TITLE:
A Century of Monitoring Urban Growth in Menofya Governorate, Egypt, Using Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Analysis
AUTHORS:
Islam Abou El-Magd, Ahmed Hasan, Abdelfatah El Sayed
KEYWORDS:
Urban Growth, GIS, Remote Sensing, Modelling, Menofya Governorate, Egypt
JOURNAL NAME:
Journal of Geographic Information System,
Vol.7 No.4,
August
17,
2015
ABSTRACT: Urban growth is a global
phenomenon mainly driven by the overpopulation growth particularly in developing countries like Egypt.
Pattern and extent of urban growth could be monitored and modelled on a spatial and temporal
dimension. GIS and remote sensing data along with other thematic maps were used to analyze the urban
growth, pattern and extent in the last century in one of the biggest governorates at the heart of
the Nile Delta of Egypt. Both spatial and temporal analyses enabled to identify
the pattern of urban growth and subsequently project the nature of future
growth. However, the overall urban growth in the last century was 12 times the
original built up areas in 1910;
the third stage from 1950 to 1972 was the highest stage of urban growth with
124% increase of the built-up area. The dominant pattern of
urban growth was linear along highways and railways with majority to the North,
North East and North West directions. The study developed a spatial model to
project urban growth by 2027, indicating that urban growth in the Menofya
Governorate would be continued at the same directions with the same pattern
with an estimated increase of 33%.
The study provided an understanding of the controlling factors which drove the
urban growth along this long time.