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Allen, M.R., Frame, D.J., Huntingford, C., Jones, C.D., Lowe, J.A., Meinshausen, M. and Meinshausen, N. (2009) Warming Caused by Cumulative Carbon Emissions towards the Trillionth Tonne. Nature, 458, 1163-1166.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature08019

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