TITLE:
A Reassessment of Birth Defects for Children of Participants of the Air Force Health Study
AUTHORS:
George J. Knafl
KEYWORDS:
Birth Defects, Cross-Validation, Dioxin, Operation Ranch Hand
JOURNAL NAME:
Open Journal of Epidemiology,
Vol.8 No.4,
October
16,
2018
ABSTRACT: The Air Force Health Study (AFHS), also called the Ranch Hand Study, investigated the impact of exposure to dioxin the toxic contaminant in Agent Orange on health, survival, and reproductive outcomes of male Air Force Vietnam War veterans. It was concluded that available reproductive outcome data did not provide support for an adverse association with paternal dioxin exposure. A more extensive set of AFHS data was used to reassess this conclusion, restricting to the case of birth defects in children fathered after the start of the first Vietnam War tour. Analyses started by repeating published analyses, followed by assessing decisions made in those analyses, for example, of excluding participants with dioxin levels below the detectable limit, using a threshold of 10 parts per trillion for a high dioxin level, and not adjusting for multiple conceptions/children of the same participant. Using data for all participants with measured dioxin levels, both veterans who served in Operation Ranch Hand and other non-Ranch Hand veterans, and after accounting for correlation within children of the same participant, the occurrence for children fathered after the start of the first tour of a major defect, a non-major defect, and multiple defects depended significantly on participants having a high dioxin level. These conclusions were not changed by consideration of covariates. In contrast to prior published analyses, the more extensive AFHS data provided support for an adverse effect of paternal dioxin exposure on birth defects. However, the study had many limitations that could have affected the conclusions.