TITLE:
A Markov Model for Human Resources Supply Forecast Dividing the HR System into Subgroups
AUTHORS:
Rachid Belhaj, Mohamed Tkiouat
KEYWORDS:
Manpower Planning; Forecasting; Markov Modeling
JOURNAL NAME:
Journal of Service Science and Management,
Vol.6 No.3,
August
6,
2013
ABSTRACT: Modeling
the manpower management mainly concerns the prediction of future behavior of employees.
The paper presents a predictive model of numbers of employees in a hierarchical
dependent-time system of human resources, incorporating subsystems that each contains grades of the same family. The proposed
model is motivated by the reality of staff development which confirms that the path
evolution of each employee is usually in his family of grades. That is the reason
of dividing the system into subgroups and the choice of the superdiagonal transition
matrix.