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![]() Journal of Environmental Protection, 2013, 4, 24-27 http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/jep.2013.48A1004 Published Online August 2013 (http://www.scirp.org/journal/jep) California’s Agriculture-Related Local Air Pollution Policy C.-Y. Cynthia Lin Faculty of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California at Davis, Davis, USA. Email: [email protected] Received May 8th, 2013; accepted June 13th, 2013; accepted July 25th, 2013 Copyright © 2013 C.-Y. Cynthia Lin. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. ABSTRACT Air pollution is a critical environmental issue for California, which has some of the nation’s most polluted air basins and also the nation’s most stringent set of state and local air qu ality standards. This paper reviews my previous work in Lin (2011), in which I examine the effects of agriculture-related lo cal regulations in California on air quality, as meas- ured by the number of exceedances of the CO and NO2 standards, by exploiting the natural variation in policy among the different air districts in California. Agricultural burning policies and penalty fees reduce the pollution from CO. Other policies such as the prohibition on visible emission, fu gitiv e du st, particulate matter, nitrog en and th e redu ction of animal matter are correlated with higher levels of CO. Regulations on orchard and citrus heaters have no significant effect on the number of exceedances of the CO and NO2 standards. Keywords: Air Quality; Air Pollution; Pollution Control; Agriculture 1. Introduction Air pollution has been recognized as a significant envi- ronmental problem in California since the early 20th century. Between 1905 and 1912, regulations were en- acted by the city council of Los Angeles to regulate emissions [1]. As motor vehicle traffic increased, a new type of smog was observed and described: the “Los An- geles” or photochemical smog, as distinct from the “London” smog that resulted from coal combustion. Arie Haagen-Smit from Caltech characterized the chemistry of this smog and identified ozone as the principal oxidant in the early 1950’s. Meanwhile, the first air district in the U.S. was created in Los Angeles in 1947, and was later merged with other local districts in 1977 to form the South Coast Air Quality Management District [1]. Negative effects of air pollution have been extensively documented, and include impairment of human lung function, degradation of materials, and injury to plants. In addition to affecting human health, the high ambient ozone levels found in Southern California and the San Joaquin Valley also cau se yield reductions up to 30 % for some crops [2]. In addition to having some of the nation’s most pol- luted air basins, California also has the nation’s most stringent set of state and local air quality standards. Al- though regulation has led to improvements in air quality [3], exceedances of air quality standards still take place. For example, between 1990 and 1998, the San Joaquin Valley Air Basin experienced an average of 97 days per year above the eight-hour ozone standard, while the Sac- ramento Valley Air Basin experienced an average of 30 days per year above the standard during the same time period [4]. Farming and livestock operations are significant sources of emissions in California, and bear the negative effects of specific air pollutants as well. Agriculture-related air pollution results from pri mary emissions from machinery and vehicles employed in production, chemical com- pounds used in the course of production, e.g. pesticides, as well as emissions from the agricultural systems them- selves. For example, agricultural livestock emit nitrogen compounds such as oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and ammo- nia. Vehicles used in agricultural production emit volatile organic compounds (VOCs), NOx and carbon monoxide (CO) [5]. These emissions may lead to the formation of secondary air pollutants, such as ozone, that are deleteri- ous to worker s as we ll as crops [6]. This paper reviews my previous work in [7], in which I examine whether existing air pollution control policies, particularly those targeted at agriculture, have succeeded in improving air quality, as measured by the number of exceedances of the CO and NO2 standards. The follow- ing air pollution control policies are examined: policies and regulations for agricultural burning, visible emis- sions, fugitive dust, emission of particulate matter (PM) Copyright © 2013 SciRes. JEP ![]() California’s Agriculture-Related Local Air Pollution Policy 25 and PM precursors, emissions of nitrogen compounds, orchard and citrus heaters that release black carbon, and penalty fees. My work in [7] builds upon the ex isting environ mental economics literature on air quality, most notably the econometric analysis of the impact of federal particulate matter regulation on infant health conducted by [8] and the study of the impact of air pollution on infant death in California by [9], in several ways. First, [7] focuses on the effects of regulation rather than on the effects of air quality. The results therefore have direct implication s for policy. Second, the econo metric methodology used in [7] exploits the natural variation in policy among the differ- ent air districts in California to identify the effects of these policies. Third, [7] examines multiple policies, not just one. Results from the multivariable regressions point to mixed effects of the air pollution control policies on air quality. Agricultural burning policies and penalty fees reduce the pollution from CO. Other policies such as the prohibition on visible emission, fugitive dust, particulate matter, nitrogen and the reduction of animal matter are correlated with higher levels of CO. Regulations on or- chard and citrus heaters have no significant effect on the number of exceedances of the CO and NO2 standards. Results of this research will lead to a better under- standing of the regulations affecting air quality, and will provide insight into the appropriate development of management practice to mitigate air pollution problems. The remainder of the paper proceeds as follows. The next section provides background information