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Nhemachena, C., J. Benhin, and G. Glwadys. (2006). Vulnerability to CC and adaptive capacity in South African agriculture. Paper Presented at IFPRI workshop, “Food and Water Security Under Global Change: Developing Adaptive Capacity with a Focus on Rural Africa,” Washington, DC.

has been cited by the following article:

• TITLE: Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change induced shocks in North Shewa, Ethiopia

  AUTHORS: Gutu Tesso, Bezabih Emana, Mengistu Ketema

  KEYWORDS: Climate change; Vulnerability; Resilience; Principal Component Analysis; Ordered Probit; Ethiopia

  JOURNAL NAME: Agricultural Sciences, Vol.3 No.6, October 16, 2012

  ABSTRACT: This article analyzes the vulnerability and resilience levels of farm households in North Shewa, Ethiopia, using a survey of 452 households. Agro ecological based classification was done to analyze vulnerability to climate change induced shocks. Integrated vulnerability analysis approach was employed to develop indexes for socioeconomic and biophysical indicators. The indicators have been classified into adaptive capacity, exposure and sensitivity to climate change impact. Then Principal Component Analysis was used to compute vulnerability index of each agro ecological zone. The result shows that farmers living in the highland areas were very much vulnerable to natural shocks compared to those living in the lowland area. In order to identify and analyse the determinants of resilience to climate change impacts, ordered probit model was used. Households were classified into three categories based on the time they take to bounce back after natural shocks. The model outputs indicate that farmers with better investment on natural resource management, access to market, better social network, access to credit, preparedness, saving liquid assets, access to irrigation and better level of education exhibited greater level of resilience during and after climate change induced shocks.