Article citationsMore>>

A. B. Mullan, “Effects of ENSO on New Zealand and the South Pacific,” In D. Braddock, Ed., Prospects and Needs for Climate Forecasting, The Royal Society of New Zealand, Wellington, 1996.

has been cited by the following article:

• TITLE: Update of the Chronology of Natural Signals in the Near-Surface Mean Global Temperature Record and the Southern Oscillation Index

  AUTHORS: Chris R. de Freitas, John D. McLean

  KEYWORDS: Climate Variability; Southern Oscillation Index; ENSO; Ocean/Atmosphere Interactions; Global Temperature

  JOURNAL NAME: International Journal of Geosciences, Vol.4 No.1A, January 29, 2013

  ABSTRACT: Time series for the Southern Oscillation Index and mean global near surface temperature anomalies are compared for the 1950 to 2012 period using recently released HadCRU4 data. The method avoids a focused statistical analysis of the data, in part because the study deals with smoothed data, which means there is the danger of spurious correlations, and in part because the El Ni?o Southern Oscillation is a cyclical phenomenon of irregular period. In these situations the results of regression analysis or similar statistical evaluation can be misleading. With the potential controversy arising over a particular statistical analysis removed, the findings indicate that El Nino-Southern Oscillation exercises a major influence on mean global temperature. The results show the potential of natural forcing mechanisms to account for mean global temperature variation, although the extent of the influence is difficult to quantify from among the variability of short-term influences.