TITLE:
Survey and Proposal of an Adaptive Anomaly Detection Algorithm for Periodic Data Streams
AUTHORS:
Zirije Hasani, Samedin Krrabaj
KEYWORDS:
Anomaly Detection, Periodic Time Series, HOLT Winters Algorithm, Genetic Algorithm GA, MASE, HTM
JOURNAL NAME:
Journal of Computer and Communications,
Vol.7 No.8,
August
29,
2019
ABSTRACT: Real-time anomaly detection of massive data streams is an important research topic nowadays due to the fact that a lot of data is generated in continuous temporal processes. There is a broad research area, covering mathematical, statistical, information theory methodologies for anomaly detection. It addresses various problems in a lot of domains such as health, education, finance, government, etc. In this paper, we analyze the state-of-the-art of data streams anomaly detection techniques and algorithms for anomaly detection in data streams (time series data). Critically surveying the techniques’ performances under the challenge of real-time anomaly detection of massive high-velocity streams, we conclude that the modeling of the normal behavior of the stream is a suitable approach. We evaluate Holt-Winters (HW), Taylor’s Double Holt-Winters (TDHW), Hierarchical temporal memory (HTM), Moving Average (MA), Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) forecasting models, etc. Holt-Winters (HW) and Taylor’s Double Holt-Winters (TDHW) forecasting models are used to predict the normal behavior of the periodic streams, and to detect anomalies when the deviations of observed and predicted values exceeded some predefined measures. In this work, we propose an enhancement of this approach and give a short description about the algorithms and then they are categorized by type of pre-diction as: predictive and non-predictive algorithms. We implement the Genetic Algorithm (GA) to periodically optimize HW and TDHW smoothing parameters in addition to the two sliding windows parameters that improve Hyndman’s MASE measure of deviation, and value of the threshold parameter that defines no anomaly confidence interval [1]. We also propose a new optimization function based on the input training datasets with the annotated anomaly intervals, in order to detect the right anomalies and minimize the number of false ones. The proposed method is evaluated on the known anomaly detection benchmarks NUMENTA and Yahoo datasets with annotated anomalies and real log data generated by the National education information system (NEIS)1 in Macedonia.