on the state of California with respect to air quality manag ement. Section 3 describes the data. Section 4 presents the methods and results from the econometric analysis. Sec- tion 5 concl u d e s. 2. California’s Air Pollution Policy The state of California is divided into fifty-eight different counties and is overseen by the Governor of California. California is divided into thirty-five air districts, which are called either Air Pollution Control Districts or Air Quality Management Districts. These air districts are responsible for controlling air pollution from stationary sources. Several air districts span the areas of many counties, while some counties belong to different air dis- tricts. Some air districts, such as the Great Basin Unified air district, trace the division lines marking the regional air basin [10]. The different air districts in California have their own set of laws and regulations regarding stationary sources. These laws and regulations are written by the authorities within the air district and are applicable to the entire air district. These laws and regulations must be at least as stringent as the standards set by the federal government [11]. The fact that each air district has its own set of laws and regulations is crucial to the analysis of the policies presented in this paper. The variation between the poli- cies of the different air districts within the state of Cali- fornia provides a setting for a natural experiment. Since the different air districts all fall in the same state, they are subject to the same federal and state laws. The districts also share many other similar characteristics, for example climate, geographical location, etc. The variation in air quality over the time the different policies take place, then, must be due mostly to the policies themselves and not due to geographical location, climate or different state laws. Thus, the variation in similar policies across air districts enables one to better single out the effect of policies on air quality and health. Among the many different laws and regulations gov- erning each of the thirty-five air districts in California, this paper focuses on the following eight types of policy: 1) Agricultural burning: This policy regulates open outdoor fires used in agricultural operations in the grow- ing of crops, the raising of animals, the disposal of agri- business waste, or for purposes such as forest manage- ment, range improvement, irrigation system management, etc. The policy requires burning permits and imposes no-burn days. 2) Visible emissions: This policy provides limits for visible emissions. In many districts, emissions from ag- ricultural operations are exempt. 3) Fugitive dust: The purpose of this policy is to re- duce the amount of particulate matter entrained in the air as a result of anthropogenic fugitive dust sources by re- quiring actions to prevent, reduce or mitigate fugitive dust emissions. 4) Particulate matter: This policy imposes limits on particulate matter emissions. 5) Nitrogen: This policy imposes limits on NOx emis- sions. 6) Reduction of animal matter: This policy requires that the gases, vapors and gas-entrained effluents from any article, machine equipment, or other contrivance used for the reduction of animal matter to be incinerated or processed. 7) Orchard and citrus heaters: This policy regulates orchard and citrus heaters. 8) Penalty fee: Station ary sources with the potential to emit regulated pollutants (including nitrogen oxides, VOCs, CO and PM10) above a certain amount need to obtain permits to operate consistent with the require- ments of Title V of the federal Clean Air Act as amended in 1990. This policy req uires operators of units requiring Title V permits to pay a penalty if they fail to pay for their permit within a certain number of days after it is issued. Copyright © 2013 SciRes. JEP ![]() California’s Agriculture-Related Local Air Pollution Policy 26 These eight policies were chosen because they were similar in theme across the different counties in the dif- ferent air districts but they either vary in whether they were implemented at all, or differ in the date of imple- mentation. For example, the prohibition on fugitive dust applies in Amador and Imperial Counties but not in El Dorado and Monterey Counties. Of Amador and Imperial Counties, the dates of implementation of the prohibition policy differ. In Amador County the policy did not take effect until the year 2000, while the policy was imple- mented in Imperial County prio r to 1994 [12]. The similarity of theme in the different policies chosen and the difference in the details of each of the policy add to the quality of th e analysis. Since the policies are simi- lar in theme but are different in details, comparisons can be made and the effect of each policy can be examined. For example, once controls are taken into account, dif- ferences between air quality in Amador County and El Dorado County can be said to be attributable to the pro- hibition on fugitive dust which is effective in Amador County but not in El Dorado County. Likewise, the dif- ferences in air quality in Amador County and Imperial County can be attributed to the differences in the date of implementation of the prohibition on fugitive dust. 3. Data Description My work in [7] uses annual county-level data from 1980- 2000. The policy variables used in [7] are constructed from the California Air Resources Board’s online database of state and county laws and regulations concerning air quality in the different air districts [12]. For each of the eight policies chosen, dummy variables for whether or not the policy is in place for each county for each year since 1980 to 2000 were constructed. To measure air quality, [7] focuses on two agricu lture- related air pollutants: CO and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). For each pollutant, data on the number of days per year exceeding the state standards as compiled by the Califor- nia Air Resources Board are used. In particular, for CO, the number of days exceeding the state’s 1-hour standard for CO of 20 parts per million (ppm) and the number of days exceeding the state’s 8-hour standard for CO of 9.0 ppm are used. For NO2, the number of days exceeding state’s 1-hour stand ard for NO2 of 0.18 ppm is used. The socio-economic data used in [7] are obtained from the US Bureau of Health Professions’ Area Resource File. Socio-economic data used in this paper include popula- tion, per capita income and the percentage of county area occupied by farms. 