TITLE:
The Prediction of the Peak Time of People Taking School Bus Based on Martingale Process
AUTHORS:
Yuxuan Zhou, Shujun Liu, Yufeng Gui
KEYWORDS:
School Bus, Martingale Process, Prediction, Peak Time
JOURNAL NAME:
Applied Mathematics,
Vol.8 No.5,
May
18,
2017
ABSTRACT: As the main tool for students and professors to come and go to different districts in-campus, the school bus is of great importance. In order to improve its efficiency and convenient students and professors, a rational schedule of departure is badly needed. A model is established to predict the peak time of people taking school bus based on martingale process, and it is solved according to stopping time of martingale. Then it is applied to Wuhan University of Technology. A large amount of data is collected and the peak time for each day is predicted combined with the actual situation of the college. In doing so, suggestions are given for those who are in charge of the school buses.