TITLE:
Climatological Hydric Balance and the Trends Analysis Climatic in the Region of Machado in Minas Gerais State, Brazil
AUTHORS:
Gustavo Souza Rodrigues, Fernando Ferrari Putti, Antônio Carlos da Silva, Alisson Souza de Oliveira, Luís Roberto Almeida Gabriel Filho
KEYWORDS:
Climatic Series, Global Warming, IPCC
JOURNAL NAME:
American Journal of Climate Change,
Vol.7 No.4,
November
8,
2018
ABSTRACT: Lately the planet’s climate has been constantly changing, caused mainly by global warming which has exposed a great deal of concern to the population over the years. In order to understand the possible impacts that such changes may have on the environment and society in general, the importance of the analysis of climate and hydrological events trends and their performance in a region is justified. The objective of the present work was to perform the climatic classification and to evaluate the behavior of the Climatological Hydric Balance—CHB, from the region of Machado state of Minas Gerais—MG, taking into account a historical series of 55 years of climatic season data of the National Institute of Meteorology—INMET; to verify the occurrence of climatic changes by the temporal trends of precipitation and the average temperature, using the Mann-Kendall and Pettitt method; and the influence of these possible climate changes on CHB behavior and on the region’s climate classification. Based on the results found it verified the increase in the water deficit between the months of June to September and a reduction in the water surplus from November to February. By means of the trend analysis, there was a positive trend of increase in the average temperature of 1.6°C until the year 2100. The continuity and occurrence of these trends may have impacts on the economy, agriculture, the hydrological cycle, and consequently on the fauna, the flora and the population.