4. Econometric Analysis In order to identify the effects of the chosen air quality policies on air q uality, [7] estimates multivariable regr es- sions that exploit the natural variation in policy among the different air districts in California. It is possible that the correlation between the regula- tions and air quality reflect some omitted characteristics such as socio-economic status that are correlated with both regulations and air quality. To address the possibil- ity of omitted variab les b ias, in [7 ] I u se a method similar to that used by [9]: I include a rich set of covariates and employ county fixed effects to capture any unobserved characteristics of counties that are constant over time. The control variables used are year, population, popula- tion density, per capita income, and acres of farmland. The Hausman test was used to determine whether con- trolling for fixed effects was more appropriate than con- trolling for rando m effects. The natural variation of policy among air districts mitigates the potential endogeneity of regulation, since two neighboring counties that may share similar charac- teristics and that may have similar levels of pollution prior to the implementation of a particular policy, all else equal, may still belong to different air districts. The econometric model is: 01 2 pollution policy itititi it xu , (1) where pollutionit is the value of the pollution variable (number of days exceeding the state’s 1-hour standard for CO, the number of days exceeding the state’s 8-hour standard for CO, or the number of days exceeding state’s 1-hour standard for NO2) in county i in year t; policyit is a dummy variable denoting whether or not the particular policy under consideration was in place in county i in year t; xit is a vector of controls (year, population, popu- lation-density, per capita income, and percentage of land-area that are farms); and ui is a county fixed effect. The results for the effects of policy on air pollution are presented in Table 4 of [7]. Because the results of the Hausman test favored the fixed effects model for most of the regressions, only the fixed effect results are reported. These results point to mixed effects of the chosen air pollution control policies on air pollutants. An agricul- tural burning policy significantly reduces the number of days exceeding the state standard for both 1-hour and 8-hour CO. Agricultural burning policies also reduce the number of days exceeding the state standard for NO2, but the effect is not significant at a 5% level. The results also suggest that having prohibitions on visible emission, fu- gitive dust, particulate matter, nitrogen and the reduction of animal matter seem to be significantly correlated with increasing pollution from both 1-hour and 8-hour CO. These policies also increase pollution from NO2, but the effect is not significant at a 5% level. The regulations on orchard and citrus heaters have no significant effect on the number of days exceeding the state standard for CO Copyright © 2013 SciRes. JEP ![]() California’s Agriculture-Related Local Air Pollution Policy Copyright © 2013 SciRes. JEP 27 or NO2. A penalty fee has a significant negative effect on the number of days exceeding the state standard for both 1-hour and 8-hour CO, but no significant effect on the number of days exceeding the state standard for NO2. None of the p olicies examined had a significant effect on the number of days exceeding the state standard for NO2. 5. Conclusions This paper reviews my previous work in [7], in which I examine whether existing air pollution control policies, particularly those targeted at agriculture, have succeeded in improving air quality, as measured by the number of exceedances of the CO and NO2 standards. Results from the multivariable regressions point to mixed effects of air pollution control policies on air quality, as measured by the number of exceedances of the CO and NO2 standards. Agricultural burning policies and penalty fees reduce the pollution from CO. Other policies such as the prohibition on visible emission, fugitive dust, particulate matter, ni- trogen and the reduction of animal matter are correlated with higher levels of CO. Regulations on orchard and citrus heaters have no significan t effect on the number of exceedances of the CO and NO2 standards. The regulations that were most effective in improving air quality were the regulations on agricultural burning and the penalty fees for noncompliance with the stan- dards. These results provide insight into the appropriate de- sign of policy to mitigate air p ollutio n problems and their associated adverse health effects. 6. Acknowledgements Kanittha Tambunlertchai provided excellent research assistance. I thank Gary Chamberlain and John Karlik for discussions. I received financial support from the Gian- nini Foundation for Agricultural Economics, an EPA Science to Achieve Results graduate fellowship, a Na- tional Science Foundation graduate research fellowship, and a Repsol YPF—Harvard Kennedy School Pre-Doc- toral Fellowship in energy policy. I am a member of the Giannini Foundation for Agricultural Economics. All errors are my own. REFERENCES [1] M. Z. Jacobson, “Atmospheric Pollution,” Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2002. [2] J. V. Hall, A. M. Winer, M. T. Kleinman, F. W. Lurmann, V. Brajer and S. D. Colome, “Valuing the Health Benefits of Clean Air,” Science, Vol. 255, No. 5046, 1992, pp. 812-817. doi:10.1126/science.1536006 [3] C.-Y. C. Lin, D. J. Jacob and A. M. 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Khallaf, Ed., The Impact of Air Pollution on Health, Economy, Environment and Agricultural Sources, InTech—Open Access Publisher, Manhattan, 2011. [8] K. Chay and M. Greenstone, “Air Quality, Infant Mortal- ity, and the Clean Air Act of 1970,” NBER Working Pa- per Series, Working Paper No. 10053, Massachusetts In- stitute of Technology, Cambridge, 2003. [9] J. Currie and M. 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