TITLE:
Energy Outlook in East Africa Region and the Carbon Emissions for Conventional En-ergy Projection (Part I)
AUTHORS:
Mwongereza Jean d’Amour, Aissa Boudjella
KEYWORDS:
Electricity Generation, Electrical Capacity, Renewable Energy, Carbon Dioxide Emissions
JOURNAL NAME:
Journal of Power and Energy Engineering,
Vol.4 No.7,
July
29,
2016
ABSTRACT: In
this investigation, we focus on the current energy sources and future projects
situation in East Africa up to 2040. Electricity generation potential of energy
mix and electrical capacity will be analyzed. For both electricity generation
and electrical capacity, the data source shows that some forms of energies such
bio-energy, solar PV, etc. will contribute less as well as with insignificant
contribution of nuclear energy. Whereas hydro is dominating comparing with gas,
oil, coal, solar PV, bio-energy and other renewables energies. From 2000 up to
2012, hydro and oil were only the one source of electricity generation.
Starting from 2020, other forms of energies will appear and continue to
increase at different rate. The international trade of electricity in this
region will appear in 2020 and continue to increase as predicted by the data.
Up to 2040, hydro will play a big role in electricity generation with other
renewable energy sources, such as coal, oil, Gas, bio- energy and solar PV that
will continue to increase at different rate. The share of solar PV in energy
generation will slowly increase compared to other sources. The capacity of
hydro and renewable energy sources will be high compared with other sources of
energy such as bioenergy, coal, oil, PV solar, and gas. The results show also
that bio-energy will increase slowly in electricity generation in comparison
with other source of energies. The present report shows that oil will continue
to emit a lot carbon dioxide compared to gas and coal. The emission of CO2 from total final consumption (TFC) of oil will continue to be high in comparing
with CO2 emission from power generation (PG) of oil. But the
emission of carbon dioxide from power generation of coal from 2025 until 2040
will be high compared with emission of CO2 generated from FTC of
coal. In this period, the emission from TFC for gas will remain insignificant.
The total final consumption emission of oil in general will dominate other
emissions from both coal and gas. Due to this high emission of CO2,
new technologies should be introduced in order to reduce gas pollution from
TFC.