TITLE:
An Empirical Study on Employment Changes in China—Based on VAR Model
AUTHORS:
Jianjun Zhou
KEYWORDS:
Employment Change, VAR Model, Economic Growth
JOURNAL NAME:
American Journal of Industrial and Business Management,
Vol.10 No.7,
July
24,
2020
ABSTRACT: The paper aimed to empirically study the dynamic mechanism of China’s employment changes, using the VAR model to use China’s 1981-2019 time series data to construct economic growth, industrial structure changes and capital investment indicators. Research shows that: China’s economic growth can promote labor employment; the proportion of secondary industry and tertiary industry can promote labor employment, but the employment effect of tertiary industry is higher than that of secondary industry; capital investment has a significant negative effect on the employment elasticity coefficient. At the same time, in order to quantitatively study the impact of various variables on changes in the employment structure, specific consideration is given to the short-term and long-term phases. Finally, based on the conclusion of the study, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.