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T. R. Karl, F. Quinlan and D. S. Ezell, “Drought Termination and Amelioration: Its Climatological Probability,” Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology, Vol. 26, No. 9, 1987, pp. 1198-1209. doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1987)026<1198:DTAAIC>2.0.CO;2

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