios during the MAM season since they will experience temperatures greater than 30˚C which is not suitable for green gram production. A temperature range of 28˚C to 30˚C is considered optimum for seed germination and plant growth.</p><p>Rainfall areas that are not suitable for production are located in the north-western part of Kenya during the OND season for all scenarios, since rainfall amounts are less than 75 mm per season. No areas receive rainfall lower than 75 mm for all scenarios in the MAM season which would be unsuitable for green gram production. Water stress reduces the rate of uptake of nutrients, flowering, leaf area development, and photosynthesis causing yield reduction. An optimum rainfall of 250 - 350 mm is considered best for sustained germination.</p><p>Most of Kenya was found moderately suitable for green gram production during the MAM and OND seasons under the baseline, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. The area currently highly suitable for green production in Kenya will decrease during the MAM season but increase during the OND season for both RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. In the highly suitable area for green gram production, players in the green gram value chain should take advantage of the good weather and adequately prepare since a good harvest is highly likely. Adequate preparation includes using the appropriate inputs in terms of seeds, pesticides, and fertilizers which will ensure positive results as the environment is already suitable for cultivation.</p></sec><sec id="s5"><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>This research paper is part of the PhD thesis for the lead author at the University of Nairobi, Kenya. The authors acknowledge sources of data used as provided by Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), Kenya Soil Survey (KSS) and the United States Geological Survey (USGS). The lead author expresses appreciation to the German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) scholarship for the financial support.</p></sec><sec id="s6"><title>Conflicts of Interest</title><p>The authors declare no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this paper.</p></sec><sec id="s7"><title>Cite this paper</title><p>Mugo, J.W., Opijah, F.J., Ngaina, J., Karanja, F. and Mburu, M. (2020) Suitability of Green Gram Production in Kenya under Present and Future Climate Scenarios Using Bias-Corrected Cordex RCA4 Models. Agricultural Sciences, 11, 882-896. https://doi.org/10.4236/as.2020.1110057</p></sec></body><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="scirp.103366-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Opiyo, F., Wasonga, O., Nyangito, M., Schilling, J. and Munang, R. (2015) Drought Adaptation and Coping Strategies among the Turkana Pastoralists of Northern Kenya. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 6, 295-309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-015-0063-4</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Holzk&amp;#228;mper, A., Calanca, P. and Fuhrer, J. (2011) Analyzing Climate Effects on Agriculture in Time and Space. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 3, 58-62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2011.02.011</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="journal" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Malik</surname><given-names> A.</given-names></name>,<name name-style="western"><surname> Fayyaz-ul-Hassan</surname><given-names> Waheed</given-names></name>,<name name-style="western"><surname> A.</surname><given-names> Qadir</given-names></name>,<name name-style="western"><surname> G. and Asghar</surname><given-names> R. </given-names></name>,<etal>et al</etal>. (<year>2006</year>)<article-title>Interactive Effects of Irrigation and Phosphorus on Green Gram (Vigna radiata L.)</article-title><source> Pakistan Journal of Botany</source><volume> 38</volume>,<fpage> 1119</fpage>-<lpage>1126</lpage>.<pub-id pub-id-type="doi"></pub-id></mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hanumantharao, B., Nair, R.M. and Nayyar, H. (2016) Salinity and High Temperature Tolerance in Mungbean [Vigna radiata (L.) Wilczek] from a Physiological Perspective. Frontiers in Plant Science, 7, 1-20. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2016.00957</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">SASOL Foundation (2014) Green Grams Hand Book [Internet]. Kitui.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Yvonne, M., Richard, O., Solomon, S. and George, K. (2016) Farmer Perception and Adaptation Strategies on Climate Change in Lower Eastern Kenya: A Case of Finger Millet (Eleusine coracana (L.) Gaertn) Production. Journal of Agricultural Science, 8, 33-40. https://doi.org/10.5539/jas.v8n12p33</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kihoro, J., Bosco, N.J. and Murage, H. (2013) Suitability Analysis for Rice Growing Sites Using a Multicriteria Evaluation and GIS Approach in Great Mwea Region, Kenya. SpringerPlus, 2, Article No. 265. https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-1801-2-265</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Halder, J.C. (2013) Land Suitability Assessment for Crop Cultivation by Using Remote Sensing and GIS. Journal of Geography and Geology, 5, 65-74. https://doi.org/10.5539/jgg.v5n3p65</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref9"><label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ahmed, M. and Fayyaz-Ul-Hassana (2011) APSIM and DSSAT Models as Decision Support Tools. MODSIM 2011 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation—Sustaining Our Future: Understanding and Living with Uncertainty, Perth, 12-16 December 2011, 12-16.