Article citationsMore>>

Willekens, F. (2006) Description of the Multistate Projection Model (Multistate Model for Biographic Analysis and Projection). Deliverable D1 in Work Package 1. Bridging the Micro-Macro Gap in Population Forecasting—MicMac Project. Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague.

has been cited by the following article:

• TITLE: Projecting Health Outcomes for Portuguese Ageing Population: Challenges and Opportunities

  AUTHORS: Maria do Rosário Oliveira Martins, Inês Campos Rodrigues, Teresa Ferreira Rodrigues

  KEYWORDS: Projections, Aging, Educational Level, Self-Reported Health Status, Functional Limitations and Disability

  JOURNAL NAME: Health, Vol.6 No.14, July 29, 2014

  ABSTRACT: Objectives: To project health outcomes for the period 2011-2031, in the Portuguese population aged 65 years and over, considering the expected changes in its demographic and educational structure. Methods: Demographic projections were produced using the multistate cohort component method. Logistic regression models were fitted to estimate current differences in health outcomes, using data from the Portuguese Health Survey. Such differences were applied to the projection results, in order to project the prevalence of “poor” self-reported health status, functional limitations and disability. Results: Our results point to a future improvement in the considered health outcomes. The prevalence of “poor” self-reported health status, functional limitations and disability will decrease in both genders, but will continue to be higher among women than men. Discussion: Beyond age and gender, other determinants of health, like education, should be considered when studying the possible evolution of health outcomes in an ageing population.