TITLE:
Consensus and Climate Change
AUTHORS:
Peter Emerson
KEYWORDS:
Binary Ballots, Climate Change, Multi-Option Voting, Preferential-Points Vot-ing, Consensus, Modified Borda Count MBC
JOURNAL NAME:
Open Journal of Political Science,
Vol.13 No.2,
April
18,
2023
ABSTRACT: Covid and Climate Change are telling us all that we
have to cooperate. Well we can’t do that very well if, whenever we make
decisions, we are forever voting (“for” or) “against” each other! With a system of preferential points
voting, however, people can indeed work with each other. Secondly, life
these days is fairly complex, and in almost every sphere, use is made of
precision instruments: speedometers in cars, altimeters in aircraft,
thermometers in ovens, and so on. These tools are not binary, marked “fast” or
“slow”, “high” or “low”, “hot” or “cold”; rather, they are all calibrated, in
kms/hour, metres, degrees, whatever. The one obvious exception is the tool used
in political decision-making, the 2,500-year-old majority vote in which opinions are labelled “yes” or “no”.
There are some precision instruments in which opinions are calibrated in
preferences, but many politicians as we shall see, prefer the blunt binary ballot. Accordingly, this paper reviews some of the historical work done in the
science of social choice. The text first proves that majority voting can be
inaccurate, before then focusing on multi-option, and later preferential-points
voting procedures. This shows that people could indeed cooperate if they agreed
to a multi-option procedure in which can be identified the option with the highest average preference, and
an average, of course, involves everyone (who votes). For decisions to be based
on such a preferential procedure, computers would need to be introduced into
the world’s decision-making chambers, in order to cater for electronic,
multi-option, preferential voting. If this were to happen, it could be that the
political structures of countries which today regard themselves as competitors
if not indeed as opponents, could merge into a commonality, to result in a more
peaceful worldwide milieu, such as is so necessary to tackle the problems of
climate change.