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref10"><label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Jayasinghe, S.L., Kumar, L. and Sandamali, J. (2019) Assessment of Potential land Suitability for Tea (Camellia sinensis (L.) O. Kuntze) in Sri Lanka Using a Gis-Based Multi-Criteria Approach. Agriculture (Switzerland), 9, 148. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture9070148</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref11"><label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kogo, B.K., Kumar, L., Koech, R. and Kariyawasam, C.S. (2019) Modelling Climate Suitability for Rainfed Maize Cultivation in Kenya Using a Maximum Entropy (MAXENT) Approach. Agronomy, 9, 727. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy9110727</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref12"><label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Wanyama, D., Mighty, M., Sim, S. and Koti, F. (2019) A Spatial Assessment of Land Suitability for Maize Farming in Kenya. Geocarto International, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2019.1648564</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref13"><label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kamau, S.W., Kuria, D. and Gachari, M.K. (2015) Crop-Land Suitability Analysis Using GIS and Remote Sensing in Nyandarua County, Kenya. Journal of Environment and Earth Science, 5, 121-132.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref14"><label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mugo, J.W., Kariuki, P.C. and Musembi, D.K. (2016) Identification of Suitable Land for Green Gram Production Using GIS Based Analytical Hierarchy Process in Kitui County, Kenya. Journal of Remote Sensing &amp; GIS, 5, Article ID: 1000170. https://doi.org/10.4172/2469-4134.1000170</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref15"><label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mugo, J.W., Opijah, F.J., Ngaina, J., Karanja, F. and Mburu, M. (2020) Rainfall Variability under Present and Future Climate Scenarios Using the Rossby Center Bias-Corrected Regional Climate Model. American Journal of Climate Change, 9, 243-265. https://doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2020.93016</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref16"><label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Njoka, J.T., Yanda, P., Maganga, F., Liwenga, E., Kateka, A., Henku, A., et al. (2016) Kenya: Country Situation Assessment. Res. Clim. Futur., Nairobi.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref17"><label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Herrero, M., Ringler, C., Steeg, J., Van De, Koo, J. and Notenbaert, A. (2010) Climate Variability and Climate Change and Their Impacts on Kenya’s Agricultural Sector. Nairobi.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref18"><label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Endris, H.S., Omondi, P., Jain, S., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B., Chang’a, L., et al. (2013) Assessment of the Performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating East African Rainfall. Journal of Climate, 26, 8453-8475. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00708.1</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref19"><label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">FAO (1976) A Framework for Land Evaluation: Soils Bulletin: 32. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref20"><label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Gaiser, T. and Graef, F. (2001) Optimisation of a Parametric Land Evaluation Method for Cowpea and Pearl Millet Production in Semiarid Regions. Agronomie, 21, 705-712. https://doi.org/10.1051/agro:2001164</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref21"><label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Al-Mashreki, M.H., Akhir, J.B.M., Rahim, S.A., Kadderi, D.M., Tukimat, L. and Haider, A.R. (2011) Land Suitability Evaluation for Sorghum Crop in the Ibb Governorate, Republic of Yemen Using Remote Sensing and GIS Techniques. Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, 5, 359-368.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref22"><label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ogunwale, J.A., Olaniyan, J.O. and Aduloju, M.O. (2009) Suitability Evaluation of the University of Ilorin Farmland for Cowpea. Crop Research, 37, 34-39.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref23"><label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Yohannes, H. and Soromessa, T. (2018) Land Suitability Assessment for Major Crops by Using GIS-Based Multi-Criteria Approach in Andit Tid Watershed, Ethiopia. Cogent Food &amp; Agriculture, 4, 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311932.2018.1470481</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref24"><label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Saaty, T.L. (2008) Decision Making with the Analytic Hierarchy Process. International Journal of Services Sciences, 1, 83-98. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJSSCI.2008.017590</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref25"><label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Meena, G.L., Singh, R.S., Meena, S., Meena, R.H. and Meena, R.S. (2014) Assessment of Land Suitability for Soybean (Glycine max) in Bundi District, Rajasthan. Agropedology, 24, 146-156.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref26"><label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Grealish, G.A., Ringrose-Voase, A.B. and Fitzpatrick A. (2010) Soil Fertility Evaluation in Negara Brunei Darussalam. 19th World Congress of Soil Science, Soil Solutions for a Changing World, Brisbane, 1-6 August 2010, 121-124.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="scirp.103366-ref27"><label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Morton, F., Smith, R. and Poehlman, J. (1982) The Mungbean.</mixed-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>