TITLE:
An Analysis of Urban Management in Zhejiang Province—Based on the Granger Causality Test and VAR Model Analysis
AUTHORS:
Haisheng Chen
KEYWORDS:
Urban Management, Labor Transfer, Granger Causality Test, VEC Model
JOURNAL NAME:
Open Access Library Journal,
Vol.2 No.3,
March
17,
2015
ABSTRACT: Based on granger causality test and VAR (the Vector autoregressive model,
Vector autoregressive model (VAR) is usually used in related time series
prediction and stochastic disturbance on the variable system) analysis, the
article finds the relationship among labor transfer, residents’ consumption and
economic growth. On the one hand, the labor transfer is the granger reason of
residents’ consumption. On the other hand, economic growth is the granger
reason of labor transfer at the 5% significant level. Finally the article puts
forward some suggestions of urban management, such as promoting consumption,
enhancing the level of industrial agglomeration and guiding the transfer of
rural